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Before the Bell: What every Canadian investor needs to know today – The Globe and Mail

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Equities

Canada’s main stock index rose at Friday’s opening bell, marking the sixth straight session of gains, in the wake of a better-than-forecast reading on retail sales. On Wall Street, indexes were mixed at the start of trading with the tech-heavy Nasdaq lower after disappointing results took a toll on Snap Inc. shares.

At 9:31 a.m. ET, the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index was up 58.51 points, or 0.31 per cent, at 19,121.36. The TSX has posted gains in the five previous sessions.

In the U.S., the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.41 per cent, at the open to 32,167.92.

The S&P 500 opened lower by 0.52 points, or 0.01 per cent, at 3,998.43, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 34.24 points, or 0.28 per cent, to 12,025.37 at the opening bell.

All three U.S. indexes are on track for weekly gains.

Early Friday, shares of Snap Inc. sank 35 per cent in early trading after the company’s latest quarterly results disappointed investors. Revenue for the second quarter ended June 30 was US$1.11-billion, up 13 per cent from the year-earlier quarter. However, the figure also fell short of the US$1.14-billion analysts had been expecting. The company also said it planned to slow hiring.

“The Snap results came as a warning for other Big Tech names that rely on ad revenue,” Stephen Innes, managing partner with SPI Asset Management, said in a note.

“Therefore, FAANG stocks, which recovered to an almost two-month high yesterday, may not extend gains to the weekly close as the latest Snap results could reverse appetite for at least a couple of them, including Google and Meta before the closing bell.”

Meanwhile, Twitter Inc. reported a decline in quarter revenue citing industry headwinds due to the macroenvironment and uncertainty related to Elon Musk’s takeover bid. The two sides are now facing off in court after Mr. Musk pulled out of the deal. The social media company reported second-quarter revenue of US$1.18-billion, compared with US$1.19-billion a year earlier. Analysts were expecting US$1.32-billion, according to Refinitiv IBES data. Twitter shares were trading up slightly just after the opening bell.

In Canada, investors got a better-than-forecast reading on retail sales. Statistics Canada says sales rose 2.2 per cent in May. Economists had been looking for an increase of about 1.6 per cent. Sales were up in 8 of 11 subsectors, led by increased sales at gasoline stations and motor vehicle and parts dealers. Sales rose in every province.

“The advance estimate for June suggested a slowdown in sales to 0.3 per cent, which would represent a decline in volume terms,” CIBC economist Katherine Judge said. “Indeed, with consumption to shifting towards services, while inflation erodes consumer purchasing power, demand for discretionary goods will be under more pressure ahead.”

However, the agency also said it expects to see sales slow in June, with an early estimate indicating growth of 0.3 per cent for the month.

In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei finished 0.40-per-cent higher despite seeing losses early in the session. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.17 per cent.

Commodities

Crude prices struggled in a choppy session with demand concerns coming up against continued worries over tight supply.

The day range on Brent is US$103.20 to US$105.72. The range on West Texas Intermediate is US$95.65 to US$97.95. Both benchmarks feel about 3 per cent on Thursday.

“Global recession fears and the resumption of Russian gas flows to Europe seem to have been the catalyst [for the previous session’s losses], although I am sure that trading volatility recently is reducing liquidity as well, exacerbating movers,” OANDA senior analyst Jeffrey Halley said.

SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes also noted that traders are now looking ahead to next week’s rate decision from the Federal Reserve as recession fears cloud the outlook for demand.

“While 75 [basis-point rate hike] is in the cards, guidance will be important and any softening in the rate hike outlook would be great for global growth,” he said.

In other commodities, gold prices edged lower amid a stronger U.S. dollar and continued rate hikes by global central banks.

Spot gold was down 0.2 per cent at US$1,715.93 per ounce by early Friday morning. Prices dropped to their lowest level in more than a year at US$1,680.25 on Thursday before ending up 1.3 per cent. Gold has gained 0.5 per cent so far this week, according to Reuters.

U.S. gold futures rose 0.3 per cent to US$1,717.70 per ounce.

Currencies

The Canadian dollar was little changed while its U.S. counterpart advanced against a group of world currencies.

