A Bright Spot in Commercial Real Estate: Retail Shops | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Real eState

A Bright Spot in Commercial Real Estate: Retail Shops

Published

 on

With all the recent worries about defaults and higher interest rates leading to lower valuations in commercial real estate, investors may wonder if it is worth considering the asset class in the current environment. However, commercial real estate is a broad definition with many asset classes including office, multifamily, industrial, retail, healthcare, hospitality, etc. 

We believe active management is important with any asset class, especially when it comes to security selection.  That is why we’ve avoided most commercial real estate asset classes–with the exception of industrials, where we are overweight.  For example, we made the case back in November 2022, asking is Mexico the next China 

To help understand our investment logic, here are some tailwinds and headwinds facing owners of industrial real estate: 

Short Term Tailwinds  

  • New supply is constrained due to tight development financing & increased labor costs.  
  • Inventory rebuild across industries (especially with change from just-in-time to just-in-case inventory).  
  • Net absorption is skewed towards Class-A space, which is still capacity-constrained. 

Short Term Headwinds 

  • US vacancies are below long-term averages. Reversion to the mean suggests there may be some short-term normalization of trends. (3.4% vs. 6.8%, respectively) 
  • Rationalization of overcapacity brought on by higher levels of demand related to COVID. 
  • Near-term valuations facing the impact of lower appraisals due to higher discount rates to value new, longer leases, despite steady cash flows. 
  • Refinancing risk at higher rates impairs profitability. 

Long Term Tailwinds 

  • Continued consumer spending to drive increased warehousing needs. (eCommerce) 
  • Global movement to onshore manufacturing locally. 
  • Approximately 28% of available US warehouse space is almost 50 years old, considered technologically obsolete, and likely to be replaced. 
  • Supply chain diversification. 

Long-Term Headwinds 

  • Local and environmental opposition to new projects. 
  • Other competing real asset classes become more attractive over time as issues resolve. 
  • Move to longer leases (5 Yr. vs. 3 Yr.) to decrease the frequency of rent increases in the industrial space. 

To summarize, we believe supply will continue to be constrained, movement to Class-A space will require new building, demand will persist due to manufacturing onshoring and eCommerce, and the supply chain diversification will continue to drive long-term demand in industrial real estate.  

There may be short term headwinds, but overall, the space should continue to grow and presents a potential benefit to an investor’s portfolio. 

 

 

Source link

Continue Reading

Real eState

Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Real eState

Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

Published

 on

 

HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Real eState

Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

Published

 on

 

Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version