(Bloomberg) — Brazil’s influential lower house Speaker Rodrigo Maia said he’s no longer on speaking terms with the nation’s economy chief just as the government pushes for key austerity reforms in congress.
“I haven’t been talking with Minister Paulo Guedes; he has barred his economic team from talking to me,” Maia told Globonews TV in an interview late on Thursday. The speaker, who was instrumental in the approval of a crucial pension overhaul last year, said he had invited senior members of the economic team for a work lunch on Wednesday but Guedes prevented them from attending.
“The conversation was interrupted,” Maia said, adding that from now on all contacts with the economy ministry will be made through the government’s office of congress liaison. He also said reforms will continue.
The economy ministry declined to comment.
Maia’s remarks came only hours after the administration of President Jair Bolsonaro submitted to congress a proposal to rein in the country’s high civil servant costs. The bill, which intends to give government agencies more flexibility when hiring workers, was seen as a nod to Guedes’ austerity agenda. But the economy minister didn’t attend the ceremony in which the proposal was symbolically launched.
Read More: Bolsonaro Submits Proposal to Cut Brazil Civil Servant Costs
A tax reform, a bill to extinguish hundreds of state funds and plans to open the gas sector to private investment are also among the proposals for which the administration needs congressional support. While both Maia and Guedes are seen as pro-markets, they have often publicly clashed over the timing and the scope of the reforms agenda.
Guedes is facing increasing pressure from congress and other ministers to continue spending big next year in the aftermath of the coronavirus pandemic. Brazil is one the world’s hardest hit countries by the virus, with more than 4 million cases and nearly 125,000 deaths. The minister has signaled he will stay in the job as long as Bolsonaro keeps the country on track to fiscal austerity.
©2020 Bloomberg L.P.
Hungary extends loan moratorium as economy struggles to recover from pandemic – The Guardian
By Krisztina Than
BUDAPEST (Reuters) – Hungary will extend a moratorium on loan repayments for some households and companies until the middle of 2021, as its finance minister warned the economy could struggle to grow next year unless a coronavirus vaccine is found.
Prime Minister Viktor Orban introduced the moratorium for all companies and private borrowers in March as one of his government’s key measures to help reduce the economic fallout from the pandemic. It was due to expire at the end of the year.
In a video posted on his official Facebook page on Saturday, Orban said the moratorium would be extended by six months for families with children, the retired, unemployed and those in public works programmes.
The extension until the middle of 2021 will also apply to companies that have seen revenues drop by at least 25%.
Orban also said loan contracts for all households and companies agreed before the pandemic could not be terminated for six months.
The moves come as the government prepares to announce more steps to try to revive growth, after the economy plunged more than expected in the second quarter and prospects for a recovery next year have worsened.
The weak economic outlook could represent the biggest threat to nationalist Orban’s decade-long rule as he prepares to face parliamentary elections in the first half of 2022.
Finance minister Mihaly Varga said in an interview published earlier on Saturday that if a coronavirus vaccine was not available by the middle of 2021 the economy might struggle to grow next year, based on a pessimistic scenario.
Under an optimistic scenario, the economy could grow by 4-5% if a vaccine was available in the second quarter, he told newspaper Magyar Nemzet.
A third scenario was for a protracted recovery with 3%-4% growth, also conditional on a vaccine being available, he added.
Hungary’s economy is expected to shrink by 5%-6% this year.
Varga said the government was working on new stimulus measures that could include targeted tax cuts for crisis-hit sectors.
After a spike in new cases in recent weeks, Hungary reported 809 new coronavirus infections on Saturday, bringing the total to 16,920, with 675 deaths.
(Reporting by Krisztina Than; Editing by David Clarke and Mark Potter)
Why falling immigration isn't that bad for the economy during COVID-19 – Yahoo Canada Finance
COVID-19 travel restrictions have put a big dent in immigration, widely seen as something the economy relies on, but the negative effects aren’t as bad as they might seem.
The latest government numbers show 13,645 fewer permanent residents came to Canada in July, down 63 per cent from the same month last year. April and June were similarly weak periods, making the likelihood of reaching the federal government’s target of 341,000 less likely.
