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Central Alberta Real Estate Market Update

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The Central Alberta real estate market is experiencing mixed housing conditions across multiple jurisdictions across the region. Some regions are witnessing steady sales activity, some are reporting declining home prices.

Indeed, in a rising interest rate climate, it was expected that Alberta real estate would begin to experience some cooling, especially after the province’s top markets had enjoyed impressive growth heading into 2022.

Industry observers point to higher lending rates and broader market uncertainty for the changes occurring in the Central Alberta real estate market. But this could be the catalyst to rebalancing housing conditions, particularly as more supply comes online.

So, how are various cities performing as of late? Here is a look at some Central Alberta towns.

Central Alberta Real Estate Market Update

Grande Prairie

According to the Alberta Real Estate Association (AREA), residential property sales slumped at an annualized pace of 8.8 per cent in September, with just 93 sales recorded. But, on a year-to-date basis, there was a 10-per-cent jump in housing transactions, totalling 1,214 units, association data show.

Here is a look at how the four main property categories performed in September on a year-over-year basis in the Grande Prairie real estate market:

  • Detached: -5 per cent to 77 units
  • Semi: -55 per cent to five units
  • Townhome: +150 per cent to five units
  • Apartments: -25 per cent to six units

Prices cooled to finish the third quarter, as the total residential average price slipped 1.3 per cent to $304,372. Moreover, the average selling price for a detached home fell 2.3 per cent to $330,289, while townhomes soared 51 per cent to $138,900. Semi-attached homes edged up one per cent to just above $227,000, and apartment prices slid two per cent to below $174,000.

On the supply front, new residential listings dipped 1.1 per cent from the same time a year ago to 188 units, while current inventory levels plunged 12.4 per cent year-over-year to 467 units. Months of supply, which gauges the number of months it would take to exhaust current inventories at the present rate of sales activity, dropped nearly four per cent to 5.02.

Red Deer

Slow sales but decent price growth were the key trends in the Red Deer real estate market in September, according to AREA data.

Residential property sales tumbled more than 21 per cent, totalling 126 units. The total residential average price in Red Deer climbed at an annualized pace of 1.6 per cent to $342,398.

Here is a look at September year-over-year data in the four main property categories:

Detached

  • Average Price: +8.5 per cent to $410,313
  • Home Sales: -30 per cent to 83 units

Semi

  • Average Price: +6.4 per cent to $278,489
  • Home Sales: Zero per cent to nine units

Townhome

  • Average Price: +4.9 per cent to $216,044
  • Home Sales: +29 per cent to 18 units

Apartment

  • Average Price: -17.6 per cent to $168,181
  • Home Sales: -11 per cent to 16 units

As the market has shifted toward more balanced conditions the pace of price growth has eased relative to what was seen last year,” AREA stated in its report. “While year-to-date average prices are comparable to last years levels, this can be related to shifts in composition as detached sales represent a smaller share of total sales. In fact, when looking at price movements by property types, the year-to-date detached average price is still nearly five per cent higher than last year.”

Supply conditions have been abysmal as of late, with new residential listings plummeting 16.5 per cent to 202 units and active listings cratering 25 per cent to 484 units. Moreover, months of supply dropped nearly five per cent to 3.84.

Fort McMurray

Despite being one of the top-performing housing sectors in both Alberta and the Prairies, the Fort McMurray real estate market has cooled off considerably, according to AREA numbers. Prices are falling, sales are sliding, and supplies are rising.

Home sales declined at an annualized pace of 12 per cent, with just 66 sales being recorded in September. At the same time, residential average prices plunged more than nine per cent to $355,233 in September.

Here is a quick glance at how the property categories performed in September:

Detached

  • Home Sales: -24 per cent to 34
  • Average Price: -5 per cent to $483,226

Semi

  • Home Sales: 0% at nine units
  • Average Price: Zero per cent at $381,833

Townhome

  • Home Sales: +80 per cent to nine units
  • Average Price: +45.1 per cent to $229,300

Apartments

  • Home Sales: -13 per cent to 14 units
  • Average Price: -9.3 per cent to $108,250

[A]s the growth in new listings far outpaced sales activity inventories continued to trend up. While September inventories are far higher than levels seen over the past few years, they remain in line with levels achieved prior to the pandemic. Nonetheless, the recent pullback in sales combined with higher inventory levels pushed the months of supply up to nearly nine months, a significant gain relative to levels seen over the past few years,” the association noted in a report.

In September, new residential listings surged 31.5 per cent year-over-year to 192 units, while active listings advanced close to 34 per cent to 562 units. Months of inventory spiked a little more than 52 per cent to 8.52.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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