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Bloomberg

U.K. Extends Wage Support; Greece Imposes Lockdown: Virus Update

(Bloomberg) — Greece became the latest European country to declare a national lockdown on the same day England entered a four-week shutdown to combat the accelerating spread of Covid-19. U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak extended the furlough wage support scheme until March.New cases in Germany, Poland and the Czech Republic climbed to records, while unprecedented numbers of coronavirus patients are in intensive care in Belgium. The European Commission cut its economic forecast for 2021, projecting growth of just 4.2%.AstraZeneca Plc said it’s ready to supply hundreds of millions of doses of its Covid-19 vaccine and will seek approval for its shot in many countries at once.Key Developments:Global Tracker: Cases surpass 48.2 million; deaths top 1.22 millionEurope’s lockdown wave risks double-dip recessionsBrexit in a lockdown is worst of all worlds for U.K. businessAmerica’s Covid-19 hot spots stuck with TrumpCaution arises on rapid tests in asymptomatic peopleVaccine Tracker: Clinical trials restart in hopeful signSubscribe to a daily update on the virus from Bloomberg’s Prognosis team here. Click CVID on the terminal for global data on coronavirus cases and deaths.White House Virus Briefings a ‘Joke,’ Cuomo Says (11:54 a.m. NY) New York Governor Andrew Cuomo said Thursday he has stopped monitoring all White House coronavirus briefings, calling them “a joke.”Cuomo, in a WAMC radio interview, said he doesn’t get much out of the weekly sessions, because officials typically say “everything is going great,” even as cases soar.“Between the White House conference call and a circus, I think a circus would teach me more about Covid,” Cuomo said.Arizona Infections Top 2,000 (11:51 a.m. NY)Arizona reported more than 2,000 new virus cases for the time since Aug. 1. The state had greatly reduced its Covid-19 count after a summer surge, but last week saw more than 1,000 new cases on six straight days. It reported 2,135 on Thursday, and 28 deaths, which brought the state’s toll to 6,087.Cases Tick Up on State Island (11:48 a.m. NY)City health officials have identified an uptick of cases on Staten Island in two ZIP codes where tests results are exceeding a 3% infection rate, but are not yet imposing restrictions on schools and businesses.Jay Varma, chief health adviser to Mayor Bill de Blasio, said there was no specific event or cause that could be traced to the spread of the virus, and its spread has been detected early enough that it doesn’t warrant clamping down on activity.The outbreaks are isolated and smaller in size than hot spots located last month in Brooklyn and Queens that required school and business closings, de Blasio said. Citywide, hospitalizations for Coronavirus-like symptoms dropped slightly to 95 as of Nov. 3, down from 114 the previous day. The seven-day average of newly diagnosed cases stood at 633, above the city’s public-health safety threshold of 550, and the seven-day average of positive test results was 1.81%, consistent with levels experienced over the past several weeks.Denmark Imposes Curbs After Mink Infections (10:30 a.m. NY)Denmark is imposing a new set of restrictions on movement after discovering a dangerous mutation of Covid-19 in the country’s mink population.Health officials say the new strain of the virus that they’ve found affects the spike protein, potentially threating efforts to develop a vaccine.Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen is due to hold a press briefing on the situation later on Thursday. Her government is planning to cull up to 17 million mink in an effort to contain the outbreak.StandChart to Offer Permanent Flexible Working From 2021 (8:39 a.m. NY)Standard Chartered Plc plans to offer flexible work options to more than 90% of its 85,000 staff over three years, a sign of how pandemic crisis management is leading to long-term change in the role of the office.The bank said about half its staff will be able to apply for some form of hybrid work from early 2021. Standard Chartered expects the program to apply to about 75,000 workers in 55 markets by 2023.IMF, World Bank Morocco Meeting Postponed (8:16 a.m. NY)The International Monetary Fund and World Bank postponed their annual meetings scheduled for next October in Morocco by a year until 2022 due to the pandemic. The meetings were scheduled to be the first held outside Washington since a gathering in Bali, Indonesia in Oct. 2018. The gatherings typically draw thousands of delegates, observers and journalists from more than 180 member countries.Italy Debt Could Spin Out of Control, Lawmaker Says (8:10 a.m. NY)Italy could see its government debt spiral out of control next year unless the economy bounces back quickly from a second coronavirus lockdown, according to a senior lawmaker from the governing coalition.