Another bad sign for the economy: Travel stocks are plunging - CNN | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Economy

Another bad sign for the economy: Travel stocks are plunging – CNN

Published

 on


Airlines are a barometer for sentiment. When people are traveling, it’s generally a sign the economy is doing well. Right now people are staying home — and the markets are reflecting that fear.
The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT), cousin to the more famous Dow 30, is down 5% in the past week and is nearly 18% below its 52-week high.
Amid the coronavirus worries, the transportation index is close to being in a bear market — which happens when a stock or index is 20% off a recent peak.
Commercial airline giants Southwest (LUV), United (UAL) and Delta (DAL) are among the 20 stocks in this index. So are railroad operators CSX (CSX) and Union Pacific (UNP), trucker J.B. Hunt (JBHT) and package delivery leaders FedEx (FDX) and UPS (UPS).
Airlines, railroads, truckers and shippers are responsible for getting consumer goods made in factories in China to warehouses and retailers around the world.
And transportation stocks — particularly airlines — take people from point A to point B for business trips and vacations.
“Transportation stocks are a leading indicator of anxiety. Travel plans are the first thing that people are canceling,” said Richard Steinberg, chief market strategist with The Colony Group.
With that in mind, President Trump and Vice President Mike Pence were meeting with airline CEOs Wednesday to talk about the impact of the coronavirus outbreak on air travel.

Companies cutting back on business trips. Will consumers follow?

Blue chip firms like Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Google (GOOGL) owner Alphabet and Amazon (AMZN) have already announced plans to cut back on corporate travel. Starbucks (SBUX) is now planning a virtual shareholder meeting. This is hurting online travel companies Booking (BKNG) (the owner of Priceline), Expedia (EXPE) and TripAdvisor (TRIP). Shares of big hotel chains Marriott (MAR), Wyndham (WH), Hilton (HLT) and Hyatt (H) have plunged in the past month, too.
If demand for the services of transportation companies begins to fall even more sharply than it already has, that’s a bad sign for the entire economy.
“People have changed their behavior. Nobody is going to want to go to Northern Italy or South Korea,” said Jim Carney, founder and CEO of alternative investment manager Parplus Partners. “That is hurting airlines and the rest of the transportation sector.”
It’s possible the coronavirus scare will remain relatively brief — another few weeks or months, perhaps — in which case the transportation sector could bounce back with the rest of the market. But it’s impossible to figure out when this health crisis might be over.
The Federal Reserve is trying to minimize the economic impact of the coronavirus. It slashed interest rates by a half percentage point in an emergency move on Tuesday. That move may help the markets, but it’s not clear if it will mean anything for consumers.
“We have no idea how long this is going to last,” Carney told CNN Business. “And cutting interest rates is not going to convince people to get on an airplane tomorrow.”
That may be true, but Steinberg is hopeful that travel — and transportation stocks — will rebound sooner rather than later.
“Air travel may be the first thing that comes back,” Steinberg said. “You can only use Zoom video conference calls for so long to do business. There will be normalization for the transportation sector eventually.”

Let’s block ads! (Why?)



Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Tentative deal reached in Metro Vancouver grain strike, federal minister says

Published

 on

 

VANCOUVER – Canada’s labour minister says striking grain terminal workers in Metro Vancouver and their employers have reached a tentative labour deal.

Steven MacKinnon announced the agreement between Grain Workers Union Local 333 and the Vancouver Terminal Elevators’ Association in a post on social media platform X, but provided no other details.

The union confirmed the tentative deal in a statement on Facebook, saying its members will conduct the ratification vote by Oct. 4.

The notification from the union also says picket lines were to be removed Saturday and members will return to work pending ratification, ending the strike that had paralyzed grain shipments from Metro Vancouver’s port.

The dispute had previously led to picket lines going up at six Metro Vancouver grain terminals on Tuesday as about 600 workers went on strike.

Canadian grain producers had urged a resolution in the dispute, noting about 52 per cent of the country’s grains moved through Metro Vancouver terminals last year en route to being exported.

Farmers say the strike, happening during crop harvesting, would result in as much as $35 million per day in lost exports.

The Western Grain Elevator Association said on Friday that talks had stalled after two days of negotiations this week, with the employer saying it had increased its offers to settle “outstanding issues.”

The employers group had said they’ve reached the end of their “financial ability to conclude an agreement that industry can absorb” with the last offer, and it was up to the federally appointed mediator to report the results to MacKinnon for the next steps.

MacKinnon says in his tweet that both parties put in “the work necessary to get a deal done.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 28, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

S&P/TSX composite down Friday, U.S. markets mixed as Dow notches another high

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index dipped lower Friday despite strength in energy stocks, while U.S. markets were mixed as the Dow eked out another record but tech stocks dragged.

The mood Friday was mixed after a strong week for equities in both Canada and the U.S., said Andrew Buntain, vice-president and portfolio manager at Fiduciary Trust Canada.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed down 77.01 points at 23,956.82, one day after it . It closed over 24,000 for the first time on Thursday.

The strength this past week wasn’t just in North American markets, noted Buntain, as Chinese stocks enjoyed a rally after the country’s central banks announced a suite of measures intended to boost the economy.

Meanwhile, an undercurrent of broadening strength continued this week as investors spread out their interest beyond a narrow set of tech giants, said Buntain.

“Some of the sectors that have been ignored for several years have been some of the better performers this year,” he said.

“We’re very encouraged by that.”

In New York on Friday, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 137.89 points at 42,313. The S&P 500 index was down 7.20 points at 5,738.17 after setting an all-time high on Thursday, while the Nasdaq composite was down 70.70 points at 18,119.59.

A report Friday on one of the U.S. central bank’s preferred measures of inflation — the personal consumption expenditures price index — showed continued cooling.

The Federal Reserve started lowering its key interest rate last week, and is expected to keep going this fall and into 2025.

However, the Fed’s next interest rate decision isn’t until November, noted Buntain, so there’s plenty of data for the central bank to take in yet — including next week’s labour report.

The job market has been an increasingly key focus for the central bank after recent reports showed cooling in that area of the economy. Friday’s report also showed consumer spending in August didn’t meet economists’ expectations.

In Canada, where the Bank of Canada is set for its next rate decision later in October, Friday brought a GDP report that was a little stronger than expected, said Buntain.

“The Bank of Canada has already delivered three cuts and signalled maybe some further reductions,” he said.

If inflation continues to move lower, Buntain added, the Bank of Canada could even announce an outsized half-percentage-point cut, echoing the Fed’s move last week.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.08 cents US compared with 74.22 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was up 51 cents at US$68.18 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was up 15 cents at US$2.90 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$26.80 at US$2,668.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.60 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 27, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Statistics Canada reports real GDP grew 0.2% in July

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says real gross domestic product grew 0.2 per cent in July, following essentially no change in June, helped by strength in the retail trade sector.

The agency says the growth came as services-producing industries grew 0.2 per cent for the month.

The retail trade sector was the largest contributor to overall growth in July as it gained one per cent, helped by the motor vehicles and parts dealers subsector which gained 2.8 per cent.

The public sector aggregate, which includes the educational services, health care and social assistance, and public administration sectors, gained 0.3 per cent, while the finance and insurance sector rose 0.5 per cent.

Meanwhile, goods-producing industries gained 0.1 per cent in July as the utilities sector rose 1.3 per cent and the manufacturing sector grew 0.3 per cent.

Statistics Canada’s early estimate for August suggests real GDP for the month was essentially unchanged, as increases in oil and gas extraction and the public sector were offset by decreases in manufacturing and transportation and warehousing.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 27, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version