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2020 Western Conference Final Preview: Stars vs. Golden Knights – Sportsnet.ca

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A week ago, it looked all but certain that the Dallas Stars and Vegas Golden Knights would neatly wrap up their respective Round 2 series and meet in the Western Conference Final after a pair of dominant post-season performances. After all, both clubs were up 3-1 in the Edmonton bubble after taking swift action against their challengers and looking to close things out in five games each.

But… that’s when things got a little dicey.

Nathan MacKinnon and the Colorado Avalanche pushed back and had the Stars on the edge before Dallas settled the score in overtime of Game 7 thanks to an unexpected hero in Finnish forward Joel Kiviranta. The biggest hero in the Golden Knights’ second-round series, meanwhile, was on the other team. Vegas ran into a nearly unsolvable brick wall named Thatcher Demko, the rookie netminder behind the Vancouver Canucks’ incredible rallying efforts.

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It took three extra games, but the Stars and Golden Knights each managed to right their wrongs, correct their trajectories, and come out on top. Both clubs now meet for that Western Conference Final we anticipated one week ago — only, with a few extra games played, a couple more bruises incurred, and a bit more battle hardened — and well-aware of what it feels like to suddenly find yourself on the brink of going home.

(Mark Stone has seen some things.)

A fresh start is upon them now as they go head-to-head with a berth in the Stanley Cup Final on the line. Here’s a preview of how the best in the West match up:

ADVANCED STATS
Playoff 5-on-5 numbers via Natural Stat Trick

Dallas: 48.21 CF%, 48.53 GF%, 90.67 SV%, 9.04 SH%, 0.997 PDO
Vegas: 60.59 CF%, 59.65 GF%, 91.42 SV%, 7.78 SH%, 0.992 PDO

TEAM STATS (POST-SEASON)

Dallas: 28.3 PP%, 82.3 PK%, 53 GF, 56 GA
Vegas: 20.5 PP%, 87.8 PK%, 49 GF, 35 GA

HEAD-TO-HEAD RECORD

Dallas: 1-0-1
Vegas: 1-1

How Dallas got here

*Googles Joel Kiviranta*

As Game 7 of Dallas’s second-round series versus Colorado shifted into overtime, it was starting to feel a little… familiar. A year ago, the Stars found themselves on the losing end of an overtime battle against the Blues, falling just one goal shy of halting St. Louis’s historic Stanley Cup run. Redemption came Friday night, more than a year after last spring’s heartbreak, thanks to an incredible performance from Kiviranta, who completed his first-career NHL hat trick with the overtime winner to propel Dallas past their demons and into the Western Conference Final after frittering away a 3-1 series lead and coming dangerously close to a total collapse.

This Dallas team that is now descending upon the Western Conference Final is clearly a different club than it was all season, and even just a month ago. The Stars’ downfall throughout 2019-20 has been scoring — in that, they haven’t been. They managed just 178 markers through the regular season, sitting 29th in the category above just the Kings and Red Wings, and averaged a sixth-worst 2.58 goals per game. That they still managed to finish fourth in the Western Conference for a bye into Round 1 is a huge credit to their elite defence, led by the core four of Miro Heiskanen, John Klingberg, Esa Lindell and Jamie Oleksiak, and strong goaltending from the tandem of Ben Bishop and Anton Khudobin.

That regular-season tandem, though, is now down to one — and it’s Khudobin who has been in net for 14 of the Stars’ 16 games while Bishop has been on and off of the team’s unfit-to-play list. Khudobin has come up big in several situations and is no doubt a big part of this team’s success, but as his stats indicate (2.94 goals-against average, .909 save percentage, no shutouts) he’s keeping the Stars afloat, not steering the ship.

Unable to lean quite as heavily on goaltending, the Stars have been forced to play a much more offensive-minded game. Gone are the days when they can win 1-0 and 2-1 games — all four of their victories over Colorado required five goals from the Stars, placing them second among all playoff teams in total goals scored (53, behind the club they just eliminated) and fourth in goals per game (3.31) through 16 contests.

