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Top Evening News Advisory for Thursday, Dec. 15, 2022

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Here are the latest Top News stories from The Canadian Press. All times are Eastern unless otherwise stated. Coverage plans are included when available. Entries are subject to change as news develops.

IF YOU NEED HELP, PLEASE SEND AN EMAIL TO mainslots@thecanadianpress.com and we’ll get back to you right away.

TOP HEADLINES:

Liberals seek to delay assisted dying expansion

Ministers try to get biodiversity talks on track

Alberta to handle firearms prosecutions: minister

Search of Winnipeg landfill challenging: expert

Stress tests unchanged despite housing slowdown

Ex-CannTrust execs acquitted of all charges

Canada part of NASA mission to study Earth’s water

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TOP NEWS STORIES SINCE LAST ADVISORY:

Liberals seek to delay assisted dying expansion

Assisted-Dying

Ottawa, Ontario, Canada — The Liberal government announced Thursday it will seek to delay the expansion of Canada’s assisted-dying regime to include people whose sole underlying conditions are mental disorders.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

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Trudeau asks for questions, gets wide variety

Trudeau-Twitter

Ottawa, Ontario, Canada — Prime Minister Justin Trudeau may not have started the day thinking about whether mermaids reproduce like fish or like humans, but that’s what one person is asking him to consider. By Marie-Danielle Smith.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

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Alberta to handle firearms prosecutions: minister

Alta-Firearms

Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, ,  — Alberta’s justice minister says provincial prosecutors are to take over the handling of charges under the federal Firearms Act starting in the new year. By Dean Bennett.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

Union critical of fed’s salmon licences plans

Salmon-Licence-Retirement

Campbell River, British Columbia, Canada — The union representing British Columbia fishermen says a plan by the federal government to buy back commercial salmon fishing licences is underfunded, lacks transparency and doesn’t address the investments made by harvesters.  Wire: Prairies/BC.

Search of Winnipeg landfill challenging: expert

Mba-Remains

Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada — In 2002, investigators started a massive search of Robert Pickton’s pig farm in British Columbia and eventually found the remains of several women. By Steve Lambert.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

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Escapee sentenced to life for murder of B.C. man

Inmate-Murder-Trial

Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada — Friends and relatives of murder victim Martin Payne say they are haunted by the actions of “two selfish, reckless” people who chose their victim because his home was near the prison where the men escaped.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

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Federal workers to return to office part-time

Public-Service

Ottawa, Ontario, Canada — Treasury Board President Mona Fortier has announced that federal public servants will have to return to in-person office work two to three days per week. By Cindy Tran.  Wire: Ontario/Quebec, National. Photos: 1

Rachel Notley pitches stability to business crowd

Alta-Notley-Chamber

Calgary, Alberta, Canada — Opposition NDP Leader Rachel Notley says she would lead a “stable, no surprises government” focused on growing the Alberta economy and providing strong public health care and education if elected next year.  Wire: Prairies/BC.

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Ontario’s flu season may have peaked: Moore

Ont-Health-Care

Toronto, Ontario, Canada — The flu season may have peaked in Ontario, and that should relieve some pressure on children’s hospitals in the near future, the province’s top doctor said Thursday. By Liam Casey.  Wire: Ontario/Quebec. Photos: 1

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Virtual walk-ins may strain health system: OMA

Ont-Virtual-Care

Virtual-care clinics may be adding pressure to the overwhelmed health-care system, the Ontario Medical Association said Thursday, even as some patients and doctors say they are vital alternative to an otherwise necessary visit to an emergency room. By Tyler Griffin.  Wire: Ontario/Quebec. Photos: 1

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Ontario to open bivalent bookings for kids 5 to 11

Ont-Pediatric-Vaccines

Toronto, ,  — The Ontario government is expanding eligibility for the COVID-19 bivalent booster vaccine to children aged five to 11.  Wire: Ontario/Quebec. Photos: 1

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Number of respiratory illnesses surge in Nunavut

Nunavut-Respiratory-Illness

Iqaluit, Nunavut, Canada — Nunavut health officials say there has been a surge of respiratory illnesses across the territory this year.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

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$400B to axe natural gas generation: report

Ont-Natural-Gas

Toronto, Ontario, Canada — Ontario can fully eliminate natural gas generation in its electricity system by 2050, starting with a moratorium in 2027, but it will require about $400 billion in capital spending and new, large-scale nuclear plants, a report said Thursday. By Allison Jones.  Wire: Ontario/Quebec. Photos: 1

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Ontario man charged in U.S. probe of ISIS support

Ont-ISIS-FBI-Charge

An Ontario man has been charged after an FBI investigation uncovered an alleged scheme to use online campaigns disguised as humanitarian efforts to raise money for the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant.  Wire: Ontario/Quebec.

