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China has halted planned cross-borde

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We start the new year with three developments out of China.
Beijing flexes its muscle: China has halted planned cross-border listings between Shanghai and the London Stock Exchange because of political tensions with the United Kingdom, according to Reuters.
The suspension of the Shanghai-London Stock Connect is the latest example of fallout related to the Hong Kong protests to hit companies that are exposed to China.
According to Reuters, politics was behind the suspension of the stock connect mechanism, which has been touted as an important step in the opening up of China’s capital markets.
The suspension comes just weeks before the United Kingdom will leave the European Union, a departure that makes the country’s relationships with big economies such as the United States and China even more important.
The episode highlights the tough choices facing Prime Minister Boris Johnson as he seeks to negotiate new trade deals that are needed to boost Britain’s stagnant economy.
HSBC targeted: Pro-democracy protesters in Hong Kong attacked HSBC (HBCYF) branches on the first day of the new year and vandalized a pair of bronze lions outside the bank’s headquarters in the city.
Protesters accuse the bank of colluding with authorities and frustrating efforts to fund the demonstrations.
At issue is the closure of an HSBC account held by a nonprofit group raising funds for the protests, and the subsequent arrest of four of its members on money laundering allegations.
The bank said in a statement last month that the account closure was “completely unrelated” to the arrests. On Wednesday, it condemned the “repeated” vandalism of its branches.
HSBC was established in Hong Kong in 1865, and is the biggest bank in the financial hub. But like many other global companies that use Hong Kong as a base, it does a huge amount of business in mainland China.
Other companies to come under pressure from the Hong Kong protests include Cathay Pacific (CPCAY), Disney (DIS), Prada (PRDSY) and Swatch (SWGAF).
Central bank acts: The People’s Bank of China has moved to stimulate the country’s economy, giving banks the green light to increase lending by roughly $115 billion.
The PBOC on Wednesday announced a relatively small reduction in the amount of capital banks are required to keep in reserve, freeing up additional money ahead of Chinese New Year, when demand for cash increases due to holiday gift giving.
China’s economy is growing at the slowest pace in decades, and the country’s central bank made a series of adjustments last year aimed at stabilizing growth amid the fallout from the trade war with the United States.
Economists expect the country’s central bank to continue to act. Among the possible moves: another cut to the reserve requirement ratio, or an interest rate cut.

The latest on Carlos Ghosn’s great escape

Japanese authorities have raided the house where fugitive auto executive Carlos Ghosn was staying before he escaped to Lebanon earlier this week, possibly via Turkey.
The latest:
  • Local media reported that Tokyo district prosecutors entered the property where Ghosn had been living on Thursday.
  • CNN affiliate TV Asahi said that prosecutors were working with police to access CCTV video around his home as part of their investigation.
  • Turkish state media reported that seven people have been detained on suspicion of helping Ghosn flee to Lebanon. Police have reportedly detained four pilots of a private airline, two ground staff and the director of a cargo company.
Bottom line: It is still not clear how Ghosn, who is a citizen of France, Brazil and Lebanon, was able to slip out of Japan, where he was awaiting trial on charges of financial misconduct.
It’s very unlikely that Ghosn will be returning to Japan because the country does not have an extradition treaty with Lebanon, where the former Nissan and Renault boss spent his childhood and enjoys popular support.
The implications: “No matter what [Japan does] now, it is very difficult to overcome the embarrassment of letting go one of the most high-profile suspects” of corporate scandal since World War II, said Keith Henry, the founder of Asia Strategy, a research and policy firm based in Tokyo.

Warren Buffett sticks to his guns

According to the Financial Times, Tiffany & Co. (TIF) approached Warren Buffett about making a potential bid after the US company received an offer from luxury giant LVMH (LVMHF).
But the Berkshire Hathaway boss rejected Tiffany’s advances. Why? He thought the asking price was too steep, according to the FT.
Buffett has lamented the fact that valuations for many companies have become prohibitively expensive given that the stock market keeps hitting new record highs. And he has continuously stressed that he won’t overpay for deals.
Yet Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA) is now sitting on $128 billion in cash. And Buffett wrote in the company’s annual shareholder letter in February that he hopes to make “an elephant-sized acquisition.”
There was intermittent chatter last year that Berkshire may be interested in struggling California utility PG&E, and there were rumors that Buffett may want to buy a major US airline, such as Southwest (LUV). Berkshire already owns shares in Southwest, as well as Delta (DAL), American (AAL) and United (UAL).
For now, though, it looks like Buffett will continue to resist the urge to splash out.

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PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell 1.3% to $69.4B in August

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales in August fell to their lowest level since January 2022 as sales in the primary metal and petroleum and coal product subsectors fell.

The agency says manufacturing sales fell 1.3 per cent to $69.4 billion in August, after rising 1.1 per cent in July.

The drop came as sales in the primary metal subsector dropped 6.4 per cent to $5.3 billion in August, on lower prices and lower volumes.

Sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector fell 3.7 per cent to $7.8 billion in August on lower prices.

Meanwhile, sales of aerospace products and parts rose 7.3 per cent to $2.7 billion in August and wood product sales increased 3.8 per cent to $3.1 billion.

Overall manufacturing sales in constant dollars fell 0.8 per cent in August.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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