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Bullish cocktail fueling strong gains in gold, silver – Kitco NEWS

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(Kitco News) – Gold prices are sharply higher in midday U.S. trading Monday and hit a new record high of $1,941.90, basis nearby Comex futures. The previous record was $1,920.70 scored in 2011. The next upside price objective for the very powerful gold market bulls is $2,000. Meantime, silver futures hit a seven-year high of $24.82 in overnight trading. August gold futures were last up $33.80 an ounce at $1,930.90. September Comex silver prices were last up $1.50 at $24.355 an ounce.

The feature in the global marketplace to start the trading week is gold and silver prices surging amid a bullish cocktail of fundamental and technical factors. A continued worrisome rise in Covid-19 infections in major industrialized countries, a new U.S. government stimulus package totaling $1 trillion, a slumping U.S. dollar index that hit a nearly two-year low today, rising U.S.-China trade tensions, and a big surge in buying of gold-back exchange traded funds, including the Robinhood platform, are all propelling the safe-haven metals sharply higher. Add in very bullish chart postures for both precious metals.

Global stock markets were mixed in overnight trading. The U.S. stock indexes are firmer at midday. U.S. shares are boosted in part on weekend news that a $1 trillion U.S. government economic stimulus plan is moving through the legislative process more quickly than expected.

The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet Tuesday and Wednesday to discuss U.S. monetary policy. No changes in policy are expected but the Fed is expected to reiterate U.S. interest rates will remain low for a long time amid the challenges of dealing with the pandemic.

The important outside markets today see Nymex crude oil prices weaker and trading around $40.50 a barrel. The U.S. dollar index is solidly down and hit a nearly two-year low overnight. The yield on the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note is currently dipping a bit and trading around the 0.58% level.

Technically, August gold futures bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage, to suggest still more upside in the near term. Prices are in an accelerating seven-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Gold bulls’ next upside near-term price objective is to produce a close above technical resistance at $2,000.00. Bears’ next near-term downside price objective is pushing prices below solid technical support at $1,850.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $1,941.40 and then at $1,950.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $1,899.00 and then at $1,875.00. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 10.0

September silver futures bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage to suggest still more upside. Prices are in an accelerating 4.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls’ next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $25.00 an ounce. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $22.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $24.82 and then at $25.00. Next support is seen at $24.00 and then at $23.50. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 9.5.

September N.Y. copper closed up 50 points at 289.75 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The copper bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a 4.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Copper bulls’ next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 300.00 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at 275.00 cents. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of 298.20 cents and then at the July high of 299.30 cents. First support is seen at last week’s low of 286.65 cents and then at 284.50 cents. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 7.5.

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Netflix’s subscriber growth slows as gains from password-sharing crackdown subside

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Netflix on Thursday reported that its subscriber growth slowed dramatically during the summer, a sign the huge gains from the video-streaming service’s crackdown on freeloading viewers is tapering off.

The 5.1 million subscribers that Netflix added during the July-September period represented a 42% decline from the total gained during the same time last year. Even so, the company’s revenue and profit rose at a faster pace than analysts had projected, according to FactSet Research.

Netflix ended September with 282.7 million worldwide subscribers — far more than any other streaming service.

The Los Gatos, California, company earned $2.36 billion, or $5.40 per share, a 41% increase from the same time last year. Revenue climbed 15% from a year ago to $9.82 billion. Netflix management predicted the company’s revenue will rise at the same 15% year-over-year pace during the October-December period, slightly than better than analysts have been expecting.

The strong financial performance in the past quarter coupled with the upbeat forecast eclipsed any worries about slowing subscriber growth. Netflix’s stock price surged nearly 4% in extended trading after the numbers came out, building upon a more than 40% increase in the company’s shares so far this year.

The past quarter’s subscriber gains were the lowest posted in any three-month period since the beginning of last year. That drop-off indicates Netflix is shifting to a new phase after reaping the benefits from a ban on the once-rampant practice of sharing account passwords that enabled an estimated 100 million people watch its popular service without paying for it.

The crackdown, triggered by a rare loss of subscribers coming out of the pandemic in 2022, helped Netflix add 57 million subscribers from June 2022 through this June — an average of more than 7 million per quarter, while many of its industry rivals have been struggling as households curbed their discretionary spending.

Netflix’s gains also were propelled by a low-priced version of its service that included commercials for the first time in its history. The company still is only getting a small fraction of its revenue from the 2-year-old advertising push, but Netflix is intensifying its focus on that segment of its business to help boost its profits.

In a letter to shareholder, Netflix reiterated previous cautionary notes about its expansion into advertising, though the low-priced option including commercials has become its fastest growing segment.

“We have much more work to do improving our offering for advertisers, which will be a priority over the next few years,” Netflix management wrote in the letter.

As part of its evolution, Netflix has been increasingly supplementing its lineup of scripted TV series and movies with live programming, such as a Labor Day spectacle featuring renowned glutton Joey Chestnut setting a world record for gorging on hot dogs in a showdown with his longtime nemesis Takeru Kobayashi.

Netflix will be trying to attract more viewer during the current quarter with a Nov. 15 fight pitting former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson against Jake Paul, a YouTube sensation turned boxer, and two National Football League games on Christmas Day.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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