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Argentina defaults again as debt talks progress – Aljazeera.com

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Buenos Aires, Argentina – Argentina missed interest payments to international creditors on Friday, thrusting the economically besieged country back into default territory.

But there was cautious optimism among analysts – and the government – as talks to restructure $66bn in foreign debt appeared to be making headway. If the new deal happens, it could stave off a more dramatic financial unravelling.

The country officially extended the Friday deadline for its external debt offer to June 2 “in order to continue constructive discussions”, Economy Minister Martin Guzman said in a statement.

“The negotiations continue on a course that we consider positive, with increasing mutual understanding,” said Guzman on Friday, noting that while there remains “an important distance to cover”, all sides are still at the table. “For Argentina, it is of the essence that the deal is aligned with the payment capacity of the country.”

The initial offer called for a three-year grace period on payments, a 62 percent reduction in interest payments and a 5.4 percent cut to the principal. It was rejected by key groups of bondholders, who have presented counterproposals. Reuters reported that Argentina intends to amend its offer in the coming days.

Argentina’s ninth sovereign default

Guzman’s statement also addressed $500m in bond interest payments that had been due on April 22. The 30-day grace period expires at 5pm EST (21:00 GMT) on Friday, after which the country would technically enter into default for the ninth time in its history, according to economists. Reuters reported that Argentina’s ambassador to the United States sent a letter confirming the country would postpone making the bond payments due Friday.

Guzman said the outstanding payment is “also part of these discussions, and we expect it to be addressed in the broader agreement that we are pursuing”.

Argentina’s failure to pay the interest “will result in defaults across the various bond issuances,” the Ad Hoc Bondholder Group, which includes major asset managers including BlackRock Financial Management, Fidelity Management & Research and AllianceBernstein, said in a statement. However, “the Group understands that Argentina has expressed an intention to engage with creditors over the next week to try to find a comprehensive solution,” the statement said.

The Ad Hoc Bondholder Group collectively holds about $16.7bn of Argentina’s international bonds.

Another important creditor committee said failing to remedy the default would “prevent access to the international capital markets needed for the recovery of the Argentine economy and therefore will be detrimental to the Argentine people.”

The novel coronavirus and the economic shutdowns it begot have raised the stakes in Argentina’s already high-stakes duel with bondholders. A virus-induced lockdown worsened Argentina’s grim economic picture, which includes 46 percent inflation, a rapidly devaluing currency and a drawn-out recession.

For Minister Guzman, the goal is to snap Argentina out of the vicious boom-and-bust cycles that have devastated ordinary citizens, and damaged the country’s relationships with investors. Part of the problem has been high coupon rates that are meant to compensate investors for greater risk but also turn Argentina into a riskier bet, Guzman explained during a discussion at the Council on Foreign Relations last week. “We want to build on realism,” he said.

Both sides closer to a deal

Gabriel Rubinstein, a former governor of the Argentine Central Bank and head of the Buenos Aires firm Gabriel Rubinstein & Associates, described Friday’s missed payment as a “selective default”, and one that could be remedied if a new deal is struck.

“Argentina did not pay an obligation that was due today, but it didn’t say it wasn’t going to pay the rest of its debt,” he said.

What happens next is, to a large extent, up to bondholders. Those who did not get paid on Friday can launch legal action. And if 25 percent of them get together, they could declare the entire debt, not just the interest payments, in default. Such a move would trigger a devastating chain reaction.

“As of today, the default is no longer decided by Argentina; it’s decided by the bondholders,” said Rubinstein. “But since we’re very close to a possible deal, no one thinks anyone is going to start to make legal moves, with lawyers, when things could be resolved in 10 or 15 days.”

“I think Argentina is just now showing a willingness to negotiate, which it wasn’t showing earlier,” he added. “It’s much more likely that we will have a deal, but it’s not definitive.”

Lucia Pezzarini, an economist with the Buenos Aires firm Ecolatina, said Friday’s missed payment is not similar to what happened in 2001, when the country defaulted on $95bn in bonds and spiralled into years of economic and political chaos.

But, it’s not harmless either, Pezzarini says, “because there are always repercussions with going into default”.

“For me, the relevant news of the day is that Guzman said he was going to present another offer in the next few days,” she said.

Mark Weisbrot, co-director of the Center for Economic & Policy Research in Washington, DC in the US, said the Argentine negotiations have already produced important changes – in particular, a shift in the position of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which he said had pushed in the past for some of the policies that damaged Argentina. It now acknowledges that the country can’t afford its debt.

“There is now a recognition that it’s a mistake for all parties, and for the world, to try and force a government to maintain payments that aren’t sustainable,” Weisbrot said. “They could still end with an unsustainable solution, but this is progress – at least in how the negotiation is being interpreted by very influential actors like the IMF, and also the media.”

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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