Vancouver police issue porch pirate warning

Porch-Pirates

Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada — Vancouver police say they’ve recovered everything from Nike runners to golf clubs in a months-long investigation into so-called porch pirates.  Wire: Prairies/BC. Photos: 1

Senate rises for the winter holiday break

Parliament

Ottawa, Ontario, Canada — The Senate wrapped up its fall sitting today and has adjourned for a holiday break, a day after the House of Commons did the same.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

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Ontario won’t make staycation tax credit permanent

Ont-Staycation

Toronto, Ontario, Canada — Ontario’s tourism minister says the province won’t be extending the staycation tax credit for another year, despite the hard-hit industry recommending the move as a way to help it recover from the pandemic.  Wire: Ontario/Quebec. Photos: 1

It’s snow fun at COP15 in Montreal this weekend

Cda-Biodiversity-Snow

Ottawa, Ontario, Canada — If the weather outside is frightful, bring some extra socks and build a snowman.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

‘Something to Talk About’ songwriter dies at 67

MUSIC-OBIT-Shirley-Eikhard

TORONTO, ,  — Canadian singer-songwriter Shirley Eikhard, whose flirty track “Something to Talk About” gave Bonnie Raitt her biggest hit and a Grammy Award win, has died after a battle with cancer. By David Friend.  Wire: Entertainment. Photos: 1

TOP NEWS STORIES:

Ministers try to get biodiversity talks on track

Cda-Biodiversity

Montreal, Quebec, Canada — A successful biodiversity framework to halt the devastation of global ecosystems and wildlife will require compromise from the world’s wealthy and developing nations both, Canada’s environment minister said Thursday. Wire: National.

Stress tests unchanged despite housing slowdown

OSFI-Qualifying-Rate

Mortgage stress test levels were left unchanged Thursday as the federal banking regulator and Department of Finance favoured a cautious approach over calls to relax tests to help a slowing housing market. By Ian Bickis.  Wire: Business. Photos: 1

Ex-CannTrust execs acquitted of all charges

CannTrust-Court

Toronto, Ontario, Canada — An Ontario court has acquitted three former cannabis leaders charged with offences linked to unlicensed growing at a Niagara-area greenhouse.  Wire: Business. Photos: 1

Canada part of NASA mission to study Earth’s water

Cda-SWOT-Radar

Longueuil, Quebec, Canada — A piece of Canadian radar technology will play a key role in a satellite mission scheduled to launch Friday that aims to study almost all of the Earth’s water surfaces. By Sidhartha Banerjee.  Wire: National.

Canada losing ground on Africa trade: senators

Ng-Senate

Ottawa, ,  — Senators are warning Trade Minister Mary Ng that Ottawa may be falling behind its peers in establishing deeper trade ties with Africa. By Dylan Robertson.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

Report says climate plan underfunded, unclear

Climate-Change-Report

Ottawa, Ontario, Canada — A report says Canada’s climate adaptation strategy is underfunded and does not clearly align its goals with the country’s top climate change risks.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

Facebook intimidating Canadians: heritage minister

Cda-Facebook-C18

Ottawa, Ontario, Canada — Federal Heritage Minister Pablo Rodriguez accused Facebook on Thursday of trying to intimidate Canadians with threats of pulling news content from its platform, following the adoption of Bill C-18 in the House of Commons. By Michel Saba.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

Prey-switching behind fatal coyote mauling: study

NS-Coyote-Attack-Theory

Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada — A new and unusual theory has emerged about the coyotes that killed a young Toronto woman on a Nova Scotia hiking trail 13 years ago. By Michael MacDonald.  Wire: Atlantic, National. Photos: 1

CP rail not liable for Lac-Mégantic crash: court

Lac-Megantic-Judgement

Montreal, Quebec, Canada — A Quebec Superior Court judge says Canadian Pacific Railway is not liable in the 2013 Lac-Mégantic, Que., railway disaster that killed 47 people.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

