B.C.'s economy recovered faster than expected in 2021-22 | BC Gov News - BC Gov News | Canada News Media
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B.C.'s economy recovered faster than expected in 2021-22 | BC Gov News – BC Gov News

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The B.C. government releases Public Accounts every summer to provide people with an accounting of provincial revenues and expenses from the previous fiscal year. Public Accounts 2021-22 outlines the strength of B.C.’s economic resiliency and indicates that strong social supports do not come at the cost of prudent fiscal management.

Fiscal highlights

  • For calendar year 2021, the 6.2% growth in B.C. real gross domestic product (GDP) was better than the national average growth of 4.9%.
  • B.C.’s unemployment rate for 2021 reduced to 6.5%, continuing to be lower than the national rate of 7.5%.
  • Investments of $6 billion were made in taxpayer-supported infrastructure.
  • These investments continued while keeping taxpayer-supported debt affordable.
  • The Province’s taxpayer-supported debt-to-GDP ratio is the lowest in Canada at 17.9%. 
  • B.C.’s credit rating remains strong and is the best among provinces.
  • The Province’s strong rating keeps the cost of borrowing low.

Capital spending

The Province spent $6 billion on taxpayer-supported capital projects to build schools, roads, public transit and hospitals – an increase of $574 million from the 2020-21 fiscal year.

This includes:

  • $1.9 billion to build, upgrade and modernize kindergarten to Grade 12 and post-secondary schools;
  • $1.4 billion in B.C.’s transportation network; and
  • $1.6 billion on key health facilities.

Investing in capital infrastructure supports the needs of communities throughout the province while supporting economic recovery and a stronger B.C. Taxpayer-supported capital investments were $2.5 billion lower than budgeted due to a range of factors, such as supply chain delays and labour shortages associated with large projects currently in construction across all sectors. This highlights the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and heavy rains in November 2021 on supply chains, as well as the need to ensure that the Province continues to invest in people and training, so skilled workers are available to meet demand.

Scheduling changes for 2021-22 do not represent a reduction in capital spending, which has been moved to future years within the provincial capital plan.

COVID-19 spending

Spending on pandemic and recovery programs totalled $3.8 billion in 2021-22:

  • Vaccines were available for all British Columbians.
  • Small and medium-sized businesses could pay their rent or continue to grow through the Business Recovery Grant program.
  • Businesses that had to let workers go during the COVID-19 pandemic were able to apply for the increased employment incentive grants to help hire staff and continue to recover.
  • Care homes could hire COVID-19 screeners to help keep residents safe without drawing on limited staff resources.
  • Help was available for the hardest-hit sectors, including $100 million to the tourism industry, allowing municipalities to adapt and diversify their tourism infrastructure, and to support local Indigenous tourism businesses.
  • Support was available for 14,000 restaurants, bars, breweries, wineries, gyms and fitness centres, with more than $50 million through Circuit Breaker Business Recovery Grants.

Alongside skills training, community infrastructure, CleanBC and supports for vulnerable populations, including meals and temporary housing, government also invested in services that were crucial to protect the health, safety and livelihoods of all British Columbians.

Top three expense areas

Total spending on programs and services in health, education and social services increased by $2.3 billion.

Health

  • Total spending of $27.6 billion.
  • A total investment of $2 billion more than previous year.
  • Health care accounts for about 40% of all spending.
  • Since 2015-16, spending on health care has increased by 44%.
  • Spent on salaries, healthauthority operating costs and pandemic recovery programs.

Education

  • $15.8 billion in education funding.
  • Spent on salaries, benefits and increased operating costs as programs resumed from pandemic.

Social services

  • Total spending of $7.3 billion.
  • Investments have grown from 8.7% of the overall spending in 2016-17 to 11.5% in 2020-21, which is when social supports, including COVID-19 programs, hit $7.8 billion.
  • Investment in these supports remains higher than pre-pandemic levels at $7.3 billion spent in 2021-22, compared to $5.9 billion in 2019-20.

Debt levels

When calculating provincial debt, the Province adds to its financial statement debt all debt guarantees and the debt directly incurred by self-supported Crown corporations, reduced by sinking fund assets. This balance is referred to as the total provincial debt.

