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Bank of Canada set to make rate announcement, release economic outlook – CP24 Toronto's Breaking News

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Jordan Press, The Canadian Press


Published Wednesday, July 15, 2020 8:48AM EDT


Last Updated Wednesday, July 15, 2020 11:08AM EDT

OTTAWA – The Bank of Canada is holding its key interest rate at 0.25 per cent in response to what it calls the “extremely uncertain” economic outlook from the COVID-19 pandemic, and plans to keep it there until the picture improves.

In its updated outlook, the bank said Wednesday it expects the economy to contract by 7.8 per cent this year, driven downward by a year-over-year contraction of 14.6 per cent in the second quarter.

The report pegs the annual inflation rate at 0.6 per cent this year, rising to 1.2 per cent in 2021 and 1.7 per cent in 2022.

Its inflation target is 2 per cent, and the bank said in its policy statement it will maintain the current rate until that target is achieved.

The rate will have to stay low to provide “extraordinary monetary policy support” to help recuperate from the economic impact of COVID-19, it said.

The forecasts included in the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy report also come with a caution that the numbers could be thrown off.

The bank’s outlook is based on the assumption that there won’t be a broad-based second wave of the pandemic, that lockdowns will be gradually lifted, and the pandemic will have run its course by mid-2022 thanks to a vaccine or effective treatment.

The monetary policy report said there isn’t enough information to forecast how deep the economic scarring will be from business closures or widespread job losses.

It’s also unclear how quickly consumer demand will recover through changes in spending habits, work patterns and social behaviour, the report said.

Still, the central bank said it appears the country has avoided a worst-case scenario envisioned by the bank in its last report in April.

The central bank’s key interest rate has been at 0.25 per cent since March when it was rapidly dropped in response to the economic fallout from COVID-19.

Governor Tiff Macklem has seemingly ruled out any further drops and has said that the central bank doesn’t plan to raise the rate until well into an economic recovery.

The Bank of Canada’s June interest rate announcement came on Macklem’s first day on the job as the country’s top central banker. Though he was only observer during the June round of deliberations by the bank’s governing council, he endorsed the decision to keep the rate on hold.

The report Wednesday said growth will pick up beginning in this quarter, the third of the year, with the country recouping about 40 per cent of the drop in output from the first half of 2020.

Much of that will be driven by the reopening of businesses and partial rebound in spending, the bank says.

But after an initial, quick bounceback, Canada will enter what the bank calls a “recuperation phase” where the pace of recovery will slow.

“As reopening progresses, many people will probably continue to fear contracting the virus, and uncertainty about job security is likely to persist,” the report said.

“Both consumer and business confidence are therefore expected to remain subdued, restraining spending and employment, particularly in activities that involve in-person interaction.”

The bank said the pandemic will continue to affect consumer and business confidence during this phase amid widespread changes in the economy, including the energy sector where low prices and reduced demand have put production well below its pre-pandemic path.

As well, the shock facing the oil sector has “renewed questions about the likelihood of pipelines being developed,” the report said.

Some lower-income workers, disproportionately affected by job losses or cuts in earnings, “will face prolonged income losses” and push more households to the financial brink, the bank warns.

While higher income households may have excess savings to spend during this phase, some households will prioritize paying down debts, or padding rainy-day funds due to the uncertain economic environment, the report said.

Heavy discounts on unwanted inventory and smaller-than-planned price increases for firms will also act as a drag on inflation, which the bank expects to remain weak before gradually getting back to its two per cent target.

Housing activity is also expected to slow over the next few years with the ripple effects of the downturn, and lower immigration, the report said.

The central bank said it will provide a more detailed analysis of its long-run assumptions for the domestic economy when it updates it outlook in October.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published July 15, 2020.

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Housing growth, auto loans drive up demand for credit in third quarter: Equifax – Business News – Castanet.net

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Consumer demand for credit intensified in the third quarter, driven chiefly by increases in mortgage balances and new auto loans, according to data released Monday by credit reporting agency Equifax.

Mortgage balances and new auto loans were up 6.6 per cent and 11.7 per cent year over year, respectively, according to Equifax. Overall average consumer debt increased 3.3 per cent compared with the third quarter of last year.

Rebecca Oakes, assistant vice-president of advanced analytics at Equifax Canada, said in an interview that growth in mortgages last quarter was especially high, with the largest increase among people under 35. That trend comes even as economic fallout from the pandemic and associated lockdown measures hit young people especially hard.

