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Chargers vs Chiefs Prop Bets for Thursday Night Football – Covers

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With the injury to Keenan Allen and the Chargers facing a short week, the total for running back Austin Ekeler’s receiving yards is entirely too low. Expect Justin Herbert to rely heavily on Ekeler against the Chiefs as he looks to torch Kansas City again.

Last Updated:
Sep 15, 2022 7:06 PM ET

Read Time: 4 min

The Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs will have a quick turnaround as the two best teams in the AFC West battle on Thursday Night Football to kick off Week 2.

Keenan Allen is looking like a no-go but there is value to be had still in the L.A. passing game while bettors should be looking at the Chargers secondary for tackling opportunities as the Kansas City offense can’t be stopped. 

Here are my free NFL player prop picks for Thursday Night Football’s game between the Chargers and Chiefs.

Chargers vs Chiefs prop picks

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Chargers vs Chiefs TNF props

In his first game as a Chief, JuJu Smith-Schuster caught six balls for 79 yards on eight targets — all in the first half. He did fumble twice, but the Chiefs were in control in the second half and didn’t need much from anyone. He saw 46 snaps, which were just five off the team lead (Marquez Valdes-Scantling has 51) and two more than Travis Kelce.

The former Steeler led all Kansas City wide receivers with a 20.5% target share and nearly doubled Valdez-Scantling’s air yards per reception. Patrick Mahomes spent a lot of time before the season working out with his new receivers and it showed Sunday. If the Chargers can keep this Kansas City offense to passing, Smith-Schuster’s Over 53.5 receiving yards hasn’t adjusted enough to match this approach. His receiving yard total closed at 47.5 yards last week.

Last week, the Chargers, allowed nine passes of 15 or more yards and struggled to slow down the heavily targeted Davante Adams (17 targets and 141 yards). 

This is a Pro-Bowl receiver who had 111 catches for over 1,4000 yards with Pittsburgh before his quarterback’s arm wore down. If Smith-Schuster goes off in Week 2 vs. a Chargers team that his QB has thrown for nearly 1,000 yards over the last three meetings, this receiving yard total won’t be in the 50s again. He could finish in the Top-12 in receiving yards by season’s end.

JuJu Smith-Schuster PropOver 53.5 receiving yards (-101 at Caesars)

Even without Keenen Allen, Justin Herbert has a great matchup vs. the Kansas City secondary. The Chiefs came into the season without Tyrann Mathieu, who was a leader at safety last season, and now outside cornerback Trent McDuffie is looking doubtful after getting carted off last week. He played 32 snaps before the injury. 

Herbert went into Arrowhead a season ago and dropped four touchdowns and 281 yards passing. With Mike Williams likely drawing extra attention and coming off a two-catch Week 1 performance, Austin Ekeler will be a huge part of the Chargers’ passing game Thursday.

Ekeler caught 6 of 6 targets for 52 yards and a score in the last meeting and hauled in four balls on Sunday despite the positive game script. Also helping us back the RB is the Kansas City pass rush that generated plenty of pressure last week (88.6%). Kyler Murray struggled to look downfield vs. the Chiefs and had just three balls of 20 or more yards, averaging just 3.0 air yards per attempt. 

With Allen gone, Williams stretching the field, and the KC defense starting to generate some pressure, I’m betting Ekler gets more involved than usual, especially on the short week. Over his six games vs. KC with Herbert under center, Ekeler has averaged 7.3 targets and 6.2 catches for 52.3 receiving yards per game.  

The books have adjusted Ekeler’s receiving yards total by five yards, but with the Allen injury and a potential for a heavy-pass game script, this isn’t enough. Ekeler finished with 33 receiving yards last week but also played with the lead for the majority of the game and Herbert spread it around his targets. I like both this play and his over 95.5 rushing and receiving yards as he will likely be the offense’s focal point. 

 Austin Ekeler PropOver 37.5 receiving yards (-114) 

Covers NFL betting analysis

Budda Baker finished with 20 total tackles in Week 1 vs. the Chiefs, who ran 66 plays while picking up 33 (!) first downs. Now, it will be safety Nasir Adderley’s turn to slow down this KC offense that will give plenty of tackling opportunities.

The free safety had just four total tackles last week but the Las Vegas offense was non-existent in the first half. He played 100% of the snaps in that game and comes into TNF with a tackle + assist total of just 5.5. He finished with 10 total tackles in the last meeting in Kansas City last year and had seven or more total tackles in 10 of his 15 games. 

Adderley grades positively in run defense and in the pass rush while not being the best coverage safety on the team which is great for tackle props. Also, with Mahomes targeting his tight ends 12 times on 39 passes in Week 1, Adderley might have even more tackling opportunities if the Chargers go to man coverage. 

With an offense that moved the ball with ease last week, the Chiefs create more tackling opportunities than other teams, and without J.C. Jackson, this is a secondary that will allow more completions, which means more tackles for the likes of Adderley.

Nasir Adderley PropOver 5.5 tackles plus assists (-120)

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France investigating disappearances of 2 Congolese Paralympic athletes

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PARIS (AP) — French judicial authorities are investigating the disappearance of two Paralympic athletes from Congo who recently competed in the Paris Games, the prosecutor’s office in the Paris suburb of Bobigny confirmed on Thursday.

