adplus-dvertising
Connect with us

Business

Bank of Canada rate cut will put already hot real estate market ‘on steroids’

Published

 on

A home that is sold is photographed along Runnymede Rd. in Toronto on Wednesday, March 4, 2020.

Tijana Martin/The Globe and Mail

The Bank of Canada’s interest-rate cut threatens to overheat the country’s booming housing markets, making it easier for home buyers to borrow and further driving up real estate prices.

A number of cities, including Toronto and others in Southern Ontario, Ottawa, Montreal and Victoria, were already under pressure with strong demand for homes and dwindling supply inflating property values.

But with the coronavirus spreading around the world and business activity slowing, the central bank slashed its key interest rate Wednesday to 1.25 per cent from 1.75 per cent in an attempt to keep the economy humming. That followed deep anxiety in public markets where investors sought protection in bonds, sending yields down.

Story continues below advertisement

300x250x1

“The dramatic rate cuts and the related bond rally to record low yields will put housing on steroids,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist with Bank of Montreal. “This will probably override consumer caution related to the coronavirus, although there may be a temporary chill in activity due to those concerns.”

Realtors in the Toronto region say the market was active in January and February because of the shortage of home listings and growing demand. They say the climate is reminiscent of 2017, when prices were increasing rapidly and frantic buyers were making offers well over asking. The average selling price of a home reached $910,290 last month, a 17-per-cent increase over the previous year.

In the Niagara area, the benchmark selling price has nearly doubled over five years as investors have flocked to the U.S. border region because of the relatively low house prices. “Rate cuts typically increase interest and give buyers more buying power,” said Brad Johnstone, a realtor with Royal LePage who has worked in the Niagara region for more than two decades. “Low inventory and high demand are still fuelling a strong real estate market. … Prices keep going up,” he said.

In Montreal, the number of sales hit a record high last year and the area’s real estate board has said the city has entered a “phase of exuberance.” In Victoria, the benchmark selling price is up 4 per cent over the past year and the national housing agency, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., has said the region has a “high degree of vulnerability” because of accelerating prices and overvaluation.

In the greater Vancouver area, sales are rebounding dramatically and the average selling price is starting to rise again after housing policies slowed activity in 2018. “Demand has been picking up steadily and supply is low. Anytime that happens there is upward pressure on prices,” said the area’s real estate board president Ashley Smith, calling the rate cut helpful for buyers.

The federal Finance Department announced changes to its stress test last month for insured mortgages by making it more responsive to market mortgage rates, which have been falling. Some economists had warned that move alone could overstimulate hot markets.

Wednesday’s rate cut, the first since the oil crash in 2015 when the central bank reduced the key interest rate twice to ward off a recession, and the change in the mortgage stress test are expected to further stimulate the real estate market.

Story continues below advertisement

“It will accelerate an already active market. … Multiple offers and competition are rampant across Southern Ontario and Ottawa,” said Christopher Alexander, Re/Max’s regional director for Ontario and Eastern Canada. “Even before this rate cut, mortgage rates were historically low.”

Corinne Lyall, a broker owner of Royal LePage Benchmark in Calgary, said prospective home buyers are asking “Should I take advantage of this and how long do you think it will last?” Ms. Lyall expects the rate cut to give buyers an opportunity to lock in preapproved mortgage rates and get into the Calgary market, which has suffered from the oil slump and economic downturn.

The lower interest rate will make it easier for consumers to get a bigger mortgage, refinance their home loans and take out lines of credit. That is expected to drive up household debt, which is at a record high of $2.3-trillion and had been one of the Bank of Canada’s top concerns. In its statement announcing the rate decision, the central bank did not mention household debt or the real estate markets.

Consumers had been reducing their lines of credit since the Bank of Canada raised interest rates three times in 2018. The higher borrowing costs made it harder for consumers to service their debt, leading to an uptick in delinquency rates. Equifax said the Bank of Canada has given those consumers a temporary reprieve, but warned against loading up on debt on the expectation that rates would remain at this level.

“That stress should go down,” said Bill Johnston, vice-president at Equifax Canada. “Our concern is that they start to grow that line of credit again.”

Let’s block ads! (Why?)

728x90x4

Source link

Business

Meta shares sink after it reveals spending plans – BBC.com

Published

 on


Woman looks at phone in front of Facebook image - stock shot.

Shares in US tech giant Meta have sunk in US after-hours trading despite better-than-expected earnings.

The Facebook and Instagram owner said expenses would be higher this year as it spends heavily on artificial intelligence (AI).

Its shares fell more than 15% after it said it expected to spend billions of dollars more than it had previously predicted in 2024.

300x250x1

Meta has been updating its ad-buying products with AI tools to boost earnings growth.

It has also been introducing more AI features on its social media platforms such as chat assistants.

The firm said it now expected to spend between $35bn and $40bn, (£28bn-32bn) in 2024, up from an earlier prediction of $30-$37bn.

Its shares fell despite it beating expectations on its earnings.

First quarter revenue rose 27% to $36.46bn, while analysts had expected earnings of $36.16bn.

Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said its spending plans were “aggressive”.

She said Meta’s “substantial investment” in AI has helped it get people to spend time on its platforms, so advertisers are willing to spend more money “in a time when digital advertising uncertainty remains rife”.

More than 50 countries are due to have elections this year, she said, “which hugely increases uncertainty” and can spook advertisers.

She added that Meta’s “fortunes are probably also being bolstered by TikTok’s uncertain future in the US”.

Meta’s rival has said it will fight an “unconstitutional” law that could result in TikTok being sold or banned in the US.

President Biden has signed into law a bill which gives the social media platform’s Chinese owner, ByteDance, nine months to sell off the app or it will be blocked in the US.

