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Big NDP names exit before B.C. election. What does that mean for the party?

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VANCOUVER – The New Democrats are campaigning for another term in British Columbia‘s provincial election but without many of the familiar faces that have graced lawn signs of elections past.

About a quarter of the NDP cabinet ministers who held a portfolio when the election campaign kicked off in September won’t have their names on the ballot when B.C. residents go to the polls on Oct. 19.

That includes veterans and high-profile politicians who spent decades in the legislature, and who held hefty portfolios. Their departures were announced when the NDP was considered a clear favourite, but the folding of the Opposition BC United campaign at the end of August has led to a tightening of the race with the B.C. Conservatives.

Harry Bains, Bruce Ralston, Katrine Conroy and Rob Fleming were all first elected in 2005 and have served five terms in the legislature, but will not be on the ballot this year.

Neither is George Heyman, first elected in 2013, nor Murray Rankin and Mitzi Dean, who were both elected provincially in 2020.

B.C. Conservative Leader John Rustad has used the departures as an attack point against NDP Leader David Eby, saying “half of his cabinet has resigned and is not running.” In fact, seven out of Eby’s 27 cabinet colleagues are not standing again.

“He obviously does not have the confidence in his own team to do a cabinet shuffle and put people in position. What does that say about David Eby’s leadership?” said Rustad over the weekend.

University of the Fraser Valley political scientist Hamish Telford said even with the changes, the retiring heavy-hitters come mostly from ridings that are NDP strongholds and are likely to remain that way.

“Recruitment is easier when it’s a strong riding, because if you win the nomination, there’s a pretty good chance you’ll win the election. So, they can recruit good candidates,” he said.

“Those candidates, of course, (it’s their) first campaign, new campaign teams, but they’ll be able to get the information from the old candidates, and because they’re safe ridings it’s usually not too much of a problem.”

Telford said such turnover is common ahead of an election campaign, and it’s not surprising that some ministers would choose to retire after decades on the job.

Ralston, who is retiring as forests minister after representing Surrey, said he felt now was a good time to pass the torch.

“(My) only advice would be to keep the public interest in mind. That’s the most important thing. Respond to what people want and what people need,” he said to would-be legislators ahead of the official campaign.

Environment Minister Heyman said his decision not to run for re-election in Vancouver came after more than a decade in politics and environmental and union leadership.

“I’ll be 75 years old when the election’s held in 2024,” he said in July. “I would like to slow down a bit and spend more time with my family.”

Telford said that among the seats being vacated by sitting NDP ministers, the Kootenay riding of outgoing Finance Minister Katrine Conroy could be more at risk.

“There have been changes in the Kootenay riding boundaries for this time around, and that’s going to be maybe a tougher one to hold. It’s not as safe an NDP seat as say, those ones that have retired in Surrey or Victoria,” he said.

Conroy told reporters on Sept. 10 she was comfortable with her decision to step away, even after the political shakeup when BC United Leader Kevin Falcon suspended his party’s campaign and placed his support behind the provincial Conservatives.

“We also have some incredible bench strength coming in as candidates. The person who’s running in my place is a mayor in our region who has had years of experience,” she said referring to Steve Morissette, the mayor of Fruitvale who is running for the NDP in the new riding of Kootenay-Monashee.

“Yes, things have been turned on their head, but I think you just have to look at what we’ve been doing since we’ve been elected in 2017 and we’re going to continue to support people in this province. That’s our goal.”

Telford said some of the ministers announced their plans not to seek re-election before the collapse of the BC United, at a time when polling suggested the NDP might “run the table across the province.”

Since then, the race has become much tighter between the NDP and the B.C. Conservatives, but Telford said the change puts more pressure on Eby, rather than individual candidates.

“We know how campaigns go provincially, all the focus is on the leader, and so, it’s really going to be down to David Eby and his team. I think that’s where the real risk comes for the NDP,” he said.

“David Eby is running his first campaign. He didn’t have to campaign hard to get the leadership of the party and now he’s running his first provincial election campaign, presumably with quite a few new advisers in place.

“And I think that’s probably more of a challenge than losing these cabinet ministers. Cabinet ministers are locally well known, but at the provincial level they are not especially household names.”

Telford said removing the BC United Party as a contender could make it easier for the NDP to hold on to some of its strongholds.

