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Canada's Residential Investment As A Percent of GDP Is Dropping, But Still Elevated – Better Dwelling

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Canadians are still real estate fanatics, but the peak was so high, today’s levels seem normal. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows investment in residential structures increased in Q3. When compared as a percentage of GDP however, residential investment is down from the peak. Although it’s still way above usual.

Residential Investment

Residential investment (a.k.a. residential structures in Canada) is real estate’s direct contribution to GDP. It includes construction, renovation, and ownership transfers – but not a comprehensive measure. For example, the renovation part only covers large renovations such as roofs and kitchens. It excludes routine maintenance and superficial upgrades like painting. The segment measures a good portion of real estate, but not quite all. For example, insurance and finance are largely dependent on real estate, but not included here.

Canadian Residential Investment Reached Over $46 Billion In Q3

In current dollar terms, the amount dedicated towards residential investment is growing. Residential investment reached $46.04 billion in the quarter of Q3 2019, up 4.29% from the previous quarter. This works out to an increase of 3.45%, when compared to the same quarter last year. The increase is higher than last year, but the gains are small in contrast to recent years.

Canadian Residential Investment

The amount spent on residential stuctures in Canada.

Source: Stat Can, Better Dwelling.

The year-over-year (YOY) growth is big for a quarter over the past 12 months, but still unusually low. This is the biggest YOY for any quarter since Q4 2017, with most of the recent numbers printing negatives. Even so, this is the second slowest YOY growth for Q3, in the past years. Other than last year, this is slow for the industry.

Residential Investment Is Over 7% of GDP Still

Residential investment as a percentage of GDP is falling, but still elevated. It represented 7.68% of GDP in the quarter of Q3 2019, down from 7.79% from a quarter before. Compared to Q3 last year, it’s a little higher – but some of this appears to be distribution. That is, some quarters in the past year have been slower than usual, and some faster. This becomes apparent when we look at growth over a longer period.

Residential Investment As A Percent of GDP

The amount of Canadian residential investment, expressed as a percent of GDP.

Source: Stat Can, Better Dwelling.

The rolling 12-month trend shows just how dependent Canada has become on real estate. Residential investment as a percentage of GDP is coming down on an annual basis. It most definitely peaked in 2017. We’re still very much above historic norms though. In fact, cheap financing and financial innovations prior to the Great Recession couldn’t even compete with this percent of the economy devoted to real estate.

Canada’s dependence on real estate as a driver for the economy is lower, but higher than it should be. For context, residential investment in the US is below 4 percent today. The US hasn’t breached 7% in over 50 years – even right before the great recession. Canada on the other hand, has been over 7% for almost half a decade now.

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How To Invest Money To Secure Your Family's Future – The Seeker

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How To Invest Money To Secure Your Family’s Future – The Seeker Newsmagazine Cornwall

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Elon Musk sold nearly $7 billion worth of Tesla stock—here’s how much money you’d have if you’d invested $1,000 in the company 10 years ago – CNBC

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold 7.92 million shares of the electric vehicle manufacturer worth about $6.88 billion between Aug. 5 and Aug. 9, according to a series of recent SEC filings.

As of Aug. 9, Tesla shares were valued at about $850 each at the close of trading. That price has fallen by a little over 9% since the close of trading on Aug. 4, when shares were $938 each, according to CNBC tracking.

As for how shareholders would fare longer-term, if you had invested $1,000 in Tesla one year ago, on Aug. 11, 2021, your investment would be up by about 23%, according to CNBC calculations, for a value of around $1,230, as of Aug. 10, 2022.

If you had invested $1,000 five years ago, on Aug. 11, 2017, your investment would be worth around $12,160.

And if you had invested $1,000 on Aug. 11, 2012 and given your investment a decade to grow, you’d have around $145,341 as of Aug. 10, 2022.

Musk’s latest sale comes despite his announcement earlier this year that there were “no further TSLA sales planned” after he sold about $8.4 billion worth of his company shares in April.

So what’s behind this latest move? The billionaire says it’s due to his ongoing legal battle with Twitter.

“In the (hopefully unlikely) event that Twitter forces this deal to close *and* some equity partners don’t come through, it is important to avoid an emergency sale of Tesla stock,” Musk tweeted, after replying yes to a question about if he was done selling shares.

Back in April, Musk announced his intention to buy the social media giant for $44 billion or about $54.20 per share. As of Aug. 10, Twitter shares were valued at about $44 each at the close of trading. A share of Twitter stock was valued at about $45 on April 14th when Musk made his announcement.

By July, however, the SpaceX CEO told Twitter that he wanted to cancel the deal. In a letter to the company, Musk’s lawyers claimed that Twitter failed to provide “information that would allow him ‘to make an independent assessment of the prevalence of fake or spam accounts on Twitter’s platform.'”

Twitter called Musk’s attempt to bail out of the deal a “model of hypocrisy” and said his claims “lack any merit,” according to a legal complaint filed by the company.

Although Musk is now pushing for a public debate with Twitter CEO Parag Agrawal, the head of the microblogging site said he plans to let the courts decide the fate of this deal, with a trial set to begin in October.

When it comes to the stock market, be sure to do your research before investing and remember that a stock’s past performance can’t be used to predict future earnings. An alternative option to investing in individual stocks is to invest in the S&P 500, a stock market index that tracks the stock performance of 500 large U.S. companies.

Although the S&P 500 shrank by nearly 6% compared to this same time period last year, the index has grown by 71.94% over the past five years and 198.58% over the past decade, according to CNBC calculations.

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Canada Pension Plan Investment Board loses 4.2% in Q1, net assets total $523B – Cornwall Seaway News

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TORONTO — Canada Pension Plan Investment Board says its fund, which includes the combination of the base CPP and additional CPP accounts, lost 4.2 per cent in its latest quarter.

CPPIB ended the quarter with net assets of $523 billion, compared to $539 billion at the end of the previous quarter.

The board says the $16 billion decrease in net assets for the quarter consisted of a net loss of $23 billion and $7 billion in net transfers from the Canada Pension Plan.

The board says the fund’s quarterly results were driven by losses in public equity strategies, due to the broad decline in global equity markets.

It also says investments in private equity, credit and real estate contributed modestly to the losses this quarter.

CPPIB CEO John Graham says he expects “turbulence” in the business and investment environment to persist throughout the fiscal year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Aug.11, 2022.

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