As the spring real estate market nears, there's very little to buy in London, Ont. - CBC.ca | Canada News Media
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As the spring real estate market nears, there's very little to buy in London, Ont. – CBC.ca

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As the traditional spring selling season nears, realtors in the London, Ont., region say it won’t be an expected borrowing rate hike on Wednesday that threatens to cool a hot spring housing market, but a lack of inventory. 

With such a lack of inventory, there’s just not enough to go around.– Randy Pawlowski, LSTAR president

This year opened with the second best January on record in terms of home sales, according to the London St. Thomas Association of Realtors (LSTAR). It reported 529 homes sold in a month traditionally seen as a sluggish.

That same month, there were 669 new listings, of which 383 of them were snapped up, leaving only 286 homes for sale in the entire region, or, as LSTAR president Randy Pawlowski sees it, less than two weeks worth of inventory.

“The new listings will hit the market and they’re gone within a week.” 

‘The hope is we see more inventory come to market’

“Honestly, this is the first time in my 25 years in this business where folks are calling and looking for housing and I’m having to say to them we’re sold out or it’s just hard to find.” 

The 2021 census suggests the population of London, Ont., grew by 10 per cent, making it the fastest growing community in Ontario and the fourth fastest in Canada. Realtors don’t expect that growth to slow down anytime soon. (Colin Butler/CBC)

Pawlowski, who runs a boutique brokerage with Sutton Group in Middlesex Centre, said the lack of inventory is putting a strain on the 2200 local realtors who are having a tough time finding a home for their clients. 

“Everybody thinks realtors are on their way to the bank every day, but with such a lack of inventory, there’s just not enough to go around.” 

“The hope is we see more inventory come to market.”

First-time buyers, migrants from the GTA magnify shortage

What’s causing the shortage, according to realtors, is the same phenomenon that made London, Ont., the fastest growing city in Ontario and the fourth fastest in Canada, according to the 2021 census. 

A recent report from Royal LePage says the median price of a home in London, Ont., rose by 30 per cent from $546,600 in 2020 to $710,700 in 2021. Realtors say they expect to see strong growth, despite a coming hike to the key lending rate. (Colin Butler/CBC News)

“We have a shortage of homes and too much demand,” said Peter D. Meyer, the owner and broker of record with Royal LePage-Triland realty in London, who’s been buying and selling homes in the region for 33 years. 

“We have a lot of people who are moving to London and buying but not adding any new inventory to the marketplace.”

He said they include people moving from the GTA and overseas, as well as Millennials, who Meyer said are looking to put down roots and, because of their sheer numbers, have an outsize influence on the city’s housing market. 

“That whole population is in prime buying mode,” he said. 

Rate hike could strain overextended homeowners

It’s because of those factors, Meyer believes, there will be no sign of any slowdowns when the Bank of Canada announces what’s widely expected to be a hike in the country’s key lending rate on Wednesday.

“We have a shortage of homes and too much demand,” he said. “At the end of the day, people need a place to live.”

Meyer said if the hike in the prime rate affects anything, it will likely be investors, who might pull back and wait for the things to settle down.

Pawlowski, meanwhile, thinks the predicted hike could force some homeowners who bought at too high a price to eventually sell, but not until the end of 2022. 

“Any of those rate increases will put a strain on their monthly payments and so, will the interest rate increases mean some of those folks are unable to afford the properties they’re in? I suspect so.”

First time homebuyer? 

CBC London is looking for you! We’re looking for first-time homebuyers for an upcoming story on the city’s real estate market. Please email londonnewstips@cbc.ca with your name, story and phone number. 

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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