The day range on the loonie is 77.44 US cents to 77.74 US cents. The dollar was closer to the top end of that spread in the predawn period. The Canadian dollar is up more than 1 per cent against the greenback so far this week.

“The risk mood and broader USD tone is likely to set the tone for the CAD to a large extent on the session but the weekly gain in the CAD looks impressive,” Shaun Osborne, chief FX strategist with Scotiabank, said.

On world markets, U.S. dollar index, which weighs the greenback against six major peers, was last up 0.52 per cent to 107.17, following a 0.34-per-cent decline during the previous session. The index is off about 0.79 per cent for the week so far and looks headed to its first losing week in four, according to figures from Reuters.

The euro was down 0.8 per cent at US$1.0152, falling further from Thursday’s peak of US$1.0279 following the ECB first rate hike in 11 years.

Britain’s pound slipped 0.4 per cent to US$1.1955, trimming its gain for the week to 0.72 per cent, Reuters reports.

In bonds, the yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year note was lower at 2.811 per cent.

More company news

Calgary-based Bonterra Energy Corp. says George Fink will be retiring as the company’s president and CEO effective Sept. 6. Mr. Fink will remain on Bonterra’s board. Patrick Oliver will be succeeding Mr. Fink in the post and will be joining the board.

American Express Co posted a 14-per-cent fall in quarterly profit on Friday as higher costs and an increase in reserves for potentially sour loans overshadowed record cardholder spending. Net income fell to $1.96-billion, or $2.57 per share, in the three months ended June 30, from $2.28-billion, or $2.8 per share, a year earlier. But adjusted card member spending surged by 30 per cent as customers, undeterred by decades-high inflation, spent heavily on travel and entertainment.

Verizon Communications Inc cut its annual adjusted profit forecast after adding fewer-than-expected monthly bill-paying phone subscribers in the second quarter, a sign that red-hot inflation has begun impacting its business. The U.S. wireless carrier added 12,000 net phone subscribers who pay a monthly bill in the quarter compared with FactSet estimates of 150,800 additions. In the first quarter, Verizon had lost about 36,000 subscribers. The company now expects 2022 adjusted earnings per share in the range of US$5.10 and US$5.25 per share, lower than the prior outlook of US$5.40 to US$5.55.

Economic news

Euro area manufacturing, services and composite PMIs. UK releases consumer confidence, retail sales and PMIs.

(830 am ET) Canada retail sales for May.

(945 am ET) U.S. S&P global PMIs for July.

With Reuters and The Canadian Press

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The #1 Skill I Look For When Hiring

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File this column under “for what it’s worth.”

“Communication is one of the most important skills you require for a successful life.” — Catherine Pulsifer, author.

I’m one hundred percent in agreement with Pulsifer, which is why my evaluation of candidates begins with their writing skills. If a candidate’s writing skills and verbal communication skills, which I’ll assess when interviewing, aren’t well above average, I’ll pass on them regardless of their skills and experience.

 

Why?

 

Because business is fundamentally about getting other people to do things—getting employees to be productive, getting customers to buy your products or services, and getting vendors to agree to a counteroffer price. In business, as in life in general, you can’t make anything happen without effective communication; this is especially true when job searching when your writing is often an employer’s first impression of you.

 

Think of all the writing you engage in during a job search (resumes, cover letters, emails, texts) and all your other writing (LinkedIn profile, as well as posts and comments, blogs, articles, tweets, etc.) employers will read when they Google you to determine if you’re interview-worthy.

 

With so much of our communication today taking place via writing (email, text, collaboration platforms such as Microsoft Teams, Slack, ClickUp, WhatsApp and Rocket.Chat), the importance of proficient writing skills can’t be overstated.

 

When assessing a candidate’s writing skills, you probably think I’m looking for grammar and spelling errors. Although error-free writing is important—it shows professionalism and attention to detail—it’s not the primary reason I look at a candidate’s writing skills.

 

The way someone writes reveals how they think.

 

  • Clear writing = Clear thinking
  • Structured paragraphs = Structured mind
  • Impactful sentences = Impactful ideas

 

Effective writing isn’t about using sophisticated vocabulary. Hemingway demonstrated that deceptively simple, stripped-down prose can captivate readers. Effective writing takes intricate thoughts and presents them in a way that makes the reader think, “Damn! Why didn’t I see it that way?” A good writer is a dead giveaway for a good thinker. More than ever, the business world needs “good thinkers.”

