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A decade ago in Canadian politics: Duceppe, Layton, Ignatieff and Harper – Montreal Gazette

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As Canada enters a new decade, a look back at the political scene when the last one started reveals how much has changed.


Christmas card family photo of Justin Trudeau with his wife Sophie Gregoire (L), and children Alex and Ella-Grace.


Jean-Marc Carisse / jpg

The Conservatives had a minority government. The New Democrats were surging as the Bloc Québécois sank. And the Liberals were floundering.

What a difference 10 years can make.

As Canada enters a new decade, a look back at the political scene when the last one started reveals how much has changed — and how the same themes keep resurfacing, from Justin Trudeau’s attire to Western separatism to Quebec-Alberta spats.

Liberals

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Michael Ignatieff was Liberal leader at the beginning of the decade. Never able to shake his stuffy-intellectual persona, he would go down as a footnote — the leader under whom the Liberals fell to third place in the House of Commons for the first time.

His visit to Montreal in the summer of 2010 was telling. Ignatieff, leader of the opposition and on a bus tour of Canada, was supposed to be the centre of attention at a Jarry St. restaurant. But a dashing rookie MP with star power and a bankable name (in some parts of Canada, at least) stole the show.

Ignatieff, who at 63 had spent much of his life as a deep-thinking academic, looked uncomfortable as he glad-handed in shirt sleeves. Meanwhile Justin Trudeau, 38 and elected less than two years earlier, exuded confidence, working the room like a natural. Most cameras were focused on Trudeau, not his boss.

Many had predicted a future in politics 10 years earlier when Trudeau, a drama teacher at the time, gave a moving eulogy at the funeral of his father, former prime minister Pierre Trudeau.

In 2010, it wasn’t all Trudeaumania.

The Montreal MP ended the year in controversy — and, foreshadowing some of his future imbroglios, it involved a fashion choice.


Christmas card family photo of Justin Trudeau with his wife Sophie Gregoire (L), and children Alex and Ella-Grace. 
Jean-Marc Carisse /

jpg

The Liberal MP’s family Christmas card featured him, his wife, Sophie Grégoire, and their children huddling under a fur blanket and wearing Canada Goose parkas with coyote-fur-trimmed hoods. Furious animal rights activists denounced the card as “a lurid way of celebrating peace on Earth.”

Ignatieff quit after his ignominious defeat in 2011 and Trudeau easily won the race to replace him two years later. In 2015, Trudeau went on to surprise many by winning a comfortable majority government, thanks in part to strong support in Quebec.

But four years in office took a toll. After a series of scandals and missteps — from SNC-Lavalin to his outfits on a trip to India to old blackface photos — Trudeau was reduced to a minority in the October 2019 election. Alberta and Saskatchewan were particularly harsh, electing not a single Liberal MP.

Conservatives

In 2010, Conservative Stephen Harper, first elected prime minister in 2006, was in his second consecutive minority government; he would go on to finally win a majority a year later.

Harper’s rise to power on a wave of support from the West had helped quell discontent in that part of the country.

A 2005 poll for the Western Standard magazine had found 42 per cent of Albertans, frustrated by policies of Liberal prime ministers Jean Chrétien and Paul Martin, thought they should “begin to explore the idea of forming their own country.”

Fast forward to today. Another Liberal government is in power and Western Canada is again disgruntled. An Angus Reid survey this year found 52 per cent of Albertans think the West would be better off if it left Canada

In 2010, few outside Saskatchewan had heard of an obscure MP named Andrew Scheer, today the outgoing Conservative leader after fumbling his way through October’s election. Back then he was deputy speaker of the House of Commons.

Ten years ago, some top contenders to replace Scheer were high profile members of Harper’s cabinet. Another was premier of Quebec.

Rona Ambrose was Harper’s public works minister in 2010 and Peter Mackay was minister of national defence.

Ten years ago, possible Conservative leadership candidate Jean Charest was the Liberal premier of Quebec. At the time, he was resisting calls for a public inquiry into corruption in government contracts and criminal control of the construction industry.


Conservative Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Liberal Quebec Premier Jean Charest hold a photo op near Chelsea, Que., in 2009. Ten years later, Charest is reportedly considering running for the leadership of the Conservative Party.
THE OTTAWA CITIZEN

Bloc Québécois

The Bloc Québécois, under leader Gilles Duceppe, was riding high in 2010. Two years earlier, it had won 38 per cent of the vote in Quebec and 49 of the 75 federal seats in province. Few would have predicted the sovereignist party would be all but wiped out by the NDP the following year.

