Best way to bail out airlines hit by the coronavirus impact on their business is still up in the air - Financial Post | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Business

Best way to bail out airlines hit by the coronavirus impact on their business is still up in the air – Financial Post

Published

 on


Policymakers around the world are grappling with the question of how to save their airline industries as travel grinds to a halt in the face of the novel coronavirus pandemic.

While there is consensus that some kind of assistance will be required in Canada, where Air Canada has already announced a temporary layoff of workers and both it and WestJet have grounded international routes, the form that help will take has not yet been announced.

This week, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said the Canada Account — a financial vehicle managed by Export Development Canada that makes large loans and guarantees backed directly by the federal government — could be tapped to support the more “vulnerable” sectors battling economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, without mentioning airlines directly.

While the Canada Account was instrumental in the 2009 auto sector bailout during the financial crisis, Karl Moore, an associate professor at McGill University’s Desautels Faculty of Management, said it’s not clear that the government would tap it this time.

There are key differences between the automobile and airline industries, he said, which include their capital structure and the composition of the workforce. The performance of industry players is also far less inter-dependent than in the North American auto industry.

A more likely scenario for assistance would mirror what is already under way in other countries such as the United States and New Zealand, industry watchers say, where special government loans are being negotiated in exchange for caps on executive pay and restrictions around returning cash to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks.

Such a move would not be without precedent in Canada. In 2013, the federal government gave relief and extensions to allow Air Canada to manage a pension deficit that had ballooned to over $4 billion. In exchange, the airline had to agree to strict limits on executive pay, dividends and stock buybacks.


The General Motors plant in Oshawa, Ont.

Ernest Doroszuk/Toronto Sun/Postmedia

Another reason a direct repeat of the auto bailout may be unlikely is that the lifeline thrown to the Canadian divisions of U.S. automakers by Stephen Harper’s Conservative government at the height of the financial crisis wound up being politically controversial.

The taxpayer burden was a thorny issue for years and in 2018, a $2.6 billion loan (including interest) made to Chrysler was quietly written off by the subsequent Liberal government.

Meanwhile, the auto bailout ultimately did little to maintain the industry in Canada. General Motors has now closed what was at one time an economy-sustaining operation in Oshawa, Ont.

At the time of the auto bailout, Canada was under pressure to act because the fortunes of the Canadian companies and U.S. operations of Ford, General Motors and Chrysler were closely tied, and huge aid packages were being extended to the sector by Canada’s biggest trading partner.

Though many air carriers are suffering now, their fortunes are far less connected. And Canada’s airlines are in relatively good financial shape, led by Air Canada, the largest player.

Fitch Ratings reported that Air Canada’s updated credit rating is at BB, and WestJet’s at BB-

Fitch Ratings issued an updated report on Air Canada’s credit Thursday, and while the outlook was changed to negative from stable in light of the pandemic, the rating itself — at BB — was unchanged.

The outlook was similarly revised for WestJet Airlines, and the credit rating also maintained by Fitch — at BB-, a notch below Air Canada’s.

One wild card industry watchers point to regarding WestJet is that the airline, which was initially launched as a low-cost alternative to Air Canada, was recently purchased by private equity firm Onex Corp. in a deal that just closed in December. Private equity purchases tend to be heavily leveraged, and one observer who spoke on condition he would not be identified because of work he does in the sector, said Onex might be tempted to step away from the airline at some point to cut its losses.

Even Fitch warned that none of the airlines is impervious to a prolonged downturn. If the impact of the pandemic hits airlines for longer than a couple of quarters, it could lead to a downgrade of the Canadian carriers’ credit, the ratings agency said.

Still, the rated Canadian airlines appear to be doing better than many of their international counterparts. On Friday, Moody’s Investors Service suggested global airline capacity could fall by up to 35 per cent in 2020 due to the pandemic, and that weaker carriers could be pushed into default.


WestJet was recently purchased by private equity firm Onex Corp. Postmedia file photo

Jim Wells /

SunMedia

Despite the relative strength of Canada’s major airlines, what happens in the United States could very well play into Ottawa decision, according to a veteran Bay Street lawyer who has had dealings with the industry and government in the past.