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="For a country like Canada with an aging population and relatively low population growth, immigration is needed to counter demographic headwinds. But the pandemic’s effects more generally, far outweigh the specific negative effects of lower immigration.” data-reactid=”18″>For a country like Canada with an aging population and relatively low population growth, immigration is needed to counter demographic headwinds. But the pandemic’s effects more generally, far outweigh the specific negative effects of lower immigration.
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="“I think we need to keep the incremental impact of new immigration on economic growth in perspective. Even at its maximum pace in recent years, it was adding roughly 1 per cent to population per year and roughly the same to the labour force.” BMO chief economist Doug Porter told Yahoo Finance Canada. ” data-reactid=”19″>“I think we need to keep the incremental impact of new immigration on economic growth in perspective. Even at its maximum pace in recent years, it was adding roughly 1 per cent to population per year and roughly the same to the labour force.” BMO chief economist Doug Porter told Yahoo Finance Canada.
“So, even a complete shutdown of immigration would (roughly) shave 1 percentage point from growth (or a bit less). Not small by any means, but that compares with what could be a 6 per cent drop in GDP (OECD said -5.8 per cent for this year, we are looking at -5.5 per cent).”
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Around 1.1 million Canadians are still out of work, so immigrant workers aren’t exactly in high demand these days.” data-reactid=”21″>Around 1.1 million Canadians are still out of work, so immigrant workers aren’t exactly in high demand these days.
“Overall, given the realities of COVID and the now-soft demand for labour, the cool down in immigration by itself will not be particularly harmful — and certainly less so than it would have been say a year ago.” said Porter.
Long term effects without immigration
Pedro Antunes, the Conference Board of Canada’s chief economist, also thinks the effects are mitigated in the short-term but that doesn’t mean the economy will be totally unscathed.
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="“Some sectors will be affected because immigration drives consumer spending, demand for housing, and other services directly related to increased population,” he told Yahoo Finance Canada.” data-reactid=”25″>“Some sectors will be affected because immigration drives consumer spending, demand for housing, and other services directly related to increased population,” he told Yahoo Finance Canada.
However, he believes it’s more important to look at the long term repercussions of reduced immigration.
“Canada’s underlying capacity is dependent on private and public investment, adoption of technology and the number of workers (and the skills of those workers). We know from our prior research that without immigration, our labour force would be flat or declining (since exiting baby-boomers outnumber school leavers),” said Antunes.
“If immigration levels are reduced over a few years (we think 2020 and 2021 at least) the result is a long-lasting impact on our potential (or productive capacity).”
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Jessy Bains is a senior reporter at Yahoo Finance Canada. Follow him on Twitter @jessysbains.” data-reactid=”29″>Jessy Bains is a senior reporter at Yahoo Finance Canada. Follow him on Twitter @jessysbains.
<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Download the Yahoo Finance app, available for Apple and Android.” data-reactid=”30″>Download the Yahoo Finance app, available for Apple and Android.
EU looks to fast 5G, supercomputers to boost virus-hit economy – TheChronicleHerald.ca
By Foo Yun Chee
BRUSSELS (Reuters) – The European Commission on Friday urged the 27-country bloc to work together to speed up the rollout of fibre and 5G networks to boost the region’s virus-hit economy and secure its technology autonomy.
EU countries should develop a best practices toolbox by March 30 with the aim of cutting cost and red tape, provide timely access to 5G radio spectrum and allow for more cross-border coordination for radio spectrum for 5G services, the EU executive said.
The coronavirus outbreak showed how important internet services and 5G are, European digital chief Margrethe Vestager said.
“We have seen the current crisis highlight the importance of access to very high-speed internet for businesses, public services and citizens, but also to accelerate the pace towards 5G,” she said in a statement. “We must therefore work together towards fast network rollout without any further delays.”
The Commission also proposed a recommendation to boost research and activities to develop new supercomputing technologies.
“Keeping up in the international technological race is a priority, and Europe has both the know-how and the political will to play a leading role,” Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton said in a statement.
The Commission is investing 8 billion euros($9.46 billion)in the next generation of supercomputers.
(Reporting by Foo Yun Chee; Editing by Tomasz Janowski)
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