Wall Street hit some rough waters last week. With the Presidential elections only two days away, spiking COVID-19 numbers and hopes for a pre-election stimulus package dwindling, stocks posted their worst week since the height of the pandemic in March. All three of the major U.S. stock indexes also reported a second consecutive monthly decline. According to the pros on Wall Street, uncertainty is ruling the markets. That said, some strategists point to this month’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which will take place on November 4-5, as potentially helping to reassure investors. Should more liquidity be provided, stocks could gain in the mid to long-term, even if there’s no additional stimulus. What’s more, the pros argue the recent sell-off could present an opportunity to snap up compelling names at a more attractive entry point. Bearing this in mind, we turned to the expert stock pickers from Wells Fargo for some inspiration. The investment firm lands a top 10 spot on TipRanks’ list of Top Performing Research Firms. Taking a look at three Wells Fargo-backed tickers, we used TipRanks’ database to find out why the firm’s analysts see each as such an exciting opportunity. RealReal (REAL) First up we have RealReal, which is a leader in the online authenticated luxury consignment space. On the heels of a major new partnership, Wells Fargo has high hopes for this retailer. On October 5, REAL announced a new partnership with Gucci, which is one of the most popular brands on REAL’s platform. As per the terms of the deal, the two companies will develop an online platform for the sale of pre-owned Gucci products, with the site also promoting a more circular economy for luxury. This platform will operate as a website within a website on REAL’s platform, and will carry products supplied primarily by third party consignors, as well as some supplied directly by Gucci. For every item sold, the company will plant a tree through nonprofit organization One Tree Planted. Representing Wells Fargo, analyst Ike Boruchow sees several positives coming from this collaboration, with it representing “a clear win for the bulls in the near-term.” He explained, “The fact that REAL is partnering with one of the highest-profile luxury brands in the world should give them significantly more credibility with consumers (and the luxury industry overall). Interestingly, in an interview with Women’s Wear Daily, Gucci brand CEO Marco Bizzarri stated that the growing popularity of the resale market is very interesting to us.” Additionally, the agreement reflects another vehicle for acquiring supply, which is essential as “unlocking supply is one of the biggest growth drivers for REAL,” in Boruchow’s opinion. He further points out that even though Gucci is only supplying a limited number of pieces, it will be “incremental to REAL’s supply.” If that wasn’t enough, Boruchow argues the partnership highlights the environmental benefits of the resale market. The analyst thinks this will continue to make “make the resale market increasingly attractive to consumers who are becoming increasingly conscious of sustainability and environmental factors.” When it comes to the business fundamentals, Boruchow believes supply has been a bigger issue than demand in 2020, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. That said, REAL has found new ways to acquire supply, which can “help unlock REAL’s long-term growth potential,” according to the analyst. Summing it all up, Boruchow commented, “As a result, we believe gross merchandise value will continue to accelerate in the coming quarters, and that the long-tern runway growth is extremely compelling.” As a result, Boruchow stayed with the bulls. In addition to an Overweight rating, he puts a $20 price target on the stock. Investors could be pocketing a gain of 59%, should this target be met in the twelve months ahead. (To watch Boruchow’s track record, click here) Turning to the rest of the Street, opinions are split almost evenly. With 3 Buys and 2 Holds assigned in the last three months, the word on the Street is that REAL is a Moderate Buy. At $17.25, the average price target implies 37% upside potential. (See RealReal price targets and analyst ratings on TipRanks) JELD-WEN (JELD) Next up we have JELD-WEN, which is one of the world’s largest door and window manufacturers. Calling JELD one of the firm’s “favorite Housing equities,” Wells Fargo thinks big things could be in store. Writing for the firm, analyst Truman Patterson tells clients that based on his channel checks, Windows and Interior Doors channel inventories are lean and delivery lead times have extended by 2-3 weeks. This led the analyst to conclude that “industry manufacturers across both products are running at or near full capacity.” It should be noted that over the last few years, JELD has had to deal with Windows’ production inefficiencies that “at times have been driven by an inability to adjust to rapid demand shifts.” This has shaken investor confidence, and led to a lower valuation, according to the analyst. That being said, Patterson sees better days on the horizon. “Despite the unexpected rebound in demand following COVID, leading JELD to ramp production near full capacity, we believe JELD has improved its Windows manufacturing