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$34B Trans Mountain expansion pipeline begins filling with oil with first shipments before Canada Day

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The odyssey of developing and building the Trans Mountain expansion project in Western Canada is finally nearing the finishing line as sections of the pipeline begin filling with oil.

The first export shipment will happen before Canada Day, the federal Crown corporation said, although Alberta’s premier expects it could become operational as soon as May.

The Trans Mountain is Canada’s only oil pipeline to the West Coast. The project will transport oil from Alberta to the West Coast and triple the amount of crude that is shipped on an existing pipeline, from 300,000 barrels per day to 890,000 bpd.

Canadian oil prices are expected to increase once the new project is completed. Court challenges, regulatory hurdles, multiple protests and constant delays are all part of the history of the project, which began more than a decade ago.

Then there’s the cost.

When the federal government stepped in to purchase the project six years ago and rescue it from life support, the estimated price tag was $7.4 billion. Today, expenses are $34 billion.

‘What a long, strange trip it’s been’

On stage Wednesday at the CERAWeek energy conference in Houston, Trans Mountain chief financial officer Mark Maki used a bit of humour when describing the project’s past, knowing full well how eye-popping the cost escalation and multiple setbacks have been for Canadian taxpayers and the industry alike.

“I reflect on some lyrics from a Grateful Dead song: ‘What a long, strange trip it’s been.’ Twelve years from beginning to in-service. That’s too long,” he said, drawing laughter from the crowd, before he proceeded to list the many challenges such as the regulatory process, the pandemic, floods and wildfires.

WATCH | The climbing costs of the TMX pipeline:

A post-construction review of costs should be done on TMX

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Lessons could be learned on how the Trans Mountain expansion pipeline was developed and built, says company CFO Mark Maki.

Currently, less than 25 per cent of the pipeline is filled with oil, said Maki, in sections of where construction took place several years ago.

He suggests there should be a post-construction cost review to see what lessons can be learned about developing large-scale projects in Canada.

“It is expensive to do the project right. That’s what it costs to build infrastructure,” he said, in an interview with CBC News in Houston.

Pipelines cross long distances, and can impact several Indigenous communities and develop previously untouched land.

“For all those reasons, we have to understand better, whoever you are, what it really is going to cost to build infrastructure.”

The final price tag, he said, could still change as remaining work is completed. The company has said it will need approximately three months following the completion of construction before it can provide a definitive cost estimate.

On Wednesday, Bloomberg reported a Chinese state-owned company, Sinochem Group, had purchased one of the first crude cargoes to move through the new pipeline.

The Trans Mountain expansion is expected to increase the value of Canadian oil, which should increase the amount of royalties collected by the Alberta government, says Premier Danielle Smith, in an interview with CBC News in Houston at CERAWeek by S&P Global. (Kyle Bakx/CBC)

Construction crews have focused recently on overcoming difficulties drilling through rock in B.C.’s Fraser Valley between Hope and Chilliwack and pulling the pipe into the hole.

The final piece of pipe is expected to be installed in the next few weeks, said Maki. Next steps include work on some above ground facilities, the testing and inspection process, and satisfying some regulatory requirements.

Despite all the issues over the years, Maki is adamant the project will have a positive impact on the oilpatch, the economy, Indigenous communities and government coffers.

“We’re happy. We’re getting to the end and that’s a reason to be proud and we’re doing something that I think is good for the country,” he said.

Opposition to the project

Some environmental critics have argued the project will impact waterways and marine animals, while promoting expansion of the oil industry. The national regulator has previously said the project would cause “significant adverse environmental effects” on the southern resident killer whale population, while also highlighting the potential of a pipeline leak or tanker spill.

The expansion is expected to result in a seven-fold increase in the number of oil tankers traveling through the waters around Vancouver and Victoria.

A man holds an inflatable of an orca whale above the crowd as protesters opposed to the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion listen during a rally ahead of a decision by Liberal cabinet on the project, in Vancouver, on Sunday June 9, 2019. (Darryl Dyck/The Canadian Press)

Trans Mountain has support from dozens of Indigenous communities along the pipeline route, but others have been strongly opposed, even launching years-long court challenges. At one point, the project was halted because of a lack of consideration of Indigenous concerns.

Expanding domestic oil production

This year, Canada is expected to lead the world in oil production growth.

“It’s going to make a big difference to our producers. It’s going to make a big difference to us as a government since we charge our royalties based on [oil prices],” said Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, in an interview in Houston.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made the right decision to purchase the project six years ago, she said.

“I’m pleased that they stepped in to de-risk and finish the project,” said Smith, adding how Ottawa ideally would have supported other pipelines to ensure they, too, were built, such as Energy East and Northern Gateway.

A complete Trans Mountain expansion will increase the amount of pipeline export capacity, although industry leaders say any spare space will be filled.

“Some were wondering, ‘When TMX is done, will Enbridge not have as much supply going through its pipes?’ We’re hitting records. I expect that you’ll see all of our assets continue to be used,” said Enbridge’s CEO Greg Ebel.

Some analysts have said the country’s export pipelines could be full again in a few years, continuing the growing oil production in Western Canada.

Canadian oil export pipelines will remain full as oil production climbs, says Greg Ebel, Enbridge’s chief executive. (Kyle Bakx/CBC)

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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