Air Canada’s decision to put some 5,000 employees on temporary layoff until at least April 30, a move publicized early Friday by their union, the Canadian Union of Public Employees (CUPE), could also prompt political action, driven by the Liberals’ desire to protect working Canadians, he said.

The situation in the United States looks dire, and the U.S. Senate was considering a rescue package Friday. Delta Air Lines Inc. had said it expects second-quarter revenue to decline by $10 billion, and United Airlines Holdings Inc. said it would begin shedding its workforce in step with an expected decline in its schedule if sufficient government aid is not announced by the end of this month.

American Airlines PLC, meanwhile, banded together with unions Friday to demand cash in addition to loans from the U.S. government — which could be converted at some point into equity stakes — to help protect their workforce.

McGill’s Moore considers it very unlikely that Canadian airlines will wind up in government hands, particularly Air Canada, a former Crown corporation has performed well recently after emerging from government ownership in the late 1980s.

“It’s one of the better run airlines in the world,” Moore said, adding that it makes sense to “leave it to private sector rather than bring (it) under the government remit.”

It makes sense to leave (Air Canada) to the private sector rather than bring it under government remit

Karl Moore, associate professor, Desautels/McGill

If assistance comes to Canada’s airline industry, a rescue package can be expected to come with strings attached in whatever form it takes, at least for Air Canada.

The pension relief granted in 2013 marked a rare case in which the government stepped in to aid Canada’s largest airline, and, again, it was Stephen Harper’s government that did so. But that aid came with an intrusion into the company’s affairs that are usually left to executives and directors in the boardroom.

Other times when the airline could have used a helping hand, the government wasn’t there at all. In 2003, when the Liberals were in power, Air Canada’s business tumbled in the aftermath of the 9/11 terrorist attacks and the SARS health scare, and the carrier was forced to file for bankruptcy protection under the Canada Creditors Arrangement Act.

It emerged a stronger company, and industry watchers point out that it may well be able to weather the current crisis without a government bailout.

Nevertheless, the Air Transport Association of Canada, whose members include Porter Airlines as well as SunWing Airlines, said the expectation is that “any financial aid package for the transport industry would be made available to all carriers.”

“This is the only acceptable way to maintain a level playing field in such a difficult time,” John McKenna, the association’s chief executive, said in a letter to federal officials including the prime minister and finance minister Bill Morneau this week.

In the letter, he implored Ottawa to step in to ensure the domestic industry’s survival, insisting “government financial assistance is urgently needed to avert a crisis in the aviation industry.”

“The consequences of the crisis and of measures taken to contain the virus are having an immediate catastrophic economic impact on our industry,” McKenna wrote.

Let’s block ads! (Why?)



Source link

Business

Politics likely pushed Air Canada toward deal with ‘unheard of’ gains for pilots

Published

 on

 

MONTREAL – Politics, public opinion and salary hikes south of the border helped push Air Canada toward a deal that secures major pay gains for pilots, experts say.

Hammered out over the weekend, the would-be agreement includes a cumulative wage hike of nearly 42 per cent over four years — an enormous bump by historical standards — according to one source who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter. The previous 10-year contract granted increases of just two per cent annually.

The federal government’s stated unwillingness to step in paved the way for a deal, noted John Gradek, after Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made it plain the two sides should hash one out themselves.

“Public opinion basically pressed the federal cabinet, including the prime minister, to keep their hands clear of negotiations and looking at imposing a settlement,” said Gradek, who teaches aviation management at McGill University.

After late-night talks at a hotel near Toronto’s Pearson airport, the country’s biggest airline and the union representing 5,200-plus aviators announced early Sunday morning they had reached a tentative agreement, averting a strike that would have grounded flights and affected some 110,000 passengers daily.

The relative precariousness of the Liberal minority government as well as a push to appear more pro-labour underlay the prime minister’s hands-off approach to the negotiations.