How Vegas got here

Coming out of the round robin as the top seed and making quick work of the should’ve-been-lottery-bound Chicago Blackhawks, the Goliath Golden Knights had not truly been tested until about midway through their second-round series against Vancouver. That’s when the Canucks taught them two very important lessons they must carry with them if they want to keep this show on the road against Dallas.

The first is to never underestimate an opponent, no matter where they sat in the regular-season standings or how many games you’re up in the series. Up 3-1 and outscoring Vancouver by a combined 15-8, Vegas ran into trouble in Game 5 — and his name was Thatcher Demko. Suddenly, their elite two-way play was truly put to the test by Vancouver, their high-volume shooting falling short compared to the Canucks’ quality chances. Demko almost single-handedly sent the Golden Knights packing, letting just one goal past him in Game 5, shutting them out in Game 6, and then almost repeating that feat in the seventh.

That’s where the second lesson comes in: if at first you don’t succeed, try, try, again. And then again. And then keep trying. Seriously, just keep shooting the puck, it’s your only option. The Golden Knights’ high shot volume was never more evident than when none of those shots were actually going in. Despite outshooting the Canucks 125-53 in Games 5, 6 and 7 combined, they had just two goals to show for their barrage of pucks, with both goals coming off the stick of defenceman and leading scorer Shea Theodore — with 98 Golden Knights shots separating them.

Theodore’s late-game heroics are what ultimately got the Golden Knights over their toughest opponent yet — and what kept head coach Pete DeBoer’s impressive Game 7 streak alive.

Stars X-Factor: Miro Heiskanen. Kiviranta was the Game 7 hero, but it’s fellow Finn Heiskanen who’s been the biggest driving force for Dallas this post-season. If you didn’t know much about the smooth-skating defenceman before this summer, you do now. The 21-year-old registered at least one point in all seven games of Round 2 and rides an eight-game point streak into the conference final. He leads all Stars in assists (16), points (21) and ice time (25:54 per game), and sits second league-wide in the post-season scoring race.

Golden Knights X-Factor: Shea Theodore. When we talk about the Golden Knights, we talk about Mark Stone and Max Pacioretty and Reilly Smith and their potent offence filled with elite two-way players. We also talk about Theodore, and he’s about to become an even bigger talking point as Vegas moves on. Just like Dallas, Vegas’s leading scorer is their best young defenceman. Not only is Theodore a beast on the blue line, he’s also a constant scoring threat every time he’s on the ice. His shot from the point is lethal, and no Golden Knight has put more shots on opponents’ nets this post-season than the 25-year-old (64). That persistence has paid off. Stumped by Demko during their series against the Canucks, it was Theodore — and only Theodore — who managed to score on the phenom.

Dallas will win if: They can keep their offensive firepower going.

…Goals? For wins? Groundbreaking.

As much as you can praise their newly-discovered high-scoring ways, there’s a troubling counter-stat: 56 — that’s the number of goals they’ve allowed this post-season, which is tops in the league by a mile and 21 more than Vegas has allowed. Sure, Khudobin just faced the league’s most potent offence and is still standing, but he’s about to face another barrage of shots from the Golden Knights, whose average of 37.1 shots fired per game is just above Colorado’s mark. It’s hard to see any low-scoring victories in the Stars’ future, which means they’ll have to keep this offence firing if they’re to keep pace with the Golden Knights.

Vegas will win if: Robin Lehner keeps being Robin Lehner. Despite a little controversy in the crease involving a certain photoshopped sword you’ve undoubtedly seen by now, goaltending has been a real source of strength for Vegas. All three of Lehner’s victories over Vancouver were shutouts (Marc-Andre Fleury backstopped them to victory in Game 4) and keeping that crease on lock down will ultimately be the difference-maker if they’re to hoist the Cup at the end of this.

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Need to Know: Bruins at Maple Leafs | Game 3 | Boston Bruins – NHL.com

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Familiar Territory

James van Riemsdyk has played his fair share of playoff contests here in Toronto – but all of them have come in blue and white. On Wednesday night, he would be on the other side for the first time if he indeed makes his Bruins postseason debut, which appeared to be a strong possibility based on the Black & Gold’s morning skate.