operations as contacts suggest the company’s product quality control issues are a thing of the past. We give management the benefit of the doubt going forward as the Global Footprint rationalization and JEM initiatives are starting to gain traction, which represent a potential $200 million-plus EBITDA tailwind,” Patterson explained. On top of this, he argues improving manufacturing operations should lead to multiple expansion by itself. Adding to the good news, pricing announcements across both products are solid. Following unprecedented Interior Doors price hikes earlier this year, it appears both JELD and its peer Masonite are set on structurally improving the industry’s pricing, in Patterson’s opinion. Expounding on this, the analyst stated, “Further, it appears JELD has announced a nationwide 7%-11% Window price hike (3 points above normal), and major competitors have followed suit with hikes of similar magnitude. Given the aforementioned industry-wide shortages across both products, and the rapid rebound in New Res, we believe JELD will be able to realize at least the traditional 40%-50% of the announced pricing across its product portfolio.” So, Patterson sees JELD achieving North America 2021 pricing in the 4.5% range, and after some SG&A/investment inflation post-COVID, he expects 200-300 basis points of EBITDA margin expansion. “We do not believe the above is fully appreciated by the Street as JELD is only one of three equities in our 20 company HB/BP coverage that is flat or down year-to-date,” he noted. To top it all off, there has only been one manufacturing issue, driven by a badly-timed and unexpected product line reset from a large Home Center. “Given the robust demand environment which is likely depressing inventory levels at the Home Centers (HD/LOW’s SSS up 20%-30%), we believe the HCs will make sure not to disrupt their supply chain, and should be more receptive to price increases,” Patterson said. It should come as no surprise, then, that Patterson left an Overweight rating and $32 price target on the stock. To this end, the upside potential lands at 52%. (To watch Patterson’s track record, click here) Other analysts are more cautious about JELD. A Hold consensus rating breaks down into 3 Buys, 6 Holds and 1 Sell. With an average price target of $24.35, the upside potential comes in at 16%. (See JELD-WEN stock analysis on TipRanks) Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) Associated Banc-Corp takes its place as the largest bank headquartered in Wisconsin, with a total branch network of over 200 locations serving over 100 communities, primarily within its three-state footprint of Wisconsin, Illinois and Minnesota. While the company has had to work through some challenges, Wells Fargo believes it has taken steps in the right direction. Firm analyst Jared Shaw tells clients that although the Q3 results were mixed, he has high hopes for the banking player. A higher-than-expected provision expense fueled EPS of $0.24, $0.01 ahead of the consensus estimate. As for NIM, management thinks the 2.31% figure marks a trough, and that margin is set to improve from here. Credit was more of a mixed bag, as NCOs increased from 44 basis points to 49 basis points due to oil and gas (reserved at 15.3% rate), and NPAs expanded by 24 basis points thanks to the migration of two mall-oriented REITs. However, “deferrals were a bright spot,” with total deferrals dropping 69% from peak levels to 2.1% of loans, compared to its peers which average a 72% decline and 2.8% of loans in deferral. “Thus far, consumer loans that have seen their deferrals expire have had a 97% cure rate, giving us some optimism around the remaining balances,” Shaw mentioned. What’s more, the ALLL ratio increased by 8 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 1.60% ex PPP. “We expect little incremental build from here as we see the most at-risk areas adequately reserved and are encouraged by deferral trends,” Shaw commented. Adding to the good news, ASB was the first bank in Shaw’s coverage to highlight cost savings initiatives coming out of COVID-related shutdowns. These initiatives appear to be paying off, as the expense targets announced last month were reiterated. Q4 expenses are expected to be $175 million and 2021 expenses are forecasted to be $685 million, versus 2020’s $712 million estimated core expenses. Should the $685 million figure be reached, it would mark the lowest annual expense level since 2014. “With tailwinds from expense initiatives, likely improving NIM, shares trading at just 87% of current TBV, and a 5.1% divvy,” Shaw sees big things in store for ASB. In line with his optimistic approach, Shaw sides with the bulls, reiterating an Overweight rating and $18 price target. This target conveys his confidence in ASB’s ability to climb 31% higher in the next year. (To watch Shaw’s track record, click here) Looking at the consensus breakdown, 1 Buy and 3 Holds have been issued in the last three months. Therefore, ASB gets a Moderate Buy consensus rating. Based on the $15.67 average price target, shares could surge 14% in the next year. (See Associated Banc-Corp price targets and analyst ratings on TipRanks) Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analysts. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment.
TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.
The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.
In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.
The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.
The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.
The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.
TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in technology, financial and energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also pushed higher.
The S&P/TSX composite index was up 171.41 points at 23,298.39.
In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 278.37 points at 41,369.79. The S&P 500 index was up 38.17 points at 5,630.35, while the Nasdaq composite was up 177.15 points at 17,733.18.
The Canadian dollar traded for 74.19 cents US compared with 74.23 cents US on Wednesday.
The October crude oil contract was up US$1.75 at US$76.27 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.10 per mmBTU.
The December gold contract was up US$18.70 at US$2,556.50 an ounce and the December copper contract was down less than a penny at US$4.22 a pound.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 29, 2024.
The crypto market has recently experienced a significant downturn, mirroring broader risk asset sell-offs. Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price dropped by 24%, reaching $53,000, while Ethereum plummeted nearly a third to $2,340. Major altcoins also suffered, with Cardano down 27.7%, Solana 36.2%, Dogecoin 34.6%, XRP 23.1%, Shiba Inu 30.1%, and BNB 25.7%.
The severe downturn in the crypto market appears to be part of a broader flight to safety, triggered by disappointing economic data. A worse-than-expected unemployment report on Friday marked the beginning of a technical recession, as defined by the Sahm Rule. This rule identifies a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least half a percentage point from its lowest point in the past year.
Friday’s figures met this threshold, signaling an abrupt economic downshift. Consequently, investors sought safer assets, leading to declines in major stock indices: the S&P 500 dropped 2%, the Nasdaq 2.5%, and the Dow 1.5%. This trend continued into Monday with further sell-offs overseas.
The crypto market’s rapid decline raises questions about its role as either a speculative asset or a hedge against inflation and recession. Despite hopes that crypto could act as a risk hedge, the recent crash suggests it remains a speculative investment.
Since the downturn, the crypto market has seen its largest three-day sell-off in nearly a year, losing over $500 billion in market value. According to CoinGlass data, this bloodbath wiped out more than $1 billion in leveraged positions within the last 24 hours, including $365 million in Bitcoin and $348 million in Ether.
Khushboo Khullar of Lightning Ventures, speaking to Bloomberg, argued that the crypto sell-off is part of a broader liquidity panic as traders rush to cover margin calls. Khullar views this as a temporary sell-off, presenting a potential buying opportunity.
Josh Gilbert, an eToro market analyst, supports Khullar’s perspective, suggesting that the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts could benefit crypto assets. “Crypto assets have sold off, but many investors will see an opportunity. We see Federal Reserve rate cuts, which are now likely to come sharper than expected, as hugely positive for crypto assets,” Gilbert told Coindesk.
Despite the recent volatility, crypto continues to make strides toward mainstream acceptance. Notably, Morgan Stanley will allow its advisors to offer Bitcoin ETFs starting Wednesday. This follows more than half a year after the introduction of the first Bitcoin ETF. The investment bank will enable over 15,000 of its financial advisors to sell BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. This move is seen as a significant step toward the “mainstreamization” of crypto, given the lengthy regulatory and company processes in major investment banks.
The recent crypto market downturn highlights its volatility and the broader economic concerns affecting all risk assets. While some analysts see the current situation as a temporary sell-off and a buying opportunity, others caution against the speculative nature of crypto. As the market evolves, its role as a mainstream alternative asset continues to grow, marked by increasing institutional acceptance and new investment opportunities.
