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2020 Stock Market Crash: Worse Times Ahead for Stocks – The Motley Fool Canada

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After the 2020 stock market crash, stocks are whipsawing wildly on a mix of good and bad news. Investors are reacting strongly to any positive or negative developments. Even after the latest rally, which saw the headline Dow Jones Industrial Average gain 1,000 points in a single session, stocks are still substantially lower than at the start of 2020. The Dow has lost 23% for the year to date while the S&P/TSX Composite Index has shed 21%.

The recent rally can be attributed to Washington’s announcement of a US$2 trillion stimulus package to battle the economic impact of the coronavirus.

Some of the biggest beneficiaries will be among the sectors most harshly affected by the coronavirus, includes airline, retail, manufacturing and entertainment stocks. While the latest announcement has breathed life into beaten down stocks and sparked a renewed sense of optimism, it may not be enough in the short term.

Poor short-term outlook

Based upon the experience of Italy and Spain, there is likely to be a surge in U.S. coronavirus cases and related fatalities. When that occurs, it will spook an already extremely nervous Wall Street, causing stocks to tumble further.

Even recent stimulus measures won’t be enough to prevent further falls and a prolonged bear market. Economic stimulus including rate cuts announced by central banks earlier this month failed to prevent the Dow from suffering its worst one-day fall ever.

Canadian investors should brace for further weakness. The measures being implemented across the globe to contain the coronavirus and slow its spread are weighing heavily on the economy. Social distancing, mandated quarantine periods and travel bans have caused consumption to decline sharply.

That in turn is weighing on business confidence and earnings. While cheaper credit, because of lower rates, typically sparks higher consumption and business activity, this won’t occur due to the banning of most public activities and implementation of curfews.

The latest oil price collapse, which sees the Brent benchmark trading at around US$30 per barrel, will do little to invigorate the economy for those same reasons.

Some pundits are even claiming that despite the latest stimulus led rally, the stock market has yet to bottom and will fall a further 10%. The economic fallout from the pandemic will be severe and could be worse than the Great Recession of 2008 just over a decade ago.

There are claims by some economists and financial institutions that the U.S. economy has already fallen into recession. If the U.S., the world’s largest economy, slows countries around the globe will follow.

That global recession will be deep, sparking a bear market that could be longer than the one which emerged during the Great Depression and ran for around 17 months.

What investors should do

Despite the 2020 stock market crash and poor short-term outlook for stocks, this is not the time to panic. The key is to ignore the sensationalist headlines.

Instead, focus on your reasons for investing, stick to your plans and stay invested for the long haul. While the short-term outlook for stocks is poor, the economy will certainly return to growth.

By the end of 2019, Canada’s gross domestic product (GDP) had expanded by 28% compared to 2008. The S&P/TSX Composite benefited from that economic growth, gaining a whopping 62% since the end of 2008 even after the latest rout.

Some of Canada’s top dividend growth stocks have performed even better. The largest mortgage lender, Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY)(NYSE:RY). After including dividends, it delivered a stunning 253% or a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of just under 11%.

Canada’s largest bank will bounce back from the latest market downturn. Royal Bank possesses solid fundamentals including a high credit quality evident from its conservative gross impaired loans ratio of 0.45%. It is also adequately capitalized with a common equity tier one capital ratio of 12%.

Royal Bank’s focus on implementing efficiencies, including expanding its digital footprint, will lower costs and boost profitability —  an important strategy to be undertaking in the current difficult operating environment.


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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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