 

Therefore, when I come across a candidate who’s a good writer, hence a good thinker, I know they’re likely to be able to write:

 

  • Emails that don’t get deleted immediately and are responded to
  • Simple, concise, and unambiguous instructions
  • Pitches that are likely to get read
  • Social media content that stops thumbs
  • Human-sounding website copy
  • Persuasively, while attuned to the reader’s possible sensitivities

 

Now, let’s talk about the elephant in the room: AI, which job seekers are using en masse. Earlier this year, I wrote that AI’s ability to hyper-increase an employee’s productivity—AI is still in its infancy; we’ve seen nothing yet—in certain professions, such as writing, sales and marketing, computer programming, office and admin, and customer service, makes it a “fewer employees needed” tool, which understandably greatly appeals to employers. In my opinion, the recent layoffs aren’t related to the economy; they’re due to employers adopting AI. Additionally, companies are trying to balance investing in AI with cost-cutting measures. CEOs who’ve previously said, “Our people are everything,” have arguably created today’s job market by obsessively focusing on AI to gain competitive advantages and reduce their largest expense, their payroll.

 

It wouldn’t be a stretch to assume that most AI usage involves generating written content, content that’s obvious to me, and likely to you as well, to have been written by AI. However, here’s the twist: I don’t particularly care.

 

Why?

 

Because the fundamental skill I’m looking for is the ability to organize thoughts and communicate effectively. What I care about is whether the candidate can take AI-generated content and transform it into something uniquely valuable. If they can, they’re demonstrating the skills of being a good thinker and communicator. It’s like being a great DJ; anyone can push play, but it takes skill to read a room and mix music that gets people pumped.

 

Using AI requires prompting effectively, which requires good writing skills to write clear and precise instructions that guide the AI to produce desired outcomes. Prompting AI effectively requires understanding structure, flow and impact. You need to know how to shape raw information, such as milestones throughout your career when you achieved quantitative results, into a compelling narrative.

So, what’s the best way to gain and enhance your writing skills? As with any skill, you’ve got to work at it.

Two rules guide my writing:

 

  • Use strong verbs and nouns instead of relying on adverbs, such as “She dashed to the store.” instead of “She ran quickly to the store.” or “He whispered to the child.” instead of “He spoke softly to the child.”
  • Avoid using long words when a shorter one will do, such as “use” instead of “utilize” or “ask” instead of “inquire.” As attention spans get shorter, I aim for clarity, simplicity and, most importantly, brevity in my writing.

 

Don’t just string words together; learn to organize your thoughts, think critically, and communicate clearly. Solid writing skills will significantly set you apart from your competition, giving you an advantage in your job search and career.

_____________________________________________________________________

 

Nick Kossovan, a well-seasoned veteran of the corporate landscape, offers “unsweetened” job search advice. You can send Nick your questions to artoffindingwork@gmail.com.

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Politics likely pushed Air Canada toward deal with ‘unheard of’ gains for pilots

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MONTREAL – Politics, public opinion and salary hikes south of the border helped push Air Canada toward a deal that secures major pay gains for pilots, experts say.

Hammered out over the weekend, the would-be agreement includes a cumulative wage hike of nearly 42 per cent over four years — an enormous bump by historical standards — according to one source who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter. The previous 10-year contract granted increases of just two per cent annually.

The federal government’s stated unwillingness to step in paved the way for a deal, noted John Gradek, after Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made it plain the two sides should hash one out themselves.

“Public opinion basically pressed the federal cabinet, including the prime minister, to keep their hands clear of negotiations and looking at imposing a settlement,” said Gradek, who teaches aviation management at McGill University.

After late-night talks at a hotel near Toronto’s Pearson airport, the country’s biggest airline and the union representing 5,200-plus aviators announced early Sunday morning they had reached a tentative agreement, averting a strike that would have grounded flights and affected some 110,000 passengers daily.

The relative precariousness of the Liberal minority government as well as a push to appear more pro-labour underlay the prime minister’s hands-off approach to the negotiations.

