Investment

5 burning questions investors have right now including the safety of their deposits

Published

1 year ago

March 23, 2023

Bank buildings in Toronto’s financial district. Photo by TIJANA MARTIN/THE CANADIAN PRESS FILES

We here at 5i Research have answered more than 155,000 questions from investors over the past decade. Once every 18 months or so, we highlight a handful of the most common and popular questions we get. Investors are wondering about many things these days with all the recent market craziness. Let’s take a look.

This is by far the most popular question asked by investors over the past two weeks. Having multiple bank failures in the United States has certainly raised concerns with savers and depositors. The short answer is … probably.The Canadian financial system has a different regulatory system than the U.S., and it is far less competitive, meaning banks don’t need to take as many risks. Canadian deposit insurance is $100,000, and there are discussions right now about raising this limit. Broker accounts have $1 million in insurance under the Canadian Investor Protection Fund. The Canadian record of protecting investors is solid, and our banks fared much better in the 2008 financial crisis than their U.S. counterparts.

Could a bank run happen on a Canadian bank? Sure, anything is possible, and confidence is still the key to the banking system. But as in the U.S., we would expect governments to step in and protect investors, to prevent an entire financial system collapse. Thus, we would not lose much sleep over the safety of our Canadian banks.

How come the market is rallying with all the bad news out there?

We have high interest rates, inflation, war, pandemics and a financial crisis, amongst other problems. So how come the markets are so resilient? Well, as they say, markets climb a wall of worry.

If you want to worry, there are plenty to choose from. But keep in mind two things. First, valuations might be lower as fearful sellers exit positions. Lower valuations can set up better investment returns for those brave enough to step in.

Second, when all the news is bad, any actual positive developments can have a larger influence. If investors are worried about eight-per-cent inflation and it comes in at six per cent, there can be some relief buying. If you expect your company to report lower earnings and it reports flat earnings, even that so-so report can spark a sudden rally since no one was expecting anything, anyway.

Will that takeover go through?

Most investors are happy when one of their companies receives a takeover bid. But any bid has uncertainty. As we like to say, no deal is really done until you receive your cash. All takeover bids require shareholder approval, but many require varying levels of government, regulatory or antitrust approval as well.

Microsoft Corp. has been working on getting approval for its proposed takeover of Activision Publishing Inc. for 14 months now. Magnet Forensics Inc. shareholders are fighting its proposed privatization, as are shareholders of Canaccord Genuity Group Inc., where several directors have already resigned.

Toronto-Dominion Bank announced the acquisition of First Horizon Corp. more than a year ago, and now finds its target company caught up in the U.S. banking crisis. First Horizon shares are about US$16 today, well below TD’s bid price of US$25 in February 2022, indicating many do not expect this deal to close as is.

Should I buy this stock that is down?

Some investors sense opportunity whenever the market declines. But they often need a second opinion, or maybe someone to blame if things don’t work out so well. Many questions are about whether investors should average down on losing positions. Our answer is almost always no. However, we will make exceptions when the entire market is down for some reason.

Many times, as has been the case in the past year, investors have been selling the so-called good stocks just as fast as they are selling the bad stocks. This can create opportunities. The key is to look for companies whose fundamentals are going the opposite way of their stock price (for example, earnings are accelerating, but the stock is declining). It’s not a perfect methodology, but everything gets cheaper in bear markets, and smart investors should look for opportunities amongst the carnage.

Growth versus value?

This is always a popular topic with investors. Should they buy ABC stock at 10x earnings with a dividend, but no growth; or should they buy XYZ stock at 25x earnings with no dividend, but high growth? We prefer growth, but don’t think any investor should pigeonhole their style in one way or another.

A boring value stock, if priced right, can still provide solid investor returns. An exciting growth stock, if priced wrong, can still blow up and cause a lot of financial pain. Both value and growth stocks can be owned, and each stock idea needs to be looked at in isolation. We think it is wrong to simply ignore an entire section of the market just because it doesn’t fit one’s investment style.Value stocks had their day in the sun when interest rates soared, so maybe now it’s growth stocks’ turn to shine. But unless you have perfect foresight — which no one does — it might be best to own some of each style in the year ahead.

Peter Hodson, CFA, is founder and head of Research at 5i Research Inc., an independent investment research network helping do-it-yourself investors reach their investment goals. He is also portfolio manager for the i2i Long/Short U.S. Equity Fund. (5i Research staff do not own Canadian stocks. i2i Long/Short Fund may own non-Canadian stocks mentioned.)

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Economy

Energy stocks help lift S&P/TSX composite, U.S. stock markets also up

Published

1 day ago

September 17, 2024

Anne Joseph

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was higher in late-morning trading, helped by strength in energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also moved up.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 34.91 points at 23,736.98.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 178.05 points at 41,800.13. The S&P 500 index was up 28.38 points at 5,661.47, while the Nasdaq composite was up 133.17 points at 17,725.30.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.56 cents US compared with 73.57 cents US on Monday.

The November crude oil contract was up 68 cents at US$69.70 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up three cents at US$2.40 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$7.80 at US$2,601.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.28 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

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Economy

S&P/TSX gains almost 100 points, U.S. markets also higher ahead of rate decision

Published

5 days ago

September 13, 2024

Anne Joseph

TORONTO – Strength in the base metal and technology sectors helped Canada’s main stock index gain almost 100 points on Friday, while U.S. stock markets climbed to their best week of the year.

“It’s been almost a complete opposite or retracement of what we saw last week,” said Philip Petursson, chief investment strategist at IG Wealth Management.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 297.01 points at 41,393.78. The S&P 500 index was up 30.26 points at 5,626.02, while the Nasdaq composite was up 114.30 points at 17,683.98.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 93.51 points at 23,568.65.

While last week saw a “healthy” pullback on weaker economic data, this week investors appeared to be buying the dip and hoping the central bank “comes to the rescue,” said Petursson.

Next week, the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut its key interest rate for the first time in several years after it significantly hiked it to fight inflation.

But the magnitude of that first cut has been the subject of debate, and the market appears split on whether the cut will be a quarter of a percentage point or a larger half-point reduction.

Petursson thinks it’s clear the smaller cut is coming. Economic data recently hasn’t been great, but it hasn’t been that bad either, he said — and inflation may have come down significantly, but it’s not defeated just yet.

“I think they’re going to be very steady,” he said, with one small cut at each of their three decisions scheduled for the rest of 2024, and more into 2025.

“I don’t think there’s a sense of urgency on the part of the Fed that they have to do something immediately.

A larger cut could also send the wrong message to the markets, added Petursson: that the Fed made a mistake in waiting this long to cut, or that it’s seeing concerning signs in the economy.

It would also be “counter to what they’ve signaled,” he said.

More important than the cut — other than the new tone it sets — will be what Fed chair Jerome Powell has to say, according to Petursson.

“That’s going to be more important than the size of the cut itself,” he said.

In Canada, where the central bank has already cut three times, Petursson expects two more before the year is through.

“Here, the labour situation is worse than what we see in the United States,” he said.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.61 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down 32 cents at US$68.65 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down five cents at US$2.31 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$30.10 at US$2,610.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents US$4.24 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

Published

2 weeks ago

September 6, 2024

Anne Joseph

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

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