“It’s always special to play in this building,” said van Riemsdyk, who played in 20 postseason games with Toronto, including nine at Scotiabank Arena. “In this rivalry, it’s always a lot of fun. This time of year is always amazing, no matter where you’re at – if you’re at a 500-seat arena or a rink with all the tradition and history like this. It’s always fun and always a great opportunity to get in there.”

van Riemsdyk was a healthy scratch for the first two games of this series, following a trend across the second half of the regular season, during which he sat out several games.

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“Playoff time of year is always the best time of year,” said van Riemsdyk, who has 20 goals and 31 points in 71 career playoff games between Philadelphia and Toronto. “Obviously, in this rivalry, it’s always a lot of fun – two fun buildings to play in. You cherish every opportunity you get.

“This time of year, you learn that along the way, it’s all about the team. Whatever the team’s asking you to do, that’s always got to be your mindset and approach…you stay at it every day and just take it one day at a time.”

Montgomery said that if van Riemsdyk does re-enter the lineup, he’ll be looking for the veteran winger to help the Bruins’ offensive game. He also complimented van Riemsdyk’s professionalism throughout a trying second half.

“I guess getting his stick on more pucks,” Montgomery said on what he wants to see from van Riemsdyk. “We’ve talked about it a lot of times internally. Him and [Kevin] Shattenkirk have been great. They’re true pros. Every day come to work, come to get better. It’s not an easy situation, but he’s been great.”

van Riemsdyk concurred with his coach’s sentiments about helping Boston’s offensive attack, saying that he’ll be aiming to be around the net as much as possible.

“I think you’ve got to stay true to who you are as a player and play with good details and manage the game well and play to your strengths as a player,” he said. “This time of year, being around the net is always an important trait. You see all the goals being scored, it’s all within 5-10 feet of the net. That’s an area that I pride myself on, so going to be doing my best to get there and have an impact there.”

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NHL teams, take note: Alexandar Georgiev is proof that anything can happen in the playoffs

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It’s hard to say when, exactly, Alexandar Georgiev truly began to win some hearts and change some minds on Tuesday night.

Maybe it was in the back half of the second period; that was when the Colorado Avalanche, for the first time in their first-round Stanley Cup playoff series against the Winnipeg Jets, actually managed to hold a lead for more than, oh, two minutes or thereabouts. Maybe it was when the Avs walked into the locker room up 4-2 with 20 minutes to play.

Maybe it was midway through the third, when a series of saves by the Avalanche’s beleaguered starting goaltender helped preserve their two-goal buffer. Maybe it was when the buzzer sounded after their 5-2 win. Maybe it didn’t happen until the Avs made it into their locker room at Canada Life Centre, tied 1-1 with the Jets and headed for Denver.

At some point, though, it should’ve happened. If you were watching, you should’ve realized that Colorado — after a 7-6 Game 1 loss that had us all talking not just about all those goals, but at least one of the guys who’d allowed them — had squared things up, thanks in part to … well, that same guy.

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Georgiev, indeed, was the story of Game 2, stopping 28 of 30 shots, improving as the game progressed and providing a lesson on how quickly things can change in the playoffs — series to series, game to game, period to period, moment to moment. The narrative doesn’t always hold. Facts don’t always cooperate. Alexandar Georgiev, for one night and counting, was not a problem for the Colorado Avalanche. He was, in direct opposition to the way he played in Game 1, a solution. How could we view him as anything else?

He had a few big-moment saves, and most of them came midway through the third period with his team up 4-2. There he was with 12:44 remaining, stopping a puck that had awkwardly rolled off Nino Niederreiter’s stick; two missed posts by the Avs at the other end had helped spring Niederreiter for a breakaway. Game 1 Georgiev doesn’t make that save.

There he was, stopping Nikolaj Ehlers from the circle a few minutes later. There wasn’t an Avs defender within five feet, and there was nothing awkward about the puck Ehlers fired at his shoulder. Game 1 Georgiev gets scored on twice.

(That one might’ve been poetic justice. It was Ehlers who’d put the first puck of the night on Georgiev — a chip from center ice that he stopped, and that the crowd in Winnipeg greeted with the ol’ mock cheer. Whoops.)