“Italy will end this year with debt-to-GDP at around 160% — if the economic rebound is limited, we risk an explosive debt dynamic already in 2021,” Luigi Marattin, who heads the finance committee in the Lower House of parliament, said in an interview Wednesday.Takeaway and Alcohol Curbs to Stop Paris Gatherings (2:01 p.m NY)Paris and its inner suburbs will close some shops selling takeaway and alcohol at 10 p.m., shutting late-night grocery and convenience stores after evening gatherings were organized at some points of sale, Paris Mayor Anne Hidalgo said on RMC radio on Thursday.“When there are actors who don’t play the game and who endanger the health of the larger number, then we need restrictive measures,” Hidalgo said.Records in Europe for New Infections, Deaths (7:37 a.m. NY)Austria is still waiting for signs that its second lockdown is breaking the wave of new infections. The country reported another record for new coronavirus cases on Thursday, with 7,416 new positive test results in the past 24 hours. The death tally rose to 41, the highest daily since the pandemic started, and hospitalizations and intensive care usage also rose to record levels.Elsewhere, Romania reported a third consecutive daily record of new coronavirus cases, with positive tests rising by 9,714 in the past 24 hours.Sunak Extends U.K. Furlough Wage Support to March (7:26 a.m. NY)U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak extended furlough payments to employees of shuttered companies until the end of March as he sought to provide certainty to the country’s coronavirus-ravaged economy.Government payments of 80% of wages for workers at companies forced to close because of coronavirus pandemic restrictions will continue after the end of the partial English lockdown on Dec. 2, Sunak told the House of Commons on Thursday.Speaking on the day England entered a new four-week lockdown, Sunak abandoned his previous position that the program should end on Oct. 31 in order for new, less-generous measures to focus on supporting “viable” jobs.Earlier, the Bank of England increased the size of its bond-buying program, adding an extra 150 billion pounds ($198 billion) of stimulus into the economy, and cut its forecast for growth in the coming years.Regeneron to Ramp Up Antibody Output (6:47 a.m. NY)Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. said it should have enough of its Covid-19-fighting antibody to treat 80,000 patients by the end of the month, and 200,000 doses of the medication that President Donald Trump dubbed a “cure” by the first week of January.It plans to produce another 100,000 doses to fulfill its $450 million contract with the U.S. government’s Operation Warp Speed by the end of January. It submitted data to support an emergency use authorization of the experimental antibody cocktail last month.Montenegro Tightens Rules After Funeral of Cleric (6:35 a.m. NY)Montenegro imposed new restrictions after thousands of people ignored existing distancing measures and flocked to the funeral of a famous local Orthodox cleric. On Sunday, an open-casket funeral of Bishop Amfilohije, who died of Covid-19 last week, drew masses to the capital of Podgorica despite a ban on gatherings. Restrictions will be tightened in four cities, including Podgorica, by closing down schools, bars and restaurants.Astra Preparing to Roll Out Vaccine Supplies (6:48 p.m. HK)AstraZeneca Plc is poised to unveil coronavirus vaccine test results by year-end and to begin supplying the world with hundreds of millions of doses shortly afterwards if it gains approval from regulators, Chief Executive Officer Pascal Soriot said on Thursday. Soriot dismissed reports of delays and manufacturing snags.After summer delays, a recent resurgence of the virus has allowed scientists to gather the clinical data they need, Soriot said on a conference call. Astra is keeping the vaccine in a frozen bulk state for now to maximize its shelf life while it awaits final test results and regulatory clearances.Norway Restricts Alcohol Sales in Bid to Avoid Lockdown (6:38 p.m. HK)Norway is banning alcohol sales at bars and restaurants after midnight, extending measures already imposed in some municipalities nationwide. The new curbs also limit gatherings in public places to 20 people, while Prime Minister Erna Solberg urged people to stay at home if they can and advised against unnecessary domestic travel. Norwegians will still be free to travel to their cabins, provided they can avoid contact with others.Solberg said the latest rise in infections means there’s no time to see whether restrictions introduced last week are enough.Greece to Enter National Lockdown on Saturday (6:08 p.m. HK)Greece will go into a three-week national lockdown from 6 a.m. Saturday after a prolonged rise in coronavirus infections and an increase in the number of patients in intensive care, Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said.