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Canada’s economy eked out 0.1% growth in October and stalled in November, Statscan says

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Canada’s gross domestic product expanded by 0.1 per cent in October, as growth in the service sector was barely enough to offset shrinkage in goods-producing industries.

Statistics Canada reported Friday that the GDP figure for October was a slowdown from 0.2 per cent growth seen the previous month. And early numbers for November suggest no growth at all.

The service sector has grown for six months in a row while the goods sector has contracted for four months in a row, the data agency said.

The service sector got a boost from some unexpected places during the month with the performing arts, spectator sports and related industries increasing by 4.7 per cent during the month.

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Blue Jays and NHL games boosted the economy a little

That was largely due to the Toronto Blue Jays, who had five more games than usual during the month — three makeup games for ones cancelled during the regular season, and a two-game playoff.

It wasn’t just baseball. “A late start to the National Hockey League pre-season in September contributed to a higher-than-usual increase in attendance in October,” the data agency said.

While the 0.1 per cent growth in overall economic growth in October was in line with what economists were expecting, the numbers painted a picture of an economy showing clear signs of slowing down.

“The Canadian economy has been holding up relatively well overall heading into the end of 2022, largely because the service sector is now carrying the weight,” Bank of Montreal economist Robert Kavcic said. “But the real question will be how things shake out during the first half of next year, when aggressive Bank of Canada rate hikes start to more fully work their way through the system.”

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The UK labor strikes are years in the making – Vox.com

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The UK labor strikes are years in the making  Vox.com

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Bond correction coming: What an economist and an investor say about inflation – Financial Post

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Bond correction coming: What an economist and an investor say about inflation  Financial Post

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Freeland meets with provincial, territorial finance ministers in Toronto

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TORONTO — Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland is hosting an in-person meeting Friday with the provincial and territorial finance ministers in Toronto to discuss issues including the current economic environment and the transition to a clean economy.

The meeting will focus on the economic situation both domestically and globally, according to a federal source with knowledge of the gathering, including discussions on how to provide incentives and supports to be competitive with the U.S.’s Inflation Reduction Act.

U.S. President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act includes electric-vehicle incentives that favour manufacturers in Canada and Mexico, as well as the U.S.

The incentives, which were already revised to include Canada and Mexico after originally focusing on the U.S., are now facing criticism from Europe about North American protectionism.

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The source, who spoke on the condition they not be named to discuss matters not yet made public said the ongoing challenges with health care in Canada will also come up at the meeting. More substantive discussions on that will be held next week when the prime minister meets with premiers on Feb. 7.

In her opening remarks, Freeland said it’s essential for Canada to have its rightful place in the transition to a clean economy, calling it one of the biggest challenges of the moment.

We are in a situation with a lot of economic uncertainty globally, said Freeland, adding that later in the day, the ministers will have a discussion with Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem.

“I think that conversation with the governor will be useful and important for all of us,” she said.

Despite the need to address health care challenges, Canadian jobs and the transition to a clean economy, Freeland said the government recognizes it also has to contend with real fiscal constraints.

Freeland will hold a closing news conference at 3:30 p.m. local time.

The meeting comes at a tense time for many Canadian consumers, with inflation still running hot and interest rates much higher than they were a year ago.

The Bank of Canada raised its key interest rate again last week, bringing it to 4.5 per cent, but signalled it’s taking a pause to let the impact of its aggressive hiking cycle sink in.

The economy is showing signs of slowing, but inflation was still high at 6.3 per cent in December, with food prices in particular remaining elevated year over year.

Interest rates have put a damper on the housing market, sending prices and sales downward for months on end even as the cost of renting went up in 2022.

Meanwhile, the labour market has remained strong, with the unemployment rate nearing record lows in December at five per cent.

— With files from Nojoud Al Mallees in Ottawa and James McCarten in Washington

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Feb. 3, 2023.

 

The Canadian Press

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