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As The Economy Weakens, Business Leaders Grow Fearful – Forbes

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As the realization of stubbornly high inflation, paying more for less, a possible recession, an endless war in Eastern Europe, supply chain disruptions resulting in empty shelves and job cuts sink in, the United States may be entering the fear stage.

Working-class families worry about feeding their children. Young adults lament that they can’t afford the promised American dream of home ownership and starting a family. Only a year ago, the U.S. was reaping the benefits of economic prosperity. Now, 401(k)s, college funds for the kids and stock market investments have substantially plunged with no end in sight.

Emblematic of the mindset shift is what happened in the tech sector. After unbridled growth for over a decade, hiring thousands of well-paid professionals and offering them enticing amenities and perks, the party has abruptly ended. The end of cheap money is over due to the Federal Reserve Bank’s quantitative tightening and the government halting trillion-dollar financial stimulus programs.

You can see the results on LinkedIn, as thousands of newly laid-off tech workers post about their downsizing in pursuit of new jobs. Renowned venture capitalist Bill Gurley summarized the new landscape in an informative Twitter thread, stating that the “‘game on the field’ has changed.” During the economic boom, the tech companies “created a Disney-esque set of experiences [and] expectations.” Gurley added, “You can’t ‘wish away’ the fact that if your company isn’t cash-flow positive [and] capital is now expensive, you are living on borrowed time.”

Is Mark Zuckerberg Starting To Panic?

It’s been reported that fearful Meta, the parent company of Facebook, employees are expecting job cuts as high as 10%. Mark Zuckerberg, the imperial head of the once-invincible, social-media giant, said he would crack down on low performers.

Meta human resources chief Lori Goler struck a chord of fear, as she suggested in a memo that employees who couldn’t meet expectations in this new tougher environment may have to worry about the safety of their positions within the organization. Meta has been feeling the heat, as TikTok continues to steal market share.

The New York Post reported that Zuckerberg allegedly couldn’t maintain his composure when one of his employees inquired about vacation and personal days off during a meeting in which the CEO shared his plans for potentially letting go of underperforming workers.

The Wall Street Experts Sound The Alarm

You may recall the name Michael Burry from the book and film, The Big Short. He was one of the lone money managers to predict that the economy and stock market were in for a free fall. His reputation for making prescient market calls was cemented when the stock market crashed in the Great Recession.

Burry has been warning that the U.S. is in for another economic plunge, which would reverberate to the job market. Sensing that the White House is not owning up to the severe nature of the dilemma, he accused President Joe Biden of moving the goalposts on the definition of a recession (two consecutive quarters of contraction). Burry pointed out that Americans are using their credit cards to cover the high living costs. The high-interest rates on the debt will cause further concerns for the consumers.

His views are echoed in a new Maru public opinion poll, which found 57% of Americans are anxious over inflation’s impact on their financial situation, and 14% are experiencing a sense of fear, as they feel their lifestyle will decline.

Nouriel Roubini, chief executive of Roubini Macro Associates and teacher at New York University’s Stern School of Business, said, “There are many reasons why we are going to have a severe recession and a severe debt and financial crisis.” Roubini, another expert who predicted the financial meltdown of 2008 and 2009, told Bloomberg, “The idea that this is going to be short and shallow is totally delusional. Today, we face supply shocks in a context of much higher debt levels, implying that we are heading for a combination of 1970s-style stagflation and 2008-style debt crises—that is, a stagflationary debt crisis.” He believes that U.S. stocks will most likely plunge lower and drop by 50%.

Walmart’s Warning

Walmart’s share price plummeted about 10% and its management cut its quarterly and full-year profit guidance. Walmart, the largest big-box retailer, is a bellwether for the economy. So it’s alarming that one of the most successful U.S. companies that cater to working Americans is experiencing challenges.

As inflation hits a 40-year high and prices are uncomfortably rising, families are cutting back on their purchases. While they are buying necessities, such as food (which have low-profit margins), families are skimping on electronics and other items that don’t need to be bought at this time. The problem for Walmart and other retailers is that the profits are more substantial with the big-ticket items.

There are also concerns in an array of other sectors. For example, Wall Street is seeing fewer M&A, IPOs and deal-making activities. In addition, real estate faces headwinds as cash-strapped families can’t afford the higher monthly mortgage payments and are walking away from purchasing homes. Similarly, renters are not able to afford the rent in major cities.

Here’s Some Positivity

Famed Wall Street analyst Ed Yardeni offered some comfort. In a Bloomberg interview, the longtime securities analyst said the worst has passed for this bear market. The Yardeni Research president contends that the S&P 500’s plummet last month to a 3,666.77 low was most likely the bottom of the 2022 stock market rout. In addition, he points to the recent corporate earnings mainly looking solid, as American consumers continue to spend and there is still a high employment rate.

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A timeline of events in the bread price-fixing scandal

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Almost seven years since news broke of an alleged conspiracy to fix the price of packaged bread across Canada, the saga isn’t over: the Competition Bureau continues to investigate the companies that may have been involved, and two class-action lawsuits continue to work their way through the courts.

Here’s a timeline of key events in the bread price-fixing case.

Oct. 31, 2017: The Competition Bureau says it’s investigating allegations of bread price-fixing and that it was granted search warrants in the case. Several grocers confirm they are co-operating in the probe.

