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A wild week in U.S. politics

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Clifford Orwin is professor of political science, fellow of St. Michael’s College and senior fellow of Massey College at the University of Toronto.

The spectacle of U.S. politics just continues to gather steam.

The verdict of President Donald Trump’s impeachment trial has been registered, predictably and to no particular avail – causing that historic moment to slip to no better than the third-wildest story of the week. Upstaging the trial and its outcome of acquittal: the astonishing incompetence of the Democrats’ handling of the Iowa caucuses, reducing their candidates as well as their boosters in the media to gibbering, as well as Mr. Trump’s brazen but effective State of the Union address, at which he and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi outdid themselves (but not each other) in mutual incivility.

Where does this leave the Democrats? Waiting for Michael Bloomberg, that’s where – the candidate they need but don’t much want.

The effort to evict Mr. Trump from office simply never rose above ordinary cable fodder; it never crested above the 24-hour news cycle. The Democrats produced nothing new at the Senate trial – nothing they hadn’t offered during the House impeachment proceedings. They needed a bombshell to appall the few Republican senators still capable of that sentiment, but all they had was a new confirmation by former national security adviser John Bolton of their gravest allegation against Mr. Trump. It was better than nothing, but it wasn’t enough to incite a stampede of Republican senators from the side of Mr. Trump, or to move the barometers of public opinion.

The Democrats’ audacious attempt to break the stalemate over Mr. Trump appears for now to have succeeded only in reinforcing it. The Trump they’ll face in November will be an undiminished one – buoyed, not weakened, by his ongoing insolence toward them.

Ever since his inauguration, the Democrats have been looking to oust him. Grandstanding members of Congress filed impeachment motions that were frivolous and thankfully failed. Then they wasted long months looking to the Mueller report for their salvation. After that fizzled, the latest grounds for impeachment surfaced: Mr. Trump’s alleged strong-arming of the President of Ukraine.

It warranted his ouster, but that was always a long shot in the Republican-dominated Senate. But what goes around comes around: To the noisy indignation of Republicans, not a single Democratic senator voted to convict Bill Clinton in 1999 after he was impeached by the Republican-controlled House. On Wednesday, just one Republican senator, Mitt Romney, voted to convict Mr. Trump of any charge after his impeachment by the Democratic House. Both Mr. Clinton and Mr. Trump had thoroughly disgraced the presidency and denied having done so; both could claim that, even if guilty, they had not sunk to the depths of high crimes and misdemeanours. I would have been glad to see both go, but that’s just me, unpleasantly rigid and censorious. You’d have to be Richard Nixon to be impeached and convicted under these procedures – in which case, like him, you’d just resign to avoid it.

The impeachment kerfuffle will likely have little impact on the outcome in November. Having never transcended party lines, it won’t stand out from the endless other squabbles of the past three years. Perhaps in the long run it will peel off some independents from Mr. Trump, which could prove crucial in a close election. But each side used it to roil its base early in the election cycle rather than later, so now will have to work to keep it motivated.

The Republicans’ problems are as obvious as their hopes, both being named Donald J. Trump. If one thing seems clear from the muddle and frenzy of the past two weeks, it’s that he remains eminently beatable – but it will take a strong candidate to do it. How strong? Stronger than any Democrat who contested the Iowa caucuses. This poses a dilemma for the party from which there is no graceful exit.

The week’s most intriguing campaign development occurred far off the impeachment track, in the recently revitalized city of Providence, R.I. It featured Gina Raimondo, the state’s highly successful Democratic Governor. She broke with the aspirations of party activists by endorsing Mr. Bloomberg for the nomination. Yes, Mr. Bloomberg, unwoke and unbowed, the antithesis of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Old, white, male, straight and a tycoon – one far wealthier than Mr. Trump and actually self-made, to boot – he was also once the successful mayor of a city much larger than South Bend, Ind. A former Republican and independent, he is now, like Bernie Sanders, a late-life Democrat by choice.

While I have no claim on Democrats to listen to me, they would do well to heed Ms. Raimondo.

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‘Disgraceful:’ N.S. Tory leader slams school’s request that military remove uniform

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston says it’s “disgraceful and demeaning” that a Halifax-area school would request that service members not wear military uniforms to its Remembrance Day ceremony.

Houston’s comments were part of a chorus of criticism levelled at the school — Sackville Heights Elementary — whose administration decided to back away from the plan after the outcry.

A November newsletter from the school in Middle Sackville, N.S., invited Armed Forces members to attend its ceremony but asked that all attendees arrive in civilian attire to “maintain a welcoming environment for all.”

Houston, who is currently running for re-election, accused the school’s leaders of “disgracing themselves while demeaning the people who protect our country” in a post on the social media platform X Thursday night.

“If the people behind this decision had a shred of the courage that our veterans have, this cowardly and insulting idea would have been rejected immediately,” Houston’s post read. There were also several calls for resignations within the school’s administration attached to Houston’s post.

In an email to families Thursday night, the school’s principal, Rachael Webster, apologized and welcomed military family members to attend “in the attire that makes them most comfortable.”

“I recognize this request has caused harm and I am deeply sorry,” Webster’s email read, adding later that the school has the “utmost respect for what the uniform represents.”

Webster said the initial request was out of concern for some students who come from countries experiencing conflict and who she said expressed discomfort with images of war, including military uniforms.

Her email said any students who have concerns about seeing Armed Forces members in uniform can be accommodated in a way that makes them feel safe, but she provided no further details in the message.

Webster did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

At a news conference Friday, Houston said he’s glad the initial request was reversed but said he is still concerned.

“I can’t actually fathom how a decision like that was made,” Houston told reporters Friday, adding that he grew up moving between military bases around the country while his father was in the Armed Forces.

