BHP-Anglo American potential merger: It's all about copper | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Business

BHP-Anglo American potential merger: It’s all about copper

Published

 on

An electrified world has become increasingly dependent on battery metals, particularly on copper, and BHP is, not surprisingly, eager to secure a leading position in this market. A tie-up would give the mining giant about 10% of global copper production.

It would also boost its presence in the world’s top copper producing countries, Chile and Peru, as with the acquisition of Anglo American, BHP would gain access to four of the world’s largest copper mines — Collahuasi (with ownership of 44%), Los Bronces (50.1%), El Soldado (50.1%) and Quellaveco (60%). This would improve the company’s exposure to copper by about 40%.

BHP’s proposal is valued at £25.08 per Anglo share, a 14% premium to the target company’s closing price on Wednesday. According to analysts, the offer is not as sweet as it seems and they believe Anglo American is well-positioned to push for a better deal.

Given its conglomerate nature, finding a knockout price isn’t a simple task.

“Anglo American is an established conglomerate with a complex structure, featuring numerous partial ownership stakes and various defensive mechanisms, most of which are concentrated in its South African assets,” Jefferies’ Christopher LaFemina wrote in a note to clients.

The analyst believes that “a price of at least £28 per share would be necessary for serious discussions to take place, and a takeout price of well above £30 per share would be the outcome if other bidders were to get involved”.

“If we include our estimate of synergies on an after-tax present value basis, we estimate Anglo fair value to be 2824p per share, which equates to a $42.6 billion equity value. That is 28% above the most recent Anglo share price, and we believe it is a reasonable starting point,” LaFemina wrote.

Anglo American became a takeover target in recent years after output fell and costs mounted.

“It became a potential target for BHP as Anglo continued to post a weak top-line, even as its total debt kept increasing since 2021 as a result of the poor performance of platinum group metals (PGMs) and diamonds due to price fluctuations, geopolitical and economic situations, and other operational constraints,” Sathiya Narayanan Jalapathy, Business Fundamentals Analyst at GlobalData, wrote in an emailed statement.

“Amidst this, the company has reported growth of 31.5% in copper sales from $5,599 million in 2022 to $7,360 million in 2023 (…) Operationally, the combined entity could have a top line of over $84 billion, EBITDA of over $34 billion, and a workforce of close to 100,000, reinforcing its position as one the largest global players in the mining sector,” he noted.

“The deal would represent the biggest shakeup of the global mining industry in more than a decade,” says James Whiteside, metals and mining research director at Wood Mackenzie. “But Anglo American shareholders may consider fair value closer to the share price in 2023 before operational issues emerged and other suitors may be compelled to act at this price.”

Loading hauled ore from the mine into the primary crusher at Kumba Iron Ore’s Kolomela. (Image courtesy of Anglo American | Flickr.)

Berenberg analyst Richard Hatch is not convinced that Anglo presents significant turnaround opportunities.

“BHP is potentially buying a group of assets that need some care and attention,” Hatch wrote, referring to Anglo’s operations in South Africa. “This, in our view, offers limited upside at this point with current valuation multiples that would also imply a slightly dilutive deal for BHP.”

According to Fitch Group, BHP is “likely drawn by the company’s low valuation (stock down 12% over the LTM), with the company going through a multi-year operational restructuring. From a strategic standpoint, bigger is always better in the metals and mining sector.”

Highly opportunistic

Earlier on Thursday one of Anglo’s 20 largest shareholders, Legal & General Investment Management, said BHP’s approach was “highly opportunistic” and “unattractive”.

“As with many other UK-listed companies, we believe the valuation of Anglo American to be depressed and regard the proposed exchange ratio as an unattractive proposition for long-term investors,” Nick Stansbury, head of climate solutions at Legal & General Investment Management (LGIM), said in an emailed statement.

“The industry is extremely concentrated today, and further consolidating it will not contribute to accelerating investment in the way we believe is needed,” Stansbury said.