Dec. 19, 2017: Loblaw and George Weston say they participated in an “industry-wide price-fixing arrangement” to raise the price of packaged bread. The companies say they have been co-operating in the Competition Bureau’s investigation since March 2015, when they self-reported to the bureau upon discovering anti-competitive behaviour, and are receiving immunity from prosecution. They announce they are offering $25 gift cards to customers amid the ongoing investigation into alleged bread price-fixing.

Jan. 31, 2018: In court documents, the Competition Bureau says at least $1.50 was added to the price of a loaf of bread between about 2001 and 2016.

Dec. 20, 2019: A class-action lawsuit in a Quebec court against multiple grocers and food companies is certified against a number of companies allegedly involved in bread price-fixing, including Loblaw, George Weston, Metro, Sobeys, Walmart Canada, Canada Bread and Giant Tiger (which have all denied involvement, except for Loblaw and George Weston, which later settled with the plaintiffs).

Dec. 31, 2021: A class-action lawsuit in an Ontario court covering all Canadian residents except those in Quebec who bought packaged bread from a company named in the suit is certified against roughly the same group of companies.

June 21, 2023: Bakery giant Canada Bread Co. is fined $50 million after pleading guilty to four counts of price-fixing under the Competition Act as part of the Competition Bureau’s ongoing investigation.

Oct. 25 2023: Canada Bread files a statement of defence in the Ontario class action denying participating in the alleged conspiracy and saying any anti-competitive behaviour it participated in was at the direction and to the benefit of its then-majority owner Maple Leaf Foods, which is not a defendant in the case (neither is its current owner Grupo Bimbo). Maple Leaf calls Canada Bread’s accusations “baseless.”

Dec. 20, 2023: Metro files new documents in the Ontario class action accusing Loblaw and its parent company George Weston of conspiring to implicate it in the alleged scheme, denying involvement. Sobeys has made a similar claim. The two companies deny the allegations.

July 25, 2024: Loblaw and George Weston say they agreed to pay a combined $500 million to settle both the Ontario and Quebec class-action lawsuits. Loblaw’s share of the settlement includes a $96-million credit for the gift cards it gave out years earlier.

Sept. 12, 2024: Canada Bread files new documents in Ontario court as part of the class action, claiming Maple Leaf used it as a “shield” to avoid liability in the alleged scheme. Maple Leaf was a majority shareholder of Canada Bread until 2014, and the company claims it’s liable for any price-fixing activity. Maple Leaf refutes the claims.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:L, TSX:MFI, TSX:MRU, TSX:EMP.A, TSX:WN)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 250 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 250 points in late-morning trading, led by strength in the base metal and technology sectors, while U.S. stock markets also charged higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 254.62 points at 23,847.22.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 432.77 points at 41,935.87. The S&P 500 index was up 96.38 points at 5,714.64, while the Nasdaq composite was up 486.12 points at 18,059.42.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.68 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was up 89 cents at US$70.77 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down a penny at US2.27 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$9.40 at US$2,608.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.33 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Construction wraps on indoor supervised site for people who inhale drugs in Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Supervised injection sites are saving the lives of drug users everyday, but the same support is not being offered to people who inhale illicit drugs, the head of the BC Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS says.

Dr. Julio Montaner said the construction of Vancouver’s first indoor supervised site for people who inhale drugs comes as the percentage of people who die from smoking drugs continues to climb.

The location in the Downtown Eastside at the Hope to Health Research and Innovation Centre was unveiled Wednesday after construction was complete, and Montaner said people could start using the specialized rooms in a matter of weeks after final approvals from the city and federal government.

“If we don’t create mechanisms for these individuals to be able to use safely and engage with the medical system, and generate points of entry into the medical system, we will never be able to solve the problem,” he said.

“Now, I’m not here to tell you that we will fix it tomorrow, but denying it or ignoring it, or throw it under the bus, or under the carpet is no way to fix it, so we need to take proactive action.”

Nearly two-thirds of overdose deaths in British Columbia in 2023 came after smoking illicit drugs, yet only 40 per cent of supervised consumption sites in the province offer a safe place to smoke, often outdoors, in a tent.

The centre has been running a supervised injection site for years which sees more than a thousand people monthly and last month resuscitated five people who were overdosing.

The new facilities offer indoor, individual, negative-pressure rooms that allow fresh air to circulate and can clear out smoke in 30 to 60 seconds while users are monitored by trained nurses.

Advocates calling for more supervised inhalation sites have previously said the rules for setting up sites are overly complicated at a time when the province is facing an overdose crisis.

More than 15,000 people have died of overdoses since the public health emergency was declared in B.C. in April 2016.

Kate Salters, a senior researcher at the centre, said they worked with mechanical and chemical engineers to make sure the site is up to code and abidies by the highest standard of occupational health and safety.

“This is just another tool in our tool box to make sure that we’re offering life-saving services to those who are using drugs,” she said.

Montaner acknowledged the process to get the site up and running took “an inordinate amount of time,” but said the centre worked hard to follow all regulations.

“We feel that doing this right, with appropriate scientific background, in a medically supervised environment, etc, etc, allows us to derive the data that ultimately will be sufficiently convincing for not just our leaders, but also the leaders across the country and across the world, to embrace the strategies that we are trying to develop.” he said.

Montaner said building the facility was possible thanks to a single $4-million donation from a longtime supporter.

Construction finished with less than a week before the launch of the next provincial election campaign and within a year of the next federal election.

Montaner said he is concerned about “some of the things that have been said publicly by some of the political leaders in the province and in the country.”

“We want to bring awareness to the people that this is a serious undertaking. This is a very massive investment, and we need to protect it for the benefit of people who are unfortunately drug dependent.” he said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 18, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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