Trudeau said Friday the government would not step in to fix the impasse — unlike during a massive railway work stoppage last month and a strike by WestJet mechanics over the Canada Day long weekend that workers claimed road roughshod over their constitutional right to collective bargaining. Trudeau said the government respects the right to strike and would only intervene if it became apparent no negotiated deal was possible.

“They felt that they really didn’t want to try for a third attempt at intervention and basically said, ‘Let’s let the airline decide how they want to deal with this one,'” said Gradek.

“Air Canada ran out of support as the week wore on, and by the time they got to Friday night, Saturday morning, there was nothing left for them to do but to basically try to get a deal set up and accepted by ALPA (Air Line Pilots Association).”

Trudeau’s government was also unlikely to consider back-to-work legislation after the NDP tore up its agreement to support the Liberal minority in Parliament, Gradek said. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, whose party has traditionally toed a more pro-business line, also said last week that Tories “stand with the pilots” and swore off “pre-empting” the negotiations.

Air Canada CEO Michael Rousseau had asked Ottawa on Thursday to impose binding arbitration pre-emptively — “before any travel disruption starts” — if talks failed. Backed by business leaders, he’d hoped for an effective repeat of the Conservatives’ move to head off a strike in 2012 by legislating Air Canada pilots and ground crew to stick to their posts before any work stoppage could start.

The request may have fallen flat, however. Gradek said he believes there was less anxiety over the fallout from an airline strike than from the countrywide railway shutdown.

He also speculated that public frustration over thousands of cancelled flights would have flowed toward Air Canada rather than Ottawa, prompting the carrier to concede to a deal yielding “unheard of” gains for employees.

“It really was a total collapse of the Air Canada bargaining position,” he said.

Pilots are slated to vote in the coming weeks on the four-year contract.

Last year, pilots at Delta Air Lines, United Airlines and American Airlines secured agreements that included four-year pay boosts ranging from 34 per cent to 40 per cent, ramping up pressure on other carriers to raise wages.

After more than a year of bargaining, Air Canada put forward an offer in August centred around a 30 per cent wage hike over four years.

But the final deal, should union members approve it, grants a 26 per cent increase in the first year alone, retroactive to September 2023, according to the source. Three wage bumps of four per cent would follow in 2024 through 2026.

Passengers may wind up shouldering some of that financial load, one expert noted.

“At the end of the day, it’s all us consumers who are paying,” said Barry Prentice, who heads the University of Manitoba’s transport institute.

Higher fares may be mitigated by the persistence of budget carrier Flair Airlines and the rapid expansion of Porter Airlines — a growing Air Canada rival — as well as waning demand for leisure trips. Corporate travel also remains below pre-COVID-19 levels.

Air Canada said Sunday the tentative contract “recognizes the contributions and professionalism of Air Canada’s pilot group, while providing a framework for the future growth of the airline.”

The union issued a statement saying that, if ratified, the agreement will generate about $1.9 billion of additional value for Air Canada pilots over the course of the deal.

Meanwhile, labour tension with cabin crew looms on the horizon. Air Canada is poised to kick off negotiations with the union representing more than 10,000 flight attendants this year before the contract expires on March 31.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:AC)

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Federal $500M bailout for Muskrat Falls power delays to keep N.S. rate hikes in check

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HALIFAX – Ottawa is negotiating a $500-million bailout for Nova Scotia’s privately owned electric utility, saying the money will be used to prevent a big spike in electricity rates.

Federal Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson made the announcement today in Halifax, saying Nova Scotia Power Inc. needs the money to cover higher costs resulting from the delayed delivery of electricity from the Muskrat Falls hydroelectric plant in Labrador.

Wilkinson says that without the money, the subsidiary of Emera Inc. would have had to increase rates by 19 per cent over “the short term.”

Nova Scotia Power CEO Peter Gregg says the deal, once approved by the province’s energy regulator, will keep rate increases limited “to be around the rate of inflation,” as costs are spread over a number of years.

The utility helped pay for construction of an underwater transmission link between Newfoundland and Nova Scotia, but the Muskrat Falls project has not been consistent in delivering electricity over the past five years.

Those delays forced Nova Scotia Power to spend more on generating its own electricity.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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