Anglo American did not respond to a request for comments but in a statement it said it was reviewing the proposal, which would require it to separate its majority holdings in South Africa of Anglo American Platinum (JSE: AMS) and Kumba Iron Ore (JSE: KIO) beforehand.

With a focus on the metal key to the energy transition, BHP itself bought copper producer OZ Minerals last year for about $6.4 billion while Rio Tinto (NYSE: RIO; LSE: RIO; ASX: RIO), the world’s second largest miner, has been investing in copper mines in Utah and Arizona.

Deal under the microscope

BMO Capital analyst Alexander Pearce highlighted that the deal to combine both miners would be subject to significant anti-trust/competition scrutiny, particularly when it comes to the copper assets.

The Anglo-owned Quellaveco and BHP-owned Antamina mines are key to Peru’s economy. If the merger is successful, both operations would be under the same ownership, raising questions of a potential market concentration issue or even a major political concern.

The deal could face government and local opposition due to the scale and influence of the combined company. Depending on the nature of the perceived problem, the antitrust solution may involve selectively selling off parts of the business that are deemed non-essential, in order to address concentration issues, while preserving the core copper assets that both companies view as strategically important. These are the issues in South America.

The issues the merged company could face in South Africa are equally or more difficult. The nation’s minerals resources minister Gwede Mantashe is not a big fan of BHP and has already voiced his opposition to BHP’s bid for Anglo.

Quellaveco copper mine in Peru. (Image courtesy of Anglo American | Flickr.)

Mantashe told the Financial Times that he was not in favour of BHP’s bid given the country’s previous “not positive” experience with the company, referencing the 2001 merger between BHP and Billiton that created the world’s largest mining company.

While he clarified this was his personal opinion and not the government official position on the matter, Mantashe said that BHP Billiton “never did much for South Africa” and led to “capital leaving the country.”

BHP in 2015 created and spinned off South32 (ASX, LON, JSE:S32), a company that inherited the South African assets and operations.Through this demerger, BHP effectively reduced its exposure to the country in a move interpreted as many as its attempt to limit its involvement in the country.

Anglo American, in contrast, embodies the mining tradition of South Africa. Started in the country in 1917, it holds the fourth-largest position in the FTSE/JSE Africa All Share Index, accounting for 4.3% of the index.

Anglo has controlling interests in two other mining companies listed on the South African stock exchange — Anglo American Platinum Ltd., also known as Amplats, and Kumba Iron Ore.

The company also owns another South African emblematic company: Diamond giant De Beers, which Anglo acquired more than a decade ago.

Adblock test (Why?)

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

Published

 on

 

Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Amazon rejects plea to stop selling taxi roof signs as cab scam spreads across Canada

Published

 on

After a long day at a work event in July, Kathryn Kozody was relieved when she spotted a car with a lit-up taxi sign.

She thought it was odd when the driver told her she’d have to pay her fare with a debit card. Still, a tired Kozody hopped in the car.

“I was like, ‘Fine, it’s kind of weird, but let’s go home,'” said Kozody, who lives in Calgary.

Nothing else seemed off — until the next day when she discovered that almost $2,000 was missing from her bank account. On top of that, her debit card had someone else’s name on it.

Kozody concluded that the taxi driver was a fraudster who, during the debit card transaction, recorded her PIN, stole her card and handed her back a fake.

“I started freaking out,” she said. “It’s terrifying when they have your debit card.”

It took Kozody about two weeks to get her money back from her bank, and she’s still rattled by the experience.

The day after taking what she thought was a ride in a taxi, Kathryn Kozody of Calgary found out someone had withdrawn almost $2,000 from her bank account. (James Young/CBC News)

“It really felt like an invasion of privacy and a violation to be a victim of this scam,” she said. “I really don’t want it to happen to anybody else.”

The taxi scam isn’t new; Toronto and Montreal have been seeing it for years. But the crime is becoming more widespread.

This summer, police in Calgary, Edmonton and at least five cities in southern Ontario, including Kingston and Ottawa, posted warnings online that they had received multiple reports of the scam.

