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BC’s coronavirus cases show "disproportionate increase in young adults"

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COVID-19 cases in British Columbia are on a concerning upward trajectory, according to health officials.

On Thursday afternoon, Provincial Health Officer Dr. Bonnie Henry and Health Minister Adrian Dix presented the latest round of epidemiological modelling. This update marks the first round of new information since late July.

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Henry spoke in-depth about the spike in cases and the “disproportionate increase in young adults.”

“We’ve started to see a rapid increase over the last few weeks in younger people,” she told reporters. “That’s reflected in some of the numbers that we’re seeing as well as the discussion we’ve had over the last few weeks of exposure events, particularly social events, parties, get-togethers.”

Henry says that it’s during these kinds of gatherings where “younger people are coming together and the virus is being spread.”

Data from the province displayed a shift in cases towards a younger age group as well. Since the start of July, there’s been a spike among the 20- to 29-year-old age group as well as the 30- to 39-year-old age group.

The dark pink line represents the spike in cases among 20 to 29-year-olds. (Gov BC)

Henry noted that when the pandemic first began, the distribution of cases showed a “preponderance of older people,” which reflected the outbreaks occurring in care homes.

“Between June and August 8 we’ve seen a much broader increase, particularly people in their 20s and 30s,” she stressed. “This is related to the social events.”

A bar graph that, similarly, displays the shift in cases to young adults. (Gov BC)

When talking about the “disproportionate increase in cases,” Henry explained that while British Columbians between the age of 20 and 29 make up 13% of the population, they account for 17% of cases.

Similarly, those between 30 and 39 years of age account for 14% of the population but makeup 18% of known cases.

A chart giving a breakdown of coronavirus cases by age, compared to BC’s general population. (Gov BC)

Fortunately, health officials say that most people are being connected to “local cases and clusters,” which is the primary focus of contact tracing. Cases are still being introduced through international travel (such as temporary foreign workers) and Canadians returning to Canada, but the work surrounding contact tracing has been mostly successful.

Laboratory testing is also said to be in good condition, with health officials looking to build out and expand testing as BC enters the fall.

The focus now, according to Henry, falls on bending the curve back down while we still can.

Data from the provincial government shows that BC is above the threshold for new infections per case. Henry says that preferably, the province wants to have one or fewer infections for every new case, which would show that BC is “opening as much as it can without putting things at risk.”

Dynamic compartmental modelling that shows the number of new infections per case. (Gov BC)

She also said that dynamic modelling is showing an “upward trajectory” and although it’s “concerning,” it’s “not a predictive model.”

Modelling predictions suggest that cases could continue to increase moving into September. (Gov BC)

“It doesn’t tell us what’s going to happen, it tells us what can happen,” Henry stressed. “Right now, we have it in our ability to make the changes we need to bend that curve back down.”

Source:| News – Daily Hive

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How many Nova Scotians are on the doctor wait-list? Number hit 160,000 in June

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HALIFAX – The Nova Scotia government says it could be months before it reveals how many people are on the wait-list for a family doctor.

The head of the province’s health authority told reporters Wednesday that the government won’t release updated data until the 160,000 people who were on the wait-list in June are contacted to verify whether they still need primary care.

Karen Oldfield said Nova Scotia Health is working on validating the primary care wait-list data before posting new numbers, and that work may take a matter of months. The most recent public wait-list figures are from June 1, when 160,234 people, or about 16 per cent of the population, were on it.

“It’s going to take time to make 160,000 calls,” Oldfield said. “We are not talking weeks, we are talking months.”

The interim CEO and president of Nova Scotia Health said people on the list are being asked where they live, whether they still need a family doctor, and to give an update on their health.

A spokesperson with the province’s Health Department says the government and its health authority are “working hard” to turn the wait-list registry into a useful tool, adding that the data will be shared once it is validated.

Nova Scotia’s NDP are calling on Premier Tim Houston to immediately release statistics on how many people are looking for a family doctor. On Tuesday, the NDP introduced a bill that would require the health minister to make the number public every month.

“It is unacceptable for the list to be more than three months out of date,” NDP Leader Claudia Chender said Tuesday.

Chender said releasing this data regularly is vital so Nova Scotians can track the government’s progress on its main 2021 campaign promise: fixing health care.

The number of people in need of a family doctor has more than doubled between the 2021 summer election campaign and June 2024. Since September 2021 about 300 doctors have been added to the provincial health system, the Health Department said.

“We’ll know if Tim Houston is keeping his 2021 election promise to fix health care when Nova Scotians are attached to primary care,” Chender said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Newfoundland and Labrador monitoring rise in whooping cough cases: medical officer

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ST. JOHN’S, N.L. – Newfoundland and Labrador‘s chief medical officer is monitoring the rise of whooping cough infections across the province as cases of the highly contagious disease continue to grow across Canada.

Dr. Janice Fitzgerald says that so far this year, the province has recorded 230 confirmed cases of the vaccine-preventable respiratory tract infection, also known as pertussis.

Late last month, Quebec reported more than 11,000 cases during the same time period, while Ontario counted 470 cases, well above the five-year average of 98. In Quebec, the majority of patients are between the ages of 10 and 14.

Meanwhile, New Brunswick has declared a whooping cough outbreak across the province. A total of 141 cases were reported by last month, exceeding the five-year average of 34.

The disease can lead to severe complications among vulnerable populations including infants, who are at the highest risk of suffering from complications like pneumonia and seizures. Symptoms may start with a runny nose, mild fever and cough, then progress to severe coughing accompanied by a distinctive “whooping” sound during inhalation.

“The public, especially pregnant people and those in close contact with infants, are encouraged to be aware of symptoms related to pertussis and to ensure vaccinations are up to date,” Newfoundland and Labrador’s Health Department said in a statement.

Whooping cough can be treated with antibiotics, but vaccination is the most effective way to control the spread of the disease. As a result, the province has expanded immunization efforts this school year. While booster doses are already offered in Grade 9, the vaccine is now being offered to Grade 8 students as well.

Public health officials say whooping cough is a cyclical disease that increases every two to five or six years.

Meanwhile, New Brunswick’s acting chief medical officer of health expects the current case count to get worse before tapering off.

A rise in whooping cough cases has also been reported in the United States and elsewhere. The Pan American Health Organization issued an alert in July encouraging countries to ramp up their surveillance and vaccination coverage.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 10, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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