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A Look at Saskatoon Real Estate

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The Canadian housing market is experiencing a correction. Whether conditions escalate remains to be seen. Still, the Bank of Canada’s path to policy rate normalization is weighing on the real estate industry. But while multiple housing markets – from major urban centres to rural communities – are experiencing some pain right now, some others seem to be holding steady. A case in point is the Saskatoon real estate market.

Despite rising interest rates and cooling demand, prices in the Saskatoon housing market have not cratered. In fact, despite the pandemic-era boom, values did not venture to the moon either. This explains why Saskatoon has remained one of Canada’s most affordable housing markets. These modest gains have attracted families from other provinces and immigrants, as average prices have allowed many households to achieve the dream of ownership.

So, how is the Saskatoon housing sector performing heading into the home stretch of 2022?

A Look at Saskatoon Real Estate

According to the Saskatchewan Realtors Association (SRA), home sales tumbled 25 per cent month-over-month in September, totalling 329 units. However, despite a sluggish start to 2022, sales activity in the Saskatoon real estate market generated momentum in February and remained strong until around July.

Saskatoon housing prices remained relatively unchanged from August to September, with the benchmark price coming in at $383,300. But this is up close to seven per cent from the same time a year ago.

While rising interest rates have cooled off demand, supply challenges continue to be ubiquitous in the Saskatoon real estate market. This has allowed prices to remain elevated while other major urban centres are witnessing a downward trend.

New residential listings totalled 590 units in September, relatively the same as last year. Active residential listings have soared this year, climbing more than 43 per cent since January to 1,222 units. Plus, the average days on the market is down from where it was earlier this year, falling from a peak of 51 days in February to 39 last month.

Also, here is an interesting analysis of inventory data for Saskatoon, according to the real estate association.

“Overall inventory levels are 20 per cent lower than last year and 33 per cent below the traditional average. In August, 77 per cent of inventory was below $500,000, a segment of the market that reflected nearly 84 per cent at this time last year.”

“Supply remains a challenge in the market and while we are seeing some signs of improvement, the gains are in the upper end of the market and have not offset the declining supply of more affordable homes,” said Saskatchewan REALTORS® Association CEO Chris Guérette in a statement. “Higher lending rates are having a cooling impact on demand, but the challenge continues to be having enough supply available in the lower price ranges in our market.”

However, new housing construction activity has been healthy this year, rising to 356 units in August, according to fresh data from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). This is up 267 per cent from the same time last year. Year-to-date, housing starts have surpassed 2,000 units, compared to around 1,808 units in the first eight months of 2021.

Will 2023 Change the Saskatoon Housing Market?

From British Columbia to Ontario, the central bank’s inflation-busting crusade has significantly cooled the Canadian real estate market. Residential sales activity has slowed, while national average prices have dropped nearly four per cent year-over-year, to $637,673, according to the latest data from the Canadian Real Estate Association. Of course, many housing markets are faring worse than others, but Saskatoon and the broader Saskatchewan real estate market have held steady.

“While Saskatchewan is experiencing a slight pullback in sales, we continue to expect that we will fare better than other regions of the country,” Guérette noted.

But what gives? There are many factors, such as housing affordability, strong demand, and recent homebuyers not purchasing residential properties near 2022 highs.

Whether the Prairie housing market can sustain this trend or not remains to be seen. In a recent resale housing market update, the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) forecast that home prices in the province would plummet by more than ten per cent this year and an additional three per cent in 2023. Despite the drop in sales, prices are projected to average $325,648 in 2023, up approximately five per cent from this year.

“Home sales have cooled sharply in recent months,” the CREA said. “Prices have also been halted in their tracks following a record-setting five months of growth between October 2021 and February 2022.”

Even if higher interest rates were to catch up to Saskatoon or the province, it might not result in a dramatic decrease in prices because valuations have been more subdued compared to what has occurred in many pockets of the Canadian real estate market.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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