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4 Common Investment Biases You Should Avoid – Forbes Advisor INDIA – Forbes

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As individuals, we all have certain biases and beliefs. They stem from different sources and profoundly impact how we think and go about things in our daily lives, including investments. While some notions, such as discipline and patience, help in the investing journey, certain biases can prove to be achilles’ heel for you. 

These biases not only hamper your investments but also prevent you from augmenting your riches. They act as a roadblock in attaining financial freedom and addressing life goals. Here are the four biases you should steer yourself away from.

1. Herd Mentality Bias

There must have been occasions when you have been tempted into investing in a financial instrument just because you have seen your peers and others doing it. It’s a fact that most of us end up chasing financial tools that others invest in, believing that such a move will help them build wealth and that they can not go wrong.

Do you remember the dotcom bubble? During that period, many people ended up investing in companies that didn’t possess robust corporate governance models and strong balance sheets. The results were disastrous.

In a nutshell, adopting this mentality can spell doom. You must make any investment understanding the product structure, the associated risks, and aligning them with your goals and risk appetite. Of late, many new fund offers (NFOs) have come to the fore promising attractive returns. Many investors have even invested in them.

However, before you invest in any such fund, make sure to understand the company’s fundamentals and analyse its long-term growth prospects. NFOs don’t have a track record, and investing in them just because others are doing can cause wealth loss. To simply put, don’t follow the herd but carve your own path.

2. Recency Bias

We are severely influenced by the recent happenings in our life. So much so that we quickly tend to forget the past. In this bias, we tend to give more importance to the recent happenings over historical ones. Multiple times investors have fallen for this bias, only to rule later.

This bias came to the fore in March 2020 when equity markets nosedived hit by uncertainties amid the coronavirus pandemic. Investors’ wealth made over time eroded in no time. However, this was not the first time that Indian equity markets had crashed. It happened during the 2008 financial crisis and 1992 stock market scam, only to bounce back stronger.

However, investors gave so much importance to the happening that most pulled out and exited markets fearing further loss. In the process, they converted notional losses into actual ones. Markets scaled new highs and rewarded those who remained committed to their investments.

Those who had remained invested during that challenging phase are now sitting on meaty gains. Hence, it’s advisable to look at the big picture and not bank on short-term trends. Irrespective of whether you are investing in a stock or mutual fund, evaluating how long you must stay invested without giving into short-term trends is important.

3. Confirmation Bias

Renowned Swiss author and entrepreneur Robert Dobelli in his bestselling ‘The Art of Thinking Clearly’ has called it the mother of all biases and rightly so. It refers to the human tendency to interpret things to confirm existing beliefs, and any notion that contradicts it is weeded out without a second thought. Those with this bias don’t want to take the stress that accompanies conflicting views.

Confirmation bias not only robs you of your ability to think logically but also gives you a false sense of overconfidence. With this bias at the back of your mind, you will always feel that you are in command of your financial decisions and can never go wrong. However, it’s not so. This bias – more often than not – gives you a false sense of hope, and you may end up investing in an instrument with poor attributes.

That’s not all. You may end up sticking to a loss-making investment with the hope that things will eventually turn. However, by the time you realise your mistake, the damage is already done. So, it’s prudent to face facts and mould your thought process accordingly. When it comes to investments, it’s vital to keep an open mind and go ahead accordingly.

4. Loss Aversion Bias

We all hate to lose, isn’t it? When it comes to investments, the focus radically shifts towards avoiding losses more than making gains. In the process, they lose out on chances that can augment their gains. In the long run, this can prove to be detrimental to wealth creation. While it’s prudent to adopt risk-mitigating strategies, it’s equally essential to look for opportunities to bolster gains.

Also, due to this bias, investors continue with loss-making investments because they want to avoid the pain of making a loss. However, it drags overall returns and proves to be a roadblock in achieving financial freedom.

How To Overcome Investment Biases?

By now, you must have realised that these biases pull you back and prevent you from leveraging your investments’ potential to the maximum. So, how do you overcome them? Let’s find out.

Be Logical and Analytical in Your Thinking

You can mitigate and overcome a lot of these biases by being logical and analytical in your thinking. An analytical approach will help you go deep and understand the nitty-gritty crucial for getting your investments right. Do your research and make sure to make investments in line with your goals and risk tolerance.

Understand Your Financial Position

Just as we differ as individuals, so do our financial positions. Note that investments don’t follow a one-size-fits-all approach. So, it’s advisable not to base your decisions based on other’s financial position. Have a holistic view of your positioning and adopt a strategy accordingly.

Manage Emotions

Investing emotionally can lead to flawed investment decisions and fall for any of the biases mentioned above. Hence, you must have a check on your emotions and adopt a rational approach. Weeding out emotions from investments can help you make decisions that can enhance your riches by a significant margin.

