Analysis | MAGA celebrity comes at a political cost, and evidence is growing | Canada News Media
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Analysis | MAGA celebrity comes at a political cost, and evidence is growing

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President Biden’s trip to Pueblo, Colo., on Wednesday was ostensibly about hailing a key Inflation Reduction Act project and “Bidenomics.”

But it appears to be more about casting a spotlight on that district’s incumbent, Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.), whom Biden would very much like to tie to the broader Republican Party.

A news release announcing the trip invoked the word “MAGA” four times while referring to Boebert. And Biden has made little secret of wanting to apply that label broadly to the GOP — often adding “extreme” — in ways that will give voters pause.

Perhaps better than anybody in the modern GOP, Boebert embodies an increasingly prevalent and often politically toxic MAGA dynamic. That dynamic is one in which you can quickly build your profile and even wield power in the House by doing controversial and extreme things, but it comes at an evident cost for you and your party’s broader appeal.

Recent polling, when combined with the 2022 election results, demonstrates just how much those who most espouse this approach can pay a price. That was made pretty clear before, but the evidence has only grown in recent weeks.

And that’s particularly when you focus on some of the most famous rabble-rousers in the House GOP: Boebert, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) and Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.).

Boebert’s close call in 2022 was already among the most shocking results of that election. She won by a fraction of a percentage point in a district Donald Trump had carried by eight points in 2020. It was the worst underperformance for a House Republican candidate in the country.

Then came the “Beetlejuice” incident in September, in which Boebert was caught on video vaping, and groping a man in a public theater (the video emerged after her office falsely denied the vaping). Shortly thereafter, a national YouGov poll showed Americans disliked her more than 2-to-1. Even Republicans leaned unfavorable.

Not far behind in 2022 under-performances was Greene. The conspiracy-theory-peddling Republican had the third-biggest underperformance. She won by about six fewer points than Trump had.

That Boebert and Greene both ranked in the top three of GOP under-performances is surely no coincidence.

But perhaps the more significant indictment of Greene’s political style came in a recent statewide poll of Georgia this month. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll showed a clear 57 percent majority of Georgians had an unfavorable view of Greene, compared to only 25 percent who liked her. Even Republicans were evenly split; independents disliked her 3-to-1.

The picture was similar for Gaetz in a poll in his state this month. A Florida Atlantic University poll last week showed Floridians disapproved of Gaetz 57 percent to 21 percent, in a survey conducted just after he played a starring role in ousting then-House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.).

Almost half — 46 percent — strongly disapproved of Gaetz, while only 12 percent strongly approved.

Gaetz and Greene were also deep underwater in recent national YouGov polls. What the statewide polls suggest is that the people who are more familiar with them appear to be even less amused. (And these are states that are, or have until recently been, red states.)

Of course, these new polls merely confirm what we saw in the 2022 election. In addition to Greene’s and Boebert’s under-performances, 2020 election-deniers and hard-line abortion rights opponents likewise underperformed on a pretty consistent basis. Running extreme, Trump-aligned candidates might well have cost the GOP the Senate.

But while the drawbacks of Republicans marginalizing themselves were plainly evident at the time, the readily available notoriety involved in going hard to the right and wrecking shop within the party has continued to prove irresistible.

Boebert may yet be willing to risk another potentially arduous race in what should otherwise be a safe district, and Gaetz appears willing to take a gamble on his statewide viability in a run for governor, as appears likely.

The fact that even they are still willing to marginalize themselves says a lot about how attractive this form of provocation is — and how hard it will be for the GOP to shake in the years to come.

 

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Moe visiting Yorkton as Saskatchewan election campaign continues

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Saskatchewan Party Leader Scott Moe is set to be on the road today as the provincial election campaign continues.

Moe is set to speak in the city of Yorkton about affordability measures this morning before travelling to the nearby village of Theodore for an event with the local Saskatchewan Party candidate.

NDP Leader Carla Beck doesn’t have any events scheduled, though several party candidates are to hold press conferences.

On Thursday, Moe promised a directive banning “biological boys” from using school changing rooms with “biological girls” if re-elected.

The NDP said the Saskatchewan Party was punching down on vulnerable children.

Election day is Oct. 28.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 18, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Saskatchewan Party’s Moe pledges change room ban in schools; Beck calls it desperate

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REGINA – Saskatchewan Party Leader Scott Moe is promising a directive banning “biological boys” from using school changing rooms with “biological girls” if re-elected, a move the NDP’s Carla Beck says weaponizes vulnerable kids.

Moe made the pledge Thursday at a campaign stop in Regina. He said it was in response to a complaint that two biological males had changed for gym class with girls at a school in southeast Saskatchewan.

He said the ban would be his first order of business if he’s voted again as premier on Oct. 28.

It was not previously included in his party’s campaign platform document.

“I’ll be very clear, there will be a directive that would come from the minister of education that would say that biological boys will not be in the change room with biological girls,” Moe said.