Prosecutors opened the investigation on Sept. 7, after members of the athletes’ delegation warned authorities of their disappearance two days before.

Le Parisien newspaper reported that shot putter Mireille Nganga and Emmanuel Grace Mouambako, a visually impaired sprinter who was accompanied by a guide, went missing on Sept. 5, along with a third person.

The athletes’ suitcases were also gone but their passports remained with the Congolese delegation, according to an official with knowledge of the investigation, who asked to remain anonymous as they were not allowed to speak publicly about the case.

The Paralympic Committee of the Democratic Republic of Congo did not respond to requests for information from The Associated Press.

Nganga — who recorded no mark in the seated javelin and shot put competitions — and Mouambako were Congo’s flag bearers at the opening ceremony of the Paralympic Games, organizers said.

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Lawyer says Chinese doping case handled ‘reasonably’ but calls WADA’s lack of action “curious”

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An investigator gave the World Anti-Doping Agency a pass on its handling of the inflammatory case involving Chinese swimmers, but not without hammering away at the “curious” nature of WADA’s “silence” after examining Chinese actions that did not follow rules designed to safeguard global sports.

WADA on Thursday released the full decision from Eric Cottier, the Swiss investigator it appointed to analyze its handling of the case involving the 23 Chinese swimmers who remained eligible despite testing positive for performance enhancers in 2021.

In echoing wording from an interim report issued earlier this summer, Cottier said it was “reasonable” that WADA chose not to appeal the Chinese anti-doping agency’s explanation that the positives came from contamination.

“Taking into consideration the particularities of the case, (WADA) appears … to have acted in accordance with the rules it has itself laid out for anti-doping organizations,” Cottier wrote.

But peppered throughout his granular, 56-page analysis of the case was evidence and reminders of how WADA disregarded some of China’s violations of anti-doping protocols. Cottier concluded this happened more for the sake of expediency than to show favoritism toward the Chinese.

“In retrospect at least, the Agency’s silence is curious, in the face of a procedure that does not respect the fundamental rules, and its lack of reaction is surprising,” Cottier wrote of WADA’s lack of fealty to the world anti-doping code.

Travis Tygart, the CEO of the U.S. Anti-Doping Agency and one of WADA’s fiercest critics, latched onto this dynamic, saying Cottier’s information “clearly shows that China did not follow the rules, and that WADA management did nothing about it.”

One of the chief complaints over the handling of this case was that neither WADA nor the Chinese gave any public notice upon learning of the positive tests for the banned heart medication Temozolomide, known as TMZ.

The athletes also were largely kept in the dark and the burden to prove their innocence was taken up by Chinese authorities, not the athletes themselves, which runs counter to what the rulebook demands.

Despite the criticisms, WADA generally welcomed the report.

“Above all, (Cottier) reiterated that WADA showed no bias towards China and that its decision not to appeal the cases was reasonable based on the evidence,” WADA director general Olivier Niggli said. “There are however certainly lessons to be learned by WADA and others from this situation.”

Tygart said “this report validates our concerns and only raises new questions that must be answered.”

Cottier expanded on doubts WADA’s own chief scientist, Olivier Rabin, had expressed over the Chinese contamination theory — snippets of which were introduced in the interim report. Rabin was wary of the idea that “a few micrograms” of TMZ found in the kitchen at the hotel where the swimmers stayed could be enough to cause the group contamination.

“Since he was not in a position to exclude the scenario of contamination with solid evidence, he saw no other solution than to accept it, even if he continued to have doubts about the reality of contamination as described by the Chinese authorities,” Cottier wrote.

Though recommendations for changes had been expected in the report, Cottier made none, instead referring to several comments he’d made earlier in the report.

Key among them were his misgivings that a case this big was largely handled in private — a breach of custom, if not the rules themselves — both while China was investigating and after the file had been forwarded to WADA. Not until the New York Times and German broadcaster ARD reported on the positives were any details revealed.

“At the very least, the extraordinary nature of the case (23 swimmers, including top-class athletes, 28 positive tests out of 60 for a banned substance of therapeutic origin, etc.), could have led to coordinated and concerted reflection within the Agency, culminating in a formal and clearly expressed decision to take no action,” the report said.

WADA’s executive committee established a working group to address two more of Cottier’s criticisms — the first involving what he said was essentially WADA’s sloppy recordkeeping and lack of formal protocol, especially in cases this complex; and the second a need to better flesh out rules for complex cases involving group contamination.

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French league’s legal board orders PSG to pay Kylian Mbappé 55 million euros of unpaid wages

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The French league’s legal commission has ordered Paris Saint-Germain to pay Kylian Mbappé the 55 million euros ($61 million) in unpaid wages that he claims he’s entitled to, the league said Thursday.

The league confirmed the decision to The Associated Press without more details, a day after the France superstar rejected a mediation offer by the commission in his dispute with his former club.

PSG officials and Mbappé’s representatives met in Paris on Wednesday after Mbappé asked the commission to get involved. Mbappé joined Real Madrid this summer on a free transfer.

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