It’s been a record-setting year for temperature extremes, with a polar vortex hitting Texas in February and heat domes hovering over the country this summer. As climate change worsens, we’re facing a dangerous feedback loop: more frequent extreme weather events increase heating and cooling demand, risking more greenhouse gas emissions that worsen the climate crisis.
The budget reconciliation bill Congress is now considering offers a historic opportunity to dramatically reduce emissions from our buildings, while improving home efficiency, cutting bills, and creating hundreds of thousands of new jobs: A true win-win for the economy and the environment.
Electrification—replacing fossil-fueled appliances with efficient electric appliances powered by clean electricity—is the most viable solution to curtail planet-warming emissions and eliminate harmful indoor air pollutants without compromising comfort. Proven technologies like all-electric heat pumps, which provide both heating and cooling, as well as electric dryers and induction stoves are up to four times more efficient than fossil-fueled alternatives, saving consumers money, and are available on the market now.
As we clean our power supply – another critical piece of the budget reconciliation bill, enabled by the proposed $150 billion Clean Electricity Payment Program – we must also rapidly accelerate electric appliance adoption by homes and businesses across the country. That’s where smart federal and state policy to drive down costs, transform the market, and quickly scale adoption comes in.
Targeted incentives can help make electric appliances more affordable in the near-term as technology costs fall, and consumer rebates are enormously popular. Updated standards for new appliances and all-electric building codes can also help achieve all-electric building stock by 2050 – when scientists agree we must reach net-zero emissions to protect a livable planet. Workforce training programs can develop the skilled workers needed to build this clean future. And we must prioritize an equitable transition with policies supporting adoption by lower- and fixed-income households and frontline communities.
The problem: fossil fuel-reliant infrastructure
Over a hundred million buildings burn fossil fuels for heating and cooking, contributing 13% of U.S. emissions, and new construction keeps increasing these emissions. Nearly 1.4 million new homes were constructed just last month alone, and more than half of all new homes are built with fossil gas heating or appliances.
Because the average appliance lasts 10 to 15 years and most buildings for at least 50 years, every new appliance or structure burning gas or other fossil fuels locks in higher emissions and costs for decades. Energy Innovation modeling shows electrifying all new buildings by 2025 and all new equipment by 2030 is essential for reaching net-zero by 2050.
Burning fossil fuels in buildings harms our health. Homes with gas stoves can have nitrogen dioxide concentrations 50% to 400% higher than homes with electric stoves, and children living in homes with a gas stove have a 24% to 42% increased risk of developing asthma.
Harvard research shows the health impacts of pollution from burning gas, biomass, and wood in industrial boilers and buildings now surpass the impact of air pollution from dirty coal plants. Commercial and residential buildings in the U.S. are now responsible for approximately 18,300 early deaths and $205 billion in health impacts—one-third of the health burden from stationary source pollution.
Rising energy costs and negative health impacts of fossil-fueled buildings disproportionately burden low-income consumers, communities of color, and frontline communities, making building electrification an essential part of rectifying long-standing environmental justice concerns.
Widespread benefits of electrification
Getting fossil fuels out of buildings is necessary for protecting public health and stabilizing the climate, but it’s also an economic powerhouse.
RMI research shows that all-electric new homes reduce homeowner costs and harmful emissions. For example, an all-electric home in New York City creates $6,800 in household savings over 15 years compared to a fossil-fueled home.
Electrification retrofits are also cost-effective. Rewiring America research found 85% of U.S. households would save money on monthly energy bills if they used modern all-electric equipment, and ACEEE analysis shows 27% of U.S. commercial space can be electrified with a payback of less than 10 years, even without rebates. Targeted commercial incentives and appliance standards would increase this percentage. Policies must account for costs associated with electrical upgrades and labor, in addition to the effort needed to facilitate the adoption of newer technologies.
Building or retrofitting every building in the U.S. will require hundreds of thousands of skilled workers and create demand for other clean energy jobs in the utility sector. Building electrification would support a net increase of more than 104,000 jobs just in California, and clean energy workers typically earn higher and more equitable wages compared to the national workforce.
Policy pathways to electrify buildings
But realizing these benefits and ensuring our building stock is fully electrified in the short time we have left to act requires stronger national policies, bolstered by state and local leadership.
The budget reconciliation process underway in Congress is a tremendous opportunity to adopt smart building policies and programs that will yield benefits for millions of Americans now and for decades to come.