He added school divisions should already have change room policies, but a provincial directive would ensure all have the rule in place.

Asked about the rights of gender-diverse youth, Moe said other children also have rights.

“What about the rights of all the other girls that are changing in that very change room? They have rights as well,” he said, followed by cheers and claps.

The complaint was made at a school with the Prairie Valley School Division. The division said in a statement it doesn’t comment on specific situations that could jeopardize student privacy and safety.

“We believe all students should have the opportunity to learn and grow in a safe and welcoming learning environment,” it said.

“Our policies and procedures align with the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms, the Canadian Human Rights Act and the Saskatchewan Human Rights Code.”

Asked about Moe’s proposal, Beck said it would make vulnerable kids more vulnerable.

Moe is desperate to stoke fear and division after having a bad night during Wednesday’s televised leaders’ debate, she said.

“Saskatchewan people, when we’re at our best, are people that come together and deliver results, not divisive, ugly politics like we’ve seen time and again from Scott Moe and the Sask. Party,” Beck said.

“If you see leaders holding so much power choosing to punch down on vulnerable kids, that tells you everything you need to know about them.”

Beck said voters have more pressing education issues on their minds, including the need for smaller classrooms, more teaching staff and increased supports for students.

People also want better health care and to be able to afford gas and groceries, she added.

“We don’t have to agree to understand Saskatchewan people deserve better,” Beck said.

The Saskatchewan Party government passed legislation last year that requires parents consent to children under 16 using different names or pronouns at school.

The law has faced backlash from some LGBTQ+ advocates, who argue it violates Charter rights and could cause teachers to out or misgender children.

Beck has said if elected her party would repeal that legislation.

Heather Kuttai, a former commissioner with the Saskatchewan Human Rights Commission who resigned last year in protest of the law, said Moe is trying to sway right-wing voters.

She said a change room directive would put more pressure on teachers who already don’t have enough educational support.

“It sounds like desperation to me,” she said.

“It sounds like Scott Moe is nervous about the election and is turning to homophobic and transphobic rhetoric to appeal to far-right voters.

“It’s divisive politics, which is a shame.”

She said she worries about the future of gender-affirming care in a province that once led in human rights.

“We’re the kind of people who dig each other out of snowbanks and not spew hatred about each other,” she said. “At least that’s what I want to still believe.”

Also Thursday, two former Saskatchewan Party government members announced they’re endorsing Beck — Mark Docherty, who retired last year and was a Speaker, and Glen Hart, who retired in 2020.

Ian Hanna, a speech writer and senior political adviser to former Saskatchewan Party premier Brad Wall, also endorsed Beck.

Earlier in the campaign, Beck received support from former Speaker Randy Weekes, who quit the Saskatchewan Party earlier this year after accusing caucus members of bullying.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

— With files from Aaron Sousa in Edmonton

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Promise tracker: What the Saskatchewan Party and NDP pledge to do if they win Oct. 28

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REGINA – Saskatchewan‘s provincial election is on Oct. 28. Here’s a look at some of the campaign promises made by the two major parties:

Saskatchewan Party

— Continue withholding federal carbon levy payments to Ottawa on natural gas until the end of 2025.

— Reduce personal income tax rates over four years; a family of four would save $3,400.

— Double the Active Families Benefit to $300 per child per year and the benefit for children with disabilities to $400 a year.

— Direct all school divisions to ban “biological boys” from girls’ change rooms in schools.

— Increase the First-Time Homebuyers Tax Credit to $15,000 from $10,000.

— Reintroduce the Home Renovation Tax Credit, allowing homeowners to claim up to $4,000 in renovation costs on their income taxes; seniors could claim up to $5,000.

— Extend coverage for insulin pumps and diabetes supplies to seniors and young adults

— Provide a 50 per cent refundable tax credit — up to $10,000 — to help cover the cost of a first fertility treatment.

— Hire 100 new municipal officers and 70 more officers with the Saskatchewan Marshals Service.

— Amend legislation to provide police with more authority to address intoxication, vandalism and disturbances on public property.

— Platform cost of $1.2 billion, with deficits in the first three years and a small surplus in 2027.

NDP

— Pause the 15-cent-a-litre gas tax for six months, saving an average family about $350.

— Remove the provincial sales tax from children’s clothes and ready-to-eat grocery items like rotisserie chickens and granola bars.

— Pass legislation to limit how often and how much landlords can raise rent.

— Repeal the law that requires parental consent when children under 16 want to change their names or pronouns at school.

— Launch a provincewide school nutrition program.

— Build more schools and reduce classroom sizes.

— Hire 800 front-line health-care workers in areas most in need.

— Launch an accountability commission to investigate cost overruns for government projects.

— Scrap the marshals service.

— Hire 100 Mounties and expand detox services.

— Platform cost of $3.5 billion, with small deficits in the first three years and a small surplus in the fourth year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct .17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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