“If we continued to see the same rate of increase in cases as in the past week we’d have thousands in our hospitals,” Mitsotakis said in a nationally televised address.Greece recorded a new daily record high of 2,646 new cases Wednesday, while the occupancy rate of total intensive-care units currently stands at 69%. The total number of infections in the country of around 11 million people is now 46,892.Europe Economy Faces Sluggish Recovery in 2021 (6:00 p.m. HK)The euro-area economy will grow 4.2% in 2021, less than previously anticipated, the European Commission said. The European Union’s executive arm does see a shallower recession this year, though that doesn’t include the latest government lockdowns, which could push some of the region’s biggest economies back into recession.The outlook is for a sluggish recovery next year that leaves EU nations open to rising company failures and long-term unemployment, the Commission said.Polish, Czech Infections Hit New Records (5:44 p.m. HK)Poland confirmed 27,143 new coronavirus cases in the last 234 hours, a record, with 367 more deaths, the country’s health ministry said. That pushes the country’s infection rate over a threshold set by the government for the imposition of a full lockdown.The Czech Republic also registered a record daily caseload, with 15,729 new Covid-19 infections on Wednesday, according to health ministry. The country’s health-care system is under pressure and a state of emergency was recently extended until Dec. 3.Swedish Economy Disappoints, PM Enters Isolation (5:40 p.m. HK)Sweden’s economy grew less than expected in the third quarter, when a lull in the virus during the summer months allowed businesses and households to return to a semi-normal existence. Gross domestic product grew 4.3% from the previous quarter, Statistics Sweden said on Thursday, less than economists’ predictions of 5%.Separately, Prime Minister Stefan Lofven said he is self-isolating after being exposed to a person who tested positive for Covid-19. Lofven said on Facebook that he has no symptoms and feels well.Top Serb Clerics Get Covid-19 After Funeral (3:50 p.m. HK)The head of the Serbian Orthodox Church, Patriarch Irinej, and one of his bishops tested positive for the coronavirus days after holding service for another top cleric whose funeral in neighboring Montenegro drew crowds that ignored health warnings.Patriarch Irinej, 90, has been hospitalized in Belgrade, the Serbian Orthodox Church said by email late Wednesday. Bishop Joanikije, another dignitary of the denomination, also tested positive.Both attended the funeral on Sunday for Bishop Amfilohije, who died last week from Covid-19 in Montenegro. He was a prominent political figure whose support of opposition groups helped them defeat the long-ruling party of President Milo Djukanovic in August elections.German Cases Climb to Record (2:28 p.m. HK)Germany registered a record increase in new cases, days after the government imposed the toughest restrictions since a national lockdown in the spring.Europe’s biggest economy had 31,480 new infections in the 24 hours through Thursday morning, bringing the total to 608,611, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. The figures have fluctuated wildly in recent weeks, with daily infections falling to the lowest in almost two weeks on Wednesday.India Adds More Than 50,000 Cases (12:09 p.m. HK)India reported 50,210 new infections Thursday, the first time in 10 days that cases have topped 50,000. Daily infections have dropped from a peak of more than 97,000 in mid-September, but a rise in cases is expected as India kicks off its festival season — culminating in Diwali on Nov. 14.Total cases in India are at 8.36 million, the second-highest globally behind the U.S., while the country’s death toll rose to 124,315 as of Thursday.Record Worldwide Deaths (11:33 a.m. HK)Daily coronavirus deaths worldwide set a new record of more than 10,000, while global infections passed 600,000 in a day for the first time as the pandemic gathered pace, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.China Suspends Entry for U.K. Visas (9:10 a.m. HK)China will temporarily suspend entry by non-Chinese U.K. nationals who hold valid visas or residence permits, the Chinese Embassy in the U.K. said in a statement.The suspension is in response to the Covid-19 outbreak and will be assessed as it evolves, the embassy said. Entry by holders of diplomatic, service or C visas won’t be affected, it said.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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Canada’s unemployment rate holds steady at 6.5% in October, economy adds 15,000 jobs