Taxpayer-supported debt increased by $2.6 billion in 2021-22. This amount includes $4.1 billion to fund capital investments for future program delivery, while the operating debt was reduced by $1.5 billion.

Self-supported debt increased by $975 million, mainly for investments in power projects. The key measure of taxpayer-supported debt-to-GDP ended the year at 17.9%, significantly lower than the 22.8% forecast in Budget 2021.

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Energy stocks help lift S&P/TSX composite, U.S. stock markets also up

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was higher in late-morning trading, helped by strength in energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also moved up.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 34.91 points at 23,736.98.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 178.05 points at 41,800.13. The S&P 500 index was up 28.38 points at 5,661.47, while the Nasdaq composite was up 133.17 points at 17,725.30.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.56 cents US compared with 73.57 cents US on Monday.

The November crude oil contract was up 68 cents at US$69.70 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up three cents at US$2.40 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$7.80 at US$2,601.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.28 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Canada’s inflation rate hits 2% target, reaches lowest level in more than three years

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OTTAWA – Canada’s inflation rate fell to two per cent last month, finally hitting the Bank of Canada’s target after a tumultuous battle with skyrocketing price growth.

The annual inflation rate fell from 2.5 per cent in July to reach the lowest level since February 2021.

Statistics Canada’s consumer price index report on Tuesday attributed the slowdown in part to lower gasoline prices.

Clothing and footwear prices also decreased on a month-over-month basis, marking the first decline in the month of August since 1971 as retailers offered larger discounts to entice shoppers amid slowing demand.

The Bank of Canada’s preferred core measures of inflation, which strip out volatility in prices, also edged down in August.

The marked slowdown in price growth last month was steeper than the 2.1 per cent annual increase forecasters were expecting ahead of Tuesday’s release and will likely spark speculation of a larger interest rate cut next month from the Bank of Canada.

“Inflation remains unthreatening and the Bank of Canada should now focus on trying to stimulate the economy and halting the upward climb in the unemployment rate,” wrote CIBC senior economist Andrew Grantham.

Benjamin Reitzes, managing director of Canadian rates and macro strategist at BMO, said Tuesday’s figures “tilt the scales” slightly in favour of more aggressive cuts, though he noted the Bank of Canada will have one more inflation reading before its October rate announcement.

“If we get another big downside surprise, calls for a 50 basis-point cut will only grow louder,” wrote Reitzes in a client note.

The central bank began rapidly hiking interest rates in March 2022 in response to runaway inflation, which peaked at a whopping 8.1 per cent that summer.

The central bank increased its key lending rate to five per cent and held it at that level until June 2024, when it delivered its first rate cut in four years.

A combination of recovered global supply chains and high interest rates have helped cool price growth in Canada and around the world.

Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem recently signalled that the central bank is ready to increase the size of its interest rate cuts, if inflation or the economy slow by more than expected.

Its key lending rate currently stands at 4.25 per cent.

CIBC is forecasting the central bank will cut its key rate by two percentage points between now and the middle of next year.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is also expected on Wednesday to deliver its first interest rate cut in four years.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Federal money and sales taxes help pump up New Brunswick budget surplus

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FREDERICTON – New Brunswick‘s finance minister says the province recorded a surplus of $500.8 million for the fiscal year that ended in March.

Ernie Steeves says the amount — more than 10 times higher than the province’s original $40.3-million budget projection for the 2023-24 fiscal year — was largely the result of a strong economy and population growth.

The report of a big surplus comes as the province prepares for an election campaign, which will officially start on Thursday and end with a vote on Oct. 21.

Steeves says growth of the surplus was fed by revenue from the Harmonized Sales Tax and federal money, especially for health-care funding.

Progressive Conservative Premier Blaine Higgs has promised to reduce the HST by two percentage points to 13 per cent if the party is elected to govern next month.

Meanwhile, the province’s net debt, according to the audited consolidated financial statements, has dropped from $12.3 billion in 2022-23 to $11.8 billion in the most recent fiscal year.

Liberal critic René Legacy says having a stronger balance sheet does not eliminate issues in health care, housing and education.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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