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Canadians want to know how bad this could get. Is anyone ready to tell us? – CBC.ca

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Asked on Wednesday how this crisis might end, the prime minister insisted the story was still being written. Challenged to explain what the future might hold, Justin Trudeau directed everyone’s attention to the present.

The prime minister’s language on Wednesday was particularly stark.

“This is the largest economic program in Canada’s history,” he said of measures the federal government has outlined over the last three weeks to keep the economy alive.

“Canada hasn’t seen this type of civic mobilization since the Second World War,” he said of the massive effort to reorient Canadian society around a single overarching goal.

He referred to the pandemic as a “fight” Canada must win. The goal, he said, was to “defeat” COVID-19. And he returned to a theme of service.

“We all have to answer the call of duty,” he said.

Trudeau’s use of wartime language might help people understand how serious the current situation is.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau arrives to address Canadians on the COVID-19 pandemic from Rideau Cottage in Ottawa on Tuesday, March 31, 2020. (Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press)

Grim numbers, long timelines

But public pressure for more information is increasing. How long might we be in this battle? How brutal could it get?

That desire for answers has been intensified in recent days by the Trump administration’s decision to release a projected death toll for the United States and the leak of a Canadian document that suggests at least some virus-related measures here could be in place until July.

Ultimately, the question for the prime minister is whether he is saying or doing enough to properly prepare Canadians for whatever might come next.

Asked about the future on Wednesday, Trudeau declined to be precise.

“I’ve said from the very beginning that there are a wide range of scenarios that we have been looking for, that we’re planning for, that we are trying to work towards as a government, as a country,” he said. “We know that they’re going to be in place for a number of more weeks, perhaps more months, but everything depends on how Canadians behave.”

From the start, Trudeau has framed the national response as a shared effort of governments and citizens.

The difference between the best- and worst-case scenarios

Predicting the spread and toll of a once-in-a-century pandemic — and the measures that might be necessary to counteract — is difficult.

On March 11, Health Minister Patty Hajdu said as few as 30 per cent of Canadians and as many as 70 per cent might eventually be infected by the novel coronavirus. That range covers anything from 11.3 million people to 26.3 million people.

It’s not clear how much more precise the scientific and statistical models might have become over the last three weeks.

Federalism likely adds an extra degree of complexity; both the situation and the details of the response vary from province to province.

In that respect, individual provinces might be better positioned to offer their own individual projections — something no province has so far done.

That the situation in Canada could become much worse should not be lost on anyone at this point. The images and stories coming out of places like Italy and New York have been widely broadcast. Across the world, more than 45,000 people have died. Massive segments of Canadian society have been shut down or curtailed.

How long? How many?

But pockets of complacency still exist. Bylaw officers in Ottawa recently had to break up a child’s birthday party that was attended by more than a dozen kids.

It’s also natural to wonder about how long our lives might be disrupted or changed.

If the government told us tomorrow that 50,000 people might die in Canada (a number selected entirely at random), would that make anyone take this more seriously? Would it cause people to panic? Could it, perversely, lead some people to calculate that the official warnings have been overstated?

The High Park public tennis court is closed in Toronto on Tuesday, March 31, 2020. Ontario has closed recreation areas due to the novel coronavirus that causes COVID-19. (Nathan Denette/The Canadian Press)

Is it possible we’ll still be social distancing this summer? Is it possible some measures could be relaxed and then enforced again? The probable answer to both questions is ‘yes’.

When the storm is bearing down, it might be tempting to set aside questions about what you’ll do after it passes.

To the question of what happens next, Trudeau’s reply is that it all depends on what we do now. Two weeks from now, it might be easier to say what the next two months will look like.

“How well we do this right now determines where our country will be in two weeks or in two months,” Trudeau said on Wednesday. “It’s in our hands. It’s in your hands.”

But as Canadian society shifts from scrambling to shut down to sheltering in place, it won’t just be reporters asking questions about what’s happening and where we’re headed.

