adplus-dvertising
Connect with us

Economy

OECD predicts weaker growth and continued inflation for 2024

Published

 on

It also predicted that inflation would remain above the goals set by central banks around the world that have gone on a campaign of interest rate hikes in an attempt to tame rising costs.

At the same time, the OECD revised its global growth expectations for 2023 up to 3.0%, from the previous forecast of 2.7%.

What did the OECD say?

“After a stronger-than-expected start to 2023, helped by lower energy prices and the reopening of China, global growth is expected to moderate,” the OECD said.

“The impact of tighter monetary policy is becoming increasingly visible, business and consumer confidence have turned down, and the rebound in China has faded.”

China to stop publishing youth jobless data

The European Central Bank raised interest rates to a record high last week as it tries to bring inflation down to its target of just 2%. According to the European Commission, inflation in the Eurozone was at 5.3% in August.

“Inflation is projected to moderate gradually over 2023 and 2024 but to remain above central bank objectives in most economies,” the OECD added.

“Even if policy rates are not raised further, the effects of past rises will continue to work their way through economies for some time.”

Not all countries faring the same

Fears over a “sharper-than-expected slowdown in China” were part of the reason for the OECD’s increased pessimism about the global economy. It predicted that China’s growth would fall from 5.1% this year to 4.6% next year.

It also forecast reduced growth in the world’s largest economy — the US — slowing from 2.2% in 2023 to 1.3% in 2024.

The Eurozone was forecast to see increased growth next year, up from 0.6% to 1.1%, but with both figures down from earlier forecasts as the German economy, the biggest in the EU, struggles.

‘Uncertainty’ stalls German economy

While all rich countries have been struggling with inflation, the UK is expected to have the highest overall rate of inflation for 2023: 7.2% compared to the 6.9% that the OECD had previously predicted.

Germany and France were forecast to have inflation rates of 6.1% and 5.8% respectively for 2023, with both figures down from the previous forecast.

ab/jcg (AFP, Reuters)

728x90x4

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Minimum wage to hire higher-paid temporary foreign workers set to increase

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – The federal government is expected to boost the minimum hourly wage that must be paid to temporary foreign workers in the high-wage stream as a way to encourage employers to hire more Canadian staff.

Under the current program’s high-wage labour market impact assessment (LMIA) stream, an employer must pay at least the median income in their province to qualify for a permit. A government official, who The Canadian Press is not naming because they are not authorized to speak publicly about the change, said Employment Minister Randy Boissonnault will announce Tuesday that the threshold will increase to 20 per cent above the provincial median hourly wage.

The change is scheduled to come into force on Nov. 8.

As with previous changes to the Temporary Foreign Worker program, the government’s goal is to encourage employers to hire more Canadian workers. The Liberal government has faced criticism for increasing the number of temporary residents allowed into Canada, which many have linked to housing shortages and a higher cost of living.

The program has also come under fire for allegations of mistreatment of workers.

A LMIA is required for an employer to hire a temporary foreign worker, and is used to demonstrate there aren’t enough Canadian workers to fill the positions they are filling.

In Ontario, the median hourly wage is $28.39 for the high-wage bracket, so once the change takes effect an employer will need to pay at least $34.07 per hour.

The government official estimates this change will affect up to 34,000 workers under the LMIA high-wage stream. Existing work permits will not be affected, but the official said the planned change will affect their renewals.

According to public data from Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, 183,820 temporary foreign worker permits became effective in 2023. That was up from 98,025 in 2019 — an 88 per cent increase.

The upcoming change is the latest in a series of moves to tighten eligibility rules in order to limit temporary residents, including international students and foreign workers. Those changes include imposing caps on the percentage of low-wage foreign workers in some sectors and ending permits in metropolitan areas with high unemployment rates.

Temporary foreign workers in the agriculture sector are not affected by past rule changes.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 21, 2024.

— With files from Nojoud Al Mallees

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending