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Analyzing Frederik Andersen’s play: Can he help carry the Leafs? – Sportsnet.ca

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What are the odds of a team erasing a four-goal deficit with 21 minutes left to win a hockey game? Based on league-average scoring rates, 1 in 357 — and that doesn’t take into account it was the last place Ottawa Senators who did it against a top-5 team in the Toronto Maple Leafs.

To call the Sens comeback on Monday night improbable would be understating what actually went down at Scotiabank Arena. In the aftermath, media and Maple Leafs fans alike are pointing fingers in a few different directions. Perhaps it’s in the Maple Leafs’ DNA — after all, the team has blown seemingly insurmountable leads in recent years. John Tavares and William Nylander are taking some heat for their even-strength play and the last line of defence, Frederik Andersen, did allow six goals in the loss.

The reality is a good team lost one game in spectacular fashion.

While hanging the loss on the goaltender would be unfair given how poorly the team played in front of him in the final 21 minutes, it is fair to question whether Andersen can be capable of bailing his team out when they go into these defensive lulls. Andersen is in the final season of a five-year, $25 million contract and is set to become an unrestricted free agent this summer.

Andersen is coming off one of the worst statistical seasons of his career, finishing 2019-20 with a .909 save percentage, the lowest he’s ever posted. In 14 games this season, Andersen’s save percentage sits at .901 but that only tells part of the story as save percentages are down across the league, especially in the high-scoring Scotia North Division.

Andersen is tied for the league lead in games played and wins, which counts for something when evaluating performance-based statistics like save percentage. Not all goalies are capable of playing as many games as Andersen has as a Maple Leaf and only a handful in the league are capable of putting up elite numbers while doing so — think Andrei Vasilevskiy and Connor Hellebuyck.

Performance-wise, Andersen’s numbers have been decidedly average this season. Among 49 goalies who have played at least five games, Andersen sits middle of the pack in GAA, save percentage and goals saved above expectation.

Andersen may not win his team as many games as the elite goalies in the NHL, but he also won’t lose you many. For a Maple Leafs team that can shoot the lights out and has improved defensively, that’s likely all they need from their goaltender to compete for top spot in the division and beyond in the playoffs.

Understandably, that may not be satisfactory for a Maple Leafs fan base that has seen Andersen play at a higher level in recent years and are wondering if he can get back to that calibre of play.

One thing that has plagued Andersen in recent years is having an identifiable weakness in the net. Last season, it was five-hole where Andersen allowed a league-high 26 goals. This season, that hasn’t been a problem as Andersen has allowed only four goals in that area, proportionate to league averages.

However, another leaky area has popped up this season: high-blocker. The Senators scored four of their six goals against Andersen in this area Monday night, including the overtime goal by Evgenii Dadonov.

Andersen has been beat high-blocker an astounding 19 times this season, more than any goalie in the NHL. The 19 high-blocker goals account for almost half the total goals Andersen has allowed.

Nearly one out of every four shots Andersen has faced high-blocker have gone in this season and his .776 save percentage on shots in this location ranks 41st among 49 qualified goalies. This area of the net has not been a sore spot for him in years past so it could be a matter of small sample size. However, the fact that Andersen has had one area of the net that has given him more trouble than any goalie in the league over the past couple of seasons is concerning, especially considering the Maple Leafs will have a decision to make as to whether he will be their goalie of the future beyond this season.

Not all goals are scored the same way and if you watch all the goals that have beat Andersen high-blocker this season, there isn’t much of a pattern to suggest that one shot type is giving him problems. In all likelihood, this is probably more of an early trend than a major cause for concern.

All-in-all, Andersen has not shown recently that he’s a top-tier goalie, but he certainly wasn’t the main reason the Maple Leafs collapsed against the Senators Monday night. Toronto is still 11-3-2 and first place in the North Division — one spectacular loss should not overshadow what has been an excellent start to the season.

That said, it will be interesting to see how Andersen and the Maple Leafs respond Wednesday night. And while the disproportionate amount of goals against scored high-blocker may prove to be nothing more than an early season aberration you can be sure that opposing teams, like the Senators, have noticed.

We’ll see tonight if it’s an area of the net they target on Andersen.

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Dolphins will bring in another quarterback, while Tagovailoa deals with concussion

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MIAMI GARDENS, Fla. (AP) — The Miami Dolphins will bring in another quarterback while starter Tua Tagovailoa deals with his latest concussion, coach Mike McDaniel said Friday.

For now, Skylar Thompson will be considered the Dolphins’ starter while Tagovailoa is sidelined. Tagovailoa left Thursday night’s 31-10 loss to Buffalo in the third quarter with the third known concussion of his NFL career, all of them coming in the last 24 months.

