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Canada real estate: RBC Economics housing report notes condo prices stuck in a rut – The Georgia Straight

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A recent housing report by RBC Economics states that prices of condo properties haven’t been seeing much action.

“Condo prices, in fact, have already stagnated over the past six months both at the national level…,” bank economist Robert Hogue wrote.

According to Hogue, this is happening as well in “some of Canada’s largest markets (including Vancouver, Toronto and Hamilton)”.

“This contrasted with a solid 7.3% increase for single-detached homes nationwide over that period,” Hogue also noted.

Hogue’s observation about condo prices form part of his October 15, 2020 report about the performance of the real-estate market for September.

Hogue noted that the benchmark price of homes in Canada increased 10.3 percent year-over-year in September.

That was the “first time it’s been in double-digits in three years”.

“The strength was generally concentrated in single-detached homes,” Hogue wrote, adding that the benchmark price for this type of home rose 12 percent year-over-year last month.

“This was almost double the 6.2% rate for condo apartments,” the RBC economist wrote.

In some markets, the picture has not been good.

“Condo prices have flattened in Vancouver, Toronto and Hamilton relative to pre-pandemic levels,” Hogue wrote.

In a previous report on September 30, Hogue wrote that the “impact of COVID-19 on the housing market is complex”.

“The bottom line is we expect condo prices to weaken in larger markets next year…,” Hogue predicted.

In September 2020, the benchmark price of a condo property in areas covered by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver was $683,500.

This represents a 4.5 percent increase from September 2019, and a 0.3 percent decrease compared to August 2020.

In areas under the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board, the benchmark price of a condo in September was $436,900.

The number represents a 0.1 percent per cent drop compared to August 2020, and an increase of 4.7 percent compared to September 2019.

In Victoria, the benchmark price of a condo in September 2019 was $512,500.

Last September, the value for the same condominium decreased by 0.4 percent to $510,600.

The figure also represents a 0.6 percent drop from the August 2020 value of $513,900.

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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