CREA reports home sales down in November

Cda-Home-Sales

Ottawa, Ontario, Canada — The Canadian Real Estate Association says seasonally adjusted home sales were down 3.3 per cent on a month-over-month basis in November.  Wire: Business. Photos: 1

Blue Jays agree to terms with Kiermaier

BBA-Blue-Jays-Kiermaier

Toronto, ,  — The Toronto Blue Jays have agreed to terms with outfielder Kevin Kiermaier on a US$9-million, one-year contract.  Wire: Sports. Photos: 1

N.S. adds hundreds more beds to hospital project

NS-Hospital-Project

Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada — The Nova Scotia government says it is adding 423 more beds and extra operating rooms to a major hospital complex redevelopment project in Halifax.  Wire: Atlantic. Photos: 1

Vaccine delay would have cost billions: study

COVID-Vaccinations-Study

A study from the C.D. Howe Institute estimates Canada would have lost $156 billion in economic activity in 2021 had COVID-19 vaccines been rolled out six months later than they were. By Kelly Geraldine Malone.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

N.B. introduces new French immersion program

NB-New French-Program

Fredericton, New Brunswick, Canada — New Brunswick has proposed a new French immersion program for the next academic year with the goal of ensuring all students graduate with at least a conversational level of the language.  Wire: Atlantic. Photos: 1

How to host a holiday dinner on a budget

Money-Monitor

Toronto, Ontario, Canada — When Canadians soon gather with loved ones for holiday meals, there will be an unwelcome guest at the dinner table: decades-high inflation. By Tara Deschamps.  Wire: Business, Lifestyle. Photos: 1

Financial intel agency eyes domestic terrorism

Terror-Financing

Ottawa, Ontario, Canada — Efforts by Canada’s financial intelligence agency over the last three years uncovered activity related to homegrown terrorism, the bankrolling of international terrorist groups and attempts by Canadians to take part in extremism abroad. By Jim Bronskill.  Wire: National. Photos: 1

High ticket prices narrow Transat losses

Transat-Rslts

Montreal, Quebec, Canada — Travel company Transat A.T. Inc. closed a challenging year on a high as it set sights on a continued recovery for air travel next year with high prices and even higher demand. By Caitlin Yardley.  Wire: Business. Photos: 1

Empire selling gas stations in Western Canada

Empire-Rslts

Stellarton, Nova Scotia, Canada — Empire Co. Ltd. is selling 56 gas stations in Western Canada to a subsidiary of Shell Canada for about $100 million in cash.  Wire: Business. Photos: 1

Paralympic curler says club accessibility lacking

CUR-In-The-Rings

Entering a curling club isn’t something Mark Ideson takes for granted. By Donna Spencer.  Wire: Sports. Photos: 1

Pickle vodka recalled over high copper levels

Vodka-Recall

The Canadian Food Inspection Agency has issued a recall for Taynton Bay Spirits pickle vodka due to high levels of copper.  Wire: National.

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LOCAL JOURNALISM INITIATIVE STORIES:

The LJI is a federally funded program to add coverage in under-covered areas or on under-covered issues. This content is delivered on the CP wire in the “Y” or spare news category, or you can register to access it at https://lji-ijl.ca. This content is created and submitted by participating publishers and is not edited by The Canadian Press. Please credit stories to the reporter, their media outlet and the Local Journalism Initiative. Questions should be directed to LJI supervising editor Amy Logan at amy.logan@thecanadianpress.com. Below is a sample of the dozens of stories moved daily:

New Indigenous housing coalition determined to eliminate homelessness

LJI-BC-coalition-eliminate-homelessness

The National Urban, Rural, Northern Indigenous Housing Coalition is a new group formed to provide “for Indigenous by Indigenous” housing solutions to the national Indigenous housing crisis. The coalition is sending a coordinated message to the federal government that ending homelessness should be a priority. 800 words. Odette Auger/Windspeaker.com

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N.B. unions say changes to strike rules ‘unnecessary, unprovoked’

LJI-NB-LABOUR-FOLLO

The New Brunswick government’s proposed changes to the Public Service Relations Act came after “zero consultation” with the public sector, union leaders say. 550 words. Marlo Glass/Telegraph-Journal

Police dog bites student during class visit

LJI-MAN-POLICE DOG BITE

A Winnipeg student is recovering after being bitten by a police dog during a visit to an elementary classroom. 350 words. Maggie Macintosh/Winnipeg Free Press