In 2010, Duceppe wanted to get the lay of the land he sought to break up. He went on a cross-Canada talking tour, including a stop in Alberta where his call for an end to the billions in tax breaks for the oil industry led to predictable outrage.

He told an Edmonton press conference that Albertans had a lot in common with their compatriots in Quebec: ”I understand they can be fed up with the kind of attitude in Ottawa, always ‘Ottawa knows best’.”

Many Albertans were ready to say good riddance to Duceppe and his province. Just over one-quarter of Albertans polled at the time thought Quebec would be better off alone — the highest support for Quebec separation outside that province.

Duceppe would abandon the Bloc leadership in 2011 after he lost his own seat and his party suffered a humiliating defeat at the polls. With NDP popularity in overdrive in Quebec, the Bloc had won just four seats, 45 fewer than in the last election.


Bloc Québécois Leader Gilles Duceppe waves from his car after announcing that he is stepping down as leader after the party’s humiliating loss in 2011.
Dario Ayala /

The Gazette

The party would endure years in the wilderness before surging back in 2019 under current leader Yves-François Blanchet. Bolstered by a rise in nationalism and Trudeau’s stance against Quebec’s secularism law, the Bloc more than tripled its number of MPs — to 32 from the 10 elected in 2015.

Like Duceppe before him, Blanchet infuriated the West.

He has called for an end to oil-industry subsidies and a new provincial equalization system that would penalize provinces with emissions higher than a national average.

The return of the Bloc does not indicate Quebec is keen on sovereignty. In 2010, 42 per cent of Quebecers polled wanted to split from Canada. By March 2019, 55 per cent of the province’s population thought sovereignty was “an idea whose time has passed.”


New Democratic Party Leader Jack Layton, with his wife and fellow MP Olivia Chow by his side, announces in 2010 that he has prostate cancer. He died a year later after being diagnosed with a different form of cancer.
Aaron Lynett /

NAT PST

New Democratic Party

In 2010, the New Democratic Party was on the cusp of a historic election.

But the year started with news that leader Jack Layton had prostate cancer. He vowed to beat it and continue as leader.

Opposed to most Conservative policies, Layton had nevertheless propped up the minority Harper government in 2009 when the Liberals wanted to force an election.

Two years later, the NDP helped topple Harper. In the ensuing election, Layton surged in popularity, particularly in his home province of Quebec, thanks in part to his stellar performance on Tout le monde en parle, a popular talk show.

Harper won a majority. But the NDP had its best showing ever, winning 103 seats, ahead of the Liberals. The party took 59 out of 75 seats in Quebec, leaving the Bloc in its dust. The NDP, having moved to the centre, was the official opposition for the first time and speculation swirled that Layton would one day be prime minister.

Then, in July, less than three months after the election, Layton announced he was temporarily stepping down as leader to battle a newly diagnosed cancer. He died in August.

Former Quebec Liberal environment minister Thomas Mulcair took over as leader but support for the NDP dropped steadily in the ensuing years.

Demonstrators, including Bloc Québécois Leader Gilles Duceppe (centre right) and Thomas Mulcair of the NDP (centre left), march in Montreal to denounce the Harper government’s prorogation of Parliament. Duceppe quit the following year, while Mulcair was pushed out by his party in 2016.john kenney /

The Gazette

After Mulcair was pushed out as leader, the party bet on a fresh face in 2017. They elected Jagmeet Singh, a criminal defence lawyer with a penchant for expensive suits.

Back in 2010, Singh was providing legal advice to Sikh activists protesting the visit of an Indian minister to Canada over his alleged involvement in anti-Sikh riots. Singh jumped into politics a year later, winning a seat in the Ontario legislature. In 2017, he took over as NDP leader.

Singh has not managed to revive the party’s fortunes. In the 2019 election, support fell further, particularly in Quebec. The NDP won only 24 seats, 20 fewer than it had under Mulcair. In Quebec, one NDP MP was left standing.


In 2010, Green Party Leader Elizabeth May tapped an unlikely candidate to be her deputy leader: former Montreal Canadiens enforcer Georges Laraque.
Colleen De Neve /

Calgary Herald

Green Party

At the beginning of the decade, Elizabeth May was the leader of the Green Party. Twice she had unsuccessfully run for a seat in the House of Commons. May was third-time lucky in 2011, becoming the party’s first MP.

In 2010, after deputy leader Jacques Rivard quit the Greens to join the Bloc as an environmental adviser, May tapped an unlikely replacement.

Taking on the deputy role was Montreal Canadiens enforcer Georges Laraque, whose hockey career had just ended. A political neophyte, Laraque stayed on until 2013 but never ran for the party.