“In terms of new mortgages, that could be refinancing, or it could be brand-new, first-time homebuyers or it could be people moving house,” Oakes said. “That was actually the highest value that we’ve seen ever.”

The increased demand for auto loans in the third quarter could have been a result of pent-up demand from people who had to wait to buy cars later in the year, Oakes said.

The figures in Equifax’s report are drawn from banks and other lenders that provide data to the credit rating agency.

Equifax pegged total consumer debt at $2.04 trillion, while Statistics Canada reported in June that household debt had reached $2.3 trillion, with $1.77 in debt for every dollar of household disposable income.

More than three million consumers have chosen to use payment deferral programs since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to Equifax. Since the start of this year, some banks have offered consumers the option to suspend their loan payments for several months, in recognition of the financial strain the pandemic has created for many households.

However, under the payment deferral programs, interest continues to accrue during the months for which payments are suspended.

The percentage of balances where credit users have missed three or more payments was at its lowest level since 2014, with deferral programs likely masking the true delinquency rates, according to Oakes.

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Stock market news live updates: Dow falls, but heads toward best month in more than three decades – Yahoo Canada Shine On

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GlobeNewswire

Biological Seed Treatment Market to be worth USD 2,037.5 Million By 2027 | Reports and Data

The rising demand in the agricultural sector for food grains and the scarcity of arable lands are driving the demand for the Biological Seed Treatment market.New York, Nov. 30, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — The Global Biological Seed Treatment Market is forecast to reach USD 2,037.5 million by 2027, according to a new report by Reports and Data. Rising demand in the agriculture sector for food grains and growing R&D to increase crop yield and seed potential is expected to drive the growth of the biological seed treatment market. The growing focus on organic farming in the agricultural sector is most likely to fuel the demand for biological seed treatment over the forecast period. The escalating need to enhance plant nutrients’ availability in the root system is boosting the demand for biological seed treatment solutions. The increasing awareness pertaining to the adverse effects of chemical seed treatment among health-conscious consumers is furthering the utilization of biological seed treatment solutions.The high cost associated with biological seed treatments and the lack of awareness among farmers regarding sustainable agricultural practices is restricting the growth of the biological seed treatment market over the forecast period.  Get FREE Sample Copy with TOC of the Report to understand the structure of the complete report@ https://www.reportsanddata.com/sample-enquiry-form/3696Further key findings from the report suggest * The increasing demand in the agricultural sector for food grains and scarcity of arable lands are driving the growth of the market. The increase in awareness among consumers regarding the environment and health has propelled the market growth. * The government of several countries has restricted the use of chemical pesticides and is encouraging biological seed treatment products. They are taking initiatives for promoting biological seed treatment products and awarding grants for the research and development of seed treatment products. * The Asia Pacific market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.4% over the forecast period, making it the fastest-growing region in the biological seed treatment market. There is a significant demand for biological seed treatment in the region for the minimization of the usage of excessive pesticides. * The biological seed treatment market is adopting some wiser strategies in order to say competitive between the growing demand for the products. Prominent brands in the sector have undertaken collaborations to expand their product portfolios and enter new markets. To retain the position of products in the competitive market, companies are adopting effective marketing and branding strategies. * Key participants include BASF SE, Syngenta International AG, Bayer CropScience AG, DuPont, Monsanto Company, Koppert Biological Systems, ADAMA agricultural solutions, Plant Health Care, Incotec, and Verdesian Life Sciences, among others.  BUY NOW (Customized Report Delivered as per Your Specific Requirement)@ https://www.reportsanddata.com/checkout-form/3696For the purpose of this report, Reports and Data has segmented the Global Biological Seed Treatment Market on the basis of product, function, crop type, and region: * Product Outlook (Revenue, USD Million; 2017-2027) * Botanicals & others * Microbials (Fungi, Bacteria) * Function Outlook (Revenue, USD Million; 2017-2027) * Seed Enhancement (Biostimulants, Biofertilizers) * Seed Protection (Biofungicides, Bioinsecticides) * Crop Type Outlook (Revenue, USD Million; 2017-2027) * Wheat * Corn * Sunflower * Cotton * Soybean * Vegetable crops * OthersTo identify the key trends in the industry, click on the link below:   https://www.reportsanddata.com/report-detail/biological-seed-treatment-market * Regional Outlook (Revenue, USD Million; 2017-2027) * North America 1. U.S. 2. Canada * Europe 1. Germany 2. U.K. 3. France 4. BENELUX 5. Rest of Europe * Asia Pacific 1. China 2. Japan 3. South Korea 4. Rest of APAC * MEA 1. Saudi Arabia 2. U.A.E. 3. Rest of MEA * Latin America 1. Brazil 2. Rest of LATAMTake a Look at our Related Reports:Natural Rubber Market Analysis by Product Type (RSS Grade, Latex Concentrate, Solid Block), Distribution Channel (Online, Offline), Application (Automobiles, Gloves, Footwear) and Region – Forecast To 2027Digital Farming Market Size, Share & Analysis, By Component (Hardware, Software, And Others), By Application (Precision Farming, Live Stock Monitoring, Green House Farming, And Others) And By Region – Forecasts To 2027Ornamental Fish Market By Types (Cold-water Fish, Tropical Fish) By Applications (Commercial Application, Residential Application) Forecast 2020 To 2027Fishing Nets and Aquaculture Cages Market By Type (Fishing Nets, Aquaculture Cages) By Application (Individual Application, Commercial Application) Regional Outlook And Forecasts, 2020-2027Dripline Market By Type (PC Dripline, Non-PC Dripline, Others), By Application (Farms, Commercial Greenhouses, Residential Gardeners, Others) And Region- Global Forecasts To 2027About Reports and DataReports and Data is a market research and consulting company that provides syndicated research reports, customized research reports, and consulting services. Our solutions purely focus on your purpose to locate, target and analyze consumer behavior shifts across demographics, across industries and help client’s make a smarter business decision. We offer market intelligence studies ensuring relevant and fact-based research across a multiple industries including Healthcare, Technology, Chemicals, Power, and Energy. We consistently update our research offerings to ensure our clients are aware about the latest trends existent in the market. Reports and Data has a strong base of experienced analysts from varied areas of expertise.Reports And Data | Web: www.reportsanddata.com Direct Line: +1-212-710-1370E-mail: sales@reportsanddata.comLinkdIn | Twitter | BlogsLinkdIn | Twitter | BlogsRead Full Press Release@ https://www.reportsanddata.com/press-release/global-biological-seed-treatment-market CONTACT: Contact Us: John W Head of Business Development Reports And Data | Web: www.reportsanddata.com Direct Line: +1-212-710-1370 E-mail: sales@reportsanddata.com LinkdIn | Twitter | BlogsLinkdIn | Twitter | Blogs