For example, the House Energy and Commerce Committee’s Build Back Better Act invests $18 billion in home efficiency and electric appliance rebates, including $9 billion for a new High Efficiency Electric Home Rebate Program, modeled after Senator Martin Heinrich’s Zero-Emission Homes Act. Rebates up to $10,000 for electric appliances and equipment in single-family homes and multi-family buildings would offset the higher upfront cost of all-electric heat pumps, dryers, and cooktops (faster than the market would on its own) and expedite clean replacement well before 2050.
The proposal wisely carves out $5.5 billion to offer higher incentives for low-income households, for tribes, and for projects located in pollution-burdened communities. The proposal also includes an incentive to cover any needed electrical upgrades and an added incentive for contractors implementing electrification projects. Other provisions offer funding for contractor training programs, which are key to growing a highly-skilled electrification workforce.
Other proposals from the House would expand and improve existing incentive programs, ensuring all homes and buildings are increasingly efficient. Expanded and targeted investment for families and businesses that struggle to afford energy is essential for an equitable transition, particularly in communities with high electricity prices and heating demand. Energy efficiency investments will reduce energy burdens while protecting people from weather extremes.
Beyond the ongoing legislative efforts, the federal government’s regulatory authority is a not-to-be-overlooked tool for electrification. The Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Energy can and should adopt next generation appliance emissions and efficiency standards that would cut pollution and offer consumer savings, while stimulating the domestic market for new technologies. For example, an RMI analysis shows that across the U.S., even in cold climates, heat pumps are 2 to nearly 5 times more energy efficient than an Energy Star gas furnace on an annual basis, yet they make up a small fraction of the HVAC market. Strong appliance standards would expedite deployment of clean, efficient heat pumps and other electric appliances, while also phasing out gas appliances more quickly.
Because buildings last for decades, and as new construction growth trends continue unabated, all-electric building codes are another necessary tool in the toolbox. Although every state and local government has the authority to adopt their own building codes, code-setting bodies should work swiftly to adopt more stringent codes that achieve building decarbonization by 2050. We also need a dedicated workforce training program would increase code compliance while preparing a new generation of workers to build the all-electric future.
California just took a major step in the right direction by adopting their 2022 Building Energy Efficiency Standards, which makes electric heat pumps standard for either water or space heating for single-family homes, multifamily and most commercial buildings. The code also requires all-electric readiness for single-family homes to help reduce the costs of future fossil fuel-to-electric appliance conversions. Meanwhile, cities requiring all-electric new construction are leading the way for other cities and states to follow.
Although states and cities are leading, the U.S. still lacks a standardized approach to building codes, which is essential for scaling electrification nationwide. The Assistance for Latest and Zero Building Energy Code proposal included in the Build Back Better Act is a positive step to address this challenge – it would offer $300 million in grants to help states and local governments adopt smart building codes, including zero-energy codes. More federal leadership on building decarbonization and smart energy codes would send a strong market signal and accelerate the transition.
Flip the switch on all-electric buildings for a safe climate and strong economy
The climate crisis is accelerating faster than predicted, with 1 in 3 Americans experiencing a dangerous climate event this year. In light of the recent IPCC report’s findings that every fraction of warming threatens greater instability, inaction risks an unlivable future.
Moving quickly to adopt efficient, all-electric technologies, through the enactment of strong policies, codes, and standards, will flip the switch on climate change, cut costs for consumers, protect public health, and grow the economy.
To ensure a livable planet, we must end our reliance on fossil fuels, including in our homes and buildings. But we don’t need to sacrifice comfort or performance. With the problem clear and the solutions known, now is the time for Congress to act.
Dollar set for another week of losses even as Fed tapering looms
The dollar was heading for a second week of declines on Friday as sentiment stayed tilted towards riskier assets, while an intervention by the Australian central bank put a halt to the Aussie dollar’s recent surge.
The dollar index was last at 93.733, little changed in Asian hours but off 0.24% on the week, as it continues its fall from a 12-month high of 94.565 hit in earlier this month.
It had managed to stem losses on Thursday, bouncing on better U.S. jobs and housing data, but the rally petered out on Friday morning in Asia, where risk sentiment was boosted news that beleaguered developer China Evergrande Group has supplied funds to pay interest on a U.S. dollar bond, averting a default.
But traders are still trying to assess whether the dollar has scope to fall further, or if this is a temporary blip on a march higher.
“People are wondering whether we are at an inflection point, as the dollar has been weakening and that doesn’t really fit with the broader narrative that global growth is cooling and the Fed is on the path to tapering, which should be supportive for the dollar,” said Paul Mackel, global head of FX research at HSBC.
On Friday, benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields were at 1.6872%, slightly off from Thursday’s multi-month high of 1.7%, as markets continue to prepare themselves for an announcement by the Federal Reserve that it will start to wind down its massive bond buying programme, which is widely expected for November.
Mackel said part of the reason for the dollar’s weakness had been strong performances by currencies from most commodity exporting countries.
These were quieter on Friday, however, as traders took profits, analysts said, and energy prices softened.
Brent crude, which had risen above $86 dollars a barrel on Thursday, continued its tumble and was last at $84.10.
The Australian dollar was at $0.7475, off Thursday’s three-month top, as the boost to the China-exposed currency from Evergrande’s news was outweighed by action from the Reserve Bank of Australia to stem a bond sell off, as well as the pause in energy price rises.
The RBA said on Friday it had stepped in to defend its yield target for the first time in eight months, spending A$1 billion ($750 million) to dampen an aggressive bonds sell-off as traders have bet on inflation pulling forward rate hikes.
Also affected by energy prices, the Canadian dollar slipped to C$1.2352 per U.S. dollar, off Thursday’s C$1.2287, a level last seen in June.
The British pound paused for breath at $1.3798, off a month peak hit earlier in the week, to which it had been carried by growing expectations of an interest rate hike to combat rising inflationary pressures.
The euro was little changed at $1.1627, while the yen wobbled within sight of its multi-year lows, with one dollar worth 114.01 yen, compared with 114.69 earlier in the week, a four-year low.
China’s yuan eased against the dollar on Friday after the FX regulator warned of possible action if the currency market is hit by greater volatility following its recent rally. But the yuan still looked set for the biggest weekly gain since May.
Bitcoin was at $63,928, a little off Wednesday’s all-time high of $67,016
(Reporting by Alun John; Editing by Sam Holmes and Kim Coghill)
UN sets up trust fund for 'people's economy' in Afghanistan – The Globe and Mail
The United Nations said on Thursday it had set up a special trust fund to provide urgently needed cash directly to Afghans through a system tapping into donor funds frozen since the Taliban takeover in August.
With the local economy “imploding”, the aim is to inject liquidity into Afghan households to permit them to survive this winter and remain in their homeland, it said.
Achim Steiner, the U.N. Development Programme’s (UNDP) administrator said Germany, a first contributor, had pledged 50 million euros ($58 million) to the fund, and that it was in touch with other donors to mobilize resources.
Some 97% of Afghan households could be living below the poverty line by mid-2022, according to UNDP.
“We have to step in, we have to stabilize a ‘people’s economy’ and in addition to saving lives we also have to save livelihoods,” Steiner told a news briefing.
“Because otherwise we will confront indeed a scenario through this winter and into next year where millions and millions of Afghans are simply unable to stay on their land, in their homes, in their villages and survive,” he said.
The International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday that Afghanistan’s economy was set to contract https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/afghanistans-economic-collapse-could-prompt-refugee-crisis-imf-2021-10-19 up to 30% this year and this was likely to further fuel a refugee crisis that would affect neighbouring countries, Turkey and Europe.
The Taliban takeover saw billions in central bank assets frozen https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/un-chief-liquidity-needed-stem-afghanistan-economic-humanitarian-crises-2021-10-11 and international financial institutions suspend access to funds, although humanitarian aid has continued. Banks are running out of money, civil servants have not been paid and food prices have soared.
Steiner said the challenge was to repurpose donor funds already earmarked for Afghanistan, where the Taliban, the de facto authorities, are not recognized internationally. The fund allows the international community to be “confident enough that these funds are not meant as government-to-government funding”, he said.
VIRTUALLY NO LOCAL CASH
The U.N. has discussed the programmes with the Taliban, he said, noting that 80% of the micro-businesses being helped were led by women.
“Our greatest challenge right now is that there is a economy in which there is virtually no domestic currency in circulation,” Steiner said, adding that the U.N. wanted to avoid foreign currencies dominating, which would undermine the economy.
“Our intent is to find ways very quickly in which we can convert international support into local currency in order to be able to stimulate local markets, local livelihoods. This is how you keep an economy alive,” he said.
Kanni Wignaraja, director of UNDP’s regional bureau for the Asia Pacific, said that cash would be provided to Afghan workers in public works programmes, such as drought and flood control programmes, and grants given to micro-enterprises. Temporary basic income would be paid to the vulnerable elderly and disabled, she said.
The UNDP had costed activities to be covered over the first 12 months at approximately $667 million, she said.
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