In the October 2019 election, the Greens for the first time garnered more than 1 million votes. And three Green MPs won seats, meaning May would no longer be the party’s sole voice in Parliament.

But after 13 years as the helm, May stepped down as leader in November, saying it was time for a change at the top.

In the provinces

Upheaval over the past decade wasn’t restricted to the federal scene.

Politics in provincial legislatures were also shaken up.

In 2010, Harper started the decade with four Liberal premiers as counterparts, as well as three Progressive Conservatives, two New Democrats and one from the Saskatchewan Party.

Ten years later, Trudeau is dealing with a more fractured provincial landscape.

Premiers in power today represent six parties.

As the decade ends, there are four Progressive Conservative premiers, two Liberals and one New Democrat. The other provincial parties in power: the Coalition Avenir Québec, the Saskatchewan Party and Alberta’s United Conservative Party.

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Review finds no case for formal probe of Beijing’s activities under elections law

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OTTAWA – The federal agency that investigates election infractions found insufficient evidence to support suggestions Beijing wielded undue influence against the Conservatives in the Vancouver area during the 2021 general election.

The Commissioner of Canada Elections’ recently completed review of the lingering issue was tabled Tuesday at a federal inquiry into foreign interference.

The review focused on the unsuccessful campaign of Conservative candidate Kenny Chiu in the riding of Steveston-Richmond East and the party’s larger efforts in the Vancouver area.

It says the evidence uncovered did not trigger the threshold to initiate a formal investigation under the Canada Elections Act.

Investigators therefore recommended that the review be concluded.

A summary of the review results was shared with the Canadian Security Intelligence Service and the RCMP. The review says both agencies indicated the election commissioner’s findings were consistent with their own understanding of the situation.

During the exercise, the commissioner’s investigators met with Chinese Canadian residents of Chiu’s riding and surrounding ones.

They were told of an extensive network of Chinese Canadian associations, businesses and media organizations that offers the diaspora a lifestyle that mirrors that of China in many ways.

“Further, this diaspora has continuing and extensive commercial, social and familial relations with China,” the review says.

Some interviewees reported that this “has created aspects of a parallel society involving many Chinese Canadians in the Lower Mainland area, which includes concerted support, direction and control by individuals from or involved with China’s Vancouver consulate and the United Front Work Department (UFWD) in China.”

Investigators were also made aware of members of three Chinese Canadian associations, as well as others, who were alleged to have used their positions to influence the choice of Chinese Canadian voters during the 2021 election in a direction favourable to the interests of Beijing, the review says.

These efforts were sparked by elements of the Conservative party’s election platform and by actions and statements by Chiu “that were leveraged to bolster claims that both the platform and Chiu were anti-China and were encouraging anti-Chinese discrimination and racism.”

These messages were amplified through repetition in social media, chat groups and posts, as well as in Chinese in online, print and radio media throughout the Vancouver area.

Upon examination, the messages “were found to not be in contravention” of the Canada Elections Act, says the review, citing the Supreme Court of Canada’s position that the concept of uninhibited speech permeates all truly democratic societies and institutions.

The review says the effectiveness of the anti-Conservative, anti-Chiu campaigns was enhanced by circumstances “unique to the Chinese diaspora and the assertive nature of Chinese government interests.”

It notes the election was prefaced by statements from China’s ambassador to Canada and the Vancouver consul general as well as articles published or broadcast in Beijing-controlled Chinese Canadian media entities.

“According to Chinese Canadian interview subjects, this invoked a widespread fear amongst electors, described as a fear of retributive measures from Chinese authorities should a (Conservative) government be elected.”

This included the possibility that Chinese authorities could interfere with travel to and from China, as well as measures being taken against family members or business interests in China, the review says.

“Several Chinese Canadian interview subjects were of the view that Chinese authorities could exercise such retributive measures, and that this fear was most acute with Chinese Canadian electors from mainland China. One said ‘everybody understands’ the need to only say nice things about China.”

However, no interview subject was willing to name electors who were directly affected by the anti-Tory campaign, nor community leaders who claimed to speak on a voter’s behalf.

Several weeks of public inquiry hearings will focus on the capacity of federal agencies to detect, deter and counter foreign meddling.

In other testimony Tuesday, Conservative MP Garnett Genuis told the inquiry that parliamentarians who were targeted by Chinese hackers could have taken immediate protective steps if they had been informed sooner.

It emerged earlier this year that in 2021 some MPs and senators faced cyberattacks from the hackers because of their involvement with the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China, which pushes for accountability from Beijing.

In 2022, U.S. authorities apparently informed the Canadian government of the attacks, and it in turn advised parliamentary IT officials — but not individual MPs.