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Riding Mountain National Park occupation ends after three years

LJI-MAN-LAKE-AUDY-OCCUPATION

A man who has been living in the Lake Audy area in Riding Mountain National Park in Manitoba since 2019 has been seemingly arrested by park wardens and had his belongings removed from the area. Wesley Bone took up residence in a kitchen structure within the park in December, 2019, and erected a teepee, signage and steel cattle gates at the Lake Audy entrance, located 123 kilometres north of Brandon. 800 words. PHOTO. Miranda Leybourne/Brandon Sun

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News

Armstrong scores, surging Vancouver Whitecaps beat slumping San Jose Earthquakes 2-0

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VANCOUVER – As the Major League Soccer season ticks down, Vanni Sartini wants his Vancouver Whitecaps to make a declaration — the team is ready to compete.

“The time of hiding ourselves, I think it’s over,” the coach said after the ‘Caps earned a 2-0 victory over the San Jose Earthquakes on Saturday.

“We need to really say that we are here to try to be at the ball until the end and trying to shoot for the highest position. That doesn’t mean that we’re going to make it, but we have the quality to do it.”

With seven games left on their regular-season schedule, the ‘Caps (13-8-6) sit in fifth spot in the congested Western Conference, just two points out of fourth.

Saturday’s loss officially eliminated the last-place Earthquakes (5-21-2) from post-season action.

Vancouver has been on a hot streak since returning from the Leagues Cup break and is unbeaten (3-0-1) in its last four outings across all competitions. The team has not allowed a goal in those matches.

“It’s the fact that we play really well,” Sartini said of the clean sheets. “We have the ball a lot, we finish our attack most of the time in their box. So it’s really hard for the other team to attack us. And then when they attack us, in the rare times that they arrive in the final third, we’re very solid.”

Recent additions have bolstered the team’s ranks, including the club’s newest designated player, Stuart Armstrong. The 32-year-old Scottish midfielder scored his first MLS goal Saturday.

Three minutes after coming on as a substitute for Alessandro Schopf, Armstrong gave Vancouver a two-goal cushion in the 87th minute.

Midfielder Pedro Vite dished a short pass to ‘Caps captain Ryan Gauld, who tapped it toward Armstrong. The former Southampton FC player then blasted a shot into the top of the net for his first strike in a Whitecaps’ jersey.

He was mobbed by teammates in the corner of the field.

“I think everyone was happy. Also for the first goal, but also that it was an important three points,” said Armstrong, who signed with the ‘Caps on Sept. 3.

“It kind of felt a little bit like last week, when we had a lot of chances and we didn’t get the three points. So today, I think everyone was just relieved to have that two-goal cushion.”

Vancouver was the dominant team from the outset Saturday and did not relent, outshooting the visitors 19-5 and controlling 54.1 per cent of possession.

Fafa Picault also found the back of the net for Vancouver, while Gauld contributed a pair of assists.

Whitecaps goalkeeper Yohei Takaoka stopped both shots he faced to collect his seventh clean sheet of the year, while Daniel made nine saves for the Quakes.

Gauld and Picault teamed up in the 22nd minute when Gauld curled a cross in and the Haitian striker headed it down toward the net, only to see Daniel catch a piece of the shot with his forearm and redirect it out of harm’s way.

The duo connected again in the 35th minute on a Vancouver corner. Gauld swung a ball in and Picault jumped up from the pack to send a glancing header in past Daniel for his ninth MLS goal of the season.

San Jose briefly appeared to level the score in the 68th minute when an unmarked Ousseni Bouda collected the ball, froze Takaoka and tapped a shot into the Vancouver net. An official quickly raised the offside flag and waved off the tally.

Daniel kept San Jose’s deficit to a single goal with a pair of solid stops in the 82nd minute.

First, the Brazilian ‘keeper dove sideways on his line to tip away a bomb from Alessandro Schopf. He was tested again on the ensuing corner and jumped up to send a header from Picault over the crossbar.

“I think we created a lot of chances again,” Gauld said.

“We probably should have put the game out of their reach sooner. But we’d be more worried if we weren’t creating the chances. Three clean sheets in a row in the league, I think it’s a big thing for us. And it gives us a good platform to go forward.”

