ATTENTION Bombardier (TSX:BBD.B) Investors: Brace for Impact! - The Motley Fool Canada | Canada News Media
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ATTENTION Bombardier (TSX:BBD.B) Investors: Brace for Impact! – The Motley Fool Canada

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Bombardier (TSX:BBD.B) stock is already down 73%. Can it fall further? Yes, it can. Bombardier shareholders should brace for the impact as Standard & Poor’s removes the stock from the TSX Composite Index. Many ETFs that track the index will sell their positions, and some retail investors may sell out of panic. The stock, which is trading 27% above its 52-week low of $0.38, could make a new low.

The bearish sentiment for the stock comes as the TSX Composite Index is a barometre of the Canadian economy, and exclusion from the index shows that the stock is underperforming the economy. The COVID-19 pandemic outbreak sent the index down 34% in March. With partial recover, the index is down 11% year to date. During a downturn, investors look to buy defensive or value stocks that outperform the TSX Composite Index, and Bombardier is neither of the two.

The bearish case of Bombardier

Bombardier has significantly underperformed the index and failed to show any signs of recovery. The company has been making losses for four out of the last five years. It underwent a multi-year restructuring. It has sold its commercial aerospace operations and is selling its rail operations in favour of business jets programs — Challenger, Learjet, and Global Express. The company plans to use the proceeds from the sale to repay its debt, which is worth $10 billion.

Bombardier-Alstom deal is exposed to the pandemic uncertainty

However, the pandemic has worsened the economic conditions for Bombardier, leaving the company’s restructuring efforts in the dust. Firstly, the company is selling its rail business to Alstom for US$6.4 billion. It expects to complete the deal in the first half of 2021. So far, the transaction is on track, and both the companies are sticking to the original terms. However, one year is a long time. Many capital-intensive companies are downsizing in the current market situation. Depending on how the economic conditions play out, the deal could be revised, suspended, or cancelled.

Business jets are not a good business to be in the pandemic

Secondly, the pandemic has affected demand for business jets, Bombardier’s only operations left after restructuring. The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted travel and pushed corporate to remote working. Business jets operations, which were unaffected during the 2008 financial crisis, are also facing the impact of the coronavirus crisis. The company expects business jet demand to fall by 30-35% and is, therefore, cutting 2,500 jobs in that segment.

The aerospace industry is in a multi-year downturn

Lastly, if the problem was only with Bombardier, there was still hope for recovery. But the entire aerospace supply chain has taken a hit. Everyone, from rivals Boeing and Airbus to engine manufacturer Rolls Royce to airlines like Air Canada, has announced significant job cuts. The entire industry will take at least three years to recover.

Even before taking into account the above three factors, Bombardier reported a net loss of US$200 million and a net debt of around US$8 billion in the first quarter. The company reported negative free cash flow of US$1.6 billion and just US$2 billion in cash reserve. While the company was bleeding losses, its former CEO Alain Bellemare left the company with generous severance pay of $17.5 million.

Investors should brace for impact

The economy, industry, and fundamentals … nothing is in favour of Bombardier. And now, the stock market is also adding to its difficulties. Bombardier stock was listed in the TSX 60 index at the start of the year. But it is now being excluded even from the TSX Composite Index of 250 shares. The stock could fall double digits in the coming week, which will see more sellers than buyers. If you own the stock, brace for a steep decline this week. It is not a value stock that will generate returns in the future. Hence, it is better to sell this stock and invest it in other stocks that can at least earn market returns. 

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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