Trudeau said Friday the government would not step in to fix the impasse — unlike during a massive railway work stoppage last month and a strike by WestJet mechanics over the Canada Day long weekend that workers claimed road roughshod over their constitutional right to collective bargaining. Trudeau said the government respects the right to strike and would only intervene if it became apparent no negotiated deal was possible.

“They felt that they really didn’t want to try for a third attempt at intervention and basically said, ‘Let’s let the airline decide how they want to deal with this one,'” said Gradek.

“Air Canada ran out of support as the week wore on, and by the time they got to Friday night, Saturday morning, there was nothing left for them to do but to basically try to get a deal set up and accepted by ALPA (Air Line Pilots Association).”

Trudeau’s government was also unlikely to consider back-to-work legislation after the NDP tore up its agreement to support the Liberal minority in Parliament, Gradek said. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, whose party has traditionally toed a more pro-business line, also said last week that Tories “stand with the pilots” and swore off “pre-empting” the negotiations.

Air Canada CEO Michael Rousseau had asked Ottawa on Thursday to impose binding arbitration pre-emptively — “before any travel disruption starts” — if talks failed. Backed by business leaders, he’d hoped for an effective repeat of the Conservatives’ move to head off a strike in 2012 by legislating Air Canada pilots and ground crew to stick to their posts before any work stoppage could start.

The request may have fallen flat, however. Gradek said he believes there was less anxiety over the fallout from an airline strike than from the countrywide railway shutdown.

He also speculated that public frustration over thousands of cancelled flights would have flowed toward Air Canada rather than Ottawa, prompting the carrier to concede to a deal yielding “unheard of” gains for employees.

“It really was a total collapse of the Air Canada bargaining position,” he said.

Pilots are slated to vote in the coming weeks on the four-year contract.

Last year, pilots at Delta Air Lines, United Airlines and American Airlines secured agreements that included four-year pay boosts ranging from 34 per cent to 40 per cent, ramping up pressure on other carriers to raise wages.

After more than a year of bargaining, Air Canada put forward an offer in August centred around a 30 per cent wage hike over four years.

But the final deal, should union members approve it, grants a 26 per cent increase in the first year alone, retroactive to September 2023, according to the source. Three wage bumps of four per cent would follow in 2024 through 2026.

Passengers may wind up shouldering some of that financial load, one expert noted.

“At the end of the day, it’s all us consumers who are paying,” said Barry Prentice, who heads the University of Manitoba’s transport institute.

Higher fares may be mitigated by the persistence of budget carrier Flair Airlines and the rapid expansion of Porter Airlines — a growing Air Canada rival — as well as waning demand for leisure trips. Corporate travel also remains below pre-COVID-19 levels.

Air Canada said Sunday the tentative contract “recognizes the contributions and professionalism of Air Canada’s pilot group, while providing a framework for the future growth of the airline.”

The union issued a statement saying that, if ratified, the agreement will generate about $1.9 billion of additional value for Air Canada pilots over the course of the deal.

Meanwhile, labour tension with cabin crew looms on the horizon. Air Canada is poised to kick off negotiations with the union representing more than 10,000 flight attendants this year before the contract expires on March 31.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:AC)

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Federal $500M bailout for Muskrat Falls power delays to keep N.S. rate hikes in check

Published

 on

 

HALIFAX – Ottawa is negotiating a $500-million bailout for Nova Scotia’s privately owned electric utility, saying the money will be used to prevent a big spike in electricity rates.

Federal Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson made the announcement today in Halifax, saying Nova Scotia Power Inc. needs the money to cover higher costs resulting from the delayed delivery of electricity from the Muskrat Falls hydroelectric plant in Labrador.

Wilkinson says that without the money, the subsidiary of Emera Inc. would have had to increase rates by 19 per cent over “the short term.”

Nova Scotia Power CEO Peter Gregg says the deal, once approved by the province’s energy regulator, will keep rate increases limited “to be around the rate of inflation,” as costs are spread over a number of years.

The utility helped pay for construction of an underwater transmission link between Newfoundland and Nova Scotia, but the Muskrat Falls project has not been consistent in delivering electricity over the past five years.

Those delays forced Nova Scotia Power to spend more on generating its own electricity.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version