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Canadians now owe more than $2 trillion, Equifax says – CBC.ca

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Consumer demand for credit intensified in the third quarter, driven chiefly by increases in mortgage balances and new auto loans, according to data released Monday by credit reporting agency Equifax.

Mortgage balances and new auto loans were up 6.6 per cent and 11.7 per cent year over year, respectively, according to Equifax. Overall average consumer debt increased 3.3 per cent compared with the third quarter of last year.

Rebecca Oakes, assistant vice-president of advanced analytics at Equifax Canada, said in an interview that growth in mortgages last quarter was especially high, with the largest increase among people under 35. That trend comes even as economic fallout from the pandemic and associated lockdown measures hit young people especially hard.

“In terms of new mortgages, that could be refinancing, or it could be brand-new, first-time home buyers or it could be people moving house,” Oakes said. “That was actually the highest value that we’ve seen ever.”

The increased demand for auto loans in the third quarter could have been a result of pent-up demand from people who had to wait to buy cars later in the year, Oakes said.

Total debt $2 trillion

The figures in Equifax’s report are drawn from banks and other lenders that provide data to the credit rating agency.

Equifax pegged total consumer debt at $2.04 trillion, while Statistics Canada reported in June that household debt had reached $2.3 trillion, with $1.77 in debt for every dollar of household disposable income.

More than three million consumers have chosen to use payment deferral programs since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to Equifax. Since the start of this year, some banks have offered consumers the option to suspend their loan payments for several months, in recognition of the financial strain the pandemic has created for many households.

However, under the payment deferral programs, interest continues to accrue during the months for which payments are suspended.

The percentage of balances where credit users have missed three or more payments was at its lowest level since 2014, with deferral programs likely masking the true delinquency rates, according to Oakes.

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