NOTES

Vancouver played without leading scorer Brian White for a third consecutive game as the American striker works his way back from a concussion. … Gauld’s second assist marked his 15th goal contribution (six goals, nine assists) in his last 15 Whitecaps games across all competitions. … An announced crowd of 21,309 took in the game at B.C. Place.

UP NEXT

The Whitecaps kick off a two-game road swing Wednesday against the Houston Dynamo. The Earthquakes host the Seattle Sounders the same night.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 14, 2024.



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As plant-based milk becomes more popular, brands look for new ways to compete

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When it comes to plant-based alternatives, Canadians have never had so many options — and nowhere is that choice more abundantly clear than in the milk section of the dairy aisle.

To meet growing demand, companies are investing in new products and technology to keep up with consumer tastes and differentiate themselves from all the other players on the shelf.

“The product mix has just expanded so fast,” said Liza Amlani, co-founder of the Retail Strategy Group.

She said younger generations in particular are driving growth in the plant-based market as they are consuming less dairy and meat.

Commercial sales of dairy milk have been weakening for years, according to research firm Mintel, likely in part because of the rise of plant-based alternatives — even though many Canadians still drink dairy.

The No. 1 reason people opt for plant-based milk is because they see it as healthier than dairy, said Joel Gregoire, Mintel’s associate director for food and drink.

“Plant-based milk, the one thing about it — it’s not new. It’s been around for quite some time. It’s pretty established,” said Gregoire.

Because of that, it serves as an “entry point” for many consumers interested in plant-based alternatives to animal products, he said.

Plant-based milk consumption is expected to continue growing in the coming years, according to Mintel research, with more options available than ever and more consumers opting for a diet that includes both dairy and non-dairy milk.

A 2023 report by Ernst & Young for Protein Industries Canada projected that the plant-based dairy market will reach US$51.3 billion in 2035, at a compound annual growth rate of 9.5 per cent.

Because of this growth opportunity, even well-established dairy or plant-based companies are stepping up their game.

It’s been more than three decades since Saint-Hyacinthe, Que.-based Natura first launched a line of soy beverages. Over the years, the company has rolled out new products to meet rising demand, and earlier this year launched a line of oat beverages that it says are the only ones with a stamp of approval from Celiac Canada.

Competition is tough, said owner and founder Nick Feldman — especially from large American brands, which have the money to ensure their products hit shelves across the country.

Natura has kept growing, though, with a focus on using organic ingredients and localized production from raw materials.

“We’re maybe not appealing to the mass market, but we’re appealing to the natural consumer, to the organic consumer,” Feldman said.

Amlani said brands are increasingly advertising the simplicity of their ingredient lists. She’s also noticing more companies offering different kinds of products, such as coffee creamers.

Companies are also looking to stand out through eye-catching packaging and marketing, added Amlani, and by competing on price.

Besides all the companies competing for shelf space, there are many different kinds of plant-based milk consumers can choose from, such as almond, soy, oat, rice, hazelnut, macadamia, pea, coconut and hemp.

However, one alternative in particular has enjoyed a recent, rapid ascendance in popularity.

“I would say oat is the big up-and-coming product,” said Feldman.

Mintel’s report found the share of Canadians who say they buy oat milk has quadrupled between 2019 and 2023 (though almond is still the most popular).

“There seems to be a very nice marriage of coffee and oat milk,” said Feldman. “The flavour combination is excellent, better than any other non-dairy alternative.”

The beverage’s surge in popularity in cafés is a big part of why it’s ascending so quickly, said Gregoire — its texture and ability to froth makes it a good alternative for lattes and cappuccinos.

It’s also a good example of companies making a strong “use case” for yet another new entrant in a competitive market, he said.

Amid the long-standing brands and new entrants, there’s another — perhaps unexpected — group of players that has been increasingly investing in plant-based milk alternatives: dairy companies.

For example, Danone has owned the Silk and So Delicious brands since an acquisition in 2014, and long-standing U.S. dairy company HP Hood LLC launched Planet Oat in 2018.

Lactalis Canada also recently converted its facility in Sudbury, Ont., to manufacture its new plant-based Enjoy! brand, with beverages made from oats, almonds and hazelnuts.

“As an organization, we obviously follow consumer trends, and have seen the amount of interest in plant-based products, particularly fluid beverages,” said Mark Taylor, president and CEO of Lactalis Canada, whose parent company Lactalis is the largest dairy products company in the world.

