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Commerzbank: Strong ETF gold inflows offsetting weak Chinese, Indian demand – Kitco NEWS

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(Kitco News) – Strong inflows of gold into exchange-traded funds are more than offsetting unusually weak demand from key consuming nations China and India, said Commerzbank analyst Cartsen Fritsch. Data from Hong Kong’s Census and Statistics Department on Monday showed that China exported more gold to Hong Kong (14.5 metric tons) last month than it imported from there (4.2 tons). Thus, Chinese gold imports from Hong Kong were negative for the first time since records began in 2007. “Normally, Hong Kong serves as the leading import hub for gold to China because Chinese gold demand significantly exceeds domestic supply,” Fritsch said in a research note. “However, Chinese households have been buying virtually no gold because of the corona crisis and record-high local prices.” China’s imports during the first four months of 2020 were just 17.1 tons, down 89% from the same period last year, Fritsch continued. Meanwhile, he pointed out that gold demand in India has also been weak, with April imports grinding completely to a halt. “This underlines just how much gold demand and the gold price depend at present on demand for gold ETFs, which has remained extremely robust recently,” Fritsch said. “This month alone, more than 120 tons of gold have flowed into the gold ETFs tracked by Bloomberg. This is significantly more than is normally imported by China and India combined.”

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Netflix’s subscriber growth slows as gains from password-sharing crackdown subside

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Netflix on Thursday reported that its subscriber growth slowed dramatically during the summer, a sign the huge gains from the video-streaming service’s crackdown on freeloading viewers is tapering off.

The 5.1 million subscribers that Netflix added during the July-September period represented a 42% decline from the total gained during the same time last year. Even so, the company’s revenue and profit rose at a faster pace than analysts had projected, according to FactSet Research.

Netflix ended September with 282.7 million worldwide subscribers — far more than any other streaming service.

The Los Gatos, California, company earned $2.36 billion, or $5.40 per share, a 41% increase from the same time last year. Revenue climbed 15% from a year ago to $9.82 billion. Netflix management predicted the company’s revenue will rise at the same 15% year-over-year pace during the October-December period, slightly than better than analysts have been expecting.

The strong financial performance in the past quarter coupled with the upbeat forecast eclipsed any worries about slowing subscriber growth. Netflix’s stock price surged nearly 4% in extended trading after the numbers came out, building upon a more than 40% increase in the company’s shares so far this year.

The past quarter’s subscriber gains were the lowest posted in any three-month period since the beginning of last year. That drop-off indicates Netflix is shifting to a new phase after reaping the benefits from a ban on the once-rampant practice of sharing account passwords that enabled an estimated 100 million people watch its popular service without paying for it.

The crackdown, triggered by a rare loss of subscribers coming out of the pandemic in 2022, helped Netflix add 57 million subscribers from June 2022 through this June — an average of more than 7 million per quarter, while many of its industry rivals have been struggling as households curbed their discretionary spending.

Netflix’s gains also were propelled by a low-priced version of its service that included commercials for the first time in its history. The company still is only getting a small fraction of its revenue from the 2-year-old advertising push, but Netflix is intensifying its focus on that segment of its business to help boost its profits.

In a letter to shareholder, Netflix reiterated previous cautionary notes about its expansion into advertising, though the low-priced option including commercials has become its fastest growing segment.

“We have much more work to do improving our offering for advertisers, which will be a priority over the next few years,” Netflix management wrote in the letter.

As part of its evolution, Netflix has been increasingly supplementing its lineup of scripted TV series and movies with live programming, such as a Labor Day spectacle featuring renowned glutton Joey Chestnut setting a world record for gorging on hot dogs in a showdown with his longtime nemesis Takeru Kobayashi.

Netflix will be trying to attract more viewer during the current quarter with a Nov. 15 fight pitting former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson against Jake Paul, a YouTube sensation turned boxer, and two National Football League games on Christmas Day.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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