“As long as they’re solid NDP ridings, it should not be a problem, and it may have been more of a challenge in places if it had turned into a three-way race with (BC United), Conservatives and the NDP, because in a three-way race funny things can happen,” he said.

In addition to the exiting ministers, at least five other sitting NDP legislators are not standing for re-election. Former cabinet minister Selina Robinson, who quit the NDP in March, citing antisemitism in the caucus, and now sits as an Independent but is not running again.

Fleming, the outgoing transportation minister, said he would continue to support the New Democrats after retiring from his riding in Victoria.

“I never thought I would actually be a member of the legislative assembly for 20 years. That wasn’t the game plan,” he said on Sept. 12.

“So, when is the right time for anybody in public life who still enjoys it, and I still do, to leave? I don’t know, but it felt about right.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 30, 2024

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Trump is pointing to new numbers on migrants with criminal pasts. Here’s what they show

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WASHINGTON (AP) — Republicans are pointing to newly released immigration enforcement data to bolster their argument that the Biden administration is letting migrants who have committed serious crimes go free in the U.S. But the numbers have been misconstrued without key context.

Immigration and Customs Enforcement released data to Republican Rep. Tony Gonzales in response to a request he made for information about people under ICE supervision either convicted of crimes or facing criminal charges. Gonzales’ Texas district includes an 800-mile stretch bordering Mexico.

Gonzales posted the numbers online and they immediately became a flashpoint in the presidential campaign between former President Donald Trump, who has vowed to carry out mass deportations, and Vice President Kamala Harris. Immigration — and the Biden administration’s record on border security — has become a key issue in the election.

Here’s a look at the data and what it does or doesn’t show:

What are the numbers?

As of July 21, ICE said 662,556 people under its supervision were either convicted of crimes or face criminal charges. Nearly 15,000 were in its custody, but the vast majority — 647,572 — were not.

Included in the figures of people not detained by ICE were people found guilty of very serious crimes: 13,099 for homicide, 15,811 for sexual assault, 13,423 for weapons offenses and 2,663 for stolen vehicles. The single biggest category was for traffic-related offenses at 77,074, followed by assault at 62,231 and dangerous drugs at 56,533.

The Department of Homeland Security, which oversees ICE, later clarified that the numbers span decades — including the Trump administration and other presidencies — and that those not in its custody may be detained by a state or local agency. It’s a distinction ICE didn’t make in its report to Gonzales.

“When we speak of somebody who is not detained, we mean not detained in ICE custody. The individual could be in Folsom State Prison, for example,” Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas said Monday.

Millions of people are on ICE’s “non-detained docket,” or people under the agency’s supervision who aren’t in its custody. Many are awaiting outcomes of their cases in immigration court, including some wearing monitoring devices. Others have been released after completing their prison sentences because their countries won’t take them back.

What do both sides say about the numbers?

Republicans pointed to the data as proof that the Biden administration is letting immigrants with criminal records into the country and isn’t doing enough to kick out those who commit crimes while they’re here.

“The truth is clear — illegal immigrants with a criminal record are coming into our country. The data released by ICE is beyond disturbing, and it should be a wake-up call for the Biden-Harris administration and cities across the country that hide behind sanctuary policies,” Gonzales said in a news release, referring to pledges by local officials to limit their cooperation with federal immigration authorities.

Trump, who has repeatedly portrayed immigrants as bringing lawlessness and crime to America, tweeted multiple screenshots of the data with the words: “13,000 CROSSED THE BORDER WITH MURDER CONVICTIONS.”

He also asserted that the numbers correspond to Biden and Harris’ time in office.

The data was being misinterpreted, Homeland Security said in a statement Sunday.

“The data goes back decades; it includes individuals who entered the country over the past 40 years or more, the vast majority of whose custody determination was made long before this Administration,” the agency said. “It also includes many who are under the jurisdiction or currently incarcerated by federal, state or local law enforcement partners.”

Mayorkas said it was “unfortunate” the information didn’t come with proper explanation, saying that “lends itself to misinterpretation, either deliberate or otherwise.”

The department also stressed what it has done to deport those without the right to stay in America, saying it had removed or returned more than 700,000 people in the past year, which it said was the highest number since 2010. Homeland Security said it had removed 180,000 people with criminal convictions since President Joe Biden took office.