Take Help from a Financial Advisor

Professional help is always beneficial in every sphere of life, and investment is no different. If you are finding it difficult to overcome the biases yourself, seek help from a financial advisor. Financial advisors are qualified professionals who help you sort money matters and overcome preconceived notions and beliefs, and they aid you in thinking logically. 

Bottom Line

Biases stem from various sources, including the environment where we grow up and how we see people around us going about their investments. However, it’s essential to understand that wrong beliefs and notions can significantly hurt your finances and deprive you of wealth creation opportunities.

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City investments dropped nearly $5M during this year's first quarter – Moose Jaw Today

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The City of Moose Jaw’s investment portfolios lost nearly $5 million during the first quarter of this year due to — among other things — jittery stock markets, the war in Ukraine and increasing inflation.

During city council’s May 24 regular meeting, council received the investment committee’s report with results from the first quarter of 2022. Council then voted unanimously to receive and file the document.

There was $79,923,836.46 in the long-term portfolio and $29,485,162.61 in the moderate-term portfolio as of March 31, for a total of $109,408,999.07, the report showed. In comparison, as of Dec. 31, 2021, those values were $83,929,536.26, $30,245,558.98, and $114,175,095.24, respectively.

Long-term portfolio

From Jan. 1 to March 31, the long-term portfolio decreased by 4.77 per cent and lost $4,005,699.80. This dropped the portfolio to $79,923,836.46 from $83,929,536.26. 

Moderate-term portfolio

From Jan. 1 to March 31, the moderate-term portfolio decreased by 2.51 per cent and lost $760,396.37. This dropped the portfolio to $29,485,162.61 from $30,245,558.98.

Combined, both portfolios lost $4,766,096.17 during the first quarter, equal to 15.3 percentage points in municipal taxation. 

Since the inception of these portfolios in 2019, they have provided total returns of $18,484,248.18. 

Portfolio changes

During the investment committee’s meeting, it made two changes to how money from the long-term portfolio is invested.

Mayor Clive Tolley moved that $2.71 million from that portfolio be invested in the City of Moose Jaw’s operating account; that motion was approved.

Tolley also moved that the municipality establish a $2-million position into iShares Global Quality Dividend over time; that motion was approved.

Future outlook

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine could lead to a drawn-out period of uncertainty, with the invasion devastating the latter’s economy and harsh sanctions that limit the flow of money, goods and technology affecting the former’s economy, portfolio manager RBC Dominion Securities said in its report.

Due to this war, the financial institution projected a reduction of 0.7 per cent in the eurozone’s GDP growth this year to three per cent and a decrease of 0.3 per cent in the U.S.’s GDP growth to 3.1 per cent. 

“From a long-term perspective, the Russian-Ukraine war brings a range of potential implications, including a new Cold War, increased military spending, nuclear proliferation and a heightened motivation to shift energy supplies toward renewables,” RBC added.

Meanwhile, economic recovery worldwide is slowing because of the pandemic, tightening financial conditions, slowing Chinese growth, reduced U.S. spending and elevated inflation levels, the report said.

Global growth will likely decelerate to 3.6 per cent this year compared to 6.2 per cent last year. Developed-world growth will fall to three per cent from 5.1 per cent, while growth in emerging markets will slow to 4.1 per cent from 7.3 per cent last year. 

RBC predicted that the damage from sanctions against Russia will be unclear, which means the risk for a recession in the United States this year is higher than ever.

Inflation is also punching the United States — and the world — in the gut and running at the highest levels seen in decades, RBC said. The main drivers are surging commodity prices, supply-chain problems, stimulative central banks, labour shortages and a worldwide housing boom. 

“We continue to believe that inflation will, over a longer-term horizon, eventually fully revert to normal, with aging populations and slower population growth even bringing inflation down below historical norms,” the company added.

RBC added that the Russia-Ukraine war would alter the currency landscape, central banks will respond to inflationary pressures, the long-term direction for bond yields will remain up, stocks will have better return potential if earnings come through and re-deploying cash to bonds and stocks will be more attractive.

The next regular council meeting is Monday, June 13.

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DNA Pro Investment App Steals $38 Million from Users: Police – Jakarta Globe

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Jakarta. The National Police on Friday named 14 suspects in the ongoing investigation into pyramid scheme-style investment app DNA Pro after thousands of users reported financial losses totaling Rp 551 billion ($38 million).

DNA Pro was one of the so-called trading robots taken down in a recent government crackdown on phony investment apps.

“There are at least 3,621 victims who have reported to the National Police Headquarters with a total loss of Rp 551.7 billion,” Special Economic Crime Director Brig. Gen. Whisnu Hermawan told a news conference in Jakarta.

He said 11 suspects are already in custody while three others remain at large.

“We believe that the three fugitives have fled to a foreign country,” he added.

The three are identified as DNA Pro’s co-founders Verawati and Devinata Gunawan and business development director Daniel Zii aka Fauzi.

Police have been investigating the suspected fraud since January when they decided to take down the app.

