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TSX, Wall Street futures fade as earnings dominate, Fed awaited

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Equities

Wall Street futures steadied Tuesday with a earnings remaining in focus ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Reserve rate decision. Major European markets were down. TSX futures were also little changed as traders weigh the latest reading on Canada’s broad economic health.

In the early premarket period, futures linked to the key U.S. indexes had been in the red but found their footing as the North American open approached. All three saw weaker finishes on Monday but are on track for solid gains heading for the month. The S&P 500 is up more than 4 per cent for the month so far while the Nasdaq has gained more than 8 per cent. The S&P/TSX Composite Index ended down 0.7 per cent on Monday.

“The January rally has hit a wall and probably won’t have a chance of returning until we get beyond Wednesday’s Fed press conference and Apple’s results after the Thursday close,” OANDA senior analyst Ed Moya said.

On Tuesday, U.S. markets get quarterly earnings from McDonald’s, General Motors, Caterpillar and Pfizer. Snap reports after the close.

GM shares jumped in premarket trading after the auto maker posted adjusted earnings per share of US2.12 in the fourth quarter, topping analysts’ forecasts of US$1.69. Quarterly revenue came in at US$43.11-billion, also beating market expectations.

In Canada, Imperial Oil reported this morning while Canadian Pacific Railway posts results after the close of trading.

Calgary-based Imperial Oil reported higher fourth-quarter profit helped by higher prices and tighter supply. Imperial reported net income of $1.7-billion, or $2.86 per share, for the three months ended Dec. 31, up from $813-million or $1.18 per share, a year earlier.

On the economic side, Canadian investors got a reading on November gross domestic product from Statistics Canada before the start of trading. Statscan says the economy grew by 0.1 per cent in the quarter, in line with market forecasts. A preliminary estimate from the agency also suggests real gross domestic product grew by an annualized rate of 1.6 per cent in the fourth quarter, above the Bank of Canada’s forecast of 1.3 per cent.

“This report isn’t likely to cause the BoC to have any second thoughts regarding its recent pause,” TD senior economist James Orlando said. “The economy hasn’t yet absorbed the impact of past rate hikes. Though we are seeing the beginning of this, there is more to come, with GDP and employment growth set to stall in the coming months.”

Overseas, the pan-European STOXX 600 was down 0.68 per cent by midday. Britain’s FTSE 100 slid 0.73 per cent. Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 were off 0.46 per cent and 0.37 per cent, respectively. New figures released Tuesday showed GDP in the euro zone expanded by 0.1 per cent in the fourth quarter. Markets had been expecting a contraction of 0.1 per cent.

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei closed down 0.39 per cent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 1.03 per cent.

Commodities

Crude prices were weaker as markets remain cautious ahead of Wednesday’s Fed rate decision and traders weigh oil outflows from Russia.

The day range on Brent was US$85.73 to US$85.25 in the early premarket period. The range on West Texas Intermediate was US$76.63 to US$78.14.

“Oil prices remain soggy despite Asia’s unquenching thirst for all things oil,” Stephen Innes, managing partner with SPI Asset Management, said in a note.

“The problem for the oil bull is that thirst is getting satiated by discount Russian barrels.”

Reuters reports that Russia’s oil loadings from its Ust-Luga port are expected to rise at the beginning of February, despite western sanctions imposed over its invasion of Ukraine.

As well, traders remain wary of the midweek policy announcement from the Federal Reserve and a rate decision Thursday by the European Central Bank. Concerns remain that rising rates will temper economic growth and weigh on global demand.

However, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its 2023 global growth outlook slightly due to “surprisingly resilient” demand in the United States and Europe, an easing of energy costs and the reopening of China’s economy after Beijing abandoned its strict COVID-19 restrictions, according to Reuters.

Gold prices hit a one-week low as the U.S. dollar firmed ahead of tomorrow’s Fed decision.

Spot gold was down 0.8 per cent at US$1,906.51 per ounce by early Tuesday morning, its lowest level since Jan. 19. Still, gold is up more than 4 per cent on the month and remains headed for its third consecutive monthly increase.

U.S. gold futures were down 0.9 per cent at $1,922.00.

“Gold’s main kryptonite is if the Fed can’t control inflation and they need to tighten much more than markets are expecting,” OANDA’s Ed Moya said.