“The team and the organization are very confident in Skylar,” McDaniel said.

McDaniel said the team has not made any decision about whether to place Tagovailoa on injured reserve. Tagovailoa was expected at the team facility on Friday to start the process of being evaluated in earnest.

“We just have to operate in the unknown and be prepared for every situation,” McDaniel said, noting that the only opinions that will matter to the team will be the ones from Tagovailoa and the medical staff.

McDaniel added that he doesn’t see Tagovailoa playing in Miami’s next game at Seattle on Sept. 22.

“I have no idea and I’m not going to all of a sudden start making decisions that I don’t even see myself involved in the most important parts of,” McDaniel added. “All I’m telling Tua is everyone is counting on you to be a dad and be a dad this weekend. And then we’ll move from there. There won’t be any talk about where we’re going in that regard … none of that will happen without doctors’ expertise and the actual player.”

Tagovailoa was 17 for 25 passing for 145 yards, with one touchdown and three interceptions — one of which was returned for a Buffalo score — when he got hurt. Thompson completed eight of 14 passes for 80 yards.

Thompson said he feels “fully equipped” to run the Dolphins’ offense.

“What’s going to lie ahead, who knows, but man, I’m confident, though,” Thompson said after Thursday’s game. “I feel like I’m ready for whatever’s to come. I’m going to prepare and work hard and do everything I can to lead this team and do my job.”

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Dolphins’ Tua Tagovailoa sustains third concussion of his career after hitting head on turf

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MIAMI GARDENS, Fla. (AP) — Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa sustained a concussion for the third time in his NFL career, leaving his team’s game Thursday night against Buffalo after running into defensive back Damar Hamlin and hitting the back of his head against the turf.

Tagovailoa remained down for about two minutes before getting to his feet and walking to the sideline after the play in the third quarter. He made his way to the tunnel not long afterward, looking into the stands before smiling and departing toward the locker room.

The Dolphins needed almost no time before announcing it was a concussion. The team said he had two during the 2022 season, and Tagovailoa was diagnosed with another concussion when he was a college player at Alabama.

Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel said Tagovailoa would get “proper procedural evaluation” and “appropriate care” on Friday.

“The furthest thing from my mind is, ‘What is the timeline?’ We just need to evaluate and just worry about my teammate, like the rest of the guys are,” McDaniel said. “We’ll get more information tomorrow and take it day by day from here.”

Some players saw Tagovailoa in the locker room after the game and said they were encouraged. Tagovailoa spoke with some players and then went home after the game, McDaniel said.

“I have a lot of love for Tua, built a great relationship with him,” said quarterback Skylar Thompson, who replaced Tagovailoa after the injury. “You care about the person more than the player and everybody in the organization would say the same thing. Just really praying for Tua and hopefully everything will come out all right.”

Tagovailoa signed a four-year, $212 million extension before this season — a deal that makes him one of the highest-paid players in the NFL — and was the NFL’s leading passer in Week 1 this season. Tagovailoa left with the Dolphins trailing 31-10, and that was the final score.

“If you know Tua outside of football, you can’t help but feel for him,” Bills quarterback Josh Allen said on Amazon following the game. “He’s a great football player but he’s an even greater human being. He’s one of the best humans on the planet. I’ve got a lot of love for him and I’m just praying for him and his family, hoping everything’s OK. But it’s tough, man. This game of football that we play, it’s got its highs and it’s got its lows — and this is one of the lows.”

Tagovailoa’s college years and first three NFL seasons were marred by injury, though he positioned himself for a big pay bump with an injury-free and productive 2023 as he led the Dolphins into the playoffs. He threw for 29 touchdowns and a league-best 4,624 yards last year.

When, or if, he can come back this season is anyone’s guess. Tagovailoa said in April 2023 that the concussions he had in the 2022 season left him contemplating his playing future. “I think I considered it for a time,” he said then, when asked if he considered stepping away from the game to protect himself.

McDaniel said it’s not his place to say if Tagovailoa should return to football. “He’ll be evaluated and we’ll have conversations and progress as appropriate,” McDaniel said.

Tagovailoa was hurt Thursday on a fourth-down keeper with about 4:30 left in the third. He went straight ahead into Hamlin and did not slide, leading with his right shoulder instead.

Hamlin was the player who suffered a cardiac arrest after making a tackle during a Monday night game in January 2023 at Cincinnati, causing the NFL to suspend a pivotal game that quickly lost significance in the aftermath of a scary scene that unfolded in front of a national television audience.

