Bank of Canada can't solve housing crisis, Tiff Macklem says | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Business

Bank of Canada can’t solve housing crisis, Tiff Macklem says

Published

 on

Governor says housing affordability can’t be fixed by raising or lowering interest rates

Rising shelter costs are now the biggest contributor to above-target inflation, but Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem said the central bank is powerless to address them. That was just one of the limits of monetary policy that Macklem outlined in a Feb. 6 speech before the Montreal Council on Foreign Relations about what the bank can and can’t do — a topic that has taken on urgency as the public and policy makers clamour for solutions to issues such as housing affordability. Here are three key takeaways from Macklem’s speech.

Interest rates can’t solve the housing crisis

Housing affordability cannot be fixed by raising or lowering interest rates, the Bank of Canada governor said. Shelter price inflation has been elevated for several years and increased further in the past six months. But none of the underlying reasons behind the country’s housing supply crunch can be addressed by monetary policy, Macklem said.

He said that while shelter price inflation partly reflects the impact of increases in the central bank’s policy rate on mortgage interest costs, it also reflects increases in rents and other housing costs, which are more related to the structural shortage of housing.

“That is not something monetary policy can fix. But it is something we need to understand and factor into monetary policy because it is affecting the cost of living for Canadians,” he said.

While monetary policy has big effects on the housing sector and changes in the policy rate affect demand for housing very quickly due to their influence on mortgages, Macklem said the effects of monetary policy on supply are much more limited.

The pandemic proved monetary policy can control inflation

Canada experienced the deepest recession on record and inflation fell sharply at the start of the pandemic, Macklem said. The economy then had the fastest recovery ever when it reopened.

He said that amid the huge swings in the economy, monetary policy has shown it has the power to control inflation over the medium term.

“The last few years have caused some people to question monetary policy. That’s not surprising,” he said.

Combined actions by governments in rolling out fiscal stimulus and the Bank of Canada in cutting the policy rate to near zero helped keep the economy going and avoided deflation, Macklem said.

He added that they probably could have begun withdrawing stimulus sooner, but that even if they had, the impact on post-pandemic inflation would have been minimal.

Hitting the two per cent inflation every month

Because interest rates affect everyone in every nook and cranny of the economy, Macklem said they inevitably influence demand and inflation.Adjusting only one interest rate in the entire system sets in motion an effective chain reaction that ultimately controls inflation — but it doesn’t work immediately.

Rather, he said, monetary policy works with a lag of more than a year. This means that by the time a policy change affects inflation, the relative price shock that caused concern has typically run its course.

Those relative price shocks are fluctuations in specific prices, often for energy and food, because of things like geopolitical events, droughts and transportation disruptions. As long as these don’t broaden into more generalized price changes, they have a temporary or transitory effect on inflation, he said.

Macklem noted that central banks can’t prevent short-run fluctuations in inflation caused by these relative price shocks.

“We typically look through them, since reacting would add even more volatility,” he said.Recognizing that there will be temporary fluctuations, he said the bank aims for the centre of its one per cent to three per cent band, so inflation is in the band most of the time.

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

Published

 on

 

MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

Published

 on

 

Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version