A volatile day for gold, but tomorrow's Jobs report could cause that to continue - Kitco NEWS | Canada News Media
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A volatile day for gold, but tomorrow's Jobs report could cause that to continue – Kitco NEWS

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Dollar weakness provided strong tailwinds today, but bearish market sentiment neutralized any price gain. The net result was a mild downtick in gold futures and only a fractional decline in Spot or Forex gold. Spot gold is currently fixed at $1806.20, a decline of only $0.20. According to the KGX (Kitco Gold Index), selling pressure resulted in a loss of $11.90 with dollar weakness softening the decline by $11.70.

As of 3:35 PM gold futures basis, the most active April contract is currently fixed at $1806.20 after factoring in today’s decline of $4.20 or 0.23%. Concurrently the dollar is trading off by 56 points or a net decline of 0.58% taking the dollar index to 95.37.

Gold had a volatile trading day, trading to a low of $1788.50 before recovering the vast majority of today’s price decline at its lows as market participants stepped in to buy the dip as they perceived the decline as an opportunity under the assumption that today’s price decline resulted in gold being oversold. Traders quickly took gold back above $1800.

Chart number one is a 10-minute candlestick chart marking the opening of gold trading in New York. The selling pressure occurred over the first 30 minutes of trading with gold opening at $1807.40. Gold traded to its low 35 minutes after the open in New York ($1788.50) and would regain the vast majority of the price decline in the following hour.

Typically used for daily candlestick’s, a Japanese candlestick pattern called a “three river morning star” formed in the 10-minute chart. This three-candlestick pattern occurs after a defined downtrend. The first candle is a long red candle (created when the closing price falls below the opening price of that candle). The second candle is a “Doji” candle with the “real body” (created from the open and closing price not far apart), falling below the close of the red candle. The final candle is a long green candle (created when the closing price is above the opening price of that candle) beginning above the previous “Doji”. This pattern can be a solid indicator that a “key reversal” of price is occurring.

Tomorrow’s jobs report

One possible explanation for the rapid recovery of gold this morning was concern about the outcome of tomorrow’s jobs report. Yesterday ADP released its private-sector jobs report for January. A poll of economists by the Wall Street Journal predicted that 200,000 jobs would be added last month. However, the actual numbers were much more dire revealing that 301,000 less jobs now exist. The ADP report brought into question the current forecasts for the Labor Department’s nonfarm payroll jobs report which will be released at 8:30 EST tomorrow. Estimates by economists polled by Dow Jones predict the report will show a net gain of 150,000 jobs. However, many economists are adjusting their forecasts to account for yesterday’s dire news. According to CNBC, some economists expect “big losses – as largest 400,000”.

Reuters reported that Extinity analyst Han Tan believes that, “Gold could see a lift from a subdued U.S. jobs report, forcing markets to rethink how aggressive the Fed needs to be to tame inflation”.

Unquestionably, if tomorrow’s jobs report also indicates a massive loss of jobs, one thing is certain; gold pricing could become very volatile following the release of the jobs report tomorrow.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

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