The Bank of Canada’s interest-rate cut threatens to overheat the country’s booming housing markets, making it easier for home buyers to borrow and further driving up real estate prices.
A number of cities, including Toronto and others in Southern Ontario, Ottawa, Montreal and Victoria, were already under pressure with strong demand for homes and dwindling supply inflating property values.
But with the coronavirus spreading around the world and business activity slowing, the central bank slashed its key interest rate Wednesday to 1.25 per cent from 1.75 per cent in an attempt to keep the economy humming. That followed deep anxiety in public markets where investors sought protection in bonds, sending yields down.
“The dramatic rate cuts and the related bond rally to record low yields will put housing on steroids,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist with Bank of Montreal. “This will probably override consumer caution related to the coronavirus, although there may be a temporary chill in activity due to those concerns.”
Realtors in the Toronto region say the market was active in January and February because of the shortage of home listings and growing demand. They say the climate is reminiscent of 2017, when prices were increasing rapidly and frantic buyers were making offers well over asking. The average selling price of a home reached $910,290 last month, a 17-per-cent increase over the previous year.
In the Niagara area, the benchmark selling price has nearly doubled over five years as investors have flocked to the U.S. border region because of the relatively low house prices. “Rate cuts typically increase interest and give buyers more buying power,” said Brad Johnstone, a realtor with Royal LePage who has worked in the Niagara region for more than two decades. “Low inventory and high demand are still fuelling a strong real estate market. … Prices keep going up,” he said.
In Montreal, the number of sales hit a record high last year and the area’s real estate board has said the city has entered a “phase of exuberance.” In Victoria, the benchmark selling price is up 4 per cent over the past year and the national housing agency, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., has said the region has a “high degree of vulnerability” because of accelerating prices and overvaluation.
In the greater Vancouver area, sales are rebounding dramatically and the average selling price is starting to rise again after housing policies slowed activity in 2018. “Demand has been picking up steadily and supply is low. Anytime that happens there is upward pressure on prices,” said the area’s real estate board president Ashley Smith, calling the rate cut helpful for buyers.
The federal Finance Department announced changes to its stress test last month for insured mortgages by making it more responsive to market mortgage rates, which have been falling. Some economists had warned that move alone could overstimulate hot markets.
Wednesday’s rate cut, the first since the oil crash in 2015 when the central bank reduced the key interest rate twice to ward off a recession, and the change in the mortgage stress test are expected to further stimulate the real estate market.
“It will accelerate an already active market. … Multiple offers and competition are rampant across Southern Ontario and Ottawa,” said Christopher Alexander, Re/Max’s regional director for Ontario and Eastern Canada. “Even before this rate cut, mortgage rates were historically low.”
Corinne Lyall, a broker owner of Royal LePage Benchmark in Calgary, said prospective home buyers are asking “Should I take advantage of this and how long do you think it will last?” Ms. Lyall expects the rate cut to give buyers an opportunity to lock in preapproved mortgage rates and get into the Calgary market, which has suffered from the oil slump and economic downturn.
The lower interest rate will make it easier for consumers to get a bigger mortgage, refinance their home loans and take out lines of credit. That is expected to drive up household debt, which is at a record high of $2.3-trillion and had been one of the Bank of Canada’s top concerns. In its statement announcing the rate decision, the central bank did not mention household debt or the real estate markets.
Consumers had been reducing their lines of credit since the Bank of Canada raised interest rates three times in 2018. The higher borrowing costs made it harder for consumers to service their debt, leading to an uptick in delinquency rates. Equifax said the Bank of Canada has given those consumers a temporary reprieve, but warned against loading up on debt on the expectation that rates would remain at this level.
“That stress should go down,” said Bill Johnston, vice-president at Equifax Canada. “Our concern is that they start to grow that line of credit again.”
Your time is valuable. Have the Top Business Headlines newsletter conveniently delivered to your inbox in the morning or evening. Sign up today.
Afterpay delays vote on $29 billion buyout as Square awaits Spain’s nod
Afterpay Ltd will delay a shareholder meet to approve Square Inc’s $29-billion buyout of the Australian buy now, pay later leader, as the Jack Dorsey-led payment company awaits regulatory nod in Spain.
