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Canada’s new foreign investment scrutiny a risk for M&A in key sectors

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TORONTO, Dec 14 (Reuters) – Canadian financial dealmakers are raising the alarm about Ottawa’s proposal to more closely scrutinize national security implications of foreign acquisitions of Canadian companies, warning that such interventions could deter foreign investments and slow impending deals in critical sectors.

Last week, Canada announced its biggest overhaul in more than a decade to Investment Canada Act, allowing the government to impose interim conditions to prevent buyers from accessing trade secrets, and to block investments that could compromise national security.

Lawyers and industry associations say such conditions could delay and add to the cost of dealmaking.

“There is a concern on how the proposed amendments affect timing of an acquisition,” said Sandy Walker, co-Chair of Competition and Foreign Investment Review group at law firm Dentons. “In some instances, there may be commercial or financial imperatives that require a transaction to close quickly.”

Canada added national security review to ICA in 2009 and since then only five out of the 87 deals were blocked outright, according to industry ministry annual reports. It is applied to 15 industries, ranging from mining, advanced materials and manufacturing to space technology, but the list is expected to be expanded next year, a government source told Reuters.

The increased scrutiny comes just as Canada’s large deposits of critical minerals needed for green transition are in hot demand.

“The level of investment you’re going to see is going to be unprecedented in the country,” Industry Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne told reporters on Wednesday when asked whether the new rules would inhibit investment.

Referring specifically to critical minerals, Champagne said allies “understand we take national security, economic security very seriously, and we’re going to protect our critical minerals because, as you know, these critical minerals will power the economy of the 21st century.”

DELISTING RISKS

Still, some M&A lawyers say the national security reviews can be invoked for companies that are registered in Canada but do not have physical operations in the country.

An example is that Canada ordered three Chinese investors to divest their investments in Canadian lithium companies in November. Some of these Canadian companies listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange do not run lithium mines in Canada, but abroad. The move is seen as the precursor to what could come under the amended ICA, lawyers argue.

“The jurisdictional threshold for a national security review is fairly low in that it appears to require very little connection to Canada,” said Huy Do, Co leader of the Competition, Marketing & Foreign Investment Group of law firm Fasken.

That could encourage some companies to seek delisting from Canada’s main stock exchanges.

“We are hearing arguments that some companies might want to de-list from the Toronto Stock Exchange and re-domicile in other jurisdictions,” said a lawyer from a Toronto based law firm who did not want to be quoted as the discussions are still private.

A TSX spokesperson declined to comment what individual issuers may do, but said it encourages the government to find ways to “supplement investment” in critical minerals and “make up for the potential shortfalls generated by these types of policy decisions.”

Pierre Gratton, President and CEO of the Mining Association of Canada, said while the industry is concerned about missing out on needed investments to explore for new mines, “we’re also not blind to the geopolitical environment in which we’re living.”

In the last year, the number of applications under review for foreign investments in mining, oil and gas, agriculture, forestry, fishing – dropped 11% to 37, according to industry ministry.

“So as long as what’s being cut off is replaced, we’ll be okay, Gratton added.

Reporting by Divya Rajagopal; Editing by David Gregorio

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 150 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 150 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in technology, financial and energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also pushed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 171.41 points at 23,298.39.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 278.37 points at 41,369.79. The S&P 500 index was up 38.17 points at 5,630.35, while the Nasdaq composite was up 177.15 points at 17,733.18.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.19 cents US compared with 74.23 cents US on Wednesday.

The October crude oil contract was up US$1.75 at US$76.27 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.10 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$18.70 at US$2,556.50 an ounce and the December copper contract was down less than a penny at US$4.22 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug. 29, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Investment

Crypto Market Bloodbath Amid Broader Economic Concerns

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The crypto market has recently experienced a significant downturn, mirroring broader risk asset sell-offs. Over the past week, Bitcoin’s price dropped by 24%, reaching $53,000, while Ethereum plummeted nearly a third to $2,340. Major altcoins also suffered, with Cardano down 27.7%, Solana 36.2%, Dogecoin 34.6%, XRP 23.1%, Shiba Inu 30.1%, and BNB 25.7%.

The severe downturn in the crypto market appears to be part of a broader flight to safety, triggered by disappointing economic data. A worse-than-expected unemployment report on Friday marked the beginning of a technical recession, as defined by the Sahm Rule. This rule identifies a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least half a percentage point from its lowest point in the past year.

Friday’s figures met this threshold, signaling an abrupt economic downshift. Consequently, investors sought safer assets, leading to declines in major stock indices: the S&P 500 dropped 2%, the Nasdaq 2.5%, and the Dow 1.5%. This trend continued into Monday with further sell-offs overseas.

The crypto market’s rapid decline raises questions about its role as either a speculative asset or a hedge against inflation and recession. Despite hopes that crypto could act as a risk hedge, the recent crash suggests it remains a speculative investment.

Since the downturn, the crypto market has seen its largest three-day sell-off in nearly a year, losing over $500 billion in market value. According to CoinGlass data, this bloodbath wiped out more than $1 billion in leveraged positions within the last 24 hours, including $365 million in Bitcoin and $348 million in Ether.

Khushboo Khullar of Lightning Ventures, speaking to Bloomberg, argued that the crypto sell-off is part of a broader liquidity panic as traders rush to cover margin calls. Khullar views this as a temporary sell-off, presenting a potential buying opportunity.

Josh Gilbert, an eToro market analyst, supports Khullar’s perspective, suggesting that the expected Federal Reserve rate cuts could benefit crypto assets. “Crypto assets have sold off, but many investors will see an opportunity. We see Federal Reserve rate cuts, which are now likely to come sharper than expected, as hugely positive for crypto assets,” Gilbert told Coindesk.

Despite the recent volatility, crypto continues to make strides toward mainstream acceptance. Notably, Morgan Stanley will allow its advisors to offer Bitcoin ETFs starting Wednesday. This follows more than half a year after the introduction of the first Bitcoin ETF. The investment bank will enable over 15,000 of its financial advisors to sell BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC. This move is seen as a significant step toward the “mainstreamization” of crypto, given the lengthy regulatory and company processes in major investment banks.

The recent crypto market downturn highlights its volatility and the broader economic concerns affecting all risk assets. While some analysts see the current situation as a temporary sell-off and a buying opportunity, others caution against the speculative nature of crypto. As the market evolves, its role as a mainstream alternative asset continues to grow, marked by increasing institutional acceptance and new investment opportunities.

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