Police and the Canadian Taxi Association say the fraudsters have a helping hand: with the click of a button, they can purchase a generic — but official looking — taxi roof sign on e-commerce sites like Amazon.

Edmonton Police posted this alert on Facebook in July, warning people about an ongoing taxi scam. The city’s police department says that it received about 10 reports of the scam that month. (Edmonton Police/Facebook )

The taxi association has asked Amazon, by far Canada’s most popular online shopping site, to stop making the roof signs so easily available.

“They do have a moral responsibility to at least sell the signs to individuals that are properly licensed,” said association president Marc André Way.

However, the U.S.-based company continues to sell the product to all customers.

“These lights are legal to sell in Canada,” Amazon told CBC News in an email.

‘Eye-popping’ numbers

The taxi scam has several variations but typically ends the same way: the victim pays with a debit card, then the scammer secretly steals it and hands the victim a similar but fake card. Shortly thereafter, money disappears from the victim’s account.

Ron Hansen, deputy chief of police in Sarnia, Ont., said his department received 12 reports of the scam in July, with one victim losing $9,900.

Toronto police report that since June 2023 the department has received 919 reports of the taxi scam, totalling $1.7 million in losses.

Jessica Chin King of Toronto said after a recent cab ride, she got a suspicious activity alert from her bank. She learned $600 had been withdrawn from her account. (Craig Chivers/CBC)

The numbers are “eye-popping,” said Toronto police detective David Coffey.

“When they do get a victim, they are quick to go right into the bank accounts. They’re quick to empty them out.”

Jessica Chin King of Toronto said just 15 minutes after a recent cab ride, she got a suspicious activity alert from her bank. Turns out, $600 had been withdrawn from her account.

“I was like, ‘Wow, I can’t believe that just happened.’ I was in shock,” said Chin King, whose bank later reimbursed the cash.

She said she too was fooled by the taxi sign atop the car.

“I was in the car with somebody who wasn’t a taxi driver. Anything could have happened,” she said. “I was thankful that it was only my bank [account] that was compromised.”

Taxi light for $35 on Amazon

CBC News bought a taxi sign from Amazon for $35. It has a magnetic strip on the bottom, so it easily sticks to the top of a car.

To power the light, an attached wire can be run through the driver’s window and plugged into the car’s auxiliary power outlet, also known as the cigarette lighter outlet.

The taxi association says licensed taxi drivers typically get their roof signs from speciality suppliers, and they are hardwired to the car — not powered via the cigarette lighter.

“When you see that … it’s obvious that it’s not a legitimate taxi,” said Way, the association president.

Last month, Way sent Amazon a letter on behalf of the Canadian Taxi Association, asking it to stop selling the product.

“This is not a safe, practical way to distribute the trusted ‘Taxi’ signs,” he wrote.

CBC News ordered this $35 taxi sign on Amazon. The attached wire can be run through the driver’s window and plugged into the car’s auxiliary power outlet, while the lights for licensed drivers are hardwired into the vehicle. (Sophia Harris/CBC News)

But Amazon told Way — and CBC News — the signs will remain on its site, because the company isn’t breaking any rules.

“It’s going to be quite difficult, I think, for anyone to stop Amazon from selling a product that is perfectly legal to sell,” said Toronto criminal lawyer, Daniel Goldbloom. “It’s true that these taxi signs can be used to commit scams, but kitchen knives can be used to commit murder — and we don’t stop retailers from selling those.”

But Way isn’t giving up hope.

He says the taxi association also plans to ask other online retailers, such as Temu and eBay, to stop selling the taxi signs and will lobby provincial governments for legislation that regulates the sale of the product.

However, Coffey said he believes the best way to fight the taxi scam is to educate people about it.

“Never, never give another person control of your debit card,” the detective said.

Victims Chin King and Kozody also want to spread the word.

“The more people know, the less likely it is to happen again to somebody else,” Kozody said.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version