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China’s Commodities Imports Ease in June on Sluggish Economy

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(Bloomberg) — China’s appetite for commodities eased in June, as a sluggish economy took the edge off import demand across a number of key raw materials.

Over the first six months of 2024, the world’s top importer bought less crude oil, soybeans, edible oils, meat and rubber, compared to last year. That’s unusual in markets that often see record demand each year as China’s economy expands. Some metals imports have also started to slow, while growth in coal purchases has weakened substantially.

China’s economic growth likely weakened in the second quarter, with the downturn in the property market, fiscal strains at the local government-level, and increasing trade protectionism around the world, leading a daunting set of challenges for policymakers to consider at next week’s Third Plenum in Beijing.

Energy Products

Crude oil imports in June fell on both a monthly and annual basis to 46.45 million tons, in line with indications that the rapid take up of electric vehicles means Chinese demand may already have peaked. Over the year to date, shipments are 2.3% lower than last year.

Purchases of power plant fuels have held up better, despite ample inventories and a rising contribution from hydropower and other renewables, as China continues to prioritize security of supply. In June, coal imports climbed on both a monthly and annual basis to 44.6 million tons, while natural gas held above 10 million tons for an eighth consecutive month.

Coal imports have risen 13% over the year so far, well below the 93% growth recorded in the first six months of 2023.

Metals Markets

Iron ore imports dipped below 100 million tons for the first time in four months as cash-strapped steel mills scaled back purchases. Exports of the alloy, a key channel for mitigating soft domestic consumption, also eased, falling below 9 million tons for the first time since February.

China’s unwrought copper purchases slipped to a four-month low after record international prices in May suppressed already weak demand. Concentrate imports increased, however, despite tighter global supplies as smelters continued to expand capacity.

Aluminum exports rose to near a two-year high as overseas demand for the metal picked up despite a narrowing in the premium on outbound shipments.

Farm Goods

Soybean purchases in June climbed above 11 million tons, the highest in over a year, as traders took advantage of cheaper Brazilian beans. But for the half-year, they’re still 2.2% off last year’s pace. Imports of other agricultural goods continued to show weakness as a slowing economy saps consumption.

–With assistance from Winnie Zhu, Kathy Chen, Audrey Wan and Hallie Gu.

 

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Vladimir Putin is in a painful economic bind – The Economist

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Vladimir Putin is in a painful economic bind  The Economist



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Which items will be tax-free under the Liberals’ promised GST/HST break?

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The government on Thursday announced a sweeping promise to make groceries, children’s clothing, Christmas trees, restaurant meals and more free from GST/HST between Dec. 14 and Feb. 15.

“Our government can’t set prices at checkout, but we can put more money in people’s pockets,” Trudeau said at a press conference announcing the measures.

The government says removing GST from these goods for a two-month period would save $100 for a family that spends $2,000 on those goods during that time. For those in provinces with HST, a family spending $2,000 would save $260.

Thursday’s announcement also included a rebate for Canadians who worked in 2023 and made less than $150,000, totalling $250 per person.

Here are the items that will be GST/HST-free if the Liberals’ legislation passes.

Groceries

Many grocery items are already tax-free. The Canada Revenue Agency considers most food and beverages to be “basic” grocery items, such as produce, bread, cereal, canned and frozen food, eggs, coffee, milk, and meat.

However, certain categories, like carbonated drinks, candies and snack foods, are taxed.

The government’s tax break will apply to certain items that normally are subject to tax.

These include prepared foods such as vegetable trays and pre-made meals, as well as snacks such as chips, candy and granola bars.

Carbonated beverages, water bottles fruit juices and juice crystals are included, as are ice cream products and baked desserts like cakes and pies.

The government says its tax break will mean “essentially all food” will be GST/HST-free.

Alcohol

The tax break will also apply to alcoholic beverages below seven per cent alcohol by volume, including beer, wine, cider, and pre-mixed drinks.

Normally, all alcoholic drinks are taxed.

Restaurants

Restaurant meals will also be subject to the tax break. It will apply whether you’re dining in, taking food to go, or ordering delivery.

Children’s items

Children’s clothing, including baby bibs, socks, hats and footwear, will qualify for the tax break. So will children’s diapers and car seats.

Children’s footwear and clothing used exclusively for sports or recreational activities will not be included in the tax break. This includes costumes.

Children’s toys will be included in the tax break as long as they’re designed for use by children under 14 years old. These could include board games, dolls, card games, Lego, Plasticine and teddy bears.

Printed goods

Print newspapers will be included in the tax break, but electronic or digital publications will not.

Most flyers, magazines, inserts and periodicals will be excluded.

Printed books will be included in the tax break, including religious scripture. Audio books where 90 per cent or more of the recording is a reading of a printed book are included.

Printed items that aren’t subject to the tax break include magazines where advertisements take up more than five per cent of total printed space, sales catalogues and brochures, books designed for writing on, event programs, agendas and directories.

Other

Christmas trees, natural or artificial, will be included in the tax break.

Puzzles and video game consoles are also included.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 21, 2024.

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In Russia's War Economy, The Warning Lights Are Blinking – Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty

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In Russia’s War Economy, The Warning Lights Are Blinking  Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty



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