The facility was a milk processing plant for six decades, until Lactalis Canada began renovating it in 2022. It now manufactures not only the new brand, but also the company’s existing Sensational Soy brand, and is the company’s first dedicated plant-based facility.

“We’re predominantly a dairy company, and we’ll always predominantly be a dairy company, but we see these products as complementary,” said Taylor.

It makes sense that major dairy companies want to get in on plant-based milk, said Gregoire. The dairy business is large — a “cash cow,” if you will — but not really growing, while plant-based products are seeing a boom.

“If I’m looking for avenues of growth, I don’t want to be left behind,” he said.

Gregoire said there’s a potential for consumers to get confused with so many options, which is why it’s so important for brands to find a way to differentiate themselves, whether it’s with taste, health, or how well the drink froths for a latte.

Competition in a more crowded market is challenging, but Taylor believes it results in better products for consumers.

“It keeps you sharp, and it forces you to be really good at what you’re doing. It drives innovation,” he said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 15, 2024.



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Inflation expected to ease to 2.1%, lowest level since March 2021: economists

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Economists anticipate that Canada’s annual inflation rate in August fell to its lowest level since March 2021.

Ahead of Statistics Canada’s consumer price index set to be released on Tuesday, economists polled by Reuters are expecting the report to show prices rose 2.1 per cent from a year ago, down from a 2.5 per cent annual gain in July. The forecasters also anticipate inflation remained flat on a month-over-month basis.

“Unless there’s something lurking out there that we’re not aware of, it looks like we’re headed for a pretty favourable reading,” said BMO chief economist Douglas Porter.

RBC economists Nathan Janzen and Claire Fan said in a report last week that those expectations would put the headline inflation rate just a hair over the Bank of Canada’s two per cent inflation target.

“Most of that August slowing is expected from a pullback in gasoline prices, but the (Bank of Canada’s) preferred core CPI measures are also expected to trend lower, with the closely-watched three-month annualized growth rate easing from an average of 2.6 per cent in July,” the RBC economists said.

The continued progress on slowing inflation comes as the central bank has signalled a willingness to speed up cuts to its key lending rate if circumstances warrant.

The Bank of Canada reduced its key lending rate by a quarter-percentage point earlier this month — the third consecutive cut — to 4.25 per cent. Governor Tiff Macklem said the decision was motivated by falling inflation, noting if the CPI moving forward “was significantly weaker than we expected … it could be appropriate to take a bigger step, something bigger than 25 basis points.”

On the other hand, Macklem said if inflation is stronger than expected, the bank could slow the pace of rate cuts.

Inflation has remained below three per cent since January and fears of price growth reaccelerating have diminished as the economy has weakened.

Porter said despite progress on the inflation rate, it’s still “not in a place where it’s a compelling argument that the bank has to go even faster.”

He forecasts the central bank will cut its key lending rate by a quarter-percentage point at every meeting until July 2025, bringing it down to 2.5 per cent by that time. That prediction also comes after data released last week that showed Canada’s unemployment rate rose to 6.6 per cent in August from 6.4 per cent in July.

However, Porter said it’s possible the bank could speed up its rate cutting cycle if inflation continues easing.

“If we’re going to be wrong, it’s that we’re going to get to 2.5 per cent even more quickly and possibly lower than that,” said Porter.

“There is a case to be made that if the economy were to weaken further, there’s little reason for the bank to keep rates in what they consider to be the neutral zone. They could go below that.”

Shelter costs have remained the main driver of inflation as Canadians face high rents and mortgage payments. Porter noted that when factoring out housing costs, inflation in both Canada and U.S. is hovering slightly above one per cent.

“So really, the only thing keeping Canadian inflation above two per cent is shelter and it does look like shelter costs are probably going to fade,” he said.

“It looks as if rents are starting to moderate. They’re not necessarily falling, but not rising as quickly. And of course with interest rates coming down, ultimately the big kahuna here, mortgage interest costs, will recede as well.”

With the U.S. Federal Reserve set to meet on Wednesday, Janzen and Fan said they expect the American central bank to announce its first rate cut in four years.

“Gradual but persistent labour market softening and slowing inflation make it clear that current high interest rates are no longer needed,” they wrote.

“We think governor (Jerome) Powell’s comments will likely stay on the cautious side — hinting at future rate cuts without committing to a pre-determined path to allow for more flexibility in future decisions.”

—With files from Nojoud Al Mallees in Ottawa

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 15, 2024.

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