By the end of it all, Georgiev had stared down Connor Hellebuyck and won, saving nearly 0.5 goals more than expected according to Natural Stat Trick, giving the Avalanche precisely what they needed and looking almost nothing like the guy we’d seen a couple days before. Conventional wisdom coming into this series was twofold: That the Avs have firepower, high-end talent and an overall edge — slight as it may be — on Winnipeg, and that Georgiev is shaky enough to nuke the whole thing.

That wasn’t without merit, either. Georgiev’s .897 save percentage in the regular season was six percentage points below the league average, and he hadn’t broken even in expected goals allowed (minus-0.21). He’d been even worse down the stretch, putting up an .856 save percentage in his final eight appearances, and worse still in Game 1, allowing seven goals on 23 shots and more than five goals more than expected. That’s not bad; that’s an oil spill. Writing him off would’ve been understandable. Writing off Jared Bednar for rolling him out there in Game 2 would’ve been understandable. Writing the Avs off — for all of Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar’s greatness — would’ve been understandable.

It just wouldn’t have been correct.

The fact that this all went down now, four days into a two-month ordeal, is a gift — because the postseason thus far has been short on surprises, almost as a rule. The Rangers and Oilers are overwhelming the Capitals and Kings. The Hurricanes are halfway done with the Islanders. The Canucks are struggling with the Predators. PanthersLightning is tight, but one team is clearly better than the other. BruinsMaple Leafs is a close matchup featuring psychic baggage that we don’t have time to unpack. In Golden KnightsStars, Mark Stone came back and scored a huge goal.

None of that should shock you. None of that should make you blink.

Georgiev being good enough for Colorado, though? After what we saw in Game 1? Strange, surprising and completely true. For now.

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"Laugh it off": Evander Kane says Oilers won’t take the bait against Kings | Offside

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The LA Kings tried every trick in the book to get the Edmonton Oilers off their game last night.

Hacks after the whistle, punches to the face, and interference with line changes were just some of the things that the Oilers had to endure, and throughout it all, there was not an ounce of retaliation.

All that badgering by the Kings resulted in at least two penalties against them and fuelled a red-hot Oilers power play that made them pay with three goals on four chances. That was by design for Edmonton, who knew that LA was going to try to pester them as much as they could.

That may have worked on past Oilers teams, but not this one.

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“We’ve been in a series now for the third year in a row with these guys,” Kane said after practice this morning. “We know them, they know us… it’s one of those things where maybe it makes it a little easier to kind of laugh it off, walk away, or take a shot.

“That type of stuff isn’t gonna affect us.”

Once upon a time, this type of play would get under the Oilers’ skin and result in retaliatory penalties. Yet, with a few hard-knock lessons handed down to them in the past few seasons, it seems like the team is as determined as ever to cut the extracurriculars and focus on getting revenge on the scoreboard.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, the longest-tenured player on this Oilers team, had to keep his emotions in check with Kings defender Vladislav Gavrikov, who punched him in the face early in the game. The easy reaction would be to punch back, but the veteran Nugen-Hopkins took his licks and wound up scoring later in the game.

“It’s going to be physical, the emotions are high, and there’s probably going to be some stuff after the whistle,” Nugent-Hopkins told reporters this morning. “I think it’s important to stay poised out there and not retaliate and just play through the whistles and let the other stuff just kind of happen.”

Oilers head coach Kris Knoblauch also noticed his team’s discipline. Playoff hockey is full of emotion, and keeping those in check to focus on the larger goal is difficult. He was happy with how his team set the tone.

“It’s not necessarily easy to do,” Knoblauch said. “You get punched in the face and sometimes the referees feel it’s enough to call a penalty, sometimes it’s not… You just have to take them, and sometimes, you get rewarded with the power play.

“I liked our guy’s response and we want to be sticking up for each other, we want to have that pack mentality, but it’s really important that we’re not the ones taking that extra penalty.”

There is no doubt that the Kings will continue to poke and prod at the Oilers as the series continues. Keeping those retaliations in check will only get more difficult, but if the team can continue to succeed on the scoreboard, it could get easier.

 

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