What’s behind the figures?

The data isn’t only listing people who entered the country during the Biden administration but includes people going back decades who came during previous administrations, said Doris Meissner, former commissioner of the Immigration and Naturalization Service, which was the predecessor to ICE.

They’re accused or convicted of committing crimes in America as opposed to committing crimes in other countries and then entering the U.S., said Meissner, who is now director of the U.S. Immigration Policy Program at the Migration Policy Institute.

“This is not something that is a function of what the Biden administration did,” she said. “Certainly, this includes the Biden years, but this is an accumulation of many years, and certainly going back to at least 2010, 2011, 2012.”

A 2017 report by Homeland Security’s Office of Inspector General says that as of August 2016, ICE had about 368,574 people on its non-detained docket who were convicted criminals. By June 2021, shortly after Trump left office, that number was up to 405,786.

Can’t ICE just deport criminals?

ICE has limited resources. The number of people it supervises has skyrocketed, while its staffing has not. As the agency noted in a 2023 end-of-year report, it often has to send staff to help at the border, taking them away from their normal duties.

The number of people ICE supervises but who aren’t in its custody has grown from 3.3 million a little before Biden took office to a little over 7 million last spring.

“The simple answer is that as a system, we haven’t devoted enough resources to the parts of the government that deal with monitoring and ultimately removing people who are deportable,” Meissner said.

ICE also has logistical and legal limits on who they can hold. Its budget allows the agency to hold 41,500 people at a time. John Sandweg, who was acting ICE director from 2013 to 2014 under then-President Barack Obama, said holding people accused or convicted of the most serious crimes is always the top priority.

But once someone has a final order of removal — meaning a court has found that they don’t have the right to stay in the country — they cannot be held in detention forever while ICE works out how to get them home. A 2001 Supreme Court ruling essentially prevented ICE from holding those people for more than six months if there is no reasonable chance to expect they can be sent back.

Not every country is willing to take back their citizens, Sandweg said.

He said he suspects that a large number of those convicted of homicide but not held by ICE are people who were ordered deported but the agency can’t remove them because their home country won’t take them back.

“It’s a very common scenario. Even amongst the countries that take people back, they can be very selective about who they take back,” he said.

The U.S. also could run into problems deporting people to countries with which it has tepid relations.

Homeland Security did not respond to questions about how many countries won’t take back their citizens. The 2017 watchdog report put the number at 23 countries, plus an additional 62 that were cooperative but where there were delays getting things like passports or travel documents.



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B.C. condo owners’ group ordered to repay owner for cockroach control bill

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VANCOUVER – The Civil Resolution Tribunal has ruled that a British Columbia condominium owner should be repaid thousands of dollars she was charged to eradicate a cockroach infestation in her building.

It says the homeowners’ group is obligated to address the problem under its duty to repair and maintain common property, and Alanna Hurran should not have been made to pay the $4,588.50 pest control bill.

The decision says the owners’ group said Hurran was charged because the pest control company, which attended the building several times between 2021 and 2022, identified her lot as the source of the infestation and claims she did nothing about it.

It says expert evidence was required to support the claim that it began in Hurran’s condo, but none was submitted.

It also says the group was unable to prove their claim that Hurran didn’t co-operate with pest management treatments.

The Sept. 24 decision says the group should pay the woman back in full within 30 days along with post-judgment interest.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 30, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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Premier Scott Moe says Saskatchewan election campaign to begin Tuesday

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REGINA – Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe is confirming what has been widely expected – the provincial election campaign starts Tuesday.

Moe says in a post on social media that he plans to ask Lt.-Gov. Russ Mirasty to dissolve the legislature, launching the campaign with voting day on Oct. 28.

Moe’s Saskatchewan Party is seeking a fifth straight majority after spending 17 years in office.

Moe says he’s running on his record of growing the economy while making investments in education and health care.

NDP Leader Carla Beck says it’s time for change

Beck is promising a break on the gas tax and removing the provincial sales tax on children’s clothes and some grocery items, along with more spending on health care and education.

Polls suggest a tightening race between the two parties, with the NDP seeing greater support in Regina and Saskatoon, while the Saskatchewan Party remains strong in rural areas.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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