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Barry Choi: These real estate changes would actually make housing affordable – Calgary Herald

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Canada’s politicians could (but won’t) do these 5 things to make housing more affordable

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Even though the federal government has focused on affordable housing in their new budget, the price of real estate remains unattainable in some parts of the country.

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Many young people are completely priced out unless they’re willing to move to another province, while others are taking on record debt levels. Unfortunately, real estate has become a status symbol for success and many Canadians are going all-in.

The funny thing is, if any government really wanted to make housing more affordable, they would just have to implement a few hard rules.

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Doing so would be difficult and stir up controversy. The change would mean falling house prices at a time when owners have come to expect prices always to rise. Hence, the politician to drop housing prices would risk being voted out in the next election.

Plus, anyone who works in real estate would claim it’s the end of the world (or the end of their profits) and use every avenue possible to fight the changes.

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For purely entertainment value, let’s look at some real estate rules that would actually make housing more affordable.

Previous attempts

Different governments at the federal and provincial levels have introduced multiple policies to address housing affordability, but every new rule seems to only make things more expensive. Let’s quickly highlight some of the rules that have come into play over the last 20 years:

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  • A 40-year mortgage amortization period (later rescinded)
  • Zero percent down payment mortgages (later rescinded)
  • Home Buyers’ Plan limit increased to $35,000
  • Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) debt limits increased
  • First-Time Home Buyer Incentive introduced
  • Mandatory affordable housing in some projects

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Technically speaking, many of these rules made housing “more affordable” since more buyers were able to enter the market. However, with more buyers, there’s more competition, so that just increased prices further.

Reduce amortization periods

Currently, CMHC insured mortgages have a maximum amortization period of 25 years. This means that homeowners have 25 years to pay off their mortgage.

If you have a down payment of at least 20 per cent, you can get an amortization period of 30 years.

Let’s say you’re trying to buy a home that costs $800,000, and you have a 10 per cent down payment. If you were to secure a mortgage at four per cent with a 25-year amortization period, your monthly payment would be $3,787.35.

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What happens if that mortgage term is reduced? With a shorter amortization period, your monthly carrying costs go up.

For a 20-year amortization period, the payment increases to $4,350.57. A $563 monthly difference would greatly affect how much you can borrow.

This drastic change would immediately price people out of the market and force others to take on smaller mortgages. However, it could be a benefit in the long run as there would be less demand, which would hopefully reduce prices.

Mortgage application verification from a third-party

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Let’s be honest. There’s a lot of mortgage fraud out there. Some mortgage brokers will push through your application with false documents as long as you pay them a fee. They might even loan you the funds to meet the mortgage requirements, which you would then immediately pay back to them once you secure your lending. While this may or may not happen often, it’s clearly a problem. It allows people to qualify for a mortgage when they wouldn’t under traditional methods.

What if there was a rule where every mortgage application had to be verified through a non-biased, third-party company? The cost of this service would be charged back to the financial institution providing the mortgage. Doing this would mean less fraud, and lenders would only be approving clients that can actually afford their payments.

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I’m not suggesting that there are a lot of corrupt mortgage brokers out there. But despite what financial institutions say, there’s clearly a problem with mortgage fraud. Lenders would hate this idea as it would increase their costs and real estate boards would strongly be opposed too since it could potentially lower how many people can afford to buy a home.

Increase minimum down payments

Currently, the minimum down payment for a CMHC-insured mortgage is five per cent, while uninsured mortgages require 20 per cent. What if we raised that to 15 per cent for insured mortgages, and 30 per cent for uninsured?

As soon as you increase the down payment requirement, many potential buyers will be priced out. While that may seem unfair, it’ll reduce the demand for housing. With fewer buyers available, prices would naturally drop. Of course, this assumes supply stays the same.

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Anyone who’s just starting to save their down payment would likely be strongly opposed to this, but this is another example of short-term pain leading to long-term gain.

Increase taxes on additional properties

Currently, capital gains on investment properties are taxed at 50 per cent. This is no different than other investments you hold. However, to reduce housing costs, how about increasing the capital gains tax on investment properties to 75 per cent or even 100 per cent. With this increased tax rate, people would likely be less interested in owning an investment property.

What if an investment property you sold increased in value by $100,000? Under the current system, 50 per cent of your gain ($50,000) would be added to your income and taxed at your marginal tax rate. Under my suggestion, $75,000, or the entire $100,000 profit, would be taxed.

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Or what about increasing property taxes on a sliding scale for each additional property you own? For example, if you own two properties, your property taxes double. When you own three, your taxes triple. These rules would lower the demand for investment properties and leave more inventory available for end users.

It would be great for people who just want to own a home for themselves, but investors and realtors would be up in arms as their profit margins would drop.

No more blind bidding

The current system where you bid blindly on real estate is broken. None of the bidders know what numbers they are competing against, forcing them to bid higher in the hopes of securing a home. This system needs to be changed immediately.

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If every potential buyer knew what the current bids were, they could just offer their maximum. If someone else decides to bid more, then it wasn’t meant to be. No potential buyer would be disappointed knowing they went in with their maximum offer, but someone bid higher. The seller still gets the top dollar for their home. It’s a win-win, right?

Starting in 2023, home sellers will have the option to reveal bid prices. However, since it’s not mandatory to disclose the prices, sellers will likely continue to keep bids a secret.

Some people that work in real estate argue that getting rid of blind bidding is not suitable for privacy reasons. However, the end of blind bidding would only reveal the numbers for the bids. Personal details such as the bidders’ names would not be disclosed.

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Something needs to be done

As long as politicians are more concerned about winning elections and individuals working in real estate are focused on profits, housing affordability will always be an issue.

Rising interest rates may slow down demand, but prices are already at all-time highs. Any future rate hikes will be slow, and in any case, mortgage borrowers are required to pass the “stress test” that ensures they can handle rate hikes of up to two percentage points.

None of the currently proposed solutions appear to be effective. Something drastic needs to happen. If we do nothing, potential homebuyers will continue to struggle.

This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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