Whisnu said authorities have frozen 64 bank accounts with links to DNA Pro and a combined deposit of Rp 105.5 billion, seized Rp 112.5 billion in banknotes of various denominations, and confiscated 20 kilograms of gold and 14 luxury cars.

An unspecified number of properties have also been sealed during the police investigation.

“We don’t stop there because investigators and their colleagues from the [anti-money laundering agency] PPATK continue to trace assets here and abroad,” Whisnu said.

The officer added that DNA Pro has committed to “manipulative investment” without a proper trading mechanism and any government license.

All the 11 suspects in custody including president director Daniel Abe were presented at the news conference.

Daniel offered an apology to users and colleagues but argued that the initial idea was not to develop a pyramid scheme investment app.

“It grew so rapidly in terms of [the number of] users while our system was not fully ready yet that it developed into a pyramid scheme,” Daniel said.

Other suspects are identified as Rudi Kusuma, Robby Setiadi, Dedi Tumiadi, Yosua Trisutrisno, Franky Yulianto, Russel, Jerry Gunandar, Stefanus Richard, Hans Andre, and Muhammad Asad.

They could face a sentence of up to 20 years in prison if convicted of financial scams.

The app offered big investment returns and even higher commissions if users could bring new signups. It hired celebrities and prominent people to convince new users.

Actress Una Astari Thamrin once spoke highly of the app but last month she claimed that she too was a victim after being interrogated by police.

Una was promised six Honda cars in return for a certain level of investment and a certain number of new recruits in DNA Pro, a lawyer for the actress said.

“She and her family fall victims to DNA Pro because she has invested Rp 1.5 billion but could only withdraw Rp 603 million,” Yafet Rissy said. 

The lawyer claimed that Una wasn’t involved in the DNA Pro management although she was hired to appear in promotion programs on three occasions.

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BC investing more than $2.4 billion in Metro Vancouver transit improvements | BC Gov News – BC Gov News

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The Province is supporting public transit expansion for people in Metro Vancouver through a significant investment in TransLink that will mean better and more convenient service, lower emissions, and healthier, more livable communities

B.C. is contributing more than $2.4 billion to advance key transit and infrastructure priorities, including the Surrey Langley Skytrain and electrification of the bus fleet, as part of its ongoing commitment to fund 40% of the Mayors’ Council 10-Year Vision.

“We’re making investments to support a better future for people throughout Metro Vancouver with more affordable and convenient travel options, cleaner air and less climate pollution,” said George Heyman, Minister of Environment and Climate Change Strategy and Minister Responsible for TransLink. “By supporting TransLink to help provide public transit options that connect us to our communities, workplaces, friends and families, we’re building more vibrant communities with easier access to jobs, housing, recreation and services people depend on.” 

TransLink’s investment plan includes actions to: maintain and expand transit service; support faster, more reliable bus service through bus-priority infrastructure; transition bus fleets from diesel to zero-emission vehicles; and increase active transportation investments. The plan will help TransLink replace more than one third of its diesel bus fleet with approximately 500 battery-electric buses and buses that run on renewable natural gas. It will also provide opportunities to build more complete, liveable communities with affordable housing and increased density around transit lines.

“It has been a challenging few years, and we thank the provincial government for its commitment to ensure transit continues to serve residents throughout Metro Vancouver,” said Kevin Quinn, CEO of TransLink. “This investment plan and the Province’s support will ensure that TransLink is on solid ground while advancing priority projects for the region.”

This new commitment builds on previous provincial funding in TransLink’s 2018 investment plan, which funded increased bus and HandyDART services, better and expanded SkyTrain service, and construction of the Broadway subway.

“The 2022 investment plan will stabilize transit funding for the region and put us in a stronger position to advance Transport 2050’s vision for a more livable and sustainable region,” said Jonathan Coté, mayor of New Westminster and chair of the Mayors’ Council on Regional Transportation. “We are grateful for the Province’s continued support for better public transit and sustainable communities across Metro Vancouver.”

The TransLink investment plan means better transit services for people and also supports the Province’s climate-change and clean-economy objectives through the CleanBC Roadmap to 2030. The CleanBC Roadmap is the Province’s plan to expand and accelerate climate action by building on its natural advantages – abundant and clean electricity, innovative technology and a highly skilled workforce. The CleanBC Roadmap sets a path for increased collaboration to build a British Columbia that works for everyone.

Quick Facts:

  • The Province partnered with the federal government in 2020 to provide TransLink more than $675 million in Safe Restart funding to ensure continued essential transit services for 2020 and 2021, to keep fare increases capped at 2.3% until the end of 2024, and to enable free transit for children 12 and younger.
  • In April 2022, an additional $176 million in provincial and federal funding was announced for TransLink for 2023 to 2025.

Learn More:

To learn more about the Mayors’ Council 10-Year Vision, visit: http://tenyearvision.translink.ca

To learn more about the CleanBC Roadmap to 2030, visit: http://www.cleanbc.ca   

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