Transparency and trust

Rarely, if ever, has a leader gone into a war with a publicly stated projection of how many might die, or a particularly accurate forecast for how long it might take. So Trudeau might be forgiven for not rushing to offer predictions.

But we’ve seen too many leaders fail in the past to be honest and transparent when it comes to waging war. And there’s a risk that leaders will be seen as hiding something if they’re anything less than fully and totally transparent right now.

That, in turn, could make it harder to maintain the public’s trust and support — which could undermine efforts to keep the pandemic in check.

Trudeau has called Canadians together. He has empathized, encouraged, cajoled, warned and scolded. He has shared stories of heroism and good citizenship. He has promised the government’s support and he has tried to provide reassurance.

He has not hidden the fact that this won’t be easy. And he has spoken in terms of “months.”

The importance of what we do now can’t be lost in a rush to figure out what happens next.

But at least part of the prime minister’s task now is to prepare Canadians for how hard this could be — even in the best-case scenario.

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Bad traffic, changed plans: Toronto braces for uncertainty of its Taylor Swift Era

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TORONTO – Will Taylor Swift bring chaos or do we all need to calm down?

It’s a question many Torontonians are asking this week as the city braces for the arrival of Swifties, the massive fan base of one of the world’s biggest pop stars.

Hundreds of thousands are expected to descend on the downtown core for the singer’s six concerts which kick off Thursday at the Rogers Centre and run until Nov. 23.

And while their arrival will be a boon to tourism dollars — the city estimates more than $282 million in economic impact — some worry it could worsen Toronto’s gridlock by clogging streets that already come to a standstill during rush hour.

Swift’s shows are set to collide with sports events at the nearby Scotiabank Arena, including a Raptors game on Friday and a Leafs game on Saturday.

Some residents and local businesses have already adjusted their plans to avoid the area and its planned road closures.

Aahil Dayani says he and some friends intended to throw a birthday bash for one of their pals until they realized it would overlap with the concerts.

“Something as simple as getting together and having dinner is now thrown out the window,” he said.

Dayani says the group rescheduled the gathering for after Swift leaves town. In the meantime, he plans to hunker down at his Toronto residence.

“Her coming into town has kind of changed up my social life,” he added.

“We’re pretty much just not doing anything.”

Max Sinclair, chief executive and founder of A.I. technology firm Ecomtent, suggested his employees avoid the company’s downtown offices on concert days, saying he doesn’t see the point in forcing people to endure potential traffic jams.

“It’s going to be less productive for us, and it’s going to be just a pain for everyone, so it’s easier to avoid it,” Sinclair said.

“We’re a hybrid company, so we can be flexible. It just makes sense.”

Swift’s concerts are the latest pop culture moment to draw attention to Toronto’s notoriously disastrous daily commute.

In June, One Direction singer Niall Horan uploaded a social media video of himself walking through traffic to reach the venue for his concert.

“Traffic’s too bad in Toronto, so we’re walking to the venue,” he wrote in the post.

Toronto Transit Commission spokesperson Stuart Green says the public agency has been working for more than a year on plans to ease the pressure of so many Swifties in one confined area.

“We are preparing for something that would be akin to maybe the Beatles coming in the ‘60s,” he said.

Dozens of buses and streetcars have been added to transit routes around the stadium, and the TTC has consulted the city on potential emergency scenarios.

Green will be part of a command centre operated by the City of Toronto and staffed by Toronto police leaders, emergency services and others who have handled massive gatherings including the Raptors’ NBA championship parade in 2019.

“There may be some who will say we’re over-preparing, and that’s fair,” Green said.

“But we know based on what’s happened in other places, better to be over-prepared than under-prepared.”

Metrolinx, the agency for Ontario’s GO Transit system, has also added extra trips and extended hours in some regions to accommodate fans looking to travel home.

A day before Swift’s first performance, the city began clearing out tents belonging to homeless people near the venue. The city said two people were offered space in a shelter.