“My story of growing up in a military family is not unique in our province. The tradition of service is something so many of us share,” he said.

“Saying ‘lest we forget’ is a solemn promise to the fallen. It’s our commitment to those that continue to serve and our commitment that we will pass on our respects to the next generation.”

Liberal Leader Zach Churchill also said he’s happy with the school’s decision to allow uniformed Armed Forces members to attend the ceremony, but he said he didn’t think it was fair to question the intentions of those behind the original decision.

“We need to have them (uniforms) on display at Remembrance Day,” he said. “Not only are we celebrating (veterans) … we’re also commemorating our dead who gave the greatest sacrifice for our country and for the freedoms we have.”

NDP Leader Claudia Chender said that while Remembrance Day is an important occasion to honour veterans and current service members’ sacrifices, she said she hopes Houston wasn’t taking advantage of the decision to “play politics with this solemn occasion for his own political gain.”

“I hope Tim Houston reached out to the principal of the school before making a public statement,” she said in a statement.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Saskatchewan NDP’s Beck holds first caucus meeting after election, outlines plans

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REGINA – Saskatchewan Opposition NDP Leader Carla Beck says she wants to prove to residents her party is the government in waiting as she heads into the incoming legislative session.

Beck held her first caucus meeting with 27 members, nearly double than what she had before the Oct. 28 election but short of the 31 required to form a majority in the 61-seat legislature.

She says her priorities will be health care and cost-of-living issues.

Beck says people need affordability help right now and will press Premier Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party government to cut the gas tax and the provincial sales tax on children’s clothing and some grocery items.

Beck’s NDP is Saskatchewan’s largest Opposition in nearly two decades after sweeping Regina and winning all but one seat in Saskatoon.

The Saskatchewan Party won 34 seats, retaining its hold on all of the rural ridings and smaller cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Nova Scotia election: Liberals say province’s immigration levels are too high

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia‘s growing population was the subject of debate on Day 12 of the provincial election campaign, with Liberal Leader Zach Churchill arguing immigration levels must be reduced until the province can provide enough housing and health-care services.

Churchill said Thursday a plan by the incumbent Progressive Conservatives to double the province’s population to two million people by the year 2060 is unrealistic and unsustainable.

“That’s a big leap and it’s making life harder for people who live here, (including ) young people looking for a place to live and seniors looking to downsize,” he told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

Anticipating that his call for less immigration might provoke protests from the immigrant community, Churchill was careful to note that he is among the third generation of a family that moved to Nova Scotia from Lebanon.

“I know the value of immigration, the importance of it to our province. We have been built on the backs of an immigrant population. But we just need to do it in a responsible way.”

The Liberal leader said Tim Houston’s Tories, who are seeking a second term in office, have made a mistake by exceeding immigration targets set by the province’s Department of Labour and Immigration. Churchill said a Liberal government would abide by the department’s targets.

In the most recent fiscal year, the government welcomed almost 12,000 immigrants through its nominee program, exceeding the department’s limit by more than 4,000, he said. The numbers aren’t huge, but the increase won’t help ease the province’s shortages in housing and doctors, and the increased strain on its infrastructure, including roads, schools and cellphone networks, Churchill said.

“(The Immigration Department) has done the hard work on this,” he said. “They know where the labour gaps are, and they know what growth is sustainable.”

In response, Houston said his commitment to double the population was a “stretch goal.” And he said the province had long struggled with a declining population before that trend was recently reversed.

“The only immigration that can come into this province at this time is if they are a skilled trade worker or a health-care worker,” Houston said. “The population has grown by two per cent a year, actually quite similar growth to what we experienced under the Liberal government before us.”

Still, Houston said he’s heard Nova Scotians’ concerns about population growth, and he then pivoted to criticize Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for trying to send 6,000 asylum seekers to Nova Scotia, an assertion the federal government has denied.

Churchill said Houston’s claim about asylum seekers was shameful.

“It’s smoke and mirrors,” the Liberal leader said. “He is overshooting his own department’s numbers for sustainable population growth and yet he is trying to blame this on asylum seekers … who aren’t even here.”

In September, federal Immigration Minister Marc Miller said there is no plan to send any asylum seekers to the province without compensation or the consent of the premier. He said the 6,000 number was an “aspirational” figure based on models that reflect each province’s population.

In Halifax, NDP Leader Claudia Chender said it’s clear Nova Scotia needs more doctors, nurses and skilled trades people.

“Immigration has been and always will be a part of the Nova Scotia story, but we need to build as we grow,” Chender said. “This is why we have been pushing the Houston government to build more affordable housing.”

Chender was in a Halifax cafe on Thursday when she promised her party would remove the province’s portion of the harmonized sales tax from all grocery, cellphone and internet bills if elected to govern on Nov. 26. The tax would also be removed from the sale and installation of heat pumps.

“Our focus is on helping people to afford their lives,” Chender told reporters. “We know there are certain things that you can’t live without: food, internet and a phone …. So we know this will have the single biggest impact.”

The party estimates the measure would save the average Nova Scotia family about $1,300 a year.

“That’s a lot more than a one or two per cent HST cut,” Chender said, referring to the Progressive Conservative pledge to reduce the tax by one percentage point and the Liberal promise to trim it by two percentage points.

Elsewhere on the campaign trail, Houston announced that a Progressive Conservative government would make parking free at all Nova Scotia hospitals and health-care centres. The promise was also made by the Liberals in their election platform released Monday.

“Free parking may not seem like a big deal to some, but … the parking, especially for people working at the facilities, can add up to hundreds of dollars,” the premier told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

— With files from Keith Doucette in Halifax

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