Ms Lund-Yates said that “looking further ahead, the biggest risk [for Meta] remains regulatory”.

Last year, Meta was fined €1.2bn (£1bn) by Ireland’s data authorities for mishandling people’s data when transferring it between Europe and the US.

And in February of this year, Meta chief executive Mark Zuckerberg faced blistering criticism from US lawmakers and was pushed to apologise to families of victims of child sexual exploitation.

Ms Lund-Yates added that the firm has “more than enough resources to throw at legal challenges, but that doesn’t rule out the risks of ups and downs in market sentiment”.

Adblock test (Why?)

728x90x4

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Oil Firms Doubtful Trans Mountain Pipeline Will Start Full Service by May 1st

Published

 on

 

Pipeline

Oil companies planning to ship crude on the expanded Trans Mountain pipeline in Canada are concerned that the project may not begin full service on May 1 but they would be nevertheless obligated to pay tolls from that date.

300x250x1

In a letter to the Canada Energy Regulator (CER), Suncor Energy and other shippers including BP and Marathon Petroleum have expressed doubts that Trans Mountain will start full service on May 1, as previously communicated, Reuters reports.

Trans Mountain Corporation, the government-owned entity that completed the pipeline construction, told Reuters in an email that line fill on the expanded pipeline would be completed in early May.

After a series of delays, cost overruns, and legal challenges, the expanded Trans Mountain oil pipeline will open for business on May 1, the company said early this month.

“The Commencement Date for commercial operation of the expanded system will be May 1, 2024. Trans Mountain anticipates providing service for all contracted volumes in the month of May,” Trans Mountain Corporation said in early April.

The expanded pipeline will triple the capacity of the original pipeline to 890,000 barrels per day (bpd) from 300,000 bpd to carry crude from Alberta’s oil sands to British Columbia on the Pacific Coast.  

The Federal Government of Canada bought the Trans Mountain Pipeline Expansion (TMX) from Kinder Morgan back in 2018, together with related pipeline and terminal assets. That cost the federal government $3.3 billion (C$4.5 billion) at the time. Since then, the costs for the expansion of the pipeline have quadrupled to nearly $23 billion (C$30.9 billion).

The expansion project has faced continuous delays over the years. In one of the latest roadblocks in December, the Canadian regulator denied a variance request from the project developer to move a small section of the pipeline due to challenging drilling conditions.

The company asked the regulator to reconsider its decision, and received on January 12 a conditional approval, avoiding what could have been another two-year delay to start-up.

Adblock test (Why?)

728x90x4

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Tesla profits cut in half as demand falls

Published

 on

Tesla profits slump by more than a half

Tesla logo.

Tesla has announced its profits fell sharply in the first three months of the year to $1.13bn (£910m), compared with $2.51bn in 2023.

It caps a difficult period for the electric vehicle (EV) maker, which – faced with falling sales – has announced thousands of job cuts.

Boss Elon Musk remains bullish about its prospects, telling investors the launch of new models would be brought forward.

Its share price has risen but analysts say it continues to face significant challenges, including from lower-cost rivals.

300x250x1

The company has suffered from falling demand and competition from cheaper Chinese imports which has led its stock price to collapse by 43% over 2024.

Figures for the first quarter of 2024 revealed revenues of $21.3bn, down on analysts’ predictions of just over $22bn.

But the decision by Tesla to bring forward the launch of new models from the second half of 2025 boosted its shares by nearly 12.5% in after-hours trading.

It did not reveal pricing details for the new vehicles.

However Mr Musk made clear he also grander ambitions, touting Tesla’s AI credentials and plans for self-driving vehicles – even going as far as to say considering it to be just a car company was the “wrong framework.”

“If somebody doesn’t believe Tesla is going to solve autonomy I think they should not be an investor,” he said.

Such sentiments have been questioned by analysts though, with Deutsche Bank saying driverless cars face “technological, regulatory and operational challenges.”

Some investors have called for the company to instead focus on releasing a lower price, mass-market EV.

However, Tesla has already been on a charm offensive, trying to win over new customers by dropping its prices in a series of markets in the face of falling sales.

It also said its situation was not unique.

“Global EV sales continue to be under pressure as many carmakers prioritize hybrids over EVs,” it said.

Despite plans to bring forward new models originally planned for next year the firm is cutting its workforce.

Tesla said it would lose 3,332 jobs in California and 2,688 positions in Texas, starting mid-June.

The cuts in Texas represent 12% of Tesla’s total workforce of almost 23,000 in the area where its gigafactory and headquarters are located.

However, Mr Musk sought to downplay the move.

“Tesla has now created over 30,000 manufacturing jobs in California!” he said in a post on his social media platform X, formerly Twitter, on Tuesday.

Another 285 jobs will be lost in New York.

Tesla’s total workforce stood at more than 140,000 late last year, up from around 100,000 at the end of 2021, according to the company’s filings with US regulators.

Musk’s salary

The car firm is also facing other issues, with a struggle over Mr Musk’s compensation still raging on.

On Wednesday, Tesla asked shareholders to vote for a proposal to accept Mr Musk’s compensation package – once valued at $56bn – which had been rejected by a Delaware judge.

The judge found Tesla’s directors had breached their fiduciary duty to the firm by awarding Mr Musk the pay-out.

Due to the fall in Tesla’s stock value, the compensation package is now estimated to be around $10bn less – but still greater than the GDP of many countries.

In addition, Tesla wants its shareholders to agree to the firm being moved from Delaware to Texas – which Mr Musk called for after the judge rejected his payday.

Adblock test (Why?)

728x90x4

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending