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Calgary’s Latest Economic News: Are You Ready to Shake Things Up?

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Calgary's Latest Economic

The drop in global oil demand and subsequent economic shakeout continue to shake up Alberta’s real estate economy. With home prices down, Calgary along with the rest of the province is turning into a renter’s market. Even in the luxury residential market, Calgary home rental rates are 20% below the levels of one year ago. In Calgary where dependence on the oil market is a powerful economic force, this latest downturn has left office spaces and homes vacant, and leasing agents struggling to appeal to tenants. While those at the lowest income levels may still not find affordable housing, the new economic shift has provided an opportunity for those with moderate amounts of money to spend on rent. Landlords have lowered rents and are offering extra incentives to encourage new residents to sign affordable housing leases.

 

In business news, the Canadian Federation of Independent Business indicates that its members’ confidence is at the lowest level since March of 2009, with a Business Barometer index of 52.3. British Columbia small businesses are more optimistic, registering an increase in the index to 62.5. In contrast, Alberta business owners’ confidence is at a low 26.5. The March 2016 report indicates that the biggest challenge facing Alberta businesses is a lack of domestic demand. This comes as little surprise. The Alberta government points out that a drop in oil prices has triggered every downturn in Alberta since 1980.

 

Opportunity is Knocking

 

But all is not doom. The combination of an excess supply of office space and luxury homes in Calgary is an open opportunity for investors and growing businesses alike. With lowered rates and ample space, new businesses should take advantage of this downturn to settle in for the long term. The availability of affordable housing means that growing companies can expect a steady supply of employees to fuel their expansion. The latest economic reports indicate that Canada’s economy has started to rebound with double the expected growth for January. Economists had originally predicted just 0.3% growth after a mere 0.2% showing in December of 2015. Based on the new 0.6% figure, the Bank of Canada is predicting economic growth for the year at 1.4%.

 

As Canada rebounds, Alberta can expect to rebound as well. A shift in businesses and workers to the region will result in the increased consumer demand that businesses need to experience greater levels of optimism soon. Calgary is already buzzing with public and private sector projects. The low Canadian dollar has boosted demand for exports, encouraging Canadian manufacturers to invest in production capacity. In a recent interview, Finance Minister Bill Mourner said that he believes “we’re starting to see the green shoots” from those investments.

 

Timing is everything

 

With its rich resources and strong infrastructure, it is only a matter of when not if, Calgary real estate will recover from this latest economic dip. There can be no doubt that, whether investing in commercial or residential properties, the opportunity to buy low and sell high is here now. During this time of transition, our team has the skills and experience to assist you in finding the best location for your staff or managing your residential assets. With our knowledge and expertise, you will be well-positioned to join Calgary’s coming economic rise.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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