Chart of the Day: ExxonMobil Aims for $95 | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Investment

Chart of the Day: ExxonMobil Aims for $95

Published

 on

ExxonMobil (NYSE:), a significant component in the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:), announced on Dec. 8 that it would expand its share buyback program to $50bn over the next three years.

The decision comes as the U.S. oil and gas industry experiences an increase in profits due to rising energy prices, despite criticism on Oct. 28 from President Joe Biden that profits should not be used for dividends or stock buybacks while “a war is raging.” This presidential attack follows Biden’s chiding the industry since June for profits amid high .

Despite this backlash, ExxonMobil’s focus on returning profits to shareholders through its share buyback program has contributed to the company’s strong performance in the market this year, with shares up over 77% even as the has declined.

In addition to the share buyback program, ExxonMobil will also increase its spending on energy projects and low-carbon initiatives, including carbon capture and storage, biofuels, and hydrogen, in the coming years.

However, the USO fund, which holds ExxonMobil, has been volatile and may not be a suitable option for retail investors looking for consistent returns with lower risk. Energy stocks or broad-based sector ETFs may be better options.

Global have recently fallen more than 20% due to a deteriorating outlook for oil consumption. This decline is consistent with a cyclical downturn in the oil market and the potential onset of a business cycle slowdown or recession.

High oil prices and a slowing economy have caused a reduction in consumption. Initially, the impact of this decline was masked by concerns about a planned price cap on Russia’s crude and refined product exports.

Still, as it became clear that the cap would be introduced at a relatively high level with a relaxed approach to enforcement, the underlying deterioration in consumption was revealed, leading to a sharp drop in prices.

Additionally, hedge funds and other money managers have significantly reduced their positions in petroleum futures and options contracts, particularly in , further contributing to the price decline.

The current situation bears some similarities to the oil market downturn in 2014. Still, the recent downturn is occurring in the context of a global recession, and the factors driving it are more complex and diverse.

On Oct. 6, I a bullish call on XOM. Having actualized its target, I’m now giving risk parameters for a bearish call.

XOM Daily Chart

 

It’s noteworthy that ExxonMobil failed to maintain gains after the Dec. 8 announcement, even as the broader market gained. Oil dropped that day, despite China’s easing its zero-COVID policy. The market narrative argued that traders were losing faith in the commodity.

The price has been developing a rising flag after topping. The flag’s top is a return move confirming the top’s neckline. On Friday, the flag top/top’s neckline resisted the price for the third time.

The top’s height implies a $7 move from the $107 breakout point, implying a $100 target, suggesting the flag’s completion with a downside breakout.

The flagpole – the drop before the range – is what technicians use as a target, as the same interested parties are expected to repeat the downside move upon breakout, implying a $9 plunge from the breakout point to somewhere around $95.

Note how the current resistance is 50 DMA, and the implied target is 200 DMA, with the 100 DMA supporting the flag.

Trading Strategies

Conservative traders should wait for the price to fall below the 100 DMA, then retest the flag’s resistance.

Moderate traders would sell upon a rally off the 100 DMA.

Aggressive traders could sell now, provided they accept the higher risk proportionate with the higher reward of moving before the rest of the market as it awaits confirmation.

Trade Sample – Aggressive Short

  • Entry: $110
  • Stop-Loss: $115
  • Risk: $5
  • Target: $95
  • Reward: $15
  • Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3

Disclosure: The author does not own any of the securities mentioned in this article.

Adblock test (Why?)

Source link

Continue Reading

Investment

Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

Published

 on

 

NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Investment

S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version