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OTTAWA – Canada’s unemployment rate held steady at 6.5 per cent last month as hiring remained weak across the economy.

Statistics Canada’s labour force survey on Friday said employment rose by a modest 15,000 jobs in October.

Business, building and support services saw the largest gain in employment.

Meanwhile, finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing experienced the largest decline.

Many economists see weakness in the job market continuing in the short term, before the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts spark a rebound in economic growth next year.

Despite ongoing softness in the labour market, however, strong wage growth has raged on in Canada. Average hourly wages in October grew 4.9 per cent from a year ago, reaching $35.76.

Friday’s report also shed some light on the financial health of households.

According to the agency, 28.8 per cent of Canadians aged 15 or older were living in a household that had difficulty meeting financial needs – like food and housing – in the previous four weeks.

That was down from 33.1 per cent in October 2023 and 35.5 per cent in October 2022, but still above the 20.4 per cent figure recorded in October 2020.

People living in a rented home were more likely to report difficulty meeting financial needs, with nearly four in 10 reporting that was the case.

That compares with just under a quarter of those living in an owned home by a household member.

Immigrants were also more likely to report facing financial strain last month, with about four out of 10 immigrants who landed in the last year doing so.

That compares with about three in 10 more established immigrants and one in four of people born in Canada.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Health-care spending expected to outpace economy and reach $372 billion in 2024: CIHI

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The Canadian Institute for Health Information says health-care spending in Canada is projected to reach a new high in 2024.

The annual report released Thursday says total health spending is expected to hit $372 billion, or $9,054 per Canadian.

CIHI’s national analysis predicts expenditures will rise by 5.7 per cent in 2024, compared to 4.5 per cent in 2023 and 1.7 per cent in 2022.

This year’s health spending is estimated to represent 12.4 per cent of Canada’s gross domestic product. Excluding two years of the pandemic, it would be the highest ratio in the country’s history.

While it’s not unusual for health expenditures to outpace economic growth, the report says this could be the case for the next several years due to Canada’s growing population and its aging demographic.

Canada’s per capita spending on health care in 2022 was among the highest in the world, but still less than countries such as the United States and Sweden.

The report notes that the Canadian dental and pharmacare plans could push health-care spending even further as more people who previously couldn’t afford these services start using them.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump’s victory sparks concerns over ripple effect on Canadian economy

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As Canadians wake up to news that Donald Trump will return to the White House, the president-elect’s protectionist stance is casting a spotlight on what effect his second term will have on Canada-U.S. economic ties.

Some Canadian business leaders have expressed worry over Trump’s promise to introduce a universal 10 per cent tariff on all American imports.

A Canadian Chamber of Commerce report released last month suggested those tariffs would shrink the Canadian economy, resulting in around $30 billion per year in economic costs.

More than 77 per cent of Canadian exports go to the U.S.

Canada’s manufacturing sector faces the biggest risk should Trump push forward on imposing broad tariffs, said Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters president and CEO Dennis Darby. He said the sector is the “most trade-exposed” within Canada.

“It’s in the U.S.’s best interest, it’s in our best interest, but most importantly for consumers across North America, that we’re able to trade goods, materials, ingredients, as we have under the trade agreements,” Darby said in an interview.

“It’s a more complex or complicated outcome than it would have been with the Democrats, but we’ve had to deal with this before and we’re going to do our best to deal with it again.”

American economists have also warned Trump’s plan could cause inflation and possibly a recession, which could have ripple effects in Canada.

It’s consumers who will ultimately feel the burden of any inflationary effect caused by broad tariffs, said Darby.

“A tariff tends to raise costs, and it ultimately raises prices, so that’s something that we have to be prepared for,” he said.

“It could tilt production mandates. A tariff makes goods more expensive, but on the same token, it also will make inputs for the U.S. more expensive.”

A report last month by TD economist Marc Ercolao said research shows a full-scale implementation of Trump’s tariff plan could lead to a near-five per cent reduction in Canadian export volumes to the U.S. by early-2027, relative to current baseline forecasts.

Retaliation by Canada would also increase costs for domestic producers, and push import volumes lower in the process.

“Slowing import activity mitigates some of the negative net trade impact on total GDP enough to avoid a technical recession, but still produces a period of extended stagnation through 2025 and 2026,” Ercolao said.

Since the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement came into effect in 2020, trade between Canada and the U.S. has surged by 46 per cent, according to the Toronto Region Board of Trade.

With that deal is up for review in 2026, Canadian Chamber of Commerce president and CEO Candace Laing said the Canadian government “must collaborate effectively with the Trump administration to preserve and strengthen our bilateral economic partnership.”

“With an impressive $3.6 billion in daily trade, Canada and the United States are each other’s closest international partners. The secure and efficient flow of goods and people across our border … remains essential for the economies of both countries,” she said in a statement.

“By resisting tariffs and trade barriers that will only raise prices and hurt consumers in both countries, Canada and the United States can strengthen resilient cross-border supply chains that enhance our shared economic security.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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