Genuis, a Canadian co-chair of the inter-parliamentary alliance, told the inquiry Tuesday that it remains mysterious to him why he wasn’t informed about the attacks sooner.

Liberal MP John McKay, also a Canadian co-chair of the alliance, said there should be a clear protocol for advising parliamentarians of cyberthreats.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

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NDP beat Conservatives in federal byelection in Winnipeg

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WINNIPEG – The federal New Democrats have kept a longtime stronghold in the Elmwood-Transcona riding in Winnipeg.

The NDP’s Leila Dance won a close battle over Conservative candidate Colin Reynolds, and says the community has spoken in favour of priorities such as health care and the cost of living.

Elmwood-Transcona has elected a New Democrat in every election except one since the riding was formed in 1988.

The seat became open after three-term member of Parliament Daniel Blaikie resigned in March to take a job with the Manitoba government.

A political analyst the NDP is likely relieved to have kept the seat in what has been one of their strongest urban areas.

Christopher Adams, an adjunct professor of political studies at the University of Manitoba, says NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh worked hard to keep the seat in a tight race.

“He made a number of visits to Winnipeg, so if they had lost this riding it would have been disastrous for the NDP,” Adams said.

The strong Conservative showing should put wind in that party’s sails, Adams added, as their percentage of the popular vote in Elmwood-Transcona jumped sharply from the 2021 election.

“Even though the Conservatives lost this (byelection), they should walk away from it feeling pretty good.”

Dance told reporters Monday night she wants to focus on issues such as the cost of living while working in Ottawa.

“We used to be able to buy a cart of groceries for a hundred dollars and now it’s two small bags. That is something that will affect everyone in this riding,” Dance said.

Liberal candidate Ian MacIntyre placed a distant third,

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024

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Trudeau says ‘all sorts of reflections’ for Liberals after loss of second stronghold

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OTTAWA – Prime Minister Justin Trudeau say the Liberals have “all sorts of reflections” to make after losing a second stronghold in a byelection in Montreal Monday night.

His comments come as the Liberal cabinet gathers for its first regularly scheduled meeting of the fall sitting of Parliament, which began Monday.

Trudeau’s Liberals were hopeful they could retain the Montreal riding of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun, but those hopes were dashed after the Bloc Québécois won it in an extremely tight three-way race with the NDP.

Louis-Philippe Sauvé, an administrator at the Institute for Research in Contemporary Economics, beat Liberal candidate Laura Palestini by less than 250 votes. The NDP finished about 600 votes back of the winner.

It is the second time in three months that Trudeau’s party lost a stronghold in a byelection. In June, the Conservatives defeated the Liberals narrowly in Toronto-St. Paul’s.

The Liberals won every seat in Toronto and almost every seat on the Island of Montreal in the last election, and losing a seat in both places has laid bare just how low the party has fallen in the polls.

“Obviously, it would have been nicer to be able to win and hold (the Montreal riding), but there’s more work to do and we’re going to stay focused on doing it,” Trudeau told reporters ahead of this morning’s cabinet meeting.

When asked what went wrong for his party, Trudeau responded “I think there’s all sorts of reflections to take on that.”

In French, he would not say if this result puts his leadership in question, instead saying his team has lots of work to do.

Bloc leader Yves-François Blanchet will hold a press conference this morning, but has already said the results are significant for his party.

“The victory is historic and all of Quebec will speak with a stronger voice in Ottawa,” Blanchet wrote on X, shortly after the winner was declared.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and his party had hoped to ride to a win in Montreal on the popularity of their candidate, city councillor Craig Sauvé, and use it to further their goal of replacing the Liberals as the chief alternative to the Conservatives.

The NDP did hold on to a seat in Winnipeg in a tight race with the Conservatives, but the results in Elmwood-Transcona Monday were far tighter than in the last several elections. NDP candidate Leila Dance defeated Conservative Colin Reynolds by about 1,200 votes.

Singh called it a “big victory.”

“Our movement is growing — and we’re going to keep working for Canadians and building that movement to stop Conservative cuts before they start,” he said on social media.

“Big corporations have had their governments. It’s the people’s time.”

New Democrats recently pulled out of their political pact with the government in a bid to distance themselves from the Liberals, making the prospects of a snap election far more likely.

Trudeau attempted to calm his caucus at their fall retreat in Nanaimo, B.C, last week, and brought former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney on as an economic adviser in a bid to shore up some credibility with voters.

The latest byelection loss will put more pressure on him as leader, with many polls suggesting voter anger is more directed at Trudeau himself than at Liberal policies.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

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