“As the area around Rogers Centre is expected to receive a high volume of foot traffic in the coming days, this area has been prioritized for outreach work to ensure the safety of individuals in encampments, other residents, businesses and visitors — as is standard for large-scale events,” city spokesperson Russell Baker said in a statement.

Homeless advocate Diana Chan McNally questioned whether money and optics were behind the measure.

“People (in the area) are already in close proximity to concerts, sports games, and other events that generate massive amounts of traffic — that’s nothing new,” she said in a statement.

“If people were offered and willingly accepted a shelter space, free of coercion, I support that fully — that’s how it should happen.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 13, 2024.



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‘It’s literally incredible’: Swifties line up for merch ahead of Toronto concerts

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TORONTO – Hundreds of Taylor Swift fans lined up outside the gates of Toronto’s Rogers Centre Wednesday, with hopes of snagging some of the pop star’s merchandise on the eve of the first of her six sold-out shows in the city.

Swift is slated to perform at the venue from Thursday to Saturday, and the following week from Nov. 21 to Nov. 23, with concert merchandise available for sale on some non-show days.

Swifties were all smiles as they left the merch shop, their arms full of sweaters and posters bearing pictures of the star and her Eras Tour logo.

Among them was Zoe Haronitis, 22, who said she waited in line for about two hours to get $300 worth of merchandise, including some apparel for her friends.

Haronitis endured the autumn cold and the hefty price tag even though she hasn’t secured a concert ticket. She said she’s hunting down a resale ticket and plans to spend up to $600.

“I haven’t really budgeted anything,” Haronitis said. “I don’t care how much money I spent. That was kind of my mindset.”

The megastar’s merchandise costs up to $115 for a sweater, and $30 for tote bags and other accessories.

Rachel Renwick, 28, also waited a couple of hours in line for merchandise, but only spent about $70 after learning that a coveted blue sweater and a crewneck had been snatched up by other eager fans before she got to the shop. She had been prepared to spend much more, she said.

“The two prized items sold out. I think a lot more damage would have been done,” Renwick said, adding she’s still determined to buy a sweater at a later date.

Renwick estimated she’s spent about $500 in total on “all-things Eras Tour,” including her concert outfit and merchandise.

The long queue for Swift merch is just a snapshot of what the city will see in the coming days. It’s estimated that up to 500,000 visitors from outside Toronto will be in town during the concert period.

Tens of thousands more are also expected to attend Taylgate’24, an unofficial Swiftie fan event scheduled to be held at the nearby Metro Toronto Convention Centre.

Meanwhile, Destination Toronto has said it anticipates the economic impact of the Eras Tour could grow to $282 million as the money continues to circulate.

But for fans like Haronitis, the experience in Toronto comes down to the Swiftie community. Knowing that Swift is going to be in the city for six shows and seeing hundreds gather just for merchandise is “awesome,” she said.

Even though Haronitis hasn’t officially bought her ticket yet, she said she’s excited to see the megastar.

“It’s literally incredible.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 13, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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Via Rail seeks judicial review on CN’s speed restrictions

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OTTAWA – Via Rail is asking for a judicial review on the reasons why Canadian National Railway Co. has imposed speed restrictions on its new passenger trains.

The Crown corporation says it is seeking the review from the Federal Court after many attempts at dialogue with the company did not yield valid reasoning for the change.

It says the restrictions imposed last month are causing daily delays on Via Rail’s Québec City-Windsor corridor, affecting thousands of passengers and damaging Via Rail’s reputation with travellers.

CN says in a statement that it imposed the restrictions at rail crossings given the industry’s experience and known risks associated with similar trains.

The company says Via has asked the courts to weigh in even though Via has agreed to buy the equipment needed to permanently fix the issues.

Via said in October that no incidents at level crossings have been reported in the two years since it put 16 Siemens Venture trains into operation.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:CN)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.



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