Speaking to reporters on Friday, Dr. Theresa Tam said an updated national modelling for the pandemic trajectory suggests that the highly contagious Delta variant of COVID-19 could drive a fourth wave of infections.
“The trajectory will depend on ongoing increase in fully vaccinated coverage and the timing, pace and extent of reopening,” Tam said.
“While some resurgence is expected as measures are eased, this updated model shows that if we maintain current levels of community-wide contacts, we would expect to see a modest increase in cases.”
Tam said the country could see a high increase of COVID-19 infections if reopening continues quickly before enough people are fully immunized.
“We could expect to see a sharp resurgence by the end of the summer,” she said.
She said the new forecast “reaffirms the need to take a cautious approach to relaxing public health measures to remain vigilant and responsive to signs of resurgence and to continue to increase first and second dose vaccine coverage.”
Canada reported an average of 640 new cases over the past seven days, she said, which is still 93 per cent lower than the peak of the third wave.
As of Friday, 80.3 per cent of those eligible had received a first dose, while 63.7 per cent are now fully vaccinated.
Tam said the country has made “great progress” on vaccinating those who are eligible over the last month, but there is a need to increase numbers of vaccinated even more.
“This means increasing fully vaccinated coverage above 80 per cent across all age groups and particularly in younger age groups where most of the transmission is occurring.”
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 2, 2021.
This story was produced with the financial assistance of the Facebook and Canadian Press News Fellowship.
Maan Alhmidi, The Canadian Press
BC bird flu: Vancouver Island farmers on alert | CTV News – CTV News VI
The fears of many chicken farmers on Vancouver Island have been realized. The Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA) confirmed that a case of the avian flu that’s been spreading across Canada has been found in a small flock in the Comox Valley on Wednesday.
Jeremy Vigini considers his birds pets, but they do provide limited income on his Black Creek, B.C., hobby farm, Broken Head Farms.
He’s only been at it for a few months but had heard the bird flu was headed towards the island.
“We first started hearing there was a problem last month,” he said, noting that he’d been keeping an eye on biosecurity and preventative measures.
Vigini and other poultry operations of all sizes are now under tighter restrictions after a positive case of the avian flu was confirmed on the Mid-Island.
“All we got was a post saying it’s in the Comox Valley now, and so our minds went to, ‘How do we secure our birds, our pets, all this stuff?'” he said.
Vigini’s now put up a new gate and increased fencing and netting to try to keep wild birds out.
Staff and volunteers at the Mountainaire Avian Rescue Centre (MARS) in Merville are increasing their protocols.
“[It’s] extremely contagious as far as we are aware, so at this point it can spread to any species of bird. Not necessarily all birds will show symptoms,” said Gylaine Andersen, manager of wildlife rehabilitation at MARS.
Staff are now taking a second look at the condition of their current patients.
“It’s kind of hard because a lot of these symptoms we’re seeing in animals anyway, and now we have to think, ‘OK maybe this is the flu instead of whatever else they would normally be,'” said Andersen.
The facility’s asking the general public to help out by encouraging birds to socially distance.
“For gathering of birds at bird feeders and bird baths, we are asking that people take those down,” said Andersen.
MARS is worried that if the avian flu is left unchecked, it could spread to wild birds, like eagles and geese.
As of Wednesday, seven properties across B.C. had confirmed cases of the avian flu.
Eating Disorder Foundation Call Recent CIHI Statistics “Alarming” – VOCM
The Eating Disorder Foundation of Newfoundland and Labrador calls recent statistics released by CIHI “startling” and “alarming”.
The latest data from the Canadian Institute for Health Information shows that hospitalizations for eating disorders among girls aged 10 to 17 increased by nearly 60 per cent since March of 2020. The rate of hospitalization for children for eating disorders is about 30 per 100,000 in this province compared with 20 per 100,000 nationally—an increase of roughly 30 per cent over pre-pandemic levels.
The Executive Director of the Eating Disorder Foundation of Newfoundland and Labrador, Paul Thomey, says what they’ve seen over the past two years lines up with CIHI’s findings.
He says they’ve seen unprecedented growth in the number of people presenting to the Janeway and the HOPE program. He says the waiting lists for their programs and the Janeway are startling,
He says in the youth programs, there are people waiting upwards of a year to see dieticians and psychologists.
Worldwide acute hepatitis in kids rises to 450 infections, 12 deaths – ummid.com
The liver disease that was first reported in the UK in April, has seen 12 deaths reported from Indonesia (5), Palestine (1), the US (5) and Ireland (1)
New Delhi: Worldwide about 450 children have been infected with the mysterious acute hepatitis condition, while 12 have lost their lives, according to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDPC).
The liver disease that was first reported in the UK in April, has seen 12 deaths reported from Indonesia (5), Palestine (1), the US (5) and Ireland (1).
The highest number of cases have been reported from the UK (176) and the US (110), another 100 are jointly from European countries including Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Denmark, France, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, and Sweden.
According to the World Health Organisation (WHO), 21 countries have now detected ‘severe hepatitis of unknown origin’ among children mostly under the age of 10 since early April. At least 26 youngsters have required liver transplants.
While so far there is no reason identified, adenovirus — a common family of infections responsible for illnesses from cold to eye infections — is suspected to be causing the condition. Amongst 176 UK cases, about 126 have been tested for adenovirus of which 91 had adenovirus detected (72 per cent). Amongst cases the adenovirus has primarily been detected in blood.
But the ECDPC in a statement said:
“Other hypotheses and possible co-factors are under investigation. Most cases continue to be reported as sporadic un-linked cases.”
However, adenovirus has only been detected in blood or plasma samples for many of the cases, and also in low viral loads.
Thus, even the WHO noted that since “adenovirus has not yet been identified in the liver tissue samples analysed and therefore, could be a coincidental rather than a causal factor”.
The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) also detected SARS-CoV-2, the virus causing Covid-19, in 24 cases out of 132 with available results (18 per cent).
The agency noted that “SARS-CoV-2 serological testing is in process”.
In a bizarre twist last week, the health chiefs in the UK also investigated whether ‘dog exposures’ are to blame, the Guardian reported.
The UKHSA said last week that a ‘high’ number of the British children with hepatitis were from families which own dogs.
However, the officials did not explain how dogs could potentially be to blame, but they are known carriers of adenovirus strains, the report said.
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