The investor meet was set for Dec. 6, but Afterpay said it would likely take place next year as Square, which has rebranded itself to Block Inc, is likely to get an approval from the Bank of Spain only in mid-January.
The delay is unlikely to impact the completion of Australia‘s biggest deal, which is set for the first quarter of 2022, Afterpay said.
“We continue to believe the risks of the transaction closing are minimal,” RBC Capital Markets analyst Chami Ratnapala said in a brief client note.
Meanwhile, Twitter Inc co-founder Dorsey is expected to focus on Square after stepping down as chief executive of the social media platform as it looks to expand beyond its payment business and into new technologies like blockchain.
Afterpay shares fell more than 6%, far underperforming the broader Australian market, tracking Square’s 6.6% drop overnight in U.S. market on worries over the Omicron variant.
(Reporting by Nikhil Kurian, Sameer Manekar and Indranil Sarkar in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D’Silva, Rashmi Aich and Arun Koyyur)
Canada Goose under fresh fire in China over no-return policies
China’s top consumer protection organisation has warned Canada Goose Holdings Inc against “bullying” customers in China with its return policies, just three months after the winterwear brand was fined for false advertising.
The premium down jacket manufacturer has been a hot topic on Chinese social media in recent days over its handling of a case involving a customer who wanted a refund of her purchases amounting to 11,400 yuan ($1,790.17) after finding quality issues.
She said she was told by Canada Goose that all products sold at its retail stores in mainland China were strictly non-refundable, according to her account which went viral online.
State-backed media such as the Global Times newspaper later cited Canada Goose as denying that it had a no-refund policy and that all products sold at its retail stores in mainland China were refundable in line with Chinese laws. The company did not respond to Reuters’ request for comment.
That has not failed to quell criticism of the brand.
“No brand has any privileges in front of consumers,” the government-backed China Consumer Association (CCA) said in an opinion piece posted on its website on Thursday morning.
“If you don’t do what you say, regard yourself as a big brand, behave arrogantly and in a superior way, adopt discriminatory policies, be condescending and bully customers, you will for sure lose the trust of consumers and be abandoned by the market,” the CCA said.
Representatives of the brand were summoned for talks on Wednesday by the Shanghai Consumer Council to explain its refund policy in China.
The dressing down of Canada Goose comes as tension between China and Western countries has fuelled patriotism and driven some shoppers to turn to home-grown labels.
Canada Goose was also fined 450,000 yuan in September in China for “misleading” consumers in its ads.
($1 = 6.3681 Chinese yuan renminbi)
(Reporting by Sophie Yu, Brenda Goh; Editing by Kim Coghill)
Apple tells suppliers demand for iPhone 13 lineup has weakened – Bloomberg News
Apple Inc has told its component suppliers that demand for the iPhone 13 lineup has slowed, Bloomberg News reported on Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter, signaling that some consumers have decided against trying to get the hard-to-find item.
(Reporting by Maria Ponnezhath in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun Koyyur)
Turkey’s Erdogan replaces finance minister amid economic turmoil – Aljazeera.com
House prices in Canada will rise higher in 2022, real-estate report says – CTV News
Is it time for Anwar Ibrahim to step aside? – Aljazeera.com
Silver investment demand jumped 12% in 2019
Europe kicks off vaccination programs | All media content | DW | 27.12.2020 – Deutsche Welle
Iran anticipates renewed protests amid social media shutdown
News13 hours ago
Middle Class are Under Siege in Canada
Politics24 hours ago
Study: Politics Outweighed COVID Severity in Reopening Decisions – Inside Higher Ed
News12 hours ago
Super Powers Addiction to Opium
Health13 hours ago
How HIV research paved the way for the Covid mRNA vaccines – CNBC
Health16 hours ago
COVID-19 vaccine rolls out for children under 12 – Yahoo News Canada
Art22 hours ago
In the boreal forest, nature inspires art – Prince Albert Daily Herald
Media16 hours ago
Which media were included in Trudeau's $10 million top-up fund – CANADALAND
Health21 hours ago
Omicron could threaten COVID-19 immunity — but we're not going back to 'square one' – CBC.ca