Canada's inflation slows in September, likely heading off rate hike | Canada News Media
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Canada’s inflation slows in September, likely heading off rate hike

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OTTAWA, Oct 17 (Reuters) – Canada’s annual inflation rate unexpectedly slowed to 3.8% in September and underlying core measures also eased, data showed on Tuesday, prompting markets and analysts to trim bets for another interest rate hike next week.

Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast inflation to hold steady at the 4.0% rate recorded in August. Month-over-month, the consumer price index was down 0.1%, Statistics Canada said, lower than a forecast for a 0.1% gain.

“It’s pretty clear that (the central bank) won’t be raising rates” when it announces its policy decision on Oct. 25, said Jules Boudreau, senior economist at Mackenzie Investments.

Two of the Bank of Canada’s (BoC’s) three core measures of underlying inflation also decelerated. CPI-median edged down to 3.8% from 4.1% in August, while CPI-trim decreased to 3.7% from 3.9%.

Money markets trimmed bets for a rate hike next week after the data. They now see a 16% chance for a rate increase next week, down from 43% before the figures.

The Canadian dollar weakened as much as 0.7%, hitting its weakest since Oct. 6 at 1.3702 per U.S. dollar, or 72.98 U.S. cents.

The Canadian 2-year yield eased 2.5 basis points to 4.877% even as U.S. rates moved higher following stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales data.

Headline inflation had outpaced expectations in the previous two months, stoking fears that the Bank of Canada’s 10 rate hikes since March of last year might not have been enough to cool prices. At 3.8%, inflation is still nearly double the bank’s 2% target.

The price figures come a day after a third-quarter survey by the Bank of Canada that showed businesses gloomy on the economic outlook and inflation expectations easing slightly.

Given the bleak the business survey “and inflation coming in below expected, look for expectations to solidify around the BoC holding policy steady next week,” said Benjamin Reitzes, managing director and macro strategist at BMO Capital Markets.

“There’s no need for further rate hikes in Canada,” Reitzes said.

The deceleration in September was broad-based, stemming from lower prices for some travel-related services, durable goods and groceries, Statscan said. A factor driving prices was a 7.5% year-over-year increase in gasoline prices.

Grocery prices cooled for the third straight month, rising at 5.8% – the slowest pace since December 2021. Excluding food and energy, prices rose 3.2% compared with a 3.6% rise in August.

The central bank has hiked to a 22-year high of 5%, but it does not see inflation slowing to its 2% target until mid-2025. The bank will issue new forecasts alongside its rate announcement next week.

“The inflation risk is skewed higher on a trend basis, but for now the Bank of Canada can be opportunistic and skip next week’s meeting,” said Derek Holt, vice president of capital markets at Scotiabank.

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said last week that the bank would be weighing whether to let previous rate hikes work through the economy or raise again to counter sticky inflation.

Reporting by Ismail Shakil and Steve Scherer in Ottawa, additional reporting by Dale Smith in Ottawa, Fergal Smith and Divya Rajagopal in Toronto; Editing by Jonathan Oatis and Nick Zieminski

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

 

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Federal $500M bailout for Muskrat Falls power delays to keep N.S. rate hikes in check

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HALIFAX – Ottawa is negotiating a $500-million bailout for Nova Scotia’s privately owned electric utility, saying the money will be used to prevent a big spike in electricity rates.

Federal Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson made the announcement today in Halifax, saying Nova Scotia Power Inc. needs the money to cover higher costs resulting from the delayed delivery of electricity from the Muskrat Falls hydroelectric plant in Labrador.

Wilkinson says that without the money, the subsidiary of Emera Inc. would have had to increase rates by 19 per cent over “the short term.”

Nova Scotia Power CEO Peter Gregg says the deal, once approved by the province’s energy regulator, will keep rate increases limited “to be around the rate of inflation,” as costs are spread over a number of years.

The utility helped pay for construction of an underwater transmission link between Newfoundland and Nova Scotia, but the Muskrat Falls project has not been consistent in delivering electricity over the past five years.

Those delays forced Nova Scotia Power to spend more on generating its own electricity.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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