Tagovailoa wound up on his back, both his hands in the air and Bills players immediately pointed at him as if to suggest there was an injury. Dolphins center Aaron Brewer quickly did the same, waving to the sideline.

Tagovailoa appeared to be making a fist with his right hand as he lay on the ground. It was movement consistent with something that is referred to as the “fencing response,” which can be common after a traumatic brain injury.

Tagovailoa eventually got to his feet. McDaniel grabbed the side of his quarterback’s head and gave him a kiss on the cheek as Tagovailoa departed. Thompson came into the game to take Tagovailoa’s spot.

“I love Tua on and off the football field,” Bills edge Von Miller said. “I’m a huge fan of him. I can empathize and sympathize with him because I’ve been there. I wish him the best.”

Tagovailoa’s history with concussions — and how he has since worked to avoid them — is a huge part of the story of his career, and now comes to the forefront once again.

He had at least two concussions during the 2022 season. He was hurt in a Week 3 game against Buffalo and cleared concussion protocol, though he appeared disoriented on that play but returned to the game.

The NFL later changed its concussion protocol to mandate that if a player shows possible concussion symptoms — including a lack of balance or stability — he must sit out the rest of the game.

Less than a week later, in a Thursday night game at Cincinnati, Tagovailoa was concussed on a scary hit that briefly knocked him unconscious and led to him being taken off the field on a stretcher.

His second known concussion of that season came in a December game against Green Bay, and he didn’t play for the rest of the 2022 season. After that, Tagovailoa began studying ways where he may be able to fall more safely and protect himself against further injury — including studying jiu-jitsu.

“I’m not worried about anything that’s out of my hands,” McDaniel said. “I’m just worried about the human being.”

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David Beckham among soccer dignitaries attending ex-England coach Sven-Goran Eriksson’s funeral

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TORSBY, Sweden (AP) — David Beckham and former England coach Roy Hodgson were among the soccer dignitaries who attended the funeral of Sven-Goran Eriksson on Friday in the Swedish manager’s small hometown of Torsby.

Eriksson’s wooden coffin was covered in white flowers and surrounded by six tall candles and other floral wreaths as the ceremony began inside the 600-seat Fryksande church.

“It is a day of grief but also a day of thankfulness,” the priest, Ingela Älvskog, told those in attendance.

Beckham, who arrived by private jet on Thursday, greeted Eriksson’s 95-year-old father Sven and other family members with hugs inside the church before the funeral started.

Eriksson became England’s first foreign-born coach when he led the national team from 2001-06, and made Beckham his captain.

Eriksson, who also won trophies at club level in Italy, Portugal and Sweden, died on Aug. 26 at the age of 76, eight months after he revealed he had been diagnosed with pancreatic cancer and had at most one year to live.

Some 200 seats in the neo-Gothic church from 1898 were reserved for his family, friends and players from his career in the football world, according to his agent. The remaining seats were open for the public, according to Eriksson’s wish, with a big screen set up outside the church where hundreds more gathered to watch the ceremony. The funeral was also broadcast live on some Swedish media websites.

The wooden coffin was wheeled in by pallbearers at the church Friday morning as fog wrapped Torsby — a town of about 4,000 people located about 310 kilometers (193 miles) west of Stockholm. Next to the casket was a photo of Eriksson on a small table. The floral wreaths included ones sent by FIFA and Lazio, the Italian team that Eriksson led to the Serie A title in 2000.

The ceremony began with somber piano and organ music, but later took on a more upbeat note with Swedish singer Charlotta Birgersson performing Elton John’s song “Candle In The Wind” and then “My Way” in a duet with Johan Birgersson, who later intoned the popular Italian song “Volare” after the family had gathered around the casket to lay flowers.

Beckham also visited Eriksson in Sweden in June to say goodbye. Others attending the funeral included the Swedish coach’s longtime partner Nancy Dell’Olio. Eriksson’s agent had said that guests from England, Italy and Spain were expected.

After the funeral, the casket was carried out of the church by eight men to the hearse. The guests then walked in a procession accompanying the coffin to a nearby museum where speeches and eulogies to the coach fondly known as “Svennis” were planned on an outdoor stage. A brass band played during the procession through Torsby, including the tune “You never walk alone” from the musical “Carousel” which has become the anthem of Liverpool, the club Eriksson supported since childhood.

The local soccer club Torsby IF, where Eriksson started his career in the 1960s, wrote on its webpage that “you also showed your greatness by always being yourself, the caring Svennis who talked to everyone and took the time, for big and small, asking how things were and how the football was going. We will miss you.”

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