“Gold could enter the ‘danger zone’ if we get a couple more hotter-than-expected inflation reports and a robust [U.S. non-farm payrolls] report that suggests wage pressures will be here for a while.”

Currencies

The Canadian dollar was down while its U.S. counterpart advanced against a group of currencies but still looked set for its fourth monthly decline in a row.

The day range on the loonie was 74.30 US cents to 74.76 US cents in the early hours.

“The CAD gains are hard to come by but are easily conceded still, it seems, even if movement is driven mainly by external factors,” Shaun Osborne, chief FX strategist with Scotiabank, said, noting risk aversion and a strong U.S. dollar are both weighing on the loonie this morning.

On world markets, the U.S. dollar index, which weighs the currency against a group of peers, was up 0.31 per cent at 102.56 early Tuesday morning.

However, the index was down nearly 1 per cent for the month. A January decline would mark the fourth straight down month.

Elsewhere, the euro slid in early trading in Europe and was last down 0.41 per cent at US$1.081, according to figures from Reuters.

Britain’s pound was down 0.29 per cent at US$1.231, but was on track for its fourth monthly increase. The yen gained 0.1% at 130.34 per U.S. dollar and was set for its third monthly gain.

In bonds, the yield on the U.S. 10-year note was lower at 3.531 per cent in the predawn period.

More company news

Caterpillar Inc on Tuesday reported a lower-than-expected quarterly profit as increasing manufacturing costs related to materials and freight pressured the heavy machinery maker’s margins. Adjusted profit for the quarter ended December rose to $3.86 share from $2.69 a year earlier. Analysts on average had expected a profit of $4.02 per share, according to Refinitiv IBES data. –Reuters

Exxon Mobil Corp posted $59-billion in adjusted profit for 2022, the company said on Tuesday, taking home more than $6.7-million per hour last year, and setting not only a company record but a historic high for the Western oil industry. Oil majors are expected to break their own annual records on high prices and soaring demand, pushing their combined take to near $200-billion. The scale has renewed criticism of the oil industry and sparked calls for more countries to levy windfall profit taxes on the companies. Exxon’s results far exceeded the then-record $45.2 billion net profit it reported in 2008, when oil hit $142 per barrel, 30% above last year’s average price. Deep cost cuts during the pandemic helped supercharge last year’s earnings. -Reuters

Volkswagen is looking at setting up a battery cell factory in Ontario, the Handelsblatt business daily reported on Tuesday, adding that the province had offered investments and other incentives. Five entries from this month are listed in a lobby register of the province for Volkswagen, including one that mentions Chief Executive Oliver Blume by name, the report said, citing the documents. –Reuters

General Motors Co and Lithium Americas Corp on Tuesday announced they would jointly invest to develop the Thacker Pass mine in Nevada. Under the agreement, GM will make an equity investment of $650-million in Lithium Americas. -Reuters

Pfizer Inc. forecast 2023 sales of its COVID-19 products of $21.5-billion that fell short of Wall Street expectations, hit by lower demand in international markets and slower uptake of booster vaccines. The U.S. drugmaker said it expects sales of $13.5-billion from the vaccine for 2023, below Refinitiv estimates of $14.39-billion, and projected $8-billion in sales of its antiviral pill, Paxlovid, short of $10.33-billion the Street expects. –Reuters

McDonald’s Corp beat Wall Street estimates for quarterly comparable sales on Tuesday, boosted by higher menu prices, increased restaurant traffic and gains in most major markets. The burger chain’s global same-store sales increased 12.6% in the fourth quarter ended Dec. 31, compared with estimates for an 8.6% rise, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. Sales in the UK, Germany and France rose despite fears of a recession in Europe. -Reuters

Economic news

(8:30 a.m. ET) Canada’s monthly real GDP for November.

(8:30 a.m. ET) U.S. employment cost index for Q4.

(9 a.m. ET) S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (20 city) for November.

(9 a.m. ET) U.S. FHFA House Price Index.

(9:45 a.m. ET) U.S. Chicago PMI for January.

(10 a.m. ET) U.S. Conference Board Consumer Confidence for January.

Also: U.S. Fed meeting begins.

With Reuters and The Canadian Press

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:T)

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRP)

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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