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Canada could hit 12-14K daily coronavirus cases in January, modelling shows – Global News

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Should Canada continue on its current trajectory, the country could see between 12,000 to 14,000 daily coronavirus cases by January, according to new national public health modelling.

It emphasizes the need for all large provinces to strengthen their COVID-19 response, according to Theresa Tam, Canada’s top doctor.

“We have yet to see the kind of sustained daily decline that would indicate we have the pandemic under control,” Tam said at a press conference on Friday.

“There’s little indication this upward trajectory would change without further intensified public health measures.”

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Canada approves Pfizer coronavirus vaccine, will start administering ‘within days’

Cases have been rising in a number of provinces over the past few months. Infections continue to climb in the six provinces west of the Atlantic region, with rates rising precipitously in Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba,

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Outbreaks have also popped up in provinces and territories that once saw few to no cases daily.

Just Thursday, Canada’s overall death toll hit a new grim milestone — more than 13,000.

Tam said the incidence of COVID-19 has been “consistently high for all age groups for several weeks,” but that it is highest and escalating among adults 80 years and older, who are at highest risk for severe outcomes, including death.

This speaks, in part, to the increasing number of outbreaks — and size of outbreaks — at high-risk settings like long-term care homes, she said. While these outbreaks range in size, it’s a “difficult cycle of spread,” Tam said.

“It can’t be managed through outbreak response alone,” she said. “Bringing infection rates down to stop the spread into schools and high-risk settings require individual and public health authorities working together.”






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Coronavirus: Canada’s top doctor welcomes vaccine supply announcement, stresses following public health measures


Coronavirus: Canada’s top doctor welcomes vaccine supply announcement, stresses following public health measures

It’s why Tam and her counterparts are insisting that now is the time for provinces to act to slow the spread of the virus. Ending the curve of this resurgence will require “immediate, consistent and strong combined efforts” of both individual Canadians and public health authorities, she said.

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The goal for individual Canadians has been, and continues to be, reducing the number of people we interact with each day, she said.

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“For local authorities, implementing restrictions, closures, and control measures are required to achieve a reduction in contacts necessary to address rising numbers,” Tam said.

Read more:
What will Ontario’s long-term care system look like post-pandemic?

Without that collaboration, cases and deaths are on track to increase, the data shows.

Based on data up to Dec. 5, short-term forecasting shows Canada’s national tally of coronavirus cases could rise to between 531,300 and 577,000 by Christmas Day. For deaths, that could be 14,410 to 14,920.

The daily tally of new cases nationally could cross the 10,000 mark later this month.

As of Thursday, an additional 6,739 cases of COVID-19 were reported by health authorities, bringing Canada’s total number of infections to 442,069. To date, over 355,000 patients have recovered. More than 15.9 million tests have been performed.






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Toronto, Ottawa first to receive COVID-19 vaccine in Ontario


Toronto, Ottawa first to receive COVID-19 vaccine in Ontario

The grim outlook comes on the heels of more positive news about vaccines in Canada.

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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said Thursday that the government will foot the bill for COVID-19 vaccines, including the costs of supplies to administer them.

Doses of the vaccine are expected to arrive in Canada on Monday.

The government expects a limited rollout to begin to priority groups “within days” after arrival with vaccination of the general population slated to start in April.

Read more:
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While the introduction of a vaccine is “the best news we’ve heard in some time,” Tam and Njoo are concerned it might lead people to believe that COVID-19 is “no longer a problem.”

“The reality is very different,” Tam said. “Nationally, we remain in a rapid growth trajectory.”

The experts suggested measures could only continue to tighten, despite the gradual rollout of vaccines.

“Winter is going to be very difficult,” Njoo said.

“But throughout the winter, we have to continue our efforts. … We have to continue to follow public health measures.”

— with files from Global News’ Rachel Gilmore and the Canadian Press

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Suspicious deaths of two N.S. men were the result of homicide, suicide: RCMP

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Nova Scotia RCMP say their investigation into two suspicious deaths earlier this month has concluded that one man died by homicide and the other by suicide.

The bodies of two men, aged 40 and 73, were found in a home in Windsor, N.S., on Sept. 3.

Police say the province’s medical examiner determined the 40-year-old man was killed and the 73-year-old man killed himself.

They say the two men were members of the same family.

No arrests or charges are anticipated, and the names of the deceased will not be released.

RCMP say they will not be releasing any further details out of respect for the family.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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Turning the tide: Quebec premier visits Cree Nation displaced by hydro project in 70s

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For the first time in their history, members of the Cree community of Nemaska received a visit from a sitting Quebec premier on Sunday and were able to share first-hand the story of how they were displaced by a hydroelectric project in the 1970s.

François Legault was greeted in Nemaska by men and women who arrived by canoe to re-enact the founding of their new village in the Eeyou Istchee James Bay region, in northern Quebec, 47 years ago. The community was forced in the early 1970s to move from its original location because members were told it would be flooded as part of the Nottaway-Broadback-Rupert hydro project.

The reservoir was ultimately constructed elsewhere, but by then the members of the village had already left for other places, abandoning their homes and many of their belongings in the process.

George Wapachee, co-author of the book “Going Home,” said community members were “relocated for nothing.”

“We didn’t know what the rights were, or who to turn to,” he said in an interview. “That turned us into refugees and we were forced to abandon the life we knew.”

Nemaska’s story illustrates the challenges Legault’s government faces as it looks to build new dams to meet the province’s power needs, which are anticipated to double by 2050. Legault has promised that any new projects will be developed in partnership with Indigenous people and have “social acceptability,” but experts say that’s easier said than done.

François Bouffard, an associate professor of electrical engineering at McGill University, said the earlier era of hydro projects were developed without any consideration for the Indigenous inhabitants living nearby.

“We live in a much different world now,” he said. “Any kind of hydro development, no matter where in Quebec, will require true consent and partnership from Indigenous communities.” Those groups likely want to be treated as stakeholders, he added.

Securing wider social acceptability for projects that significantly change the landscape — as hydro dams often do — is also “a big ask,” he said. The government, Bouchard added, will likely focus on boosting capacity in its existing dams, or building installations that run off river flow and don’t require flooding large swaths of land to create reservoirs.

Louis Beaumier, executive director of the Trottier Energy Institute at Polytechnique Montreal, said Legault’s visit to Nemaska represents a desire for reconciliation with Indigenous people who were traumatized by the way earlier projects were carried about.

Any new projects will need the consent of local First Nations, Beaumier said, adding that its easier to get their blessing for wind power projects compared to dams, because they’re less destructive to the environment and easier around which to structure a partnership agreement.

Beaumier added that he believes it will be nearly impossible to get the public — Indigenous or not — to agree to “the destruction of a river” for a new dam, noting that in recent decades people have come to recognize rivers as the “unique, irreplaceable riches” that they are.

Legault’s visit to northern Quebec came on Sept. 15, when the community gathers every year to remember the founding of the “New Nemaska,” on the shores of Lake Champion in the heart of the boreal forest, some 1,500 kilometres from Montreal. Nemaska Chief Clarence Jolly said the community invited Legault to a traditional feast on Sunday, and planned to present him with Wapachee’s book and tell him their stories.

The book, published in 2022 along with Susan Marshall, is filled with stories of Nemaska community members. Leaving behind sewing machines and hunting dogs, they were initially sent to two different villages, Wapachee said.

In their new homes, several of them were forced to live in “deplorable conditions,” and some were physically and verbally abused, he said. The new village of Nemaska was only built a few years later, in 1977.

“At this time, families were losing their children to prison-schools,” he said, in reference to the residential school system. “Imagine the burden of losing your community as well.”

Thomas Jolly, a former chief, said he was 15 years old when he was forced to leave his village with all his belongings in a single bag.

Meeting Legault was important “because have to recognize what happened and we have to talk about the repercussions that the relocation had on people,” he said, adding that those effects are still felt today.

Earlier Sunday, Legault was in the Cree community of Eastmain, where he participated in the official renaming of a hydro complex in honour of former premier Bernard Landry. At the event, Legault said he would follow the example of his late predecessor, who oversaw the signing of the historic “Paix des Braves” agreement between the Quebec government and the Cree in 2002.

He said there is “significant potential” in Eeyou Istchee James Bay, both in increasing the capacity of its large dams and in developing wind power projects.

“Obviously, we will do that with the Cree,” he said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.



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Quebec premier visits Cree community displaced by hydro project in 1970s

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NEMASKA – For the first time in their history, members of the Cree community of Nemaska received a visit from a sitting Quebec premier on Sunday and were able to share first-hand the story of how they were displaced by a hydroelectric project in the 1970s.

François Legault was greeted in Nemaska by men and women who arrived by canoe to re-enact the founding of their new village in the Eeyou Istchee James Bay region, in northern Quebec, 47 years ago. The community was forced in the early 1970s to move from their original location because they were told it would be flooded as part of the Nottaway-Broadback-Rupert hydro project.

The reservoir was ultimately constructed elsewhere, but by then the members of the village had already left for other places, abandoning their homes and many of their belongings in the process.

George Wapachee, co-author of the book “Going Home,” said community members were “relocated for nothing.”

“We didn’t know what the rights were, or who to turn to,” he said in an interview. “That turned us into refugees and we were forced to abandon the life we knew.”

The book, published in 2022 by Wapachee and Susan Marshall, is filled with stories of Cree community members. Leaving behind sewing machines and hunting dogs, they were initially sent to two different villages, 100 and 300 kilometres away, Wapachee said.

In their new homes, several of them were forced to live in “deplorable conditions,” and some were physically and verbally abused, he said. The new village of Nemaska was only built a few years later, in 1977.

“At this time, families were losing their children to prison-schools,” he said, in reference to the residential school system. “Imagine the burden of losing your community as well.”

Legault’s visit came on Sept. 15, when the community gathers every year to remember the founding of the “New Nemaska,” on the shores of Lake Champion in the heart of the boreal forest, some 1,500 kilometres from Montreal. Nemaska Chief Clarence Jolly said the community invited Legault to a traditional feast on Sunday, and planned to present him with Wapachee’s book and tell him their stories.

Thomas Jolly, a former chief, said he was 15 years old when he was forced to leave his village with all his belongings in a single bag.

Meeting Legault was important “because have to recognize what happened and we have to talk about the repercussions that the relocation had on people,” he said, adding that those effects are still felt today.

Earlier Sunday, Legault had been in the Cree community of Eastmain, where he participated in the official